Skip to main content
← Back to GamesSep 21, 2024Week 4

House Prediction

Model Margin

North Dakota State by 21.7

Home Win Probability

North Dakota State 89%

Market (ESPN Bet)

North Dakota State -25

Edge: Towson +25 (3.3 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 21, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Towson
3071424
North Dakota StateNorth Dakota State
32171041

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428423-010-317-324-324-1031-1031-1734-2441-24
North Dakota StateTowson

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NDSTOWNDSTOWNDSTOWTOWNDSTOWTOWNDSTOWNDSTOWNDSTOWNDSTOWNDSTOWFG1057ydFG852ydTD1180ydPUNT37ydDOWNS930ydTD36ydPUNT38ydTD988ydEND425ydTO426ydMISS830ydTD874ydTD983ydTD975ydPUNT32ydTD172ydFG940ydDOWNS4-5ydTD720ydEND427yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Towson and North Dakota State
StatisticTowsonNorth Dakota State
Passing16-2717-20
Pass Yards161219
Rush Yards205188
Total Yards366407
Turnovers10
3rd Down5-105-12
Penalties4-577-57
Possession20:0739:53

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Towson
passing
Carlos Davis
14/24, 135 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Tyrell Greene Jr.
5 CAR, 94 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Carter Runyon
6 REC, 59 YDS
North Dakota State
passing
Cam Miller
17/19, 219 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
CharMar Brown
24 CAR, 126 YDS, 3 TD
receiving
Bryce Lance
5 REC, 63 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Justin Ritter kickoff for 60 yds , Jackson Williams return for 19 yds to the NDSU 24

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.89

Barika Kpeenu run for 8 yds to the NDSU 32

2nd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.08

CharMar Brown run for 2 yds to the NDSU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.41

Cam Miller pass complete to Bryce Lance for 15 yds to the NDSU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.86

CharMar Brown run for 8 yds to the TOW 43

2nd & 2Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.09

Cam Miller pass complete to Cade Osterman for 8 yds to the TOW 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.29

CharMar Brown run for 11 yds to the TOW 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.78

Cole Payton run for a loss of 3 yards to the TOW 27

2nd & 13Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.56

Cam Miller sacked by Evan Rutkowski and TEAM for a loss of 9 yards to the TOW 36

3rd & 22Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.37

Cam Miller pass complete to Jackson Williams for 17 yds to the TOW 19

4th & 5Field Goal Good+37 yds

Griffin Crosa 37 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.32

Carlos Davis pass complete to Devin Matthews for 15 yds to the TOW 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.62

Devin Matthews run for 21 yds to the NDSU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Devin Matthews run for 3 yds to the NDSU 36

2nd & 7Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.70

Carlos Davis pass complete to Tyrell Greene Jr. for 11 yds to the NDSU 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Tyrell Greene Jr. run for 2 yds to the NDSU 23

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Carlos Davis pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Carlos Davis pass incomplete

4th & 8Field Goal Good+40 yds

Keegan Vaughan 40 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Justin Ritter kickoff for 63 yds , Jackson Williams return for 18 yds to the NDSU 20

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.69

Cam Miller pass complete to Joe Stoffel for 10 yds to the NDSU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -1.34

Cam Miller pass complete to Barika Kpeenu for a loss of 5 yards to the NDSU 25

2nd & 15Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Cam Miller pass complete to Bryce Lance for 5 yds to the NDSU 30

3rd & 10Pass Reception+49 ydsPPA +4.38

Cam Miller pass complete to Chris Harris for 49 yds to the TOW 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

North Dakota State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TOW 26

1st & 15Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

CharMar Brown run for 5 yds to the TOW 21

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.23

Cam Miller run for 7 yds to the TOW 14

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.28

Cole Payton run for 4 yds to the TOW 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Barika Kpeenu run for 5 yds to the TOW 5

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

CharMar Brown run for 3 yds to the TOW 2

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Cam Miller run for 1 yd to the TOW 1

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.79

CharMar Brown run for 1 yd for a TD (Griffin Crosa KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Devin Matthews run for 3 yds to the TOW 28

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Devin Matthews run for 4 yds to the TOW 32

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Carlos Davis pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Bryce Lance run for 6 yds to the TOW 35

2nd & 4Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.34

TK Marshall run for 14 yds to the TOW 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Barika Kpeenu run for 6 yds to the TOW 15

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Barika Kpeenu run for 2 yds to the TOW 13

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.27

Cole Payton run for 4 yds to the TOW 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

CharMar Brown run for 3 yds to the TOW 6

2nd & 6Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.48

CharMar Brown run for a loss of 3 yards to the TOW 9

3rd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Cam Miller run for 4 yds to the TOW 5

