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← Back to GamesSep 7, 2024Week 2

House Prediction

Model Margin

Florida by 4

Home Win Probability

Florida 58%

Market (ESPN Bet)

Florida -38.5

Edge: Samford +38.5 (34.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 7, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Samford
00707
FloridaFlorida
77141745

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-014-021-731-738-745-7
FloridaSamford

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SAMFLOSAMFLOSAMFLOSAMFLOSAMFLOSAMFLOSAMFLOSAMFLOSAMFLOSAMFLOSAMFLOSAMFLOSAMTO318ydDOWNS626ydPUNT1232ydTD486ydPUNT512ydTO472ydPUNT64ydTD570ydPUNT614ydPUNT34ydPUNT531ydDOWNS832ydEND1-1ydTD469ydTD1275ydTD475ydPUNT33ydFG1556ydPUNT618ydTD185ydPUNT31ydPUNT38ydPUNT512ydTD629ydEND13yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Samford and Florida
StatisticSamfordFlorida
Passing22-3319-28
Pass Yards144466
Rush Yards61166
Total Yards205632
Turnovers11
3rd Down6-155-11
Penalties3-307-77
Possession33:3026:30

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Samford
passing
Quincy Crittendon
22/31, 144 YDS
rushing
Damonta Witherspoon
9 CAR, 26 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Brendan Jenkins
4 REC, 51 YDS
defense
Florida
passing
D.J. Lagway
18/25, 456 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Montrell Johnson
15 CAR, 67 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Eugene Wilson
6 REC, 141 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Micah Kelly run for 8 yds to the SAM 33

2nd & 2Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +0.02

Quincy Crittendon pass complete to D.J. Rias for 3 yds to the SAM 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+7 ydsPPA -1.85

Quincy Crittendon pass complete to D.J. Rias for 7 yds D.J. Rias fumbled, recovered by FLA Aaron Gates A. Gates return for 0 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 1 yd to the SAM 42

2nd & 9Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.35

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 16 yds to the SAM 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.36

DJ Lagway run for 1 yd to the SAM 25

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 2 yds to the SAM 23

3rd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.18

DJ Lagway pass complete to Hayden Hansen for 6 yds to the SAM 17

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -3.79

Treyaun Webb run for no gain to the SAM 17

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.02

D.J. Rias run for 9 yds to the SAM 26

2nd & 1Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Quincy Crittendon pass complete to E. Jai Mason for 3 yds to the SAM 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Quincy Crittendon pass complete to Damonta Witherspoon for 2 yds to the SAM 31

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.49

Quincy Crittendon pass complete to Brendan Jenkins for 7 yds to the SAM 38

3rd & 1Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.97

Damonta Witherspoon run for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Damonta Witherspoon run for 2 yds to the FLA 48

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Quincy Crittendon pass incomplete

3rd & 8Rush+10 ydsPPA +2.48

Quincy Crittendon run for 10 yds to the FLA 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.47

Quincy Crittendon sacked by George Gumbs Jr. for a loss of 8 yards to the FLA 46

2nd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Quincy Crittendon pass incomplete

3rd & 18Penalty-10 yds

Samford Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the FLA 46

3rd & 18Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -0.79

Quincy Crittendon pass complete to E. Jai Mason for a loss of 5 yards to the SAM 49

4th & 23Punt0 yds

Will Thorley punt for 37 yds

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 6 yds to the FLA 20

2nd & 4Pass Reception+77 ydsPPA +4.96

DJ Lagway pass complete to Elijhah Badger for 77 yds to the SAM 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 2 yds to the SAM 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD (Trey Smack KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Iaan Cousin run for 5 yds to the SAM 30

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.84

Quincy Crittendon run for 6 yds to the SAM 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Quincy Crittendon pass complete to Preston Bird for 5 yds to the SAM 41

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Quincy Crittendon pass incomplete

3rd & 5Fumble Recovery (Own)-4 ydsPPA -0.96

Quincy Crittendon run for a loss of 4 yards to the SAM 37 Quincy Crittendon fumbled, recovered by SAM Quincy Crittendon Q. Crittendon return for 0 yds

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Will Thorley punt for 35 yds

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.65

Jadan Baugh run for 7 yds to the FLA 35

2nd & 3Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.28

Jadan Baugh run for 14 yds to the FLA 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+44 ydsPPA +1.73

DJ Lagway pass complete to Chimere Dike for 44 yds to the SAM 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+7 ydsPPA -4.80

Jadan Baugh run for 7 yds Jadan Baugh fumbled, recovered by SAM Midnight Steward M. Steward return for 0 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Damonta Witherspoon run for 3 yds to the SAM 23

