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← Back to GamesOct 5, 2024Week 6
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Villanova by 12.9

Home Win Probability

Stony Brook 21%

Market (ESPN Bet)

Stony Brook +16.5

Edge: Stony Brook +16.5 (3.6 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 5, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Villanova
77141442
Stony Brook
7107024

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-014-714-1424-1424-2824-42
Stony BrookVillanova

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20VILSBSBVILSBVILSBVILSBVILSBVILSBSBVILVILSBVILSBVILSBVILSBVILSBVILSBPUNT64ydPUNT30ydTD319ydPUNT526ydPUNT946ydTD692ydTD1175ydPUNT37ydPUNT515ydTD670ydPUNT39ydDOWNS4-13ydFG41ydTD966ydPUNT414ydTD226ydPUNT34ydTD380ydPUNT3-4ydPUNT33ydTO26ydMISS736ydPUNT54ydTD172ydPUNT3-6ydTD964ydEND1260yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Villanova and Stony Brook
StatisticVillanovaStony Brook
Passing9-1922-32
Pass Yards152147
Rush Yards280163
Total Yards432310
Turnovers12
3rd Down3-104-15
Penalties4-208-84
Possession28:0231:58

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Villanova
passing
Connor Watkins
9/19, 152 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
David Avit
13 CAR, 183 YDS, 4 TD
receiving
Jaylan Sanchez
3 REC, 38 YDS
Stony Brook
passing
Tyler Knoop
22/32, 147 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Roland Dempster
24 CAR, 115 YDS, 3 TD
receiving
Cal Redman
3 REC, 50 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Ja'briel Mace run for 3 yds to the VILL 28

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Ja'briel Mace run for no gain to the VILL 28

3rd & 7Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.66

Connor Watkins pass complete to Jaylan Sanchez for 17 yds to the VILL 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

Villanova Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the VILL 40

2nd & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Ja'briel Mace run for 2 yds to the VILL 42

3rd & 13Penalty-5 yds

Villanova Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the VILL 37

3rd & 18Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.27

Connor Watkins sacked by Rushawn Lawrence for a loss of 8 yards to the VILL 29

4th & 26Punt0 yds

Ethan Gettman punt for 50 yds

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.73

Chance Knox run for a loss of 2 yards to the STBK 19

2nd & 12Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.13

Roland Dempster run for 2 yds to the STBK 21

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Tyler Knoop pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt+60 yds

Clayton Taylor punt for 60 yds , Devin Smith returns for no gain to the VILL 19 , returns for no gain to the VILL 19

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Roland Dempster run for 4 yds to the VILL 15

2nd & 6Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Tyler Knoop pass complete to Cal Redman for 6 yds to the VILL 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rushing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.42

Roland Dempster run for 9 yds for a TD (Enda Kirby KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

Stony Brook Penalty, Personal Foul (Rudy Silvera) to the VILL 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Connor Watkins run for 5 yds to the VILL 47

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.44

David Avit run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

David Avit run for 1 yd to the STBK 49

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Ethan Gettman punt for 49 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.63

Roland Dempster run for 20 yds to the STBK 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Tyler Knoop pass complete to RJ Lamarre for 4 yds to the STBK 44

2nd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.38

Tyler Knoop pass complete to Roland Dempster for 10 yds to the VILL 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Stony Brook Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the STBK 49

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Tyler Knoop pass incomplete

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Tyler Knoop pass incomplete

3rd & 15Rush+18 ydsPPA +3.59

Tyler Knoop run for 18 yds to the VILL 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Tyler Knoop pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.50

Shakhi Carson run for a loss of 3 yards to the VILL 36

3rd & 13Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.59

Tyler Knoop pass complete to Shakhi Carson for 2 yds to the VILL 34

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Clayton Taylor punt for 26 yds, fair catch by Devin Smith at the VILL 8

1st & 10Rush+35 ydsPPA +2.38

Connor Watkins run for 35 yds to the VILL 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Ja'briel Mace run for 5 yds to the VILL 48

