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← Back to GamesOct 5, 2024Week 6
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Richmond by 27.9

Home Win Probability

Richmond 94%

Market (ESPN Bet)

Richmond -22.5

Edge: Richmond -22.5 (5.4 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 5, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
North Carolina A&T
370717
Richmond
01010020

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-30-107-1010-1013-1020-1020-17
RichmondNorth Carolina A&T

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NCARICNCARICNCARICNCARICRICNCARICNCARICNCARICNCARICNCARICPUNT625ydPUNT3-10ydFG1072ydDOWNS877ydTD997ydTD275ydPUNT3-3ydFG1148ydFG766ydTO647ydPUNT3-3ydPUNT37ydTD679ydPUNT518ydPUNT44ydTD876ydPUNT36ydDOWNS622ydEND843yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing North Carolina A&T and Richmond
StatisticNorth Carolina A&TRichmond
Passing22-2710-18
Pass Yards261124
Rush Yards88286
Total Yards349410
Turnovers10
3rd Down4-111-8
Penalties4-166-53
Possession32:4027:20

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

North Carolina A&T
passing
Justin Fomby
22/27, 261 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Cameren Dalrymple
15 CAR, 45 YDS
receiving
Ger-Cari Caldwell
7 REC, 130 YDS
Richmond
passing
Camden Coleman
10/18, 124 YDS
rushing
Zachary Palmer-Smith
25 CAR, 200 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Matt Robbert
3 REC, 49 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Cameren Dalrymple run for 1 yd to the NCAT 26

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Aaron Harris run for 4 yds to the NCAT 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.08

Justin Fomby pass complete to Jayvonne Dillard for 11 yds to the NCAT 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Daniel Coles run for 3 yds to the NCAT 44

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Daniel Coles run for 5 yds to the NCAT 49

3rd & 2Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.88

Justin Fomby pass complete to Jayvonne Dillard for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

4th & 1Punt0 yds

DJ Page punt for 34 yds

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.46

Zach Palmer-Smith run for 7 yds to the RICH 23

2nd & 3Penalty-5 yds

Richmond Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the RICH 18

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Camden Coleman pass incomplete

3rd & 8Sack-12 ydsPPA -0.22

Camden Coleman sacked by Mack David II for a loss of 12 yards to the RICH 6

4th & 20Punt0 yds

Aaron Trusler punt for 75 yds, downed at the NCAT 19

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Shimique Blizzard run for 5 yds to the NCAT 24

2nd & 5Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +2.59

Justin Fomby pass complete to Anthony Rucker for 27 yds to the RICH 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Shimique Blizzard run for 6 yds to the RICH 43

2nd & 4Penalty+15 yds

Richmond Penalty, Personal Foul (Carter Glassmyer) to the RICH 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Justin Fomby pass complete to Shimique Blizzard for 2 yds to the RICH 23

2nd & 8Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.42

Justin Fomby pass complete to Ger-Cari Caldwell for 12 yds to the RICH 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.35

Shimique Blizzard run for a loss of 1 yard to the RICH 12

2nd & 11Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Aaron Harris run for 3 yds to the RICH 9

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Justin Fomby pass incomplete

4th & 8Field Goal Good+26 yds

Andrew Brown 26 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+42 ydsPPA +3.29

Zach Palmer-Smith run for 42 yds to the NCAT 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.61

Zach Palmer-Smith run for 8 yds to the NCAT 30

2nd & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA -0.16

Andrew King run for 8 yds to the NCAT 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.12

Andrew King run for 10 yds to the NCAT 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Zach Palmer-Smith run for 1 yd to the NCAT 11

2nd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.12

Camden Coleman pass complete to Nick DeGennaro for 6 yds to the NCAT 5

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Zach Palmer-Smith run for 1 yd to the NCAT 4

4th & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -4.11

Zach Palmer-Smith run for 1 yd to the NCAT 3

1st & 10Penalty-1 yds

North Carolina A&T Penalty, False Start (Anthony Rucker) to the NCAT 2

1st & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.14

Cameren Dalrymple run for 2 yds to the NCAT 4

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.09

Cameren Dalrymple run for 2 yds to the NCAT 6

3rd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.60

Justin Fomby pass complete to Jamison Warren for 8 yds to the NCAT 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Cameren Dalrymple run for 3 yds to the NCAT 17

