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← Back to GamesSep 15, 2024Week 3

House Prediction

Model Margin

Southern Utah by 5.2

Home Win Probability

Southern Utah 56%

Market (ESPN Bet)

Southern Utah +6.5

Edge: Southern Utah +6.5 (11.7 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 15, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
UC Davis
3318024
Southern Utah
770721

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-314-314-2114-24
Southern UtahUC Davis

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20UDUDSUUDSUUDSUUDUDSUUDSUSUUDSUUDSUUDSUUDSUTD475ydFG1754ydPUNT35ydPUNT36ydPUNT1247ydPUNT725ydTD1288ydFG756ydTD160ydPUNT34ydTD868ydPUNT32ydPUNT3-1ydPUNT34ydPUNT420ydFG42ydMISS969ydPUNT419ydTD974ydPUNT711ydTO1142yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing UC Davis and Southern Utah
StatisticUC DavisSouthern Utah
Passing24-3114-28
Pass Yards266130
Rush Yards90210
Total Yards356340
Turnovers11
3rd Down4-119-17
Penalties6-607-57
Possession30:1029:50

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

UC Davis
passing
Miles Hastings
24/30, 266 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Lan Larison
15 CAR, 88 YDS
receiving
Lan Larison
7 REC, 92 YDS, 1 TD
Southern Utah
passing
Bronson Barron
7/15, 81 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Targhee Lambson
24 CAR, 149 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Mark Bails
7 REC, 45 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Lan Larison run for 8 yds to the UCD 33

2nd & 2Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.89

Miles Hastings pass complete to Chaz Davis for 12 yds to the UCD 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.92

Miles Hastings pass complete to Lan Larison for 12 yds to the SUU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -3.65

Miles Hastings pass intercepted for a TD (Daniel King KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Lan Larison run for 7 yds to the UCD 32

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.23

Lan Larison run for 3 yds to the UCD 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

UC Davis Penalty, false start (Jace Rodriguez) to the UCD 30

1st & 15Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Miles Hastings pass complete to Lan Larison for 2 yds to the UCD 32

2nd & 13Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.41

Miles Hastings pass complete to Mitchell Dixon for 13 yds to the UCD 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Miles Hastings pass complete to Matteo Perez for 3 yds to the UCD 48

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

pass incomplete to C.J. Hutton

3rd & 7Fumble Recovery (Own)+8 ydsPPA +2.40

Lan Larison run for 8 yds to the SUU 44 Lan Larison fumbled, recovered by UCD Lan Larison for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.97

Larison,Lan rush left (Pleasant-Johnson,LaCarea).

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Miles Hastings run for 6 yds to the SUU 38

3rd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.21

Miles Hastings pass complete to C.J. Hutton for 6 yds to the SUU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Matteo Perez run for 5 yds to the SUU 27

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Matteo Perez run for 3 yds to the SUU 24

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.36

Matteo Perez run for 3 yds to the SUU 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

pass incomplete to Mitchell Dixon

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Miles Hastings pass complete to Lan Larison for 2 yds to the SUU 19

3rd & 8Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.00

Miles Hastings pass complete to Lan Larison for a loss of 2 yards to the SUU 21

4th & 10Field Goal Good+39 yds

Hunter Ridley 39 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Southern Utah Penalty, false start (Lyle Santos) to the SUU 20

1st & 15Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Targhee Lambson run for 5 yds to the SUU 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Jackson Berry pass complete to Gabe Nunez for 5 yds to the SUU 30

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Jackson Berry pass incomplete to Targhee Lambson, broken up by Jackson Cloyd

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Alyas Vigil punt for 39 yds , Matteo Perez returns for no gain to the UCD 30

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Miles Hastings pass complete to Mitchell Dixon for 3 yds to the UCD 33

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Lan Larison run for 5 yds to the UCD 38

3rd & 2Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.95

Miles Hastings run for a loss of 2 yards to the UCD 36

4th & 4Punt+8 yds

Ben Banks-Altekruse punt for 50 yds , Gabe Nunez returns for 8 yds to the SUU 44 Southern Utah Penalty, Offensive holding (7 Yards) to the SUU 7

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.55

Targhee Lambson run for 9 yds to the SUU 29

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Targhee Lambson run for 4 yds to the SUU 11

2nd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.53

Jackson Berry pass complete to Mark Bails for 9 yds to the SUU 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

pass incomplete to Targhee Lambson

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.70

Targhee Lambson run for 1 yd to the SUU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Braedon Wissler run for 1 yd to the SUU 31

2nd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.44

Jackson Berry pass complete to Chase Merrell for 7 yds to the SUU 38

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.50

Targhee Lambson run for 5 yds to the SUU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.85