2nd & 5Penalty+15 yds

(01:59) WATKINS, Connor pass deep to the left incomplete intended for SMITH, Devin thrown to the SBU25, clock 01:54. PENALTY SBU Pass Interference on ALLEN, Jayson enforced 15 yards to the SBU37 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.78

Connor Watkins pass complete to Daniel Lopes for 9 yds to the STBK 28

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Ja'briel Mace run for 3 yds to the STBK 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.56

Connor Watkins sacked by Chayce Chalmers for a loss of 1 yard to the STBK 26

2nd & 11Passing Touchdown+26 ydsPPA +3.26

Connor Watkins pass complete to Lucas Kopecky for 26 yds for a TD (Ethan Gettman KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Tyler Knoop pass complete to Tyler Knoop for 9 yds to the STBK 34

2nd & 1Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.47

Tyler Knoop pass complete to Roland Dempster for a loss of 1 yard to the STBK 33

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.34

Shakhi Carson run for 5 yds to the STBK 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.34

Tyler Knoop pass complete to Roland Dempster for 15 yds to the VILL 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Tyler Knoop pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.55

Johnny Martin run for 7 yds to the VILL 40

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.10

Johnny Martin run for 4 yds to the VILL 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Tyler Knoop run for 2 yds to the VILL 34

2nd & 8Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.79

Roland Dempster run for 15 yds to the VILL 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.39

Roland Dempster run for 17 yds to the VILL 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Roland Dempster run for 2 yds for a TD (Enda Kirby KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Isaiah Wright run for 1 yd to the VILL 26

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Devin Smith run for 6 yds to the VILL 32

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Ethan Gettman punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Chance Knox at the STBK 27

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.64

Tyler Knoop pass complete to Chance Knox for 1 yd to the STBK 28

2nd & 9Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.11

Tyler Knoop pass complete to RJ Lamarre for 15 yds to the STBK 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Roland Dempster run for 1 yd to the STBK 44

2nd & 9Penalty-5 yds

Stony Brook Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the STBK 39

2nd & 14Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Tyler Knoop pass complete to Chance Knox for 3 yds to the STBK 42

3rd & 11Rush0 ydsPPA -0.43

Tyler Knoop run for no gain to the STBK 42

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Clayton Taylor punt for 28 yds, downed at the VILL 30

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.35

Connor Watkins pass complete to Jaylan Sanchez for 9 yds to the VILL 39

2nd & 1Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.42

Ja'briel Mace run for 10 yds to the VILL 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.02

Connor Watkins pass complete to Daniel Lopes for 18 yds to the STBK 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +2.60

Connor Watkins pass complete to Luke Daly for 32 yds to the STBK 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

David Avit run for 1 yd for a TD (Ethan Gettman KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+22 yds

Ethan Gettman kickoff for 61 yds , Chance Knox return for 22 yds to the STBK 26

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Tyler Knoop pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.33

Roland Dempster run for 7 yds to the STBK 33

3rd & 3Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Tyler Knoop pass complete to Dez Williams for 2 yds to the STBK 35

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Clayton Taylor punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Devin Smith at the VILL 20

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

4th & 10Rush-13 ydsPPA +0.32

run for a loss of 13 yards to the VILL 7

1st & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Roland Dempster run for 1 yd to the VILL 6

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Roland Dempster run for 3 yds to the VILL 3

3rd & 3Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.50

Shakhi Carson run for a loss of 3 yards to the VILL 6

4th & 6Field Goal Good+24 yds

Enda Kirby 24 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+33 yds

Ethan Gettman kickoff for 64 yds , Chance Knox return for 33 yds to the STBK 34

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Roland Dempster run for 6 yds to the STBK 40

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.70

Roland Dempster run for 2 yds to the STBK 42

3rd & 2Fumble Recovery (Own)+1 ydsPPA -0.73

Roland Dempster run for 1 yd to the STBK 43 Roland Dempster fumbled, recovered by STBK Cal Redman C. Redman return for 0 yds

