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← Back to GamesOct 5, 2024Week 6

House Prediction

Model Margin

Northern Illinois by 20

Home Win Probability

Northern Illinois 89%

Market (Bovada)

Northern Illinois -14

Edge: Northern Illinois -14 (6.0 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 5, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
MassachusettsMassachusetts
760720
Northern IllinoisNorthern Illinois
7062134

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-77-1013-1320-1327-1334-20
Northern IllinoisMassachusetts

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MASNIMASNIMASNIMASNIMASNIMASNINIMASNIMASNIMASNIMASNITO2-10ydTD115ydTD475ydTO432ydPUNT31ydPUNT832ydFG1271ydDOWNS635ydPUNT33ydTO835ydFG1046ydEND1-1ydTD775ydDOWNS1150ydTD1375ydDOWNS665ydTD990ydTD875ydTD34ydDOWNS712ydEND410yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Massachusetts and Northern Illinois
StatisticMassachusettsNorthern Illinois
Passing15-306-10
Pass Yards26335
Rush Yards115367
Total Yards378402
Turnovers12
3rd Down5-149-11
Penalties4-153-25
Possession26:2033:40

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Massachusetts
passing
Taisun Phommachanh
15/30, 263 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
C.J. Hester
15 CAR, 71 YDS
receiving
defense
Northern Illinois
passing
Ethan Hampton
5/9, 34 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Gavin Williams
19 CAR, 125 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Brock Lampe
1 REC, 15 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.11

Taisun Phommachanh sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the MASS 19

2nd & 16Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+4 ydsPPA +0.19

Taisun Phommachanh run for 4 yds to the MASS 15 Taisun Phommachanh fumbled, recovered by NIU Jalonnie Williams

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.56

Ethan Hampton pass complete to Brock Lampe for 15 yds for a TD (Kanon Woodill KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

CJ Hester run for 1 yd to the MASS 26

2nd & 9Penalty-5 yds

(13:36) No Huddle-Shotgun Phommachanh,Taisun rush right for 7 yards gain to the UMASS33 (Williams,Jalonnie) PENALTY UMASS Illegal Shift 5 yards from UMASS26 to UMASS21. NO PLAY.

2nd & 14Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.16

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Dominick Mazotti for 7 yds to the MASS 28

3rd & 7Rush+14 ydsPPA +2.37

Taisun Phommachanh run for 14 yds to the MASS 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+58 ydsPPA +4.56

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to T.Y. Harding for 58 yds for a TD (Jacob Lurie KICK)

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.48

Antario Brown run for 16 yds to the MASS 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.07

Ethan Hampton pass complete to George Dimopoulos for 9 yds to the MASS 40

2nd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA -0.21

Antario Brown run for 7 yds to the MASS 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -4.10

Ethan Hampton pass intercepted, touchback.

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to T.Y. Harding for 2 yds to the MASS 22

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Cookie Desiderio run for 3 yds to the MASS 25

3rd & 5Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.40

Taisun Phommachanh sacked by Nevaeh Sanders for a loss of 4 yards to the MASS 21

4th & 9Punt0 yds

CJ Kolodziey punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Dane Pardridge at the NIU 29

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.66

George Dimopoulos run for 7 yds to the NIU 36

2nd & 3Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.75

Antario Brown run for 8 yds to the NIU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Ethan Hampton pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Ethan Hampton pass complete to Grayson Barnes for 5 yds to the NIU 49

3rd & 5Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY NIU Delay Of Game 5 yards from NIU49 to NIU44. NO PLAY.

3rd & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +3.44

Ethan Hampton run for 11 yds to the MASS 45 for a 1ST down Massachusetts Penalty, (10 Yards) to the MASS 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

(05:03) Shotgun Brown,Antario rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UMASS32 (Hudson,Jaylen; Johnson,Gerrell) PENALTY NIU Illegal Shift 5 yards from UMASS35 to UMASS40. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.91

Ethan Hampton pass complete to Jaylen Poe for no gain to the MASS 40

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Ethan Hampton pass incomplete

3rd & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.67

Gavin Williams run for 1 yd to the MASS 39

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Tom Foley punt for 39 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Da'Marion Alberic run for no gain to the MASS 20

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.69

CJ Hester run for 12 yds to the MASS 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.33

Taisun Phommachanh run for 14 yds to the MASS 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

CJ Hester run for no gain to the MASS 46

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

CJ Hester run for 3 yds to the MASS 49

3rd & 7Rush+13 ydsPPA +2.63

CJ Hester run for 13 yds to the NIU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +0.51

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Sterling Galban for 21 yds to the NIU 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

CJ Hester run for 2 yds to the NIU 15

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

CJ Hester run for 4 yds to the NIU 11

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Taisun Phommachanh run for 2 yds to the NIU 9

4th & 2Field Goal Good+27 yds

Jacob Lurie 27 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Josh Holst run for 8 yds to the NIU 33

2nd & 2Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.40

Josh Holst run for 18 yds to the MASS 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Antario Brown run for 3 yds to the MASS 46

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Antario Brown run for 3 yds to the MASS 43

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.65

Josh Holst run for 2 yds to the MASS 41

4th & 2Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -1.81

Josh Holst pass complete to Grayson Barnes for 1 yd to the MASS 40

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Cookie Desiderio run for 3 yds to the MASS 43

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

CJ Kolodziey punt for 57 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.63

Ethan Hampton sacked by Christian LeBrun for a loss of 1 yard to the NIU 19

2nd & 11Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Antario Brown run for 5 yds to the NIU 24

3rd & 6Rush+32 ydsPPA +3.58

Ethan Hampton run for 32 yds to the MASS 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Ethan Hampton run for 3 yds to the MASS 41

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Antario Brown run for 4 yds to the MASS 37