Jackson Berry run for 10 yds to the UCD 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Jackson Berry run for 1 yd to the UCD 46

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

pass incomplete to Shane Carr

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Jackson Berry pass incomplete to Mark Bails, broken up by Semaj Verner

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Daniel King punt for 46 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +2.62

Miles Hastings pass complete to Josh Gale for 31 yds to the SUU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.58

Miles Hastings pass complete to C.J. Hutton for 7 yds to the SUU 42

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.14

Lan Larison run for 5 yds to the SUU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

pass incomplete to Josh Gale

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Miles Hastings pass complete to Josh Gale for 2 yds to the SUU 35

3rd & 8Pass Reception-15 ydsPPA -2.84

Miles Hastings pass complete to Chaz Davis for no gain to the SUU 35 UC Davis Penalty, personal foul (Eli Simonson) to the 50 yard line

3rd & 23Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.41

Lan Larison run to the 50 yard line UC Davis Penalty, delay of game (David Meyer) to the UCD 45

3rd & 28Punt0 yds

Ben Banks-Altekruse punt for 43 yds

1st & 10Rush+26 ydsPPA +1.78

Braedon Wissler run for 26 yds to the SUU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Braedon Wissler run for 4 yds to the SUU 42

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.86

Braedon Wissler run for 1 yd to the SUU 43

3rd & 5Rush+12 ydsPPA +2.50

Jackson Berry run for 12 yds to the UCD 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Targhee Lambson run for 5 yds to the UCD 40

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Targhee Lambson run for 4 yds to the UCD 36

3rd & 1Penalty-5 yds

Southern Utah Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UCD 41

3rd & 6Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.82

Jackson Berry pass complete to Gabe Nunez for 11 yds to the UCD 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jackson Berry pass complete to Gabe Nunez for 5 yds to the UCD 25

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Braedon Wissler run for 1 yd to the UCD 24

3rd & 4Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.63

Jackson Berry pass complete to Mark Bails for 10 yds to the UCD 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.08

Jackson Berry run for 11 yds to the UCD 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Targhee Lambson run for 3 yds for a TD (Daniel King KICK)

1st & 10Rush+35 ydsPPA +2.89

Lan Larison run for 35 yds to the SUU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.45

Miles Hastings pass complete to C.J. Hutton for 13 yds to the SUU 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Lan Larison run for 5 yds to the SUU 22

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion-10 ydsPPA -2.22

Miles Hastings pass incomplete to CJ Millican UC Davis Penalty, Offensive holding (Ernesto Nava) to the SUU 32

2nd & 15Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.00

Miles Hastings pass complete to Samuel Gbatu Jr. for 12 yds to the SUU 20

3rd & 3Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Miles Hastings pass complete to Lan Larison for 1 yd to the SUU 19

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+60 ydsPPA +4.76

Miles Hastings pass complete to Lan Larison for 60 yds for a TD (Hunter Ridley KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Targhee Lambson run for 2 yds to the SUU 27

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Targhee Lambson run for 2 yds to the SUU 29

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Jackson Berry pass incomplete to Mark Bails, broken up by Semaj Verner

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Alyas Vigil punt for 39 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Miles Hastings pass incomplete to Samuel Gbatu Jr., broken up by Payton Payne

2nd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.35

Miles Hastings pass complete to Josh Gale for 15 yds to the UCD 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Lan Larison run for 2 yds to the UCD 49

2nd & 8Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.82

Miles Hastings pass complete to Lan Larison for 17 yds to the SUU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +0.42

Miles Hastings pass complete to Samuel Gbatu Jr. for 24 yds to the SUU 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29

Perez,Matteo rush middle (Stromstad,Mason).

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.80

Miles Hastings pass complete to Winston Williams for 10 yds for a TD

1st & 10Pass Reception-62 yds

Miles Hastings pass complete to Lan Larison for no gain to the UCD 35

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Targhee Lambson run for 4 yds to the SUU 29

2nd & 6Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.94

Jordan Jefferson run for a loss of 4 yards to the SUU 25

3rd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.11

Jackson Berry pass complete to Mark Bails for 2 yds to the SUU 27

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Alyas Vigil punt for 33 yds

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

UC Davis Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Logan Kraut) to the SUU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.50

Jackson Berry sacked by Sam Goligoski for a loss of 2 yards to the SUU 38

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

pass incomplete to Shane Carr

3rd & 12Sack-14 ydsPPA -0.54

Jackson Berry sacked by Zach Kennedy for a loss of 14 yards to the SUU 24

4th & 26Punt0 yds

Alyas Vigil punt for 31 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Matteo Perez run for 1 yd to the UCD 46

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Matteo Perez run for 3 yds to the UCD 49

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Miles Hastings pass incomplete to Samuel Gbatu Jr., broken up by Jayden Robertson

4th & 6Punt+46 yds

Ben Banks-Altekruse punt for 42 yds Southern Utah Penalty, Offensive holding (Jayden Robertson) to the SUU 5

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.34

Targhee Lambson run for 11 yds to the SUU 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Targhee Lambson run for 3 yds to the SUU 19

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Targhee Lambson run for 5 yds to the SUU 24

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Targhee Lambson run for 1 yd to the SUU 25

4th & 1Punt0 yds

punt for no gain

1st & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.48

Lan Larison run for a loss of 1 yard to the SUU 8

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.08

Lan Larison run for 3 yds to the SUU 5

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

pass incomplete to Samuel Gbatu Jr.