2nd & 7Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Justin Fomby pass complete to Ger-Cari Caldwell for 2 yds to the NCAT 19

3rd & 5Pass Reception+76 ydsPPA +5.16

Justin Fomby pass complete to Ger-Cari Caldwell for 76 yds to the RICH 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Cameren Dalrymple run for no gain to the RICH 5

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Daniel Coles run for 1 yd to the RICH 4

3rd & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.70

Justin Fomby pass complete to Anthony Rucker for 4 yds for a TD (Andrew Brown KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Camden Coleman pass complete to Andrew King for 12 yds to the RICH 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+63 ydsPPA +5.05

Andrew King run for 63 yds for a TD (Brandon Peskin KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.61

Cameren Dalrymple run for 1 yd to the NCAT 27

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.28

Aaron Harris run for 2 yds to the NCAT 29

3rd & 7Penalty-5 yds

North Carolina A&T Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the NCAT 24

3rd & 12Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.13

Justin Fomby pass complete to Jayvonne Dillard for a loss of 1 yard to the NCAT 23

4th & 13Punt0 yds

DJ Page punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Nick DeGennaro at the RICH 36

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Camden Coleman pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.50

Zach Palmer-Smith run for 16 yds to the NCAT 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

COLEMAN, Camden pass to the right complete for 10 yards to DEGENNARO, Nick caught at the NCAT38 and advanced to the NCAT38 (HARRIS, Aaron), out of bounds. PENALTY RIC Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on MITCHELL, Parker enforced 5 yards from the NCAT48 to the RIC47 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 15Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.73

Camden Coleman pass complete to Nick DeGennaro for 15 yds to the NCAT 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.61

Zach Palmer-Smith run for 8 yds to the NCAT 30

2nd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA -0.18

Zach Palmer-Smith run for 7 yds to the NCAT 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.64

Camden Coleman pass complete to Matt Robbert for 9 yds to the NCAT 14

2nd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.51

Zach Palmer-Smith run for 1 yd to the NCAT 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Richmond Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the NCAT 18

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Camden Coleman pass incomplete

2nd & 15Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.01

Camden Coleman pass complete to Zach Palmer-Smith for a loss of 3 yards to the NCAT 21

3rd & 18Penalty+5 yds

COLEMAN, Camden pass up the middle complete for 3 yards to VENEY, Quanye caught at the NCAT22 and advanced to the NCAT18 (SUMPTER, Janaz), out of bounds. PENALTY Before the snap, NCAT Illegal Substitution enforced 5 yards from the NCAT21 to the NCAT16. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 13Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Zach Palmer-Smith run for no gain to the NCAT 16

4th & 13Field Goal Good+33 yds

Brandon Peskin 33 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Camden Coleman pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.23

Camden Coleman pass complete to Jerry Garcia Jr. for 14 yds to the RICH 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+44 ydsPPA +1.75

Zach Palmer-Smith run for 44 yds to the NCAT 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Zach Palmer-Smith run for 1 yd to the NCAT 10

2nd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.20

Zach Palmer-Smith run for 7 yds to the NCAT 3

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.31

Zach Palmer-Smith run for no gain to the NCAT 3

4th & 2Field Goal Good+20 yds

Brandon Peskin 20 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Cameren Dalrymple run for 9 yds to the NCAT 34

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Cameren Dalrymple run for 3 yds to the NCAT 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Justin Fomby pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +2.19

Cameren Dalrymple run for 12 yds to the NCAT 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Justin Fomby pass incomplete

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+23 ydsPPA -1.95

Daniel Coles run for 23 yds to the RICH 28 Henry Daniel fumbled, recovered by RICH Chance Graves C. Graves return for 0 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.66

Zach Palmer-Smith run for 1 yd to the RICH 29

2nd & 9Fumble Recovery (Own)-4 ydsPPA -0.69

Camden Coleman sacked for a loss of 4 yards to the RICH 25 Camden Coleman fumbled, recovered by RICH Camden Coleman , return for 0 yards

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Camden Coleman pass incomplete

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Aaron Trusler punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Laquan Veney at the NCAT 32

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Cameren Dalrymple run for 4 yds to the NCAT 36

2nd & 6Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Justin Fomby pass complete to Cameren Dalrymple for 3 yds to the NCAT 39

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Justin Fomby pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt0 yds

DJ Page punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Nick DeGennaro at the RICH 21

