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← Back to GamesSep 7, 2024Week 2

House Prediction

Model Margin

Penn State by 15.1

Home Win Probability

Penn State 84%

Market (Bovada)

Penn State -34

Edge: Bowling Green +34 (18.9 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 7, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Bowling GreenBowling Green
10140327
Penn StatePenn State
7137734

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-77-107-1714-1717-1720-2427-2434-27
Penn StateBowling Green

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20BGPSBGPSBGPSBGPSBGPSBGPSBGPSBGPSBGPSBGPSBGPSBGPSTD675ydTD675ydFG1060ydPUNT3-8ydTD1073ydTD375ydDOWNS620ydFG619ydTD475ydFG1064ydEND1-2ydPUNT50ydPUNT34ydTD885ydPUNT3-3ydTO951ydPUNT616ydPUNT41ydTO724ydPUNT34ydTO3-1ydTD141ydFG941ydEND1-5yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Bowling Green and Penn State
StatisticBowling GreenPenn State
Passing25-4013-20
Pass Yards254204
Rush Yards121234
Total Yards375438
Turnovers21
3rd Down7-142-9
Penalties3-187-76
Possession32:0028:00

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Bowling Green
passing
Connor Bazelak
25/39, 254 YDS, 2 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Jaison Patterson
16 CAR, 57 YDS
receiving
Harold Fannin
11 REC, 137 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Penn State
passing
Drew Allar
13/20, 204 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Nicholas Singleton
13 CAR, 119 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Tyler Warren
8 REC, 146 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +2.60

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 30 yds to the PSU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Justin Pegues run for 4 yds to the PSU 41

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.66

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Malcolm Johnson Jr. for 6 yds to the PSU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +0.92

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Malcolm Johnson Jr. for 29 yds to the PSU 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 6 yds for a TD (Jackson Kleather KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Drew Allar pass complete to Tyler Warren for 12 yds to the PSU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+26 ydsPPA +2.00

Kaytron Allen run for 26 yds to the BGSU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.43

Nicholas Singleton run for 17 yds to the BGSU 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.73

Drew Allar pass complete to Tyler Warren for 15 yds to the BGSU 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Nicholas Singleton run for no gain to the BGSU 5

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.44

Drew Allar run for 5 yds for a TD (Sander Sahaydak KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Jamal Johnson run for 2 yds to the BGSU 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.07

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 16 yds to the BGSU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Jaison Patterson run for 6 yds to the BGSU 49

2nd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.53

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Malcolm Johnson Jr. for 5 yds to the PSU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.03

Justin Pegues run for no gain to the PSU 46

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.54

Jaison Patterson run for 7 yds to the PSU 39

3rd & 3Penalty+15 yds

BAZELAK, Connor pass deep to the right incomplete intended for SMITH, Rahkeem thrown to the PSU19. PENALTY PSU Pass Interference on MILLER, Cam enforced 15 yards to the PSU24 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Jamal Johnson for 1 yd to the PSU 23

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Jamal Johnson run for 3 yds to the PSU 20

3rd & 6Penalty+5 yds

Penn State Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the PSU 15

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete

4th & 1Field Goal Good+33 yds

Jackson Kleather 33 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Nicholas Singleton run for 3 yds to the PSU 28

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Drew Allar pass incomplete

3rd & 7Penalty-11 yds

ALLAR, Drew pass deep to the right complete for 16 yards to WALLACE III, Harrison caught at the PSU44 and advanced to the PSU44, out of bounds. PENALTY PSU Holding on SHELTON, Drew enforced 11 yards from the PSU28 to the PSU17 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.04

Drew Allar pass incomplete

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Riley Thompson punt for 56 yds , Justin Pegues returns for no gain to the BGSU 27

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.77

Jaison Patterson run for no gain to the BGSU 27

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Justin Pegues for 6 yds to the BGSU 33

3rd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.66

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Malcolm Johnson Jr. for 6 yds to the BGSU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Jaison Patterson run for 4 yds to the BGSU 43

2nd & 6Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.67

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Rahkeem Smith for 14 yds to the PSU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Harold Fannin Jr. pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +1.77

