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← Back to GamesSep 21, 2024Week 4

House Prediction

Model Margin

Villanova by 2.6

Home Win Probability

Maryland 43%

Market (DraftKings)

Maryland -22

Edge: Villanova +22 (24.6 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 21, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Villanova
00101020
MarylandMaryland
1777738

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-014-017-024-024-331-1031-1338-1338-20
MarylandVillanova

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MARVILMARVILMARVILMARVILMARVILVILMARVILVILMARVILMARVILMARVILMARTD1175ydPUNT30ydTD757ydPUNT34ydFG829ydMISS1359ydTD1380ydPUNT44ydTO775ydEND1-1ydDOWNS1150ydTO10ydFG4-8ydTD653ydTD875ydFG1155ydTD475ydPUNT3-1ydPUNT417ydTD980ydEND24yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Villanova and Maryland
StatisticVillanovaMaryland
Passing16-3329-34
Pass Yards156338
Rush Yards75159
Total Yards231497
Turnovers02
3rd Down4-137-10
Penalties3-158-89
Possession32:1627:42

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Villanova
passing
Connor Watkins
12/29, 106 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Ja'briel Mace
2 CAR, 24 YDS
receiving
Devin Smith
5 REC, 62 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Ethan Potter
0.5 TFL, 1 PD
Maryland
passing
Billy Edwards
28/32, 328 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Roman Hemby
14 CAR, 67 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Tai Felton
14 REC, 157 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Billy Edwards Jr. pass complete to Tai Felton for 3 yds to the MD 28

2nd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.64

Roman Hemby run for a loss of 1 yard to the MD 27

3rd & 8Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.06

Billy Edwards Jr. pass complete to Tai Felton for 11 yds to the MD 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.37

Roman Hemby run for 9 yds to the MD 47

2nd & 1Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Billy Edwards Jr. pass complete to Tai Felton for 3 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.09

Roman Hemby run for 9 yds to the VILL 41

2nd & 1Penalty-5 yds

Maryland Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the VILL 46

2nd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Billy Edwards Jr. pass complete to Tai Felton for 4 yds to the VILL 42

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Billy Edwards Jr. run for 1 yd to the VILL 41

4th & 1Rush+11 ydsPPA +2.23

Roman Hemby run for 11 yds to the VILL 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.22

Roman Hemby run for 12 yds to the VILL 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +2.59

Billy Edwards Jr. pass complete to Kaden Prather for 18 yds for a TD (Jack Howes KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Jack Howes kickoff for 60 yds , Devin Smith return for 20 yds to the VILL 25

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Isaiah Ragland run for no gain to the VILL 25

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Ethan Gettman punt for 32 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Billy Edwards Jr. pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.56

Billy Edwards Jr. pass complete to Tai Felton for 7 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 3Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.16

Billy Edwards Jr. pass complete to Tai Felton for 17 yds to the VILL 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.34

Roman Hemby run for 2 yds to the VILL 31

2nd & 8Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.65

Billy Edwards Jr. pass complete to Kaden Prather for 13 yds to the VILL 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.54

Billy Edwards Jr. pass complete to Tai Felton for 12 yds to the VILL 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

Roman Hemby run for 6 yds for a TD (Jack Howes KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+25 yds

Jack Howes kickoff for 65 yds , Devin Smith return for 25 yds to the VILL 25

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Connor Watkins run for 4 yds to the VILL 29

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt+27 yds

Ethan Gettman punt for 55 yds , Braeden Wisloski returns for 27 yds to the MD 43

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.16

Billy Edwards Jr. pass complete to Tai Felton for no gain to the MD 43

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Nolan Ray run for 4 yds to the MD 47

3rd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +2.23

Billy Edwards Jr. pass complete to Octavian Smith Jr. for 7 yds to the VILL 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.67

Nolan Ray run for 14 yds to the VILL 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.37

MJ Morris run for 7 yds to the VILL 25

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Billy Edwards Jr. pass incomplete

3rd & 3Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.33

Billy Edwards Jr. pass complete to Kaden Prather for a loss of 3 yards to the VILL 28

4th & 6Field Goal Good+46 yds

Jack Howes 46 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

David Avit run for 2 yds to the VILL 27

2nd & 8Penalty+5 yds

Maryland Penalty, Delay Of Game (5 Yards) to the VILL 32

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.23

David Avit run for 3 yds to the VILL 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+23 ydsPPA +1.95

Ja'briel Mace run for 23 yds to the MD 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Connor Watkins pass complete to Jaylan Sanchez for 3 yds to the MD 39

2nd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.75

Connor Watkins pass complete to Devin Smith for 8 yds to the MD 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Connor Watkins run for 5 yds to the MD 26

