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← Back to GamesNov 17, 2024Week 12

House Prediction

Model Margin

Texas A&M by 35.5

Home Win Probability

Texas A&M 98%

Market (Bovada)

Texas A&M -39.5

Edge: New Mexico State +39.5 (4.0 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 17, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
New Mexico StateNew Mexico State
00033
Texas A&MTexas A&M
1777738

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-017-024-031-031-338-3
Texas A&MNew Mexico State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20TANMSTANMSTANMSTANMSTANMSTANMSTANMSNMSTANMSTANMSTANMSTANMSTD875ydPUNT418ydTD171ydPUNT33ydFG956ydPUNT529ydTD995ydPUNT36ydPUNT3-1ydPUNT37ydPUNT521ydMISS1167ydTO1054ydEND1-1ydPUNT610ydTD1476ydPUNT516ydPUNT3-3ydFG824ydTO652ydDOWNS1043ydTD1053ydEND412yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing New Mexico State and Texas A&M
StatisticNew Mexico StateTexas A&M
Passing7-2327-43
Pass Yards92356
Rush Yards122209
Total Yards214565
Turnovers02
3rd Down5-158-13
Penalties3-258-71
Possession25:2534:35

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

New Mexico State
passing
Santino Marucci
6/19, 80 YDS
rushing
Seth McGowan
14 CAR, 75 YDS
receiving
Michael Washington
2 REC, 24 YDS
defense
Texas A&M
passing
Marcel Reed
20/31, 268 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Amari Daniels
5 CAR, 84 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Theo Melin Ohrstrom
5 REC, 111 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Marcel Reed pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.63

Amari Daniels run for 11 yds to the TA&M 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Marcel Reed pass complete to Noah Thomas for 7 yds to the TA&M 43

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.76

Amari Daniels run for 2 yds to the TA&M 45

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.11

Amari Daniels run for 2 yds to the TA&M 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

EJ Smith run for 4 yds to the NMSU 49

2nd & 6Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +1.68

Marcel Reed pass complete to Tre Watson for 33 yds to the NMSU 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +2.57

Marcel Reed pass complete to Noah Thomas for 16 yds for a TD (Randy Bond KICK)

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.42

Seth McGowan run for 16 yds to the NMSU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Seth McGowan run for 2 yds to the NMSU 43

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Santino Marucci pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Santino Marucci pass incomplete

4th & 8Blocked Punt0 yds

null punt blocked by blocked by

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+71 ydsPPA +5.78

Amari Daniels run for 71 yds for a TD (Randy Bond KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Santino Marucci run for 6 yds to the NMSU 31

2nd & 4Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.19

Mike Washington run for a loss of 3 yards to the NMSU 28

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Santino Marucci pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

George Eberle punt for 48 yds , Jabre Barber returns for no gain to the TA&M 24

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Marcel Reed pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.46

EJ Smith run for 8 yds to the TA&M 32

3rd & 2Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.59

Marcel Reed pass complete to Theo Melin Ohrstrom for 19 yds to the NMSU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.10

EJ Smith run for no gain to the NMSU 49

2nd & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.12

Marcel Reed pass complete to Jahdae Walker for 22 yds to the NMSU 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Marcel Reed pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.53

Marcel Reed pass complete to Cyrus Allen for 9 yds to the NMSU 18

3rd & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.83

Amari Daniels run for a loss of 2 yards to the NMSU 20

4th & 3Field Goal Good+37 yds

Randy Bond 37 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Brandon Nunez run for 4 yds to the NMSU 29

2nd & 6Rush+25 ydsPPA +2.65

Seth McGowan run for 25 yds to the TA&M 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Brandon Nunez pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Brandon Nunez pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Santino Marucci pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

George Eberle punt for 41 yds

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.59

Marcel Reed run for 16 yds to the TA&M 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.90

Marcel Reed pass complete to Jahdae Walker for 12 yds to the TA&M 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Marcel Reed run for 9 yds to the TA&M 42

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

EJ Smith run for 3 yds to the TA&M 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +1.58

Marcel Reed pass complete to Theo Melin Ohrstrom for 30 yds to the NMSU 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Texas A&M Penalty, Illegal Block (-10 Yards) to the NMSU 34

1st & 19Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +1.49

Marcel Reed pass complete to Theo Melin Ohrstrom for 27 yds to the NMSU 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

EJ Smith run for 1 yd to the NMSU 6

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.53

Marcel Reed pass complete to Moose Muhammad III for 6 yds for a TD (Randy Bond KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

Jared Zirkel kickoff for 64 yds , Larenzo McMillan return for 17 yds to the NMSU 18

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Santino Marucci pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.20

