Skip to main content
← Back to GamesSep 14, 2024Week 3

House Prediction

Model Margin

Buffalo by 12.6

Home Win Probability

Buffalo 76%

Market (Bovada)

Buffalo -3.5

Edge: Buffalo -3.5 (9.1 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 14, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
MassachusettsMassachusetts
03003
BuffaloBuffalo
7317734

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-010-334-3
BuffaloMassachusetts

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20BUFMASMASBUFMASBUFMASBUFMASBUFMASBUFMASBUFMASBUFMASBUFMASMASBUFMASBUFMASTD685ydPUNT618ydMISS1150ydPUNT38ydPUNT3-2ydPUNT34ydPUNT39ydFG718ydPUNT3-7ydPUNT35ydFG1339ydUncategorized417ydMISS714ydFG1055ydPUNT3-3ydPUNT616ydPUNT33ydTD220ydTD1075ydPUNT3-2ydTD1375ydPUNT35ydPUNT524ydUncategorized25yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Massachusetts and Buffalo
StatisticMassachusettsBuffalo
Passing14-2914-22
Pass Yards121185
Rush Yards72129
Total Yards193314
Turnovers11
3rd Down4-176-14
Penalties6-454-21
Possession32:0427:56

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Massachusetts
passing
Taisun Phommachanh
14/29, 121 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Brandon Campbell
8 CAR, 36 YDS
receiving
Jacquon Gibson
4 REC, 58 YDS
defense
Buffalo
passing
CJ Ogbonna
14/22, 185 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Lamar Sperling
16 CAR, 86 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
JJ Jenkins
2 REC, 44 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Shaun Dolac
2 TFL, 1 PD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.44

C.J. Ogbonna pass complete to Jake Orlando for no gain to the BUF 15

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Jacqez Barksdale run for 4 yds to the BUF 19

3rd & 6Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +3.25

C.J. Ogbonna pass complete to Victor Snow for 31 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.87

C.J. Ogbonna pass complete to Victor Snow for 1 yd to the MASS 49

2nd & 9Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.53

Jacqez Barksdale run for 9 yds to the MASS 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+40 ydsPPA +3.19

JJ Jenkins 40 Yd pass from C.J. Ogbonna (Upton Bellenfant Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Jakobie Keeney-James for 4 yds to the MASS 24

2nd & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.05

Jalen John run for 9 yds to the MASS 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Jalen John run for 4 yds to the MASS 37

2nd & 6Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.26

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Jalen John for a loss of 3 yards to the MASS 34

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete to Jacquon Gibson, broken up by Charles McCartherens Buffalo Penalty, off-side (Malin White) to the MASS 39

3rd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.75

Jalen John run for a loss of 1 yard to the MASS 38

4th & 5Punt0 yds

CJ Kolodziey punt for 47 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

CJ Hester run for 3 yds to the MASS 21

2nd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.01

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Jacquon Gibson for 9 yds to the MASS 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.86

Hester,CJ rush left (Dolac,Shaun).

2nd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.28

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Jakobie Keeney-James for 15 yds to the MASS 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.38

CJ Hester run for a loss of 1 yard to the MASS 44

2nd & 11Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Taisun Phommachanh run for 1 yd to the MASS 45

3rd & 10Penalty-5 yds

Massachusetts Penalty, false start (Jakobie Keeney-James) to the MASS 40

3rd & 15Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +3.82

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Jacquon Gibson for 22 yds to the BUF 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

CJ Hester run for 2 yds to the BUF 36

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

CJ Hester run for 4 yds to the BUF 32

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

pass incomplete to Sterling Galban

4th & 4Field Goal Missed+50 yds

Jacob Lurie 50 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Jacqez Barksdale run for 1 yd to the BUF 33

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

C.J. Ogbonna pass incomplete to Victor Snow, broken up by Tyler Rudolph

3rd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.25

C.J. Ogbonna pass complete to Messiah Burch for 7 yds to the BUF 40

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Ethan Duane punt for 42 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

pass incomplete to Jakobie Keeney-James

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.29

Brandon Campbell run for a loss of 2 yards to the MASS 16 Massachusetts Penalty, Offensive holding (Benjamin Roy Jr.) to the MASS 16

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.07

pass incomplete to T.Y. Harding

4th & 12Punt0 yds

CJ Kolodziey punt for 52 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

pass incomplete to Victor Snow

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

C.J. Ogbonna run for 4 yds to the BUF 36

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

C.J. Ogbonna pass incomplete to Messiah Burch, broken up by Derrieon Craig

4th & 6Punt+63 yds

Ethan Duane punt for 63 yds Massachusetts Penalty, personal foul (Macklin Ayers) to the MASS 1