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.46

Ja'briel Mace run for 1 yd to the MD 25

3rd & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Connor Watkins pass complete to Kenyon Miles for 3 yds to the MD 22

4th & 1Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +0.86

Connor Watkins pass complete to Jaylan Sanchez for 3 yds to the MD 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Connor Watkins run for 3 yds to the MD 16

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

4th & 7Blocked Field Goal+33 yds

Ethan Gettman 33 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Billy Edwards Jr. pass complete to Nolan Ray for 7 yds to the MD 27

2nd & 3Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.02

Billy Edwards Jr. pass complete to Tai Felton for 23 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Roman Hemby run for 2 yds to the VILL 48

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Roman Hemby run for 6 yds to the VILL 42

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.04

Roman Hemby run for 4 yds to the VILL 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.26

Billy Edwards Jr. sacked by Shane Hartzell for a loss of 7 yards to the VILL 45

2nd & 17Penalty-5 yds

Maryland Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the 50 yard line

2nd & 22Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.21

Billy Edwards Jr. run for 11 yds to the VILL 39

3rd & 11Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.47

Billy Edwards Jr. pass complete to Preston Howard for 19 yds to the VILL 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Billy Edwards Jr. pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.80

Billy Edwards Jr. pass complete to Kaden Prather for 13 yds to the VILL 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Nolan Ray run for 1 yd to the VILL 6

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Nolan Ray run for 5 yds to the VILL 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Nolan Ray run for 1 yd for a TD (Jack Howes KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

(02:35) WATKINS, Connor pass short to the left complete for 3 yards to RAGLAND, Isaiah caught at the VIL27 and advanced to the VIL28 (HARRIS, Michael), clock 02:23. PENALTY VIL Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on CREGAN, Ryan enforced 5 yards from the VIL25 to the VIL20 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 15Penalty+15 yds

WATKINS, Connor pass deep to the left incomplete intended for SANCHEZ, Jaylan thrown to the VIL45, clock 02:10. PENALTY UMD Pass Interference on HUMES, Kevyn enforced 15 yards to the VIL35 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -1.72

Isaiah Wright run for a loss of 6 yards to the VILL 29

2nd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Ethan Gettman punt for 51 yds, downed at the MD 20

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.24

Billy Edwards Jr. pass complete to Preston Howard for 16 yds to the MD 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Billy Edwards Jr. pass complete to Preston Howard for 3 yds to the MD 39

2nd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.64

Billy Edwards Jr. pass complete to Colby McDonald for 10 yds to the MD 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.08

Colby McDonald run for 20 yds to the VILL 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.29

Billy Edwards Jr. pass complete to Kaden Prather for 17 yds to the VILL 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.38

Billy Edwards Jr. pass complete to Kaden Prather for a loss of 1 yard to the VILL 15

2nd & 11Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+10 ydsPPA -4.07

Colby McDonald run for 10 yds to the VILL 5 Chris Colby fumbled, recovered by VILL Isas Waxter I. Waxter return for 0 yds

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.32

(00:20) [NHSG] Kneel down by WATKINS, Connor at VIL4 (team loss of 1), clock 00:11.

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Jack Howes kickoff for 61 yds , Devin Smith return for 20 yds to the VILL 24

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.67

Isaiah Ragland run for no gain to the VILL 24

2nd & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.81

Connor Watkins pass complete to Isaiah Ragland for 24 yds to the VILL 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Connor Watkins pass complete to Kenyon Miles for 3 yds to the MD 49

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Isaiah Ragland run for 5 yds to the MD 44

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.02

Connor Watkins run for 2 yds to the MD 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.91

Connor Watkins run for no gain to the MD 42

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

(10:47) WATKINS, Connor pass deep to the left incomplete dropped by SANCHEZ, Jaylan thrown to the UMD18, clock 10:39. PENALTY VIL Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on CREGAN, Ryan enforced 5 yards from the UMD42 to the UMD47 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.92

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

3rd & 15Penalty+15 yds

(10:31) WATKINS, Connor pass deep to the right incomplete intended for KOPECKY, Lucas thrown to the UMD10, clock 10:24. PENALTY UMD Pass Interference on HUSKEY, Jalen enforced 15 yards to the UMD32 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.67

David Avit run for a loss of 4 yards to the MD 36

3rd & 14Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.10

Connor Watkins pass complete to Daniel Lopes for 10 yds to the MD 26

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.94

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Interception Return+24 ydsPPA -0.99

Billy Edwards Jr. pass intercepted Ty Trinh return for 24 yds to the MD 8

1st & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Connor Watkins run for 1 yd to the MD 7

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

3rd & 7Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.58

Connor Watkins sacked by Tommy Akingbesote for a loss of 9 yards to the MD 16

4th & 16Field Goal Good+33 yds

Ethan Gettman 33 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.80

Isaiah Ragland run for 11 yds to the MD 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