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 32 yds to the PSU 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 1 yd to the PSU 10

2nd & 9Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.73

Jaison Patterson run for a loss of 5 yards to the PSU 15

3rd & 14Passing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +3.48

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Malcolm Johnson Jr. for 15 yds for a TD (Jackson Kleather KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.98

Drew Allar pass complete to Tyler Warren for 22 yds to the PSU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+24 ydsPPA +1.31

Nicholas Singleton run for 24 yds to the BGSU 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+29 ydsPPA +2.79

Drew Allar pass complete to Omari Evans for 29 yds for a TD (Sander Sahaydak KICK)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Jaison Patterson run for 9 yds to the BGSU 34

2nd & 1Penalty-5 yds

Bowling Green Penalty, Offsides (Finn Hogan) to the BGSU 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.04

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 7 yds to the BGSU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.04

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Justin Pegues for no gain to the BGSU 36

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.57

Jaison Patterson run for 9 yds to the BGSU 45

4th & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.73

Kaytron Allen run for 8 yds to the BGSU 37

2nd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.10

Kaytron Allen run for 6 yds to the BGSU 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Nicholas Singleton run for 4 yds to the BGSU 27

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Kaytron Allen run for 3 yds to the BGSU 24

3rd & 3Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.08

Kaytron Allen run for a loss of 2 yards to the BGSU 26

4th & 5Field Goal Good+43 yds

Sander Sahaydak 43 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Jaison Patterson run for 13 yds to the BGSU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.54

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 18 yds to the PSU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Jaison Patterson run for 3 yds to the PSU 41

2nd & 7Rushing Touchdown+41 ydsPPA +3.73

Jamal Johnson run for 41 yds for a TD (Jackson Kleather KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Drew Allar pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Nicholas Singleton run for 3 yds to the PSU 28

3rd & 7Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +3.64

Drew Allar pass complete to Tyler Warren for 30 yds to the BGSU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.55

Nicholas Singleton run for 15 yds to the BGSU 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Nicholas Singleton run for 1 yd to the BGSU 26

2nd & 9Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.59

Drew Allar run for 14 yds to the BGSU 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Nicholas Singleton run for 3 yds to the BGSU 9

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.30

Nicholas Singleton run for no gain to the BGSU 9

3rd & 7Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.58

Drew Allar run for a loss of 2 yards to the BGSU 11

4th & 9Field Goal Good+28 yds

Sander Sahaydak 28 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

[NH] Kneel down by BAZELAK, Connor at BGS23 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Beau Pribula run for 8 yds to the PSU 33

2nd & 2Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.98

Kaytron Allen run for 13 yds to the PSU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Kaytron Allen run for 2 yds to the PSU 48

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Drew Allar pass incomplete

3rd & 8Sack-23 ydsPPA -1.47

Drew Allar sacked by Charles Rosser for a loss of 23 yards to the PSU 25

4th & 31Punt0 yds

Riley Thompson punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Justin Pegues at the BGSU 26

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.84

Jaison Patterson run for a loss of 1 yard to the BGSU 25

2nd & 11Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Justin Pegues for 5 yds to the BGSU 30

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt-7 yds

John Henderson punt for 48 yds , Kaden Saunders returns for a loss of 7 yards to the PSU 15

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.54

Drew Allar pass complete to Tyler Warren for 10 yds to the PSU 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +2.53

Drew Allar pass complete to Tyler Warren for 29 yds to the BGSU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.93

Drew Allar sacked by Myles Bradley and Jordan Porter for a loss of 4 yards to the 50 yard line

2nd & 14Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.73

Drew Allar pass complete to Tyler Warren for 23 yds to the BGSU 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Nicholas Singleton run for 6 yds to the BGSU 21

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Beau Pribula run for 4 yds to the BGSU 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Drew Allar pass complete to Julian Fleming for 3 yds to the BGSU 14

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.69

Drew Allar pass complete to Nicholas Singleton for 14 yds for a TD (Sander Sahaydak KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Gabriel Nwosu kickoff for 62 yds , Justin Pegues return for no gain to the BGSU 33

