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← Back to GamesSep 7, 2024Week 2

House Prediction

Model Margin

North Carolina Central by 7

Home Win Probability

North Carolina Central 69%

Market (ESPN Bet)

North Carolina Central +7

Edge: North Carolina Central +7 (14.0 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 7, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Elon
71431741
North Carolina Central
0061319

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-70-140-210-246-2413-2713-3419-41
North Carolina CentralElon

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NCCELONCCELONCCELONCCELONCCELONCCELONCCELONCCELONCCELONCCNCCELONCCELONCCPUNT39ydTD782ydPUNT39ydPUNT834ydPUNT440ydTD1080ydTO430ydTD274ydPUNT3-7ydPUNT35ydEND414ydTO531ydPUNT3-1ydFG1258ydTD444ydPUNT3-14ydTD235ydFG844ydTD30ydTO1043ydPUNT2-1ydTD180ydTD239ydEND430yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Elon and North Carolina Central
StatisticElonNorth Carolina Central
Passing19-2816-24
Pass Yards237181
Rush Yards191155
Total Yards428336
Turnovers13
3rd Down3-93-11
Penalties8-647-61
Possession37:0822:52

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Elon
passing
Matthew Downing
19/28, 237 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
TJ Thomas Jr.
11 CAR, 152 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Onuma Dieke
6 REC, 109 YDS
North Carolina Central
passing
Walker Harris
16/24, 181 YDS, 1 TD, 3 INT
rushing
Chris Mosley
1 CAR, 80 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Joaquin Davis
4 REC, 101 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

North Carolina Central Penalty, Delay Of Game (-5 Yards) to the NCCU 20

1st & 15Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Walker Harris pass complete to Chauncey Spikes for 5 yds to the NCCU 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.68

Walker Harris pass complete to Joaquin Davis for 9 yds to the NCCU 34

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

J'Mari Taylor run for no gain to the NCCU 34

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Juan Velarde punt for 48 yds, downed at the ELON 18

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Matthew Downing pass complete to Zimere Winston for 4 yds to the ELON 22

2nd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.87

Matthew Downing pass complete to Jamarien Dalton for 8 yds to the ELON 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.13

Matthew Downing pass complete to Onuma Dieke for 12 yds to the ELON 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.55

TJ Thomas Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the ELON 40

2nd & 12Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +3.01

Matthew Downing pass complete to Jamarien Dalton for 22 yds to the NCCU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+24 ydsPPA +0.55

TJ Thomas Jr. run for 24 yds to the NCCU 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Elon Penalty, False Start (Kevin Burkett) to the NCCU 19

1st & 15Passing Touchdown+19 ydsPPA +2.89

Matthew Downing pass complete to Jamarien Dalton for 19 yds for a TD (Jack Berkowitz KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

J'Mari Taylor run for 5 yds to the NCCU 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Walker Harris pass complete to Markell Quick for 4 yds to the NCCU 34

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

J'Mari Taylor run for no gain to the NCCU 34

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Juan Velarde punt for 44 yds, fair catch by DJ Hamilton at the ELON 22

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

THOMAS JR., TJ rush up the middle for a loss of 1 yard to the ELO21, End of Play. PENALTY Before the snap, ELO Illegal Formation on GILBERT, Zane enforced 5 yards from the ELO22 to the ELO17. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.49

Matthew Downing pass complete to Charlie Mill for 7 yds to the ELON 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

North Carolina Central Penalty, Offsides (Quantez Mansfield) to the ELON 40

1st & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.14

TJ Thomas Jr. run for 1 yd to the ELON 41

2nd & 4Penalty-10 yds

DOWNING, Matthew pass to the right complete for 7 yards to WINSTON, Zimere caught at the ELO35 and advanced to the ELO48, out of bounds. PENALTY ELO Holding on MOORE, Carlos enforced 10 yards from the ELO41 to the ELO31 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 14Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.95

Matthew Downing pass complete to Jamarien Dalton for 19 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Matthew Downing pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Matthew Downing pass complete to Onuma Dieke for 6 yds to the NCCU 44

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Matthew Downing pass incomplete

1st & 15Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Matthew Downing pass complete to TJ Thomas Jr. for 4 yds to the ELON 21

2nd & 11Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.23

Matthew Downing pass complete to Jamarien Dalton for 7 yds to the ELON 28

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Jeff Yurk punt for 44 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+39 ydsPPA +3.15

Walker Harris pass complete to Joaquin Davis for 39 yds to the ELON 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