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.49

Zach Palmer-Smith run for 1 yd to the RICH 22

2nd & 9Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.58

Camden Coleman pass complete to Matt Robbert for 13 yds to the RICH 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.05

Camden Coleman pass complete to Quanye Veney for 25 yds to the NCAT 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Camden Coleman run for 5 yds to the NCAT 35

2nd & 5Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +0.78

Camden Coleman pass complete to Matt Robbert for 27 yds to the NCAT 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.32

Zach Palmer-Smith run for 8 yds for a TD (Brandon Peskin KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Justin Fomby pass complete to Anthony Rucker for 4 yds to the NCAT 30

2nd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.98

Cameren Dalrymple run for 6 yds to the NCAT 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Cameren Dalrymple run for 1 yd to the NCAT 37

2nd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.80

Justin Fomby pass complete to Ger-Cari Caldwell for 8 yds to the NCAT 45

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.21

Cameren Dalrymple run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCAT 44

4th & 2Punt0 yds

DJ Page punt for 38 yds, downed at the RICH 18

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.97

Andrew King run for 14 yds to the RICH 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Andrew King run for 5 yds to the RICH 37

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.98

Andrew King run for no gain to the RICH 37

3rd & 5Penalty-15 yds

COLEMAN, Camden pass short up the middle complete for 5 yards to ELLIS, Landon caught at the RIC40 and advanced to the RIC42 (MOLEDOR, Kade;DUDLEY, Terrell). PENALTY RIC Pass Interference on CLARKE, Sean enforced 15 yards to the RIC22 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.05

Camden Coleman pass incomplete

4th & 20Punt0 yds

Aaron Trusler punt for 54 yds, downed at the NCAT 24

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.56

Cameren Dalrymple run for 1 yd to the NCAT 25

2nd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Justin Fomby pass complete to Anthony Rucker for 5 yds to the NCAT 30

3rd & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Justin Fomby pass complete to Ger-Cari Caldwell for 3 yds to the NCAT 33

4th & 1Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.79

Justin Fomby pass complete to Anthony Rucker for 4 yds to the NCAT 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.36

Justin Fomby pass complete to Ger-Cari Caldwell for 15 yds to the RICH 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.83

Justin Fomby sacked by Wayne Galloway for a loss of 9 yards to the NCAT 43

2nd & 19Penalty-5 yds

North Carolina A&T Penalty, Delay Of Game (Justin Fomby) to the NCAT 38

2nd & 24Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.61

Justin Fomby pass complete to Cameron Maddox for 16 yds to the RICH 46

3rd & 8Penalty+8 yds

FOMBY, Justin pass up the middle incomplete intended for MADDOX, Cam thrown to the RIC37. PENALTY RIC Pass Interference on GRAVES, Chance enforced at the spot of the foul for 8 yards to the RIC38 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+38 ydsPPA +3.09

Justin Fomby pass complete to Anthony Rucker for 38 yds for a TD (Andrew Brown KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Camden Coleman pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Camden Coleman pass complete to Nick DeGennaro for 6 yds to the RICH 31

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Camden Coleman pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Aaron Trusler punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Aaron Harris at the NCAT 30

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.86

Shimique Blizzard run for no gain to the NCAT 30

2nd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.19

Justin Fomby pass complete to Ger-Cari Caldwell for 14 yds to the NCAT 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Cameren Dalrymple run for 1 yd to the NCAT 45

2nd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Justin Fomby pass complete to Anthony Rucker for 6 yds to the RICH 49

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Aaron Harris run for 1 yd to the RICH 48

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.17

Justin Fomby pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Zach Palmer-Smith run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Zach Palmer-Smith run for 6 yds to the NCAT 44

3rd & 2Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.38

Zach Palmer-Smith run for 10 yds to the NCAT 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Zach Palmer-Smith run for 3 yds to the NCAT 31

2nd & 7Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.54

Zach Palmer-Smith run for 12 yds to the NCAT 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.28

Zach Palmer-Smith run for 11 yds to the NCAT 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Zach Palmer-Smith run for 2 yds to the NCAT 6

2nd & 6Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.48

[NHSG] Kneel down by TEAM at NCAT9 (team loss of 3), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

North Carolina A&T

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
25%
20 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
1 play
50%
4 plays
58%
12 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
0%
4 plays
75%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play
4th
50%
2 plays

Richmond

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
60%
25 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
0%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
80%
10 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
33%
3 plays
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
0%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play