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

Bowling Green Penalty, False Start (Alex Padgett) to the BGSU 28

2nd & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Connor Bazelak run for 2 yds to the BGSU 30

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete

4th & 13Punt0 yds

John Henderson punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Kaden Saunders at the PSU 37

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Kaytron Allen run for 8 yds to the PSU 45

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.36

Kaytron Allen run for no gain to the PSU 45

3rd & 2Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.69

Drew Allar pass complete to Khalil Dinkins for 7 yds to the BGSU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Kaytron Allen run for 3 yds to the BGSU 45

2nd & 7Penalty-15 yds

Penn State Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (Omari Evans) to the PSU 40

2nd & 22Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Drew Allar run for 5 yds to the PSU 45

3rd & 17Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.06

Drew Allar run for 12 yds to the BGSU 43

4th & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +2.66

Drew Allar pass complete to Omari Evans for 5 yds to the BGSU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+26 ydsPPA +0.56

Kaytron Allen run for 26 yds to the BGSU 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return+3 ydsPPA -4.47

Drew Allar pass intercepted Jacorey Benjamin return for 3 yds to the BGSU 3

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Jaison Patterson run for 5 yds to the BGSU 8

3rd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.66

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 9 yds to the BGSU 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Jamal Johnson run for no gain to the BGSU 17

2nd & 10Penalty-3 yds

BAZELAK, Connor pass to the right complete for 3 yards to JOHNSON JR., Malcolm caught at the BGS12 and advanced to the BGS20 (REED, Jaylen;ELSDON, Tyler). PENALTY BGS Holding on HOGAN, Finn enforced half the distance from the goal, 8 yards from the BGS17 to the BGS9 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 18Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.15

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Rahkeem Smith for 10 yds to the BGSU 19

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.14

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

John Henderson punt for 41 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Nicholas Singleton run for 2 yds to the PSU 42

2nd & 8Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -1.50

Drew Allar pass complete to Tyler Warren for 10 yds to the BGSU 48 Penn State Penalty, Offensive Holding (TEAM) to the PSU 37

2nd & 13Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Kaytron Allen run for 4 yds to the PSU 41

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Drew Allar pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Riley Thompson punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Justin Pegues at the BGSU 19

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.21

Jaison Patterson run for 1 yd to the BGSU 20

3rd & 9Penalty+5 yds

Penn State Penalty, Offsides (Amin Vanover) to the BGSU 25

3rd & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.41

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Malcolm Johnson Jr. for 8 yds to the BGSU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Jaison Patterson run for no gain to the BGSU 33

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.43

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Malcolm Johnson Jr. for 7 yds to the BGSU 40

3rd & 3Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +1.49

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 3 yds to the BGSU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -2.53

Connor Bazelak pass intercepted Tony Rojas return for no gain to the PSU 38

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Kaytron Allen run for 1 yd to the PSU 39

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Kaytron Allen run for 3 yds to the PSU 42

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Drew Allar pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Riley Thompson punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Justin Pegues at the BGSU 15

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.22

Jaison Patterson run for a loss of 1 yard to the BGSU 14

3rd & 11Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA +0.28

Connor Bazelak pass intercepted Zakee Wheatley return for no gain to the BGSU 41

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+41 ydsPPA +3.24

Nicholas Singleton run for 41 yds for a TD (Sander Sahaydak KICK)

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.32

Justin Pegues run for 14 yds to the BGSU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.13

Jamal Johnson run for no gain to the BGSU 49

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 4 yds to the PSU 47

3rd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.98

Jaison Patterson run for 6 yds to the PSU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.43

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 11 yds to the PSU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Malcolm Johnson Jr. for 5 yds to the PSU 25

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Jaison Patterson run for 1 yd to the PSU 24

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete

4th & 4Field Goal Good+42 yds

Jackson Kleather 42 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -2.18

[SG] Kneel down by ALLAR, Drew at PSU44 (team loss of 5), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

Bowling Green

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
31%
29 plays
2nd
60%
5 plays
54%
13 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
71%
7 plays
50%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play

Penn State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
55%
29 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
25%
8 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play
25%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play