North Carolina Central Penalty, False Start (J'Mari Taylor) to the ELON 46

1st & 15Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.25

Walker Harris pass complete to Darryl Taylor for a loss of 1 yard to the ELON 47

2nd & 16Rush-6 ydsPPA -1.54

run for a loss of 6 yards to the NCCU 47

3rd & 22Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.03

Walker Harris pass complete to Kyle Morgan for 13 yds to the ELON 40

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Juan Velarde punt for 40 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Rushawn Baker run for 4 yds to the ELON 24

2nd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.96

Rushawn Baker run for 8 yds to the ELON 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.93

Rushawn Baker run for no gain to the ELON 32

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Matthew Downing pass complete to Rushawn Baker for 3 yds to the ELON 35

3rd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +2.20

Matthew Downing run for 8 yds to the ELON 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Elon Penalty, False Start (Kevin Burkett) to the ELON 38

1st & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Rushawn Baker run for 3 yds to the ELON 41

2nd & 12Penalty+10 yds

DOWNING, Matthew pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for WINSTON, Zimere thrown to the NCC37. PENALTY NCC Holding on REED, Malcolm enforced 10 yards from the ELO41 to the NCC49 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.58

Matthew Downing pass complete to Onuma Dieke for 7 yds to the NCCU 42

2nd & 3Pass Reception+41 ydsPPA +2.25

Matthew Downing pass complete to Onuma Dieke for 41 yds to the NCCU 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.13

Rushawn Baker run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCCU 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Rushawn Baker run for 2 yds for a TD (Jack Berkowitz KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

J'Mari Taylor run for 3 yds to the NCCU 33

2nd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Walker Harris pass complete to Chauncey Spikes for 4 yds to the NCCU 37

3rd & 3Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.98

Walker Harris pass complete to Joaquin Davis for 23 yds to the ELON 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return+19 ydsPPA -3.81

Walker Harris pass intercepted for a 1ST down Brandon Tyson return for 4 yds to the ELON 36 for a 1ST down Elon Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Brandon Tyson) to the ELON 14 for a 1ST down

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+74 ydsPPA +5.74

TJ Thomas Jr. run for 74 yds for a TD (Jack Berkowitz KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.75

Matthew Downing pass complete to Jamarien Dalton for 8 yds to the ELON 26

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.93

J'Mari Taylor run for a loss of 2 yards to the NCCU 24

2nd & 12Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Walker Harris run for 2 yds to the NCCU 26

3rd & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.26

Walker Harris sacked by Jesse Powell II for a loss of 7 yards to the NCCU 19

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Juan Velarde punt for 41 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Matthew Downing pass complete to Zimere Winston for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.20

Matthew Downing pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Matthew Downing pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Jeff Yurk punt for 49 yds, downed at the NCCU 1

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

J'Mari Taylor run for 3 yds to the NCCU 4

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.13

J'Mari Taylor run for 6 yds to the NCCU 10

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.20

J'Mari Taylor run for 1 yd to the NCCU 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

J'Mari Taylor run for 4 yds to the NCCU 15

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.84

TJ Thomas Jr. run for 10 yds to the ELON 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

TJ Thomas Jr. run for 5 yds to the ELON 40

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.95

TJ Thomas Jr. run for 6 yds to the ELON 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.77

Matthew Downing pass complete to Onuma Dieke for 10 yds to the NCCU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.59

Matthew Downing pass intercepted Malcolm Reed return for no gain to the NCCU 30

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.19

J'Mari Taylor run for a loss of 3 yards to the NCCU 27

2nd & 13Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Walker Harris run for 2 yds to the NCCU 29

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Walker Harris pass incomplete

4th & 11Punt+1 yds

Juan Velarde punt for 43 yds , DJ Hamilton returns for 1 yd to the ELON 29

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +2.11

Rushawn Baker run for 11 yds to the ELON 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.88

Rushawn Baker run for 8 yds to the NCCU 44

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.19

Rushawn Baker run for no gain to the NCCU 44

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.07

Rushawn Baker run for 3 yds to the NCCU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Rushawn Baker run for 2 yds to the NCCU 39

2nd & 8Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +1.17

Matthew Downing pass complete to Zimere Winston for 25 yds to the NCCU 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.38

Rushawn Baker run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCCU 15

2nd & 11Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.28

Matthew Downing run for 1 yd to the NCCU 14

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Matthew Downing pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Rushawn Baker run for 2 yds to the ELON 30

2nd & 8Penalty-9 yds

ELO rush to the left for no gain to the ELO30 (U'REN, Max;REED, Malcolm). PENALTY ELO Holding on HARDY, Cody enforced 9 yards from the ELO30 to the ELO21 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 17Penalty+16 yds