Santino Marucci run for 1 yd to the NMSU 19

3rd & 9Penalty+5 yds

(12:54) MARUCCI, Santino pass short to the left incomplete intended for WASHINGTON, Mike thrown to the NMSU20; QB hurried by STEWART, Shemar, clock 12:50. PENALTY TAMU Offsides on STEWART, Shemar enforced 5 yards from the NMSU19 to the NMSU24 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Santino Marucci pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt+4 yds

George Eberle punt for 42 yds , Jabre Barber returns for 4 yds to the TA&M 38

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

EJ Smith run for 4 yds to the TA&M 42

2nd & 6Penalty-11 yds

(12:01) REED, Marcel pass to the left complete for 7 yards to BUSSEY, Terry caught at the TAMU49 and advanced to the TAMU49 (HOBBS, Dakerric;MARTINEZ, Tyler), clock 11:55. PENALTY TAMU Holding on SHANAHAN, TJ enforced 11 yards from the TAMU42 to the TAMU31 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 17Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.22

Marcel Reed pass complete to EJ Smith for 1 yd to the TA&M 32

3rd & 16Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Marcel Reed pass complete to Jabre Barber for 5 yds to the TA&M 37

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Tyler White punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Jordan Smith at the NMSU 24

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Mike Washington run for 4 yds to the NMSU 28

2nd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.71

Larenzo McMillan run for a loss of 1 yard to the NMSU 27

3rd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Santino Marucci pass complete to TJ Pride for 4 yds to the NMSU 31

4th & 3Punt+9 yds

George Eberle punt for 40 yds , Jabre Barber returns for 9 yds to the TA&M 38

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Marcel Reed pass complete to Terry Bussey for 3 yds to the TA&M 41

2nd & 7Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.90

Marcel Reed pass complete to Tre Watson for 14 yds to the NMSU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Marcel Reed pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

EJ Smith run for 5 yds to the NMSU 40

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

EJ Smith run for 4 yds to the NMSU 36

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

Texas A&M Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the NMSU 41

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Tyler White punt for 38 yds, downed at the NMSU 3

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Seth McGowan run for 3 yds to the NMSU 6

2nd & 7Penalty+15 yds

Texas A&M Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Shemar Turner) to the NMSU 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Seth McGowan run for 5 yds to the NMSU 31

2nd & 5Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.45

Brandon Nunez pass complete to Jerry Lydiatt for 12 yds to the NMSU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.37

Mike Washington run for a loss of 1 yard to the NMSU 42

2nd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.89

Mike Washington run for a loss of 1 yard to the NMSU 41

3rd & 12Penalty+5 yds

Texas A&M Penalty, Offsides (Cashius Howell) to the NMSU 46

3rd & 7Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +3.00

Santino Marucci pass complete to PJ Johnson III for 19 yds to the TA&M 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.69

Seth McGowan run for no gain to the TA&M 35

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Santino Marucci pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Seth McGowan run for 5 yds to the TA&M 30

4th & 5Field Goal Missed+47 yds

Abraham Montano 47 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.32

Marcel Reed pass complete to Jahdae Walker for 14 yds to the TA&M 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.89

Marcel Reed run for 11 yds to the NMSU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Marcel Reed pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Marcel Reed pass complete to Tre Watson for 5 yds to the NMSU 40

3rd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

EJ Smith run for 2 yds to the NMSU 38

4th & 3Penalty+10 yds

(00:38) REED, Marcel pass deep to the right incomplete intended for BARBER, Jabre thrown to the NMSU10, clock 00:31. PENALTY NMSU Holding on HOBBS, Dakerric enforced 10 yards from the NMSU38 to the NMSU28 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Marcel Reed pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Marcel Reed pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.41

Marcel Reed pass complete to Theo Melin Ohrstrom for 12 yds to the NMSU 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Marcel Reed pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Interception Return+5 ydsPPA -4.10

Marcel Reed pass intercepted Keonte Glinton return for 5 yds to the NMSU 6

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.33

(00:01) [NHSG] Kneel down by MARUCCI, Santino at NMSU5 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Seth McGowan run for 4 yds to the NMSU 29

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Seth McGowan run for 4 yds to the NMSU 33

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.25

Brandon Nunez run for 4 yds to the NMSU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.40

Seth McGowan run for a loss of 2 yards to the NMSU 35

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Santino Marucci pass incomplete

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Santino Marucci pass incomplete

4th & 12Punt0 yds

George Eberle punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Jabre Barber at the TA&M 24

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

EJ Smith run for 4 yds to the TA&M 28

2nd & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.20

EJ Smith run for 9 yds to the TA&M 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

EJ Smith run for 5 yds to the TA&M 42

2nd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.02

Marcel Reed pass complete to AJ DiNota for 7 yds to the TA&M 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Marcel Reed pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

AJ DiNota run for 5 yds to the NMSU 46

3rd & 5Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.01

Marcel Reed pass complete to Jabre Barber for 11 yds to the NMSU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