2nd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.49

Quincy Crittendon run for a loss of 1 yard to the SAM 22

3rd & 8Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.42

Quincy Crittendon run for 8 yds to the SAM 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.10

Quincy Crittendon run for a loss of 2 yards to the SAM 28

2nd & 12Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Quincy Crittendon pass complete to Damonta Witherspoon for 2 yds to the SAM 30

3rd & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-6 ydsPPA -0.33

Quincy Crittendon sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the SAM 24 Quincy Crittendon fumbled, recovered by SAM , return for 0 yards

4th & 16Punt-3 yds

Will Thorley punt for 43 yds , Chimere Dike returns for a loss of 3 yards to the FLA 30

1st & 10Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +2.88

DJ Lagway pass complete to Hayden Hansen for 40 yds to the SAM 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Florida Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SAM 35

1st & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.41

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 2 yds to the SAM 33

2nd & 13Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.13

DJ Lagway pass complete to Montrell Johnson Jr. for 4 yds to the SAM 29

3rd & 9Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.75

DJ Lagway pass complete to Elijhah Badger for 22 yds to the SAM 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.20

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 7 yds for a TD (Trey Smack KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Quincy Crittendon pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Quincy Crittendon pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.27

Quincy Crittendon pass complete to D.J. Rias for 14 yds to the SAM 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.30

Micah Kelly run for a loss of 1 yard to the SAM 38

2nd & 11Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Quincy Crittendon pass complete to Iaan Cousin for 3 yds to the SAM 41

3rd & 8Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.65

Quincy Crittendon run for a loss of 2 yards to the SAM 39

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Will Thorley punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Chimere Dike at the FLA 20

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for no gain to the FLA 20

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

DJ Lagway run for 3 yds to the FLA 23

3rd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.17

DJ Lagway run for 1 yd to the FLA 24

4th & 6Punt-5 yds

Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 61 yds , Jaylon Barden returns for a loss of 5 yards to the SAM 10

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Damonta Witherspoon run for no gain to the SAM 10

2nd & 10Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +2.87

Quincy Crittendon pass complete to Brendan Jenkins for 35 yds to the SAM 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Quincy Crittendon pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Quincy Crittendon pass complete to Brendan Jenkins for 2 yds to the SAM 47

3rd & 8Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.14

Quincy Crittendon sacked by Caleb Banks for a loss of 6 yards to the SAM 41

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Will Thorley punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Chimere Dike at the FLA 21

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.09

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 14 yds to the FLA 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.38

DJ Lagway pass complete to Arlis Boardingham for 9 yds to the FLA 44

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.44

DJ Lagway pass incomplete

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.11

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 2 yds to the FLA 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

DJ Lagway pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.57

DJ Lagway pass complete to Arlis Boardingham for 7 yds to the SAM 47

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

DJ Lagway pass incomplete

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

DJ Lagway pass incomplete

0th & 10End of Half-1 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.38

(00:01) [NHSG] Kneel down by CRITTENDON, Quincy at SAM46 (team loss of 1).

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+31 yds

Wilson Beaverstock kickoff for 65 yds , Jadan Baugh return for 31 yds to the FLA 31

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.99

DJ Lagway pass complete to Eugene Wilson III for 22 yds to the SAM 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

DJ Lagway pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.65

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 11 yds to the SAM 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+36 ydsPPA +3.01

DJ Lagway pass complete to Tank Hawkins for 36 yds for a TD (Trey Smack KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Quincy Crittendon pass complete to E. Jai Mason for 4 yds to the SAM 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.04

Quincy Crittendon pass complete to Brendan Jenkins for 7 yds to the SAM 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Damonta Witherspoon run for 2 yds to the SAM 38

2nd & 8Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.50

Quincy Crittendon pass complete to D.J. Rias for 20 yds to the FLA 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.88

Iaan Cousin run for 9 yds to the FLA 33

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.38

Damonta Witherspoon run for 4 yds to the FLA 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Quincy Crittendon run for 1 yd to the FLA 28

2nd & 9Penalty+5 yds

Florida Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Jason Marshall Jr.) to the FLA 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29

Micah Kelly run for no gain to the FLA 11

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.35

Quincy Crittendon pass complete to Damonta Witherspoon for 9 yds to the FLA 2

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.52

Damonta Witherspoon run for 1 yd to the FLA 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Damonta Witherspoon run for 1 yd for a TD (Forrest Taylor KICK)

0th & 0Penalty-5 yds

TAYLOR, Forrest PAT kick attempt is good, score nullified by penalty. PENALTY Before the snap, SAM False Start on HAWKINS, Donovan enforced 5 yards from the UFL3 to the UFL8. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.42

DJ Lagway pass complete to Eugene Wilson III for 16 yds to the FLA 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.90

Ja'Kobi Jackson run for 10 yds to the SAM 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.82

