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← Back to GamesNov 30, 2024Week 14

House Prediction

Model Margin

UCLA by 0.4

Home Win Probability

UCLA 52%

Market (Bovada)

UCLA -7.5

Edge: Fresno State +7.5 (7.1 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 30, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Fresno StateFresno State
0100313
UCLAUCLA
337720

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014283-06-713-1020-1020-13
UCLAFresno State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20UCLFSUCLFSUCLUCLFSUCLFSUCLFSFSUCLFSUCLFSUCLFSUCLFSUCLPUNT730ydPUNT421ydFG1058ydPUNT39ydPUNT66ydFG4-10ydTD1476ydPUNT629ydPUNT49ydPUNT516ydFG1060ydPUNT30ydTD456ydPUNT619ydDOWNS1166ydPUNT643ydPUNT531ydPUNT38ydTD1578ydFG751ydEND1-2yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Fresno State and UCLA
StatisticFresno StateUCLA
Passing30-4426-40
Pass Yards219289
Rush Yards6276
Total Yards281365
Turnovers10
3rd Down5-148-16
Penalties6-508-70
Possession22:4637:14

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Fresno State
passing
Mikey Keene
30/43, 219 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Bryson Donelson
6 CAR, 41 YDS
receiving
Mac Dalena
7 REC, 47 YDS
defense
UCLA
passing
Ethan Garbers
26/40, 289 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Anthony Frias II
13 CAR, 43 YDS
receiving
Moliki Matavao
8 REC, 120 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+34 yds

Dylan Lynch kickoff for 65 yds , Keegan Jones return for 34 yds to the UCLA 24

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

T.J. Harden run for 6 yds to the UCLA 30

2nd & 4Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Ethan Garbers pass complete to J.Michael Sturdivant for 2 yds to the UCLA 32

3rd & 2Penalty-5 yds

UCLA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UCLA 27

3rd & 7Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.78

Ethan Garbers pass complete to Logan Loya for 19 yds to the UCLA 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.83

Ethan Garbers pass complete to Moliki Matavao for 11 yds to the FRES 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

UCLA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the FRES 48

1st & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Ethan Garbers run for 3 yds to the FRES 45

2nd & 12Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Keegan Jones run for 4 yds to the FRES 41

3rd & 8Penalty-5 yds

UCLA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the FRES 46

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Ethan Garbers pass incomplete

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Brody Richter punt for 38 yds

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

UCLA Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the FRES 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.61

Mikey Keene pass complete to Bryson Donelson for 1 yd to the FRES 27

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.28

Bryson Donelson run for 2 yds to the FRES 29

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Mikey Keene pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Clay Lawrence punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Logan Loya at the UCLA 38

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Keegan Jones run for 4 yds to the UCLA 42

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Ethan Garbers pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.69

Ethan Garbers pass complete to Moliki Matavao for 13 yds to the FRES 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Ethan Garbers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.50

Ethan Garbers pass complete to Titus Mokiao-Atimalala for 10 yds to the FRES 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+26 ydsPPA +0.55

Ethan Garbers pass complete to Moliki Matavao for 26 yds Moliki Matavao fumbled, recovered by UCLA for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

T.J. Harden run for 5 yds to the FRES 4

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Ethan Garbers pass incomplete

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Ethan Garbers pass incomplete

4th & 4Field Goal Good+23 yds

Mateen Bhaghani 23 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+10 yds

Mateen Bhaghani kickoff for 61 yds , Jalen Moss return for 10 yds to the FRES 14

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Mikey Keene run for 2 yds to the FRES 16

2nd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.16

Mikey Keene pass complete to Raylen Sharpe for 6 yds to the FRES 22

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.30

Elijah Gilliam run for 1 yd to the FRES 23

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Clay Lawrence punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Logan Loya at the UCLA 40

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Keegan Jones run for 2 yds to the UCLA 42

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Keegan Jones run for 2 yds to the UCLA 44

3rd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +2.26

Ethan Garbers pass complete to Kwazi Gilmer for 7 yds to the FRES 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Ethan Garbers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Ethan Garbers pass complete to T.J. Harden for 3 yds to the FRES 46

3rd & 7Pass Reception-8 ydsPPA -1.80

Ethan Garbers pass complete to T.J. Harden for a loss of 8 yards to the UCLA 46

4th & 15Punt+7 yds

Brody Richter punt for 49 yds , Jalen Moss returns for 7 yds to the FRES 12

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Ethan Garbers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.31

Keegan Jones run for no gain to the FRES 12

3rd & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -2.35

Ethan Garbers sacked by Phoenix Jackson for a loss of 10 yards to the FRES 22

4th & 20Field Goal Good+40 yds

Mateen Bhaghani 40 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Mateen Bhaghani kickoff for 59 yds , Jalen Moss return for 18 yds to the FRES 24

1st & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Mikey Keene pass complete to Jalen Moss for 5 yds to the FRES 29