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.96

Jaylen Poe run for 4 yds to the MASS 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Jaylen Poe run for 3 yds to the MASS 30

2nd & 7Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+15 ydsPPA -3.90

Gavin Williams run for 15 yds to the MASS 45 Gavin Williams fumbled, recovered by MASS Donovan Dyson

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

CJ Hester run for 4 yds to the MASS 49

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

CJ Hester run for no gain to the MASS 49

3rd & 6Rush+10 ydsPPA +2.36

CJ Hester run for 10 yds to the NIU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.86

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to T.Y. Harding for 9 yds to the NIU 32

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

CJ Hester run for 3 yds to the NIU 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.20

CJ Hester run for 11 yds to the NIU 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Taisun Phommachanh run for 6 yds to the NIU 12

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Taisun Phommachanh run for 3 yds to the NIU 9

4th & 1Field Goal Good+27 yds

Jacob Lurie 27 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

E. Hampton takes a knee

0th & 10End of Half-1 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Gavin Williams run for 11 yds to the NIU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Ethan Hampton run for 7 yds to the NIU 43

2nd & 3Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.96

Gavin Williams run for 12 yds to the MASS 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.73

Gavin Williams run for 8 yds to the MASS 37

2nd & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA -0.04

Jaylen Poe run for 8 yds to the MASS 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.35

Jaylen Poe run for 7 yds to the MASS 22

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+22 ydsPPA +2.44

Jaylen Poe run for 22 yds for a TD (Kanon Woodill PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Jakobie Keeney-James for 7 yds to the MASS 32

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.42

CJ Hester run for 5 yds to the MASS 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.53

Taisun Phommachanh sacked by Roy Williams for a loss of 3 yards to the MASS 34

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete

3rd & 13Penalty+15 yds

Northern Illinois Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Santana Banner) to the NIU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.93

Taisun Phommachanh run for 9 yds to the NIU 35

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

CJ Hester run for 3 yds to the NIU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.83

CJ Hester run for no gain to the NIU 32

3rd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.44

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to CJ Hester for 7 yds to the NIU 25

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.13

Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Ethan Hampton pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.48

Gavin Williams run for 8 yds to the NIU 33

3rd & 2Rush+12 ydsPPA +2.02

Gavin Williams run for 12 yds to the NIU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Gavin Williams run for 4 yds to the NIU 49

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Jaylen Poe run for 3 yds to the MASS 48

3rd & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.52

Ethan Hampton pass complete to Andrew McElroy for 5 yds to the MASS 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Jaylen Poe run for 6 yds to the MASS 37

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.19

Jaylen Poe run for 5 yds to the MASS 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Gavin Williams run for 2 yds to the MASS 30

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Gavin Williams run for 4 yds to the MASS 26

3rd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.64

Jaylen Poe run for 5 yds to the MASS 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.17

Jaylen Poe run for 18 yds to the MASS 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Jaylen Poe run for 3 yds for a TD (Kanon Woodill KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-7 yds

(14:12) No Huddle-Shotgun Phommachanh,Taisun pass complete short right to Gibson,Jacquon caught at UMASS32, for 7 yards to the UMASS32 (Prophete,Jashon; Valcarcel,Nate) PENALTY UMASS Illegal Touch-Pass. NO PLAY.

2nd & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.22

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to CJ Hester for 17 yds to the MASS 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +1.97

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Jakobie Keeney-James for 40 yds to the NIU 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Cookie Desiderio run for 5 yds to the NIU 13

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete

3rd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Cookie Desiderio run for 3 yds to the NIU 10

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.97

Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.46

Ethan Hampton run for 11 yds to the NIU 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.54

Gavin Williams run for 7 yds to the NIU 28

2nd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.55

Gavin Williams run for 7 yds to the NIU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+28 ydsPPA +2.19

Gavin Williams run for 28 yds to the MASS 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.57

Jaylen Poe run for 1 yd to the MASS 36

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Jaylen Poe run for 4 yds to the MASS 32

3rd & 5Rush+24 ydsPPA +1.42

Gavin Williams run for 24 yds to the MASS 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.42

Gavin Williams run for 7 yds to the MASS 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Gavin Williams run for 1 yd for a TD (Kanon Woodill KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Jakobie Keeney-James for 9 yds to the MASS 34

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Cookie Desiderio run for 3 yds to the MASS 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +2.18

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Jakobie Keeney-James for 31 yds to the NIU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.30

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Sterling Galban for 16 yds to the NIU 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Taisun Phommachanh run for no gain to the NIU 16

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete

4th & 10Passing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +3.89

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to T.Y. Harding for 16 yds for a TD (Jacob Lurie KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+89 yds

CJ Kolodziey kickoff for 58 yds , Jaylen Poe return for 89 yds to the MASS 4

1st & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Gavin Williams run for 2 yds to the MASS 2

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Gavin Williams run for 1 yd to the MASS 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Ethan Hampton run for 1 yd for a TD (Kanon Woodill KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to CJ Hester for 2 yds to the MASS 27

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +3.00

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Sterling Galban for 21 yds to the MASS 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete

4th & 10Penalty-11 yds

Massachusetts Penalty, (-11 Yards) to the MASS 37

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Jaylen Poe run for 6 yds to the MASS 31

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.58

Gavin Williams run for 1 yd to the MASS 30

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.64

Jaylen Poe run for 3 yds to the MASS 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.49

E. Hampton takes a knee

Situational Analysis

Massachusetts

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
26 plays
2nd
25%
4 plays
0%
3 plays
10%
10 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
20%
5 plays
63%
8 plays
4th
0%
2 plays
100%
1 play

Northern Illinois

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
57%
28 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
67%
9 plays
33%
3 plays
29%
7 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
100%
5 plays
75%
4 plays
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play