EJ Smith run for 5 yds to the NMSU 30

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Marcel Reed pass incomplete

3rd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.90

EJ Smith run for 5 yds to the NMSU 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Marcel Reed pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

AJ DiNota run for 5 yds to the NMSU 20

3rd & 5Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.22

Marcel Reed pass complete to Tre Watson for 15 yds to the NMSU 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Marcel Reed run for 5 yds for a TD (Randy Bond KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Santino Marucci pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.83

Santino Marucci pass complete to Mike Washington for 13 yds to the NMSU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Mike Washington run for 3 yds to the NMSU 41

2nd & 7Rush-6 ydsPPA -1.62

Mike Washington run for a loss of 6 yards to the NMSU 35

3rd & 13Penalty-5 yds

New Mexico State Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the NMSU 30

3rd & 18Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.33

Santino Marucci pass complete to Mike Washington for 11 yds to the NMSU 41

4th & 7Punt+5 yds

George Eberle punt for 40 yds , Jabre Barber returns for 5 yds to the TA&M 24

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Conner Weigman pass incomplete

2nd & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.41

Conner Weigman sacked by Buddha Peleti for a loss of 2 yards to the TA&M 22

3rd & 12Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.12

Conner Weigman sacked by Buddha Peleti for a loss of 1 yard to the TA&M 21

4th & 13Punt-2 yds

Tyler White punt for 42 yds , Jordan Smith returns for a loss of 2 yards to the NMSU 45

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Seth McGowan run for 3 yds to the NMSU 48

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Santino Marucci pass incomplete

3rd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +2.40

Seth McGowan run for 8 yds to the TA&M 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +0.75

Santino Marucci pass complete to Jordan Smith for 21 yds to the TA&M 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.74

Seth McGowan run for a loss of 3 yards to the TA&M 26

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Brandon Nunez pass incomplete

3rd & 13Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.95

Santino Marucci sacked by Malick Sylla for a loss of 5 yards to the TA&M 31

4th & 18Field Goal Good+48 yds

Abraham Montano 48 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+23 yds

Abraham Montano kickoff for 65 yds , Ashton Bethel-Roman return for 23 yds to the TA&M 13

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Conner Weigman run for 6 yds to the TA&M 19

2nd & 4Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.61

AJ DiNota run for 9 yds to the TA&M 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Conner Weigman pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.89

Conner Weigman pass complete to Theo Melin Ohrstrom for 23 yds to the NMSU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.79

Conner Weigman pass complete to Terry Bussey for 14 yds to the NMSU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

Conner Weigman pass intercepted by Tayden Barnes at the NMSU 0, touchback. PENALTY NMSU Unsportsmanlike Conduct on Tayden Barnes enforced half the distance from the goal, 10 yards from the NMSU 20 to the NMSU 10 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Mike Washington run for 4 yds to the NMSU 14

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Mike Washington run for 4 yds to the NMSU 18

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.67

Mike Washington run for 5 yds to the NMSU 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.54

Santino Marucci run for 1 yd to the NMSU 24

2nd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.34

Tim Gans run for 7 yds to the NMSU 31

3rd & 2Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.31

Mike Washington run for 16 yds to the NMSU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Mike Washington run for 5 yds to the TA&M 48

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Tim Gans run for 2 yds to the TA&M 46

3rd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.31

Tim Gans run for a loss of 1 yard to the TA&M 47

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Santino Marucci pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.38

AJ DiNota run for a loss of 1 yard to the TA&M 46

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Miles O'Neill pass incomplete

3rd & 11Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +3.32

Miles O'Neill pass complete to Ashton Bethel-Roman for 17 yds to the NMSU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

AJ DiNota run for 5 yds to the NMSU 32

2nd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.30

Miles O'Neill pass complete to AJ DiNota for 9 yds to the NMSU 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.63

AJ DiNota run for a loss of 2 yards to the NMSU 25

2nd & 12Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.25

Miles O'Neill pass complete to Izaiah Williams for 7 yds to the NMSU 18

3rd & 5Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.15

Miles O'Neill pass complete to Ashton Bethel-Roman for 13 yds to the NMSU 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

AJ DiNota run for no gain to the NMSU 5

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.44

Miles O'Neill pass complete to Ashton Bethel-Roman for 5 yds for a TD (Drake Bhatia KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Mike Washington run for 7 yds to the NMSU 32

2nd & 3Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.10

Santino Marucci pass complete to Donovan Faupel for 12 yds to the NMSU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Santino Marucci pass incomplete

2nd & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.55

Santino Marucci sacked by Malick Sylla for a loss of 7 yards to the NMSU 37

Situational Analysis

New Mexico State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
25%
24 plays
2nd
100%
1 play
29%
7 plays
22%
9 plays
0%
3 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
0%
1 play
43%
7 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play

Texas A&M

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
42%
33 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
0%
2 plays
88%
8 plays
77%
13 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
67%
6 plays
100%
1 play
67%
3 plays
4th