2nd & 4Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.92

Mikey Keene pass complete to Mac Dalena for a loss of 1 yard to the FRES 28

3rd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.76

Mikey Keene pass complete to Mac Dalena for 9 yds to the FRES 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Mikey Keene pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.49

Mikey Keene pass complete to Bryson Donelson for 7 yds to the FRES 44

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Mikey Keene pass incomplete

4th & 3Penalty+15 yds

UCLA Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Anthony Adkins) to the UCLA 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.48

Mikey Keene sacked by Kain Medrano for a loss of 3 yards to the UCLA 43

2nd & 13Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.91

Mikey Keene pass complete to Richie Anderson for 15 yds to the UCLA 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Mikey Keene pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +0.96

Mac Dalena run for 20 yds to the UCLA 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Joshua Wood pass incomplete

2nd & 8Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.21

Mikey Keene pass complete to Jalen Moss for 1 yd to the UCLA 7

3rd & 7Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.88

Mikey Keene pass complete to Raylen Sharpe for 7 yds for a TD (Dylan Lynch KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Keegan Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 24

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Ethan Garbers pass incomplete

3rd & 11Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +3.49

Ethan Garbers pass complete to Titus Mokiao-Atimalala for 28 yds to the FRES 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.76

Keegan Jones run for a loss of 3 yards to the UCLA 49

2nd & 13Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.60

Ethan Garbers sacked by Dean Clark for a loss of 7 yards to the UCLA 42

3rd & 20Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.75

Ethan Garbers pass complete to Moliki Matavao for 12 yds to the FRES 46

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Brody Richter punt for 46 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

UCLA Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the FRES 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Mikey Keene pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Mikey Keene pass incomplete

3rd & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.51

Mikey Keene sacked by Carson Schwesinger for a loss of 7 yards to the FRES 29

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Clay Lawrence punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Logan Loya at the UCLA 24

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Ethan Garbers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.77

Ethan Garbers pass complete to Jack Pedersen for 13 yds to the UCLA 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Ethan Garbers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Ethan Garbers pass complete to Anthony Frias II for 4 yds to the UCLA 41

3rd & 6Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.69

Ethan Garbers sacked by Jacob Holmes and Devo Bridges for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 40

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Brody Richter punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Jalen Moss at the FRES 10

1st & 10Rush+24 ydsPPA +1.46

Bryson Donelson run for 24 yds to the FRES 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Mikey Keene pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Mikey Keene pass complete to Mac Dalena for 6 yds to the FRES 40

3rd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.81

Mikey Keene pass complete to Bryson Donelson for 5 yds to the FRES 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.86

Mikey Keene pass complete to Bryson Donelson for 11 yds to the UCLA 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Mikey Keene pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Mikey Keene pass complete to Elijah Gilliam for 2 yds to the UCLA 42

3rd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Mikey Keene pass complete to Bryson Donelson for 4 yds to the UCLA 38

4th & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.35

Mikey Keene pass complete to Raylen Sharpe for 8 yds to the UCLA 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Field Goal Good+48 yds

Dylan Lynch 48 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+14 yds

Mateen Bhaghani kickoff for 65 yds , Jalen Moss return for 14 yds to the FRES 14

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

(14:52) KEENE, Mikey pass short to the left complete for 4 yards to SHARPE, Raylen caught at the FSU16 and advanced to the FSU18 (MOORE, Kaylin), clock 14:46. PENALTY Before the snap, FSU Illegal Substitution enforced 5 yards from the FSU14 to the FSU9. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Mikey Keene pass incomplete

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.07

Mikey Keene pass incomplete

3rd & 15Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.00

Mikey Keene pass complete to Jalen Moss for 5 yds to the FRES 14

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Clay Lawrence punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Logan Loya at the UCLA 44

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.67

T.J. Harden run for 7 yds to the FRES 49

2nd & 3Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.51

Ethan Garbers pass complete to Kwazi Gilmer for 9 yds to the FRES 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +1.31

Ethan Garbers pass complete to Moliki Matavao for 35 yds to the FRES 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

T.J. Harden run for 5 yds for a TD (Mateen Bhaghani KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Bryson Donelson run for 4 yds to the FRES 29

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Mikey Keene pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.79

Mikey Keene pass complete to Mac Dalena for 8 yds to the FRES 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

(10:44) KEENE, Mikey pass to the right complete for 2 yards to DONELSON, Bryson caught at the FSU31 and advanced to the FSU39 (OLADEJO, Oluwafemi), out of bounds, clock 10:38. PENALTY FSU Holding on PENRIGHT, Toreon enforced 10 yards from the FSU37 to the FSU27 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Bryson Donelson run for 3 yds to the FRES 30

2nd & 17Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Mikey Keene pass complete to Bryson Donelson for 4 yds to the FRES 34

3rd & 13Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.52

Mikey Keene pass complete to Jake Tarwater for 10 yds to the FRES 44

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Clay Lawrence punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Logan Loya at the UCLA 25

