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← Back to GamesSep 28, 2024Week 5

House Prediction

Model Margin

Stony Brook by 3.7

Home Win Probability

Stony Brook 57%

Market (ESPN Bet)

Stony Brook -2.5

Edge: Stony Brook -2.5 (1.2 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 28, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Morgan State
30003
Stony Brook
0166022

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014286-39-316-322-3
Stony BrookMorgan State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MSSBMSSBMSSBMSSBMSSBMSSBMSSBMSSBMSSBMSSBMSPUNT629ydMISS767ydPUNT620ydPUNT611ydFG774ydTD972ydPUNT510ydFG854ydTO724ydTD844ydEND215ydPUNT31ydPUNT3-3ydTD855ydTO638ydTO1055ydPUNT32ydDOWNS735ydPUNT34ydPUNT829ydEND1071yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Morgan State and Stony Brook
StatisticMorgan StateStony Brook
Passing16-2211-20
Pass Yards113141
Rush Yards146287
Total Yards259428
Turnovers21
3rd Down4-119-17
Penalties2-154-40
Possession28:3131:29

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Morgan State
passing
Duce Taylor
11/17, 70 YDS
rushing
Myles Miree
11 CAR, 75 YDS
receiving
Malique Leatherbury
4 REC, 26 YDS
Stony Brook
passing
Malachi Marshall
9/18, 132 YDS
rushing
Roland Dempster
25 CAR, 158 YDS, 3 TD
receiving
Cal Redman
4 REC, 62 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.03

J.J. Davis run for 12 yds to the MORG 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

J.J. Davis run for 3 yds to the MORG 40

2nd & 7Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.63

J.J. Davis run for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.35

J.J. Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the MORG 49

2nd & 11Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Duce Taylor run for 6 yds to the STBK 45

3rd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.23

Myles Miree run for a loss of 1 yard to the STBK 46

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Shane Messenger punt for 41 yds, downed at the STBK 5

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +0.71

Roland Dempster run for 18 yds to the STBK 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.93

Roland Dempster run for 22 yds to the STBK 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.37

Malachi Marshall pass complete to Cal Redman for 22 yds to the MORG 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Roland Dempster run for 5 yds to the MORG 28

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Malachi Marshall pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Malachi Marshall pass incomplete

4th & 5Field Goal Missed+45 yds

Enda Kirby 45 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Duce Taylor pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Duce Taylor pass complete to J.J. Davis for 3 yds to the MORG 31

3rd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.08

Duce Taylor pass complete to Malique Leatherbury for 9 yds to the MORG 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.12

J.J. Davis run for no gain to the MORG 40

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

Duce Taylor pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.49

Duce Taylor pass complete to J.J. Davis for 8 yds to the MORG 48

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Shane Messenger punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Chance Knox at the STBK 22

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.17

Malachi Marshall pass complete to RJ Lamarre for 9 yds to the STBK 31

2nd & 1Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.64

Malachi Marshall pass complete to Chance Knox for a loss of 3 yards to the STBK 28

3rd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.31

Malachi Marshall pass complete to Chance Knox for 5 yds to the STBK 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Malachi Marshall pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Malachi Marshall pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Malachi Marshall pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Clayton Taylor punt for 48 yds

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Myles Miree run for 6 yds to the MORG 25

2nd & 4Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.60

Duce Taylor run for 17 yds to the MORG 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+49 ydsPPA +2.14

Myles Miree run for 49 yds to the STBK 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Myles Miree run for 4 yds to the STBK 5

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Jason Collins Jr. run for 2 yds to the STBK 3

3rd & 3Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.59

Myles Miree run for a loss of 4 yards to the STBK 7

4th & 7Field Goal Good+25 yds

Beckett Leary 25 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+21 yds

Beckett Leary kickoff for 58 yds , Kevonne Wilder return for 21 yds to the STBK 28

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Roland Dempster run for 4 yds to the STBK 32

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Roland Dempster run for 4 yds to the STBK 36

3rd & 2Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +3.29

Malachi Marshall pass complete to Cal Redman for 34 yds to the MORG 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.26

Roland Dempster run for 15 yds to the MORG 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Johnny Martin run for 6 yds to the MORG 9

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.49

Johnny Martin run for 4 yds to the MORG 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Johnny Martin run for 2 yds to the MORG 3

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Roland Dempster run for 1 yd to the MORG 2