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +2.19

Roland Dempster run for 3 yds to the STBK 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+27 ydsPPA +1.44

Tyler Knoop pass complete to Cal Redman for 27 yds Cal Redman fumbled, recovered by STBK Jasiah Williams J. Williams return for 0 yds for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Johnny Martin run for 3 yds to the VILL 24

2nd & 7Penalty+5 yds

(11:10) KNOOP, Tyler pass to the right incomplete intended for LAMARRE, RJ broken up by MIMS, Tyrell at the VIL16, clock 11:08. PENALTY VIL Offsides on HOWARD, Ayden enforced 5 yards from the VIL24 to the VIL19 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Roland Dempster run for 1 yd to the VILL 18

3rd & 1Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.77

Tyler Knoop pass complete to Cal Redman for 17 yds to the VILL 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Roland Dempster run for 1 yd for a TD (Enda Kirby KICK)

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.84

David Avit run for 10 yds to the VILL 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

David Avit run for 4 yds to the VILL 39

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.97

Jaylan Sanchez run for no gain to the VILL 39

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt+34 yds

Ethan Gettman punt for 34 yds , Kevonne Wilder returns for no gain to the STBK 26 , returns for no gain to the STBK 26

1st & 10Rush+25 ydsPPA +1.78

David Avit run for 25 yds to the STBK 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

David Avit run for 1 yd for a TD (Ethan Gettman KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+60 yds

Ethan Gettman kickoff for 60 yds , Shakhi Carson return for no gain to the STBK 14 , return for 2 yds to the STBK 14 , Tyson McCloud return for no gain to the STBK 14

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Roland Dempster run for 2 yds to the STBK 16

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Roland Dempster run for 1 yd to the STBK 17

3rd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.12

Tyler Knoop run for 1 yd to the STBK 18

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Clayton Taylor punt for 62 yds, downed at the VILL 20

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Connor Watkins pass complete to Devin Smith for 6 yds to the VILL 26

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.71

David Avit run for no gain to the VILL 26

3rd & 4Penalty+15 yds

(04:01) WATKINS, Connor pass deep to the left incomplete intended for MACE, Ja'briel thrown to the SBU30; QB hurried by WILLIAMS, Anthony, clock 03:57. PENALTY SBU Pass Interference on LEGAGNEUR, Clarens enforced 15 yards to the VIL41 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+59 ydsPPA +4.66

David Avit run for 59 yds for a TD (Ethan Gettman KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Roland Dempster run for 1 yd to the STBK 26

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.34

Roland Dempster run for 1 yd to the STBK 27

3rd & 8Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.34

Tyler Knoop sacked by Nigel McSween for a loss of 6 yards to the STBK 21

4th & 14Punt+22 yds

Clayton Taylor punt for 45 yds , Tanner Maddocks returns for 22 yds to the STBK 44

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.50

Ja'briel Mace run for 7 yds to the STBK 37

2nd & 3Penalty-5 yds

Villanova Penalty, False Start (Kyle Fay) to the STBK 42

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Ja'briel Mace run for 1 yd to the STBK 41

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Connor Watkins punt for 36 yds, downed at the STBK 5

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Roland Dempster run for 6 yds to the STBK 11

2nd & 4Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.26

Tyler Knoop pass intercepted Zahmir Dawud return for no gain to the STBK 45

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

David Avit run for 3 yds to the STBK 42

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

David Avit run for 2 yds to the STBK 40

3rd & 5Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.82

Connor Watkins pass complete to Devin Smith for 23 yds to the STBK 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

2nd & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.92

Connor Watkins sacked by Tyson McCloud and Rodney Faulk for a loss of 4 yards to the STBK 21

3rd & 14Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.83

Connor Watkins pass complete to Jaylan Sanchez for 12 yds to the STBK 9

4th & 2Field Goal Missed+26 yds

Ethan Gettman 26 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Tyler Knoop pass complete to Roland Dempster for 7 yds to the STBK 27