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Ethan Garbers pass complete to Kwazi Gilmer for 13 yds to the UCLA 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Anthony Frias II run for 8 yds to the UCLA 46

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.08

Anthony Frias II run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Ethan Garbers run for 1 yd to the FRES 49

2nd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.84

Ethan Garbers pass complete to Moliki Matavao for 8 yds to the FRES 41

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.91

Anthony Frias II run for 6 yds to the FRES 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.38

Ethan Garbers pass complete to Kwazi Gilmer for 17 yds to the FRES 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Anthony Frias II run for 4 yds to the FRES 14

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Anthony Frias II run for 4 yds to the FRES 10

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.30

Anthony Frias II run for 1 yd to the FRES 9

4th & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -4.06

Ethan Garbers pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.37

Johnathan Arceneaux run for 7 yds to the FRES 16

2nd & 3Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.68

Mikey Keene pass complete to Bryson Donelson for a loss of 2 yards to the FRES 14

3rd & 5Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +3.44

Mikey Keene pass complete to Chedon James for 38 yds to the UCLA 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Mikey Keene pass complete to Mac Dalena for 2 yds to the UCLA 46

2nd & 8Penalty-10 yds

(14:18) KEENE, Mikey pass to the right incomplete thrown to the UCLA50; QB hurried by TOIA, Jay, clock 14:14. PENALTY FSU Holding on DONELSON, Bryson enforced 10 yards from the UCLA46 to the FSU44 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 18Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Mikey Keene pass complete to Bryson Donelson for 6 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 12Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Mikey Keene pass complete to Mac Dalena for 2 yds to the UCLA 48

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Clay Lawrence punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Logan Loya at the UCLA 8

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Anthony Frias II run for 3 yds to the UCLA 11

2nd & 7Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.46

Ethan Garbers pass complete to Logan Loya for 21 yds to the UCLA 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Ethan Garbers pass complete to Kwazi Gilmer for 3 yds to the UCLA 35

2nd & 7Penalty-5 yds

UCLA Penalty, False Start (Sam Yoon) to the UCLA 30

2nd & 12Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.68

Ethan Garbers pass complete to Moliki Matavao for 9 yds to the UCLA 39

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Ethan Garbers pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Brody Richter punt for 61 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Bryson Donelson run for 2 yds to the FRES 22

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Mikey Keene pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.09

Mikey Keene pass complete to Elijah Gilliam for 6 yds to the FRES 28

4th & 2Punt+49 yds

Clay Lawrence punt for 49 yds , Logan Loya returns for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 22

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Ethan Garbers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.74

Ethan Garbers pass complete to Anthony Frias II for 14 yds to the UCLA 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Ethan Garbers run for 9 yds to the UCLA 45

2nd & 1Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.08

Ethan Garbers pass complete to Titus Mokiao-Atimalala for 7 yds to the FRES 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Ethan Garbers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Anthony Frias II run for 4 yds to the FRES 44

3rd & 6Penalty+15 yds

GARBERS, Ethan pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for MOKIAO-ATIMALALA, Titus thrown to the FSU22, clock 04:58 (After official review, play stands as called on the field). PENALTY FSU Roughing the Passer on NOMURA, Tuasivi enforced 15 yards from the FSU44 to the FSU29 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Anthony Frias II run for 1 yd to the FRES 28

2nd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Ethan Garbers pass complete to Moliki Matavao for 6 yds to the FRES 22

3rd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.45

Ethan Garbers run for 7 yds to the FRES 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

Anthony Frias II run for no gain to the FRES 15

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.11

Anthony Frias II run for 6 yds to the FRES 9

3rd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.08

Ethan Garbers pass complete to Kwazi Gilmer for 5 yds to the FRES 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.52

Anthony Frias II run for 1 yd to the FRES 3

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Anthony Frias II run for 1 yd to the FRES 2

3rd & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

Ethan Garbers pass complete to J.Michael Sturdivant for 2 yds for a TD (Mateen Bhaghani KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Mikey Keene pass complete to Richie Anderson for 8 yds to the FRES 33

2nd & 2Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.51

Mikey Keene pass complete to Bryson Donelson for 8 yds to the FRES 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.18

Mikey Keene pass complete to Raylen Sharpe for 14 yds to the UCLA 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Mikey Keene pass incomplete

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+21 ydsPPA +1.79

Mikey Keene pass complete to Mac Dalena for 21 yds fumbled, forced by Ramon Henderson, recovered by FRES Mac Dalena M. Dalena return for 0 yds for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Mikey Keene pass incomplete

2nd & 10Field Goal Good+42 yds

Dylan Lynch 42 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.52

(00:28) Kneel down by TEAM at FSU49 (team loss of 2), clock 00:23.

Situational Analysis

Fresno State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
30%
20 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
50%
10 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
0%
2 plays
100%
4 plays
40%
5 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play

UCLA

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
36%
28 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
75%
4 plays
0%
4 plays
58%
12 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
60%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play