DOWNING, Matthew pass deep to the left incomplete intended for FUHRMANN, Isaiah thrown to the NCC20. PENALTY NCC Pass Interference on NORRIS, Isaiah enforced 16 yards to the ELO37 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Matthew Downing pass incomplete

4th & 10Field Goal Good+31 yds

Jack Berkowitz 31 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Walker Harris pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.57

Walker Harris pass complete to Chauncey Spikes for 14 yds to the ELON 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+28 ydsPPA +1.60

J'Mari Taylor run for 28 yds to the ELON 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

J'Mari Taylor run for 2 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)

1st & 10Rush-12 ydsPPA -1.02

TJ Thomas Jr. run for a loss of 12 yards to the ELON 9

2nd & 22Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.02

TJ Thomas Jr. run for 6 yds to the ELON 15

3rd & 16Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.07

Matthew Downing sacked by Makai McCall for a loss of 8 yards to the ELON 7

4th & 24Punt0 yds

Jeff Yurk punt for 46 yds , Darryl Taylor returns for no gain to the ELON 35

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Walker Harris pass complete to Markell Quick for 5 yds to the ELON 30

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+30 ydsPPA +2.89

Walker Harris pass complete to Joaquin Davis for 30 yds for a TD (Juan Velarde KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Matthew Downing pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.41

Rushawn Baker run for no gain to the ELON 28

3rd & 10Penalty+15 yds

DOWNING, Matthew pass deep intercepted by VASSELL, Jelani at the NCC50. Vassell return for 0 yards to the NCC50, End of Play, clock 13:59. PENALTY NCC Roughing the Passer enforced 15 yards from the ELO28 to the ELO43 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Rushawn Baker run for no gain to the ELON 43

2nd & 10Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +2.94

Matthew Downing pass complete to Onuma Dieke for 33 yds to the NCCU 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Matthew Downing pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.58

Rushawn Baker run for no gain to the NCCU 24

3rd & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.70

Rushawn Baker run for a loss of 4 yards to the NCCU 28

4th & 14Field Goal Good+46 yds

Jack Berkowitz 46 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Walker Harris pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

J'Mari Taylor run for no gain to the NCCU 25

3rd & 10Interception Return Touchdown+40 ydsPPA -6.87

Walker Harris pass intercepted Jesse Powell II return for 40 yds for a TD (Jack Berkowitz KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Walker Harris run for no gain to the NCCU 25

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

J'Mari Taylor run for 7 yds to the NCCU 32

3rd & 3Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.81

Walker Harris pass complete to Chance Peterson for 9 yds to the NCCU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Walker Harris pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.54

Walker Harris pass complete to Chance Peterson for 7 yds to the NCCU 48

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Walker Harris pass incomplete

4th & 3Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +2.77

Walker Harris pass complete to Andrew Smith for 7 yds to the ELON 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.63

Walker Harris pass complete to Andrew Smith for 14 yds to the ELON 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.73

Walker Harris pass complete to J'Mari Taylor for a loss of 1 yard to the ELON 32

2nd & 11Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.43

Walker Harris pass intercepted Jonathan Robinson return for no gain to the ELON 21

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

TJ Thomas Jr. run for 2 yds to the ELON 23

3rd & 8Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.23

Matthew Downing pass complete to Zimere Winston for a loss of 3 yards to the ELON 20

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Jeff Yurk punt for 60 yds, downed at the NCCU 20

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+80 ydsPPA +6.39

Chris Mosley run for 80 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)

1st & 10Rush+38 ydsPPA +2.20

TJ Thomas Jr. run for 38 yds to the NCCU 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Matthew Downing run for 1 yd for a TD (Jack Berkowitz KICK)

1st & 10Rush+32 ydsPPA +2.73

Arthur Rodgers Jr. run for 32 yds to the ELON 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Arthur Rodgers Jr. run for 2 yds to the ELON 41

2nd & 8Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.71

Walker Harris sacked by Kahmari Brown and Dillon Pardue for a loss of 9 yards to the 50 yard line

3rd & 17Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Arthur Rodgers Jr. run for 5 yds to the ELON 45

Situational Analysis

Elon

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play
42%
24 plays
33%
3 plays
2nd
75%
4 plays
75%
4 plays
50%
8 plays
80%
5 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
33%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
0%
1 play
4th

North Carolina Central

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
37%
19 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
63%
8 plays
0%
4 plays
3rd
50%
6 plays
0%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play