2nd & 3Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +0.17

Tyler Knoop pass complete to Roland Dempster for 3 yds to the STBK 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Roland Dempster run for 5 yds to the STBK 35

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Tyler Knoop run for 2 yds to the STBK 37

3rd & 3Sack-13 ydsPPA -1.18

Tyler Knoop sacked by Brendan Bell for a loss of 13 yards to the STBK 24

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Clayton Taylor punt for 48 yds

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+72 ydsPPA +5.86

David Avit run for 72 yds for a TD (Ethan Gettman KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+27 yds

Ethan Gettman kickoff for 63 yds , Jasiah Williams return for 27 yds to the STBK 29

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Roland Dempster run for 4 yds to the STBK 33

2nd & 6Penalty-10 yds

(08:09) KNOOP, Tyler scrambles up the middle for a gain of 7 yards to the SBU40 (HARTZELL, Shane;KIMMEL, Richie), clock 08:08. PENALTY SBU Holding on BARLOW, Hunter enforced 10 yards from the SBU33 to the SBU23 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Tyler Knoop pass incomplete

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.07

Tyler Knoop pass incomplete

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Clayton Taylor punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Devin Smith at the VILL 36

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.60

Ja'briel Mace run for a loss of 4 yards to the VILL 32

2nd & 14Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.45

Ja'briel Mace run for a loss of 2 yards to the VILL 30

3rd & 16Penalty+14 yds

(06:08) WATKINS, Connor pass deep to the left incomplete intended for MILES, Kenyon thrown to the VIL46, clock 06:03. PENALTY SBU Pass Interference on SILVERA, Rudy enforced 14 yards to the VIL44 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

(05:58) MACE, Ja'briel rush up the middle for a loss of 3 yards to the VIL41 (FAULK, Rodney), clock 05:55. PENALTY Before the snap, SBU Illegal Substitution enforced 5 yards from the VIL44 to the VIL49. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.99

Isaiah Wright run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.44

Isaiah Wright run for 4 yds to the STBK 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Ja'briel Mace run for 2 yds to the STBK 44

2nd & 8Rush+25 ydsPPA +1.50

Isaiah Wright run for 25 yds to the STBK 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.36

Isaiah Wright run for no gain to the STBK 19

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.70

Ja'briel Mace run for a loss of 2 yards to the STBK 21

3rd & 12Rushing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +3.67

Ja'briel Mace run for 21 yds for a TD (Ethan Gettman KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Tyler Knoop pass complete to Shakhi Carson for 8 yds to the STBK 33

2nd & 2Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.30

Tyler Knoop pass complete to Shakhi Carson for a loss of 1 yard to the STBK 32

3rd & 3Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.43

Tyler Knoop pass complete to Shakhi Carson for 1 yd to the STBK 33

4th & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.95

Tyler Knoop run for 5 yds to the STBK 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Tyler Knoop pass complete to Shakhi Carson for 1 yd to the STBK 39

2nd & 9Rush+12 ydsPPA +2.08

Tyler Knoop run for 12 yds to the VILL 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Tyler Knoop pass complete to Shakhi Carson for 4 yds to the VILL 45

2nd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.80

Tyler Knoop pass complete to Shakhi Carson for 7 yds to the VILL 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.61

Tyler Knoop run for 8 yds to the VILL 30

2nd & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA -0.16

Tyler Knoop run for 8 yds to the VILL 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Tyler Knoop pass complete to Roland Dempster for 7 yds to the VILL 15

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Tyler Knoop pass incomplete

Situational Analysis

Villanova

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
2 plays
0%
1 play
48%
25 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
33%
9 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
0%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play

Stony Brook

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
2 plays
45%
29 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
17%
6 plays
43%
7 plays
63%
8 plays
0%
4 plays
3rd
38%
8 plays
0%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
4th
100%
2 plays