(06:41) RAGLAND, Isaiah rush to the right for a loss of 2 yards to the UMD44 (OWENS, Daniel), clock 06:27. PENALTY UMD Personal Foul on MILLER, Glendon enforced 15 yards from the UMD42 to the UMD27 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

David Avit run for 5 yds to the MD 22

3rd & 5Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.65

Connor Watkins run for 10 yds to the MD 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.63

Connor Watkins sacked by Michael Harris for a loss of 5 yards to the MD 17

2nd & 15Passing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +3.16

Connor Watkins pass complete to Devin Smith for 17 yds for a TD (Ethan Gettman KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Roman Hemby run for 1 yd to the MD 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.61

Billy Edwards Jr. pass complete to Tai Felton for 11 yds to the MD 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Roman Hemby run for 2 yds to the MD 39

2nd & 8Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.96

Billy Edwards Jr. pass complete to Tai Felton for a loss of 1 yard to the MD 38

3rd & 9Pass Reception+37 ydsPPA +3.97

Billy Edwards Jr. pass complete to Dylan Wade for 37 yds to the VILL 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.19

Billy Edwards Jr. pass complete to Roman Hemby for 15 yds to the VILL 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Roman Hemby run for 1 yd to the VILL 9

2nd & 9Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.74

Billy Edwards Jr. pass complete to Tai Felton for 9 yds for a TD (Jack Howes KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Isaiah Ragland run for 3 yds to the VILL 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Connor Watkins pass complete to Isaiah Ragland for 6 yds to the VILL 34

3rd & 1Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.34

Connor Watkins pass complete to Devin Smith for 17 yds to the MD 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.06

Connor Watkins pass complete to Lucas Kopecky for 9 yds to the MD 40

3rd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.89

Connor Watkins run for 7 yds to the MD 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.22

David Avit run for 6 yds to the MD 27

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

David Avit run for 1 yd to the MD 13

3rd & 9Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.72

Connor Watkins sacked by Taizse Johnson and Daniel Owens for a loss of 7 yards to the MD 20

4th & 16Field Goal Good+37 yds

Ethan Gettman 37 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.96

Billy Edwards Jr. pass complete to Tai Felton for a loss of 3 yards to the MD 22

2nd & 13Pass Reception+61 ydsPPA +4.45

Billy Edwards Jr. pass complete to Tai Felton for 61 yds to the VILL 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Roman Hemby run for 3 yds to the VILL 14

2nd & 7Rushing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.69

MJ Morris run for 14 yds for a TD (Jack Howes KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+22 yds

Gavin Marshall kickoff for 64 yds , Devin Smith return for 22 yds to the VILL 23

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Connor Watkins pass complete to Jaylan Sanchez for 3 yds to the VILL 26

2nd & 7Penalty-5 yds

Villanova Penalty, False Start (Kenyon Miles) to the VILL 21

3rd & 12Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.08

Connor Watkins run for 1 yd to the VILL 22

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Ethan Gettman punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Braeden Wisloski at the MD 44

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.83

Cameron Edge pass complete to Shaleak Knotts for 10 yds to the VILL 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.75

Colby McDonald run for 8 yds to the VILL 38

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Cameron Edge pass incomplete

3rd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.34

MJ Morris run for a loss of 1 yard to the VILL 39

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Bryce McFerson punt for 39 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Tanner Maddocks pass complete to Devin Smith for 5 yds to the VILL 25

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.51

David Avit run for 1 yd to the VILL 26

3rd & 4Penalty+15 yds

(04:15) MADDOCKS, Tanner pass deep to the left incomplete intended for SANCHEZ, Jaylan thrown to the VIL50, clock 04:07. PENALTY UMD Pass Interference on JENKINS, Judah enforced 15 yards to the VIL41 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.52

Isaiah Wright run for a loss of 2 yards to the VILL 39

2nd & 12Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.64

Tanner Maddocks pass complete to Devin Smith for 15 yds to the MD 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Tanner Maddocks pass complete to Nate Hill for 6 yds to the MD 40

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.22

Isaiah Wright run for 4 yds to the MD 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +0.48

Tanner Maddocks pass complete to Chris Colby for 24 yds to the MD 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Eli Smith run for 4 yds to the MD 8

2nd & 6Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.55

Tanner Maddocks run for 8 yds for a TD (Ethan Gettman KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Colby McDonald run for 1 yd to the MD 26

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Colby McDonald run for 3 yds to the MD 29

Situational Analysis

Villanova

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
25%
28 plays
2nd
100%
1 play
50%
4 plays
50%
12 plays
40%
5 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
0%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play

Maryland

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
45%
31 plays
2nd
25%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
67%
12 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
50%
6 plays
100%
1 play
100%
2 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play