4th & 5Field Goal Good+23 yds

Hunter Ridley 23 yd FG GOOD

3rd & 9Rush+11 ydsPPA +2.02

Bronson Barron run for 11 yds to the SUU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Targhee Lambson run for 3 yds to the SUU 28

2nd & 7Penalty-5 yds

Southern Utah Penalty, personal foul (-5 Yards) to the SUU 23

2nd & 12Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Bronson Barron pass complete to Mark Bails for 3 yds to the SUU 26

1st & 10Rush+40 ydsPPA +2.39

Targhee Lambson run for 40 yds to the UCD 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.13

Targhee Lambson run for 10 yds to the UCD 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Targhee Lambson run for 4 yds to the UCD 9

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Braedon Wissler run for 1 yd to the UCD 8

3rd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Braedon Wissler run for 2 yds to the UCD 6

4th & 3Field Goal Missed+23 yds

Daniel King 23 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.34

Lan Larison run for 1 yd to the UCD 21 for a 1ST down Southern Utah Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Jayden Robertson) to the UCD 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.24

Miles Hastings sacked by Parker Andrus for a loss of 1 yard to the UCD 36

2nd & 11Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.95

Miles Hastings sacked by Kohner Cullimore for a loss of 7 yards to the UCD 29

3rd & 18Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.24

Miles Hastings pass complete to Josh Gale for 10 yds to the UCD 39

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Ben Banks-Altekruse punt for 35 yds

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.28

Targhee Lambson run for 9 yds to the SUU 35

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.30

pass incomplete to Mark Bails

3rd & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.57

Targhee Lambson run for 8 yds to the SUU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

pass incomplete to Gabe Nunez

2nd & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.53

Bronson Barron pass complete to Chase Merrell for 19 yds to the UCD 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +0.57

Bronson Barron pass complete to Joshua Acord for 27 yds to the UCD 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Targhee Lambson run for 6 yds to the UCD 5

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Targhee Lambson run for 3 yds to the UCD 2

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.46

Targhee Lambson run for 2 yds for a TD (Daniel King KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.58

Miles Hastings pass complete to Stacy Dobbins for a loss of 2 yards to the UCD 48

2nd & 12Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Lan Larison run for 6 yds to the SUU 46

3rd & 6Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.25

Miles Hastings pass complete to CJ Millican for 14 yds to the SUU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.61

Larison,Lan rush (Ramirez,George), PENALTY UCD holding (Williams,Winston), PENALTY SUU face mask (Ramirez,George). Southern Utah Penalty, Offensive holding (Winston Williams) to the SUU 32

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.46

Lan Larison run for 1 yd to the SUU 31

2nd & 9Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.63

Miles Hastings sacked by Kohner Cullimore and Rylen Sua-Filo for a loss of 9 yards to the SUU 40

3rd & 18Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.58

Miles Hastings pass complete to Winston Williams for 1 yd to the SUU 39

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Cade Cox punt for 24 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

pass incomplete to Joshua Acord

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

Bronson Barron pass incomplete to Shane Carr, broken up by Kavir Bains

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.09

pass incomplete to Mark Bails

4th & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.27

Bronson Barron pass complete to Mark Bails for 10 yds to the SUU 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Bronson Barron pass complete to Shane Carr for 11 yds to the SUU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

pass incomplete to Shane Carr

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Bronson Barron pass complete to Mark Bails for 4 yds to the SUU 40

3rd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +2.21

Bronson Barron pass complete to Mark Bails for 7 yds to the SUU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Bronson Barron pass incomplete to Gabe Nunez, broken up by Kavir Bains

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion+10 ydsPPA +1.90

Bronson Barron pass incomplete to Shane Carr for a 1ST down UC Davis Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Kavir Bains) to the UCD 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -3.65

Bronson Barron pass intercepted

Situational Analysis

UC Davis

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
44%
27 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
100%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
45%
11 plays
75%
4 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
4th

Southern Utah

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
43%
28 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
0%
1 play
14%
7 plays
60%
10 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
80%
5 plays
57%
7 plays
25%
4 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play