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

Roland Dempster run for 2 yds for a TD (Enda Kirby PAT BLOCKED)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Spencer Biscoe kickoff for 65 yds , Keith Jenkins Jr. return for 20 yds to the MORG 20

1st & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.70

Duce Taylor sacked by Rodney Faulk for a loss of 2 yards to the MORG 18

2nd & 12Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.75

J.J. Davis run for 16 yds to the MORG 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.99

Duce Taylor run for no gain to the MORG 34

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

J.J. Davis run for 2 yds to the MORG 36

3rd & 8Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.60

Duce Taylor sacked by Taylor Bolesta for a loss of 6 yards to the MORG 30

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Shane Messenger punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Chance Knox at the STBK 35

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.01

Malachi Marshall pass complete to Cal Redman for no gain to the STBK 35

2nd & 10Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +3.56

Malachi Marshall pass complete to Roland Dempster for 40 yds to the MORG 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Roland Dempster run for 6 yds to the MORG 19

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.04

Johnny Martin run for 5 yds to the MORG 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Malachi Marshall pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Johnny Martin run for 3 yds to the MORG 11

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Malachi Marshall pass incomplete

4th & 7Field Goal Good+28 yds

Enda Kirby 28 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+46 yds

Spencer Biscoe kickoff for 60 yds , Keith Jenkins Jr. return for 46 yds to the MORG 20

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Duce Taylor pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.14

Duce Taylor pass complete to Marquez Phillips for 6 yds to the MORG 26

3rd & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.47

Duce Taylor pass complete to Marquez Phillips for 8 yds to the MORG 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.99

Jason Collins Jr. run for no gain to the MORG 34

2nd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.40

Duce Taylor pass complete to Joseph Kennerly Jr. for 15 yds to the MORG 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Myles Miree run for 6 yds to the STBK 45

2nd & 4Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-11 ydsPPA -3.43

Duce Taylor run for a loss of 11 yards to the MORG 44 Duce Taylor fumbled, recovered by STBK Deshawn Jones Jr. D. Jones Jr. return for 0 yds

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Roland Dempster run for 4 yds to the MORG 40

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Roland Dempster run for 3 yds to the MORG 37

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.61

Roland Dempster run for 2 yds to the MORG 35

4th & 1Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.89

Roland Dempster run for 18 yds to the MORG 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Roland Dempster run for 3 yds to the MORG 14

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Malachi Marshall run for 5 yds to the MORG 9

3rd & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.69

Roland Dempster run for 8 yds to the MORG 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Roland Dempster run for 1 yd for a TD (Enda Kirby KICK)

0th & 0Penalty-5 yds

(00:32) BISCOE, Spencer kickoff 54 yards from the SBU35 to the MSU11, JENKINS JR., Keith returned 7 yards to the MSU18 (DUNCAN-NIUSULU, Shamoun), clock 00:28. PENALTY SBU Offsides on JACKSON, Jordan enforced 5 yards from the SBU35 to the SBU30. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.22

Myles Miree run for 14 yds to the MORG 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Myles Miree run for 1 yd to the MORG 40

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

Beckett Leary kickoff for 50 yds , Shakhi Carson return for 17 yds to the STBK 32

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Roland Dempster run for 1 yd to the STBK 33

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Malachi Marshall pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Malachi Marshall pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Clayton Taylor punt for 42 yds

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.96

J.J. Davis run for a loss of 3 yards to the MORG 22

2nd & 13Rush0 ydsPPA -0.21

J.J. Davis run for no gain to the MORG 22

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.09

Duce Taylor pass incomplete

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Shane Messenger punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Chance Knox at the STBK 45

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Roland Dempster run for 4 yds to the STBK 49

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Roland Dempster run for 5 yds to the MORG 46

3rd & 1Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.36

Roland Dempster run for 11 yds to the MORG 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.69

Malachi Marshall run for no gain to the MORG 35

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Malachi Marshall pass complete to Cal Redman for 6 yds to the MORG 29

3rd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.77

Roland Dempster run for 6 yds to the MORG 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.98

Malachi Marshall pass complete to Roland Dempster for 19 yds to the MORG 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Roland Dempster run for 4 yds for a TD (Enda Kirby PAT BLOCKED)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+15 yds

Spencer Biscoe kickoff for 63 yds , Keith Jenkins Jr. return for 15 yds to the MORG 17

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Duce Taylor pass complete to Malique Leatherbury for 3 yds to the MORG 20