Ja'Kobi Jackson run for 8 yds to the SAM 41

2nd & 2Passing Touchdown+41 ydsPPA +2.95

DJ Lagway pass complete to Aidan Mizell for 41 yds for a TD (Trey Smack KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Micah Kelly run for 3 yds to the SAM 28

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Quincy Crittendon pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Quincy Crittendon pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Will Thorley punt for 35 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 3 yds to the FLA 40

2nd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.46

DJ Lagway pass complete to Eugene Wilson III for 8 yds to the FLA 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.80

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the FLA 45

2nd & 13Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.97

DJ Lagway pass complete to Elijhah Badger for 24 yds to the SAM 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

DJ Lagway pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

DJ Lagway pass complete to Montrell Johnson Jr. for 5 yds to the SAM 26

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

DJ Lagway run for 4 yds to the SAM 22

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.86

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 3 yds to the SAM 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.20

DJ Lagway pass complete to Eugene Wilson III for 2 yds to the SAM 17

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Treyaun Webb run for 5 yds to the SAM 12

3rd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.70

Treyaun Webb run for 6 yds to the SAM 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Penalty-10 yds

(14:26) LAGWAY, DJ pass to the right incomplete intended for HANSEN, Hayden broken up by DEARMAN, Edwin at the SAM0, clock 14:27. PENALTY UFL Holding on GEORGE JR., Damieon enforced 10 yards from the SAM6 to the SAM16 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 16Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.22

Treyaun Webb run for 1 yd to the SAM 15

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

DJ Lagway pass incomplete

3rd & 15Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.33

DJ Lagway pass complete to Eugene Wilson III for 8 yds to the SAM 7

4th & 7Field Goal Good+25 yds

Trey Smack 25 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

D.J. Rias pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.48

Quincy Crittendon pass complete to Iaan Cousin for 8 yds to the SAM 33

3rd & 2Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.25

Quincy Crittendon pass complete to E. Jai Mason for 4 yds to the SAM 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Micah Kelly run for no gain to the SAM 37

2nd & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.76

Quincy Crittendon pass complete to Preston Bird for a loss of 1 yard to the SAM 36

3rd & 11Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.24

Micah Kelly run for 7 yds to the SAM 43

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Will Thorley punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Chimere Dike at the FLA 15

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+85 ydsPPA +6.62

DJ Lagway pass complete to Eugene Wilson III for 85 yds for a TD (Trey Smack KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.70

Quincy Crittendon pass complete to Teddy Davenport for no gain to the SAM 25

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Damonta Witherspoon run for 1 yd to the SAM 26

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Quincy Crittendon pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt+9 yds

Will Thorley punt for 46 yds , Chimere Dike returns for 9 yds to the FLA 37

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Jadan Baugh run for 6 yds to the FLA 43

2nd & 4Penalty-5 yds

Florida Penalty, False Start (TEAM) to the FLA 38

2nd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.55

DJ Lagway run for 7 yds to the FLA 45

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

DJ Lagway pass incomplete

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Jaylon Barden at the SAM 17

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Ken Cherry run for 2 yds to the SAM 19

2nd & 8Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.39

Ken Cherry run for a loss of 2 yards to the SAM 17

3rd & 10Penalty+15 yds

(04:49) SCALZO, Nik pass to the left incomplete intended for TAYLOR, Tate thrown to the SAM26, clock 04:48. PENALTY UFL Roughing the Passer on ROBINSON, D'Antre enforced 15 yards from the SAM17 to the SAM32 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Nik Scalzo pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Ken Cherry run for 4 yds to the SAM 36

3rd & 6Fumble Recovery (Own)-7 ydsPPA -0.75

Nik Scalzo sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the SAM 29 Nik Scalzo fumbled, recovered by SAM Nik Scalzo , return for 0 yards

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Will Thorley punt for 46 yds , Chimere Dike returns for no gain to the SAM 29

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Aidan Warner pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.39

KD Daniels run for 2 yds to the SAM 27

3rd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.13

Aidan Warner pass complete to Jackson Wade for 10 yds to the SAM 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

KD Daniels run for 3 yds to the SAM 14

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

KD Daniels run for 5 yds to the SAM 9

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.63

Aidan Warner run for 9 yds for a TD (Trey Smack KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Trey Smack kickoff for 47 yds , Preston Bird return for 18 yds to the SAM 36

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Ken Cherry run for 3 yds to the SAM 39

Situational Analysis

Samford

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
19%
27 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
36%
14 plays
0%
3 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
38%
8 plays
50%
2 plays
4th

Florida

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
54%
26 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
75%
4 plays
100%
1 play
73%
11 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
0%
1 play
75%
4 plays
100%
1 play
4th
33%
3 plays