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.07

Jalen John run for 3 yds to the MASS 7

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Taisun Phommachanh run for 3 yds to the MASS 4

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.06

Taisun Phommachanh run for 3 yds to the MASS 10

4th & 1Punt+9 yds

CJ Kolodziey punt for 37 yds , Victor Snow returns for 9 yds to the MASS 38

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.42

Al-Jay Henderson run for 7 yds to the MASS 31

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Al-Jay Henderson run for 2 yds to the MASS 29

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion+5 ydsPPA +0.41

C.J. Ogbonna pass incomplete to Taji Johnson, broken up by Isaiah Rutherford for a 1ST down Massachusetts Penalty, off-side (Derrieon Craig) to the MASS 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Al-Jay Henderson run for 3 yds to the MASS 21

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.36

Al-Jay Henderson run for 1 yd to the MASS 20

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

pass incomplete to Javien Cuff

4th & 6Field Goal Good+37 yds

Upton Bellenfant 37 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

pass incomplete to CJ Hester

2nd & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.51

Taisun Phommachanh sacked by Kobe Stewart and Malin White for a loss of 5 yards to the MASS 20

3rd & 15Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.08

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to CJ Hester for a loss of 2 yards to the MASS 18

4th & 17Punt+27 yds

CJ Kolodziey punt for 71 yds , Victor Snow returns for 27 yds to the BUF 45 Buffalo Penalty, Offensive holding (Jalen McNair) to the BUF 5

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.28

Barksdale,Jacqez rush middle (Craig,Derrieon).

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

C.J. Ogbonna run for 4 yds to the BUF 9

3rd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.09

Jacqez Barksdale run for 1 yd to the BUF 10

4th & 5Punt+6 yds

Ethan Duane punt for 51 yds , T.Y. Harding returns for 6 yds to the MASS 45

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Brandon Campbell run for 3 yds to the MASS 48

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Taisun Phommachanh run for 5 yds to the BUF 47

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Brandon Campbell run for 1 yd to the BUF 46

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +2.11

Brandon Campbell run for 2 yds to the BUF 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.95

Brandon Campbell run for 9 yds to the BUF 35

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.61

Jalen John run for 5 yds to the BUF 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Jalen John run for 4 yds to the BUF 26

2nd & 6Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Sterling Galban for 6 yds to the BUF 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Jalen John run for 1 yd to the BUF 19

2nd & 9Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Jalen John for 3 yds to the BUF 16

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

pass incomplete to Jalen John

4th & 6Field Goal Good+34 yds

Jacob Lurie 34 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

C.J. Ogbonna pass complete to JJ Jenkins for 4 yds to the BUF 34

2nd & 6Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.74

C.J. Ogbonna pass complete to Javien Cuff for 13 yds to the BUF 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

pass incomplete to Al-Jay Henderson

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-6 ydsPPA -1.68

C.J. Ogbonna sacked by Louce Julien for a loss of 6 yards to the BUF 41 C.J. Ogbonna fumbled, recovered by MASS Derrieon Craig , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.31

Jalen John run for a loss of 2 yards to the BUF 43

2nd & 12Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.30

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Jakobie Keeney-James for 11 yds to the BUF 32

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.95

John,Jalen rush middle (Dolac,Shaun).

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.38

Jalen John run for 2 yds to the BUF 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

pass incomplete to Jacquon Gibson

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Taisun Phommachanh run for 3 yds to the BUF 27

3rd & 7Field Goal Missed+45 yds

Jacob Lurie 45 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.69

C.J. Ogbonna pass complete to Al-Jay Henderson for 1 yd to the BUF 30

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

pass incomplete to Victor Snow

3rd & 9Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +3.96

C.J. Ogbonna pass complete to Taji Johnson for 34 yds to the MASS 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

pass incomplete to Taji Johnson

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.94

Henderson,Al-Jay rush right (Reuben,Etinosa;Wiggins Jr.,Jermaine).

3rd & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.09

C.J. Ogbonna pass complete to Javien Cuff for 19 yds to the MASS 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Jacqez Barksdale run for 3 yds to the MASS 14

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

pass incomplete to Javien Cuff

3rd & 7Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.76

C.J. Ogbonna run for a loss of 2 yards to the MASS 16

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+28 yds

CJ Kolodziey kickoff for 64 yds , Lamar Sperling return for 28 yds to the BUF 29

4th & 9Field Goal Good+34 yds

Upton Bellenfant 34 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

CJ Hester run for 1 yd to the MASS 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Jacquon Gibson for 3 yds to the MASS 29

3rd & 6Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.49

Taisun Phommachanh sacked by Shaun Dolac for a loss of 7 yards to the MASS 22

4th & 13Punt0 yds

CJ Kolodziey punt for 48 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

C.J. Ogbonna pass complete to Javien Cuff for 4 yds to the BUF 34

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Terrance Shelton Jr. run for 4 yds to the BUF 38

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.31

Terrance Shelton Jr. run for 3 yds to the BUF 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.96

C.J. Ogbonna sacked by Sahnai Swain-Price for a loss of 5 yards to the BUF 36

2nd & 15Rush0 ydsPPA -0.42

Shelton,Terrance rush left (Swain-Price,Sahnai).