2nd & 7Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.22

Duce Taylor pass complete to Jason Collins Jr. for 12 yds to the MORG 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.15

Jason Collins Jr. run for 12 yds to the MORG 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Stony Brook Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Rudy Silvera) to the STBK 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.88

Duce Taylor pass complete to Jaden Coffen for no gain to the STBK 41

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

Morgan State Penalty, False Start (Myles Miree) to the STBK 46

2nd & 15Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+1 ydsPPA -1.79

Duce Taylor run for 1 yd to the STBK 45 Duce Taylor fumbled, recovered by STBK Clarens Legagneur C. Legagneur return for 0 yds

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Roland Dempster run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -1.20

Roland Dempster run for no gain to the 50 yard line

3rd & 5Fumble Recovery (Own)+6 ydsPPA +1.95

Roland Dempster run for 6 yds to the MORG 44 Roland Dempster fumbled, recovered by STBK Kollin Melendez K. Melendez return for 0 yds for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Johnny Martin run for 2 yds to the MORG 42

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Jasiah Williams run for 6 yds to the MORG 36

3rd & 2Rush+24 ydsPPA +1.11

Johnny Martin run for 24 yds to the MORG 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Johnny Martin run for 5 yds to the MORG 7

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Shakhi Carson run for 4 yds to the MORG 3

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Shakhi Carson run for no gain to the MORG 3

4th & 1Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+3 ydsPPA -4.18

Malachi Marshall run for 3 yds Malachi Marshall fumbled, recovered by MORG Reginald Barnes R. Barnes return for 0 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

J.J. Davis run for 1 yd to the MORG 21

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Myles Miree run for 1 yd to the MORG 22

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Duce Taylor pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Shane Messenger punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Chance Knox at the STBK 38

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.11

Johnny Martin run for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Johnny Martin run for 5 yds to the MORG 45

2nd & 5Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.73

Johnny Martin run for 9 yds to the MORG 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Shakhi Carson run for 6 yds to the MORG 30

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.55

Shakhi Carson run for 1 yd to the MORG 29

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.66

Shakhi Carson run for 1 yd to the MORG 28

4th & 2Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -3.01

Tyler Knoop pass complete to Shakhi Carson for 1 yd to the MORG 27

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.97

Keith Jenkins Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the MORG 25

2nd & 12Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.13

Duce Taylor pass complete to Tyreek Wood for 6 yds to the MORG 31

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Duce Taylor pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Shane Messenger punt for 45 yds, downed at the STBK 24

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Johnny Martin run for 3 yds to the STBK 27

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Johnny Martin run for 4 yds to the STBK 31

3rd & 3Penalty-5 yds

Stony Brook Penalty, Illegal Snap on BARLOW, Hunter enforced (Hunter Barlow) to the STBK 26

3rd & 8Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.70

Tyler Knoop pass complete to RJ Lamarre for 8 yds to the STBK 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Shakhi Carson run for 3 yds to the STBK 37

2nd & 7Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.36

Shakhi Carson run for 7 yds to the STBK 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Shakhi Carson run for 3 yds to the STBK 47

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Johnny Martin run for 5 yds to the MORG 48

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Johnny Martin run for 1 yd to the MORG 47

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Clayton Taylor punt for 43 yds, downed at the MORG 4

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.31

Myles Miree run for a loss of 1 yard to the MORG 3

2nd & 11Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.58

Dominique Anthony pass complete to Malique Leatherbury for 11 yds to the MORG 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Dominique Anthony run for 4 yds to the MORG 18

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.39

Myles Miree run for no gain to the MORG 18

3rd & 6Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.96

Dominique Anthony pass complete to Matt Lowe for 6 yds to the MORG 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Stony Brook Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (AJ Roberts) to the MORG 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Dominique Anthony pass complete to Myles Miree for 3 yds to the MORG 46

2nd & 7Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Dominique Anthony pass complete to Malique Leatherbury for 3 yds to the MORG 49

3rd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.84

Dominique Anthony run for 6 yds to the STBK 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +0.78

Dominique Anthony pass complete to Demier Shipley for 20 yds to the STBK 25 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Morgan State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
28%
25 plays
2nd
25%
4 plays
44%
9 plays
67%
6 plays
3rd
0%
1 play
60%
5 plays
50%
4 plays
0%
1 play
4th

Stony Brook

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
50%
2 plays
52%
27 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
30%
10 plays
60%
10 plays
3rd
56%
9 plays
75%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
4th
33%
3 plays