4th & 5Rush-6 ydsPPA -3.95

run for a loss of 6 yards to the TOW 11

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Tyrell Greene Jr. run for 2 yds to the TOW 13

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Tyrell Greene Jr. run for 4 yds to the TOW 17

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Carlos Davis pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt+67 yds

Bryce LaFollette punt for 50 yds , Jackson Williams returns for 67 yds for a TD (Griffin Crosa KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Eli Ozick kickoff for 53 yds , Jaceon Doss return for 20 yds to the TOW 32

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Carlos Davis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Carlos Davis pass complete to John Dunmore for 4 yds to the TOW 36

3rd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Carlos Davis pass complete to John Dunmore for 4 yds to the TOW 40

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Bryce LaFollette punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Jackson Williams at the NDSU 12

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.80

CharMar Brown run for 15 yds to the NDSU 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Barika Kpeenu run for 6 yds to the NDSU 33

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

CharMar Brown run for 3 yds to the NDSU 36

3rd & 1Penalty-10 yds

(01:59) KPEENU, Barika rush to the left for a gain of 1 yard to the NDSU37 (WHITE, Kaden), clock 01:55. PENALTY NDSU Holding on MILLER, Mason enforced 10 yards from the NDSU36 to the NDSU26 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 11Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.58

Cam Miller pass complete to Bryce Lance for 16 yds to the NDSU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.69

Cam Miller pass complete to Joe Stoffel for 7 yds to the NDSU 49

2nd & 3Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.58

Cam Miller pass complete to Chris Harris for 9 yds to the TOW 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Cam Miller pass complete to Carson Williams for 6 yds to the TOW 36

2nd & 4Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +0.47

Cam Miller pass complete to Mekhi Collins for 22 yds to the TOW 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

(00:54) MILLER, Cam pass short to the right complete for 5 yards to HARRIS, Chris caught at the TOW9 and advanced to the TOW9 (BRODIE, Myles), clock 00:49. PENALTY NDSU Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on ZABEL, Grey enforced 5 yards from the TOW14 to the TOW19 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 15Passing Touchdown+19 ydsPPA +2.89

Cam Miller pass complete to Bryce Lance for 19 yds for a TD (Griffin Crosa KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Carlos Davis pass complete to Carter Runyon for 9 yds to the TOW 34

2nd & 1Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.46

Carlos Davis run for 10 yds to the TOW 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.08

Carlos Davis run for 14 yds to the NDSU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.63

Carlos Davis sacked by Loshiaka Roques for a loss of 8 yards to the 50 yard line

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Carlos Davis pass complete to John Dunmore for 6 yds to the TOW 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.65

Carlos Davis pass complete to Carter Runyon for 16 yds to the TOW 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Devin Matthews run for 4 yds to the NDSU 49

2nd & 6Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -2.75

Carlos Davis pass intercepted Marcus Sheppard return for no gain to the NDSU 44

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Barika Kpeenu run for 2 yds to the NDSU 46

2nd & 8Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.90

Cam Miller sacked by Daniel Raymond for a loss of 7 yards to the NDSU 39

3rd & 15Penalty+15 yds

(12:19) MILLER, Cam pass deep to the left incomplete intended for LANCE, Bryce thrown to the TOW27, clock 12:13. PENALTY TOW Pass Interference on BRODIE, Myles enforced 15 yards to the TOW46 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.75

CharMar Brown run for 8 yds to the TOW 38

2nd & 2Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.00

CharMar Brown run for 9 yds to the TOW 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Cam Miller pass complete to Joe Stoffel for 4 yds to the TOW 25

2nd & 6Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.72

Cam Miller sacked by John Gioia for a loss of 1 yard to the TOW 26

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Cam Miller pass incomplete

4th & 7Field Goal Missed+44 yds

Griffin Crosa 44 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.15

Carlos Davis pass complete to Carter Runyon for 13 yds to the TOW 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Carlos Davis pass complete to John Dunmore for 6 yds to the TOW 45

2nd & 4Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.99

Carlos Davis pass complete to Carter Runyon for 1 yd to the TOW 46

3rd & 3Rush+14 ydsPPA +2.25

Tyrell Greene Jr. run for 14 yds to the NDSU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Carlos Davis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +1.98

Carlos Davis pass complete to John Dunmore for 34 yds to the NDSU 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Christopher Watkins run for 4 yds to the NDSU 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Nathan Kent run for 2 yds for a TD (Keegan Vaughan KICK)

0th & 0Penalty+2 yds

North Dakota State Penalty, Offsides (Eli Mostaert) to the NDSU 1

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+13 yds

Justin Ritter kickoff for 61 yds , Jackson Williams return for 13 yds to the NDSU 17