3rd & 15Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.49

C.J. Ogbonna pass complete to Lamar Sperling for 10 yds to the BUF 46

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Ethan Duane punt for 46 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Brandon Campbell run for 3 yds to the MASS 11

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete to Matt Smith, broken up by Shaun Dolac

4th & 7Punt+11 yds

CJ Kolodziey punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MASS 20 for a 1ST down , Victor Snow returns for 11 yds to the MASS 22 for a 1ST down Massachusetts Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Jaelyn Lay) to the MASS 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.30

C.J. Ogbonna pass complete to Messiah Burch for 12 yds to the MASS 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.32

C.J. Ogbonna 8 Yd Run (Upton Bellenfant Kick)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete to Jakobie Keeney-James, broken up by Charles McCartherens

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Jalen John for 6 yds to the MASS 31

3rd & 4Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.43

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Jalen John for 15 yds to the MASS 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-7 ydsPPA -2.41

Sterling Galban run for a loss of 7 yards to the MASS 39

2nd & 17Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.49

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Jalen John for 8 yds to the MASS 47

3rd & 9Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +3.32

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Jacquon Gibson for 24 yds to the BUF 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +0.47

Brandon Campbell run for 21 yds to the BUF 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete to Owen Anderson, broken up by Clevester Hines III

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.08

Jalen John run for 3 yds to the BUF 5

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Buffalo Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the MASS 8

3rd & 5Interception Return Touchdown+100 ydsPPA -11.24

Marquis Cooper 100 Yd Interception Return (Upton Bellenfant Kick)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Brandon Campbell run for a loss of 1 yard to the MASS 24

2nd & 11Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.14

Taisun Phommachanh run for 6 yds to the MASS 30

3rd & 5Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.59

Taisun Phommachanh sacked by Red Murdock for a loss of 7 yards to the MASS 23

4th & 12Punt0 yds

CJ Kolodziey punt for 52 yds , Victor Snow returns for no gain to the BUF 25

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Lamar Sperling run for 8 yds to the BUF 33

2nd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.08

Lamar Sperling run for 2 yds to the BUF 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Lamar Sperling run for 4 yds to the BUF 39

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Lamar Sperling run for 3 yds to the BUF 42

3rd & 3Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.50

Lamar Sperling run for 16 yds to the MASS 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +0.68

Lamar Sperling run for 22 yds to the MASS 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.37

Sperling,Lamar rush right (Powell,Te'Rai;Johnson,Gerrell).

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.42

C.J. Ogbonna pass complete to Andrew Schnackenberg for 9 yds to the MASS 11

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.37

Lamar Sperling run for 4 yds to the MASS 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Lamar Sperling run for 2 yds to the MASS 5

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Lamar Sperling run for 2 yds to the MASS 3

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Lamar Sperling run for 2 yds to the MASS 1

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.79

Lamar Sperling 1 Yd Run (Upton Bellenfant Kick)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

pass incomplete to Kezion Dia-Johnson

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete to CJ Hester, broken up by SaVeon Brown

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

pass incomplete to CJ Hester

4th & 10Punt+5 yds

CJ Kolodziey punt

4th & 5Punt0 yds

CJ Kolodziey punt for 39 yds

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Lamar Sperling run for 4 yds to the BUF 35

2nd & 6Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.66

Lamar Sperling run for 12 yds to the BUF 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.15

Sperling,Lamar rush left (Dyson,Donovan).

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Lamar Sperling run for 4 yds to the MASS 49

3rd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Mark-Anthony Scott Jr. run for 4 yds to the MASS 45

4th & 2Punt0 yds

punt for 44 yds

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Jackson Paradis run for 5 yds to the MASS 6

2nd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.31

Jackson Paradis run for a loss of 1 yard to the MASS 6

Situational Analysis

Massachusetts

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
8%
24 plays
2nd
50%
4 plays
33%
15 plays
75%
4 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
13%
8 plays
50%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
100%
2 plays

Buffalo

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
25%
24 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
40%
5 plays
17%
12 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
80%
5 plays
20%
5 plays
75%
4 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play