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Towson Penalty, Personal Foul (CJ McClendon) to the NDSU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Cam Miller pass complete to Bryce Lance for 8 yds to the NDSU 42

2nd & 2Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.06

Barika Kpeenu run for 17 yds to the TOW 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Barika Kpeenu run for 3 yds to the TOW 38

2nd & 7Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.86

Cam Miller pass complete to John Gores for 15 yds to the TOW 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Cole Payton pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

CharMar Brown run for 1 yd to the TOW 22

3rd & 9Penalty+13 yds

(01:56) MILLER, Cam pass to the left incomplete intended for OSTERMAN, Cade thrown to the TOW8, clock 01:52. PENALTY TOW Pass Interference on BRODIE, Myles enforced at the spot of the foul for 13 yards to the TOW9 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

CharMar Brown run for 6 yds to the TOW 3

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

CharMar Brown run for 3 yds for a TD (Griffin Crosa KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Carlos Davis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Devin Matthews run for 7 yds to the TOW 32

3rd & 3Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.32

Carlos Davis pass complete to Jaceon Doss for 4 yds to the TOW 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Carlos Davis pass complete to Carter Runyon for 7 yds to the TOW 43

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.76

Devin Matthews run for 2 yds to the TOW 45

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.11

Devin Matthews run for 2 yds to the TOW 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

(13:32) DAVIS, Carlos scrambles to the left for a gain of 14 yards to the NDSU39, out of bounds, clock 13:25. PENALTY NDSU Sideline Interference enforced 5 yards from the NDSU29 to the NDSU24 and results in a 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Carlos Davis run for 7 yds to the NDSU 17

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.28

Christopher Watkins run for 2 yds to the NDSU 15

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.64

Carlos Davis run for 15 yds for a TD (Keegan Vaughan KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+4 yds

Justin Ritter kickoff for 46 yds , Finn Diggins return for 4 yds to the NDSU 23

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.64

Barika Kpeenu run for no gain to the NDSU 23

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

CharMar Brown run for 2 yds to the NDSU 25

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

Cam Miller pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Kaedin Steindorf punt for 47 yds, downed at the TOW 28

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+72 ydsPPA +5.86

Tyrell Greene Jr. run for 72 yds for a TD (Keegan Vaughan KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+35 yds

Justin Ritter kickoff for 57 yds , Jackson Williams return for 35 yds to the NDSU 43

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.11

Cam Miller pass complete to Joe Stoffel for 14 yds to the TOW 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.91

CharMar Brown run for 9 yds to the TOW 34

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

CharMar Brown run for 3 yds to the TOW 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.25

CharMar Brown run for 13 yds to the TOW 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.13

CharMar Brown run for 15 yds to the TOW 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

CharMar Brown run for 1 yd to the TOW 2

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Barika Kpeenu run for no gain to the TOW 2

3rd & 2Sack-15 ydsPPA -2.12

Cam Miller sacked by Nchabanu Fortaboh and TEAM for a loss of 15 yards to the TOW 17

4th & 17Field Goal Good+34 yds

Griffin Crosa 34 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Devin Matthews run for 4 yds to the TOW 29

2nd & 6Penalty-4 yds

(04:01) DAVIS, Carlos scrambles up the middle for a gain of 4 yards to the TOW33 (HENDRICKS, Dylan), clock 03:51. PENALTY TOW Personal Foul on MONTGOMERY, Jaelin enforced half the distance from the goal, 14 yards from the TOW29 to the TOW15 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.06

Carlos Davis pass incomplete

3rd & 20Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.00

Carlos Davis pass complete to Christopher Watkins for 5 yds to the TOW 20

4th & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA +0.36

Carlos Davis pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

CharMar Brown run for 5 yds to the TOW 15

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Barika Kpeenu run for 2 yds to the TOW 13

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Barika Kpeenu run for 1 yd to the TOW 12

4th & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.78

Cam Miller run for 4 yds to the TOW 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

CharMar Brown run for 2 yds to the TOW 6

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Cam Miller run for 5 yds to the TOW 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

CharMar Brown run for 1 yd for a TD (Griffin Crosa KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Carlos Davis run for 1 yd to the TOW 26

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Sean Brown pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.22

Sean Brown pass complete to Ike Daniels for 13 yds to the TOW 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.17

Sean Brown pass complete to Carter Runyon for 13 yds to the NDSU 48 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Towson

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
50%
22 plays
2nd
50%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
38%
8 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
80%
5 plays
0%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play

North Dakota State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
69%
29 plays
100%
2 plays
2nd
63%
8 plays
33%
9 plays
40%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
50%
6 plays
25%
4 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
100%
2 plays
0%
1 play