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← Back to GamesAug 30, 2024Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Missouri by 36.7

Home Win Probability

Missouri 97%

Market (ESPN Bet)

Missouri -50.5

Edge: Murray State +50.5 (13.8 pts)

fitted_v1 · Aug 30, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Murray State
00000
MissouriMissouri
28710651

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-021-028-035-038-048-051-0
MissouriMurray State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MISMSMISMSMSMISMSMISMSMISMSMISMSMISMSMSMISMSMISMSMISMSMISMSTD642ydDOWNS49ydTD334ydTD10ydPUNT612ydTD670ydPUNT3-2ydTO524ydPUNT21ydPUNT4-2ydPUNT34ydPUNT615ydPUNT617ydTD1468ydEND1-1ydPUNT35ydFG976ydTO3-15ydTD210ydPUNT38ydFG1476ydPUNT828ydFG1284ydEND614yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Murray State and Missouri
StatisticMurray StateMissouri
Passing7-1529-41
Pass Yards27300
Rush Yards58189
Total Yards85489
Turnovers21
3rd Down4-158-13
Penalties6-527-44
Possession26:4633:14

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Murray State
passing
Jayden Johannsen
7/13, 27 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Jawaun Northington
7 CAR, 25 YDS
receiving
Josh Crabtree
2 REC, 14 YDS
defense
Missouri
passing
Brady Cook
19/30, 218 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Nate Noel
11 CAR, 48 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Mookie Cooper
1 REC, 49 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+2 yds

James London kickoff for 9 yds , Daniel Blood return for 2 yds to the MUR 42

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.42

Luther Burden III run for 10 yds to the MUR 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Nate Noel run for 5 yds to the MUR 27

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.16

Brady Cook run for 6 yds to the MUR 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Brady Cook pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Brady Cook pass complete to Nate Noel for 5 yds to the MUR 16

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +2.98

Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 16 yds for a TD (Blake Craig KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Jordan Washington run for 7 yds to the MUR 32

2nd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.14

Jordan Washington run for a loss of 1 yard to the MUR 31

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Jordan Washington run for 3 yds to the MUR 34

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.20

Jayden Johannsen run for no gain to the MUR 34

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

(10:58) COOK, Brady pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for BURDEN, Luther thrown to the MSU3, clock 10:53. PENALTY MSU Pass Interference on REED, KaVan enforced 15 yards to the MSU19 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Nate Noel run for 4 yds to the MUR 15

2nd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Nate Noel run for 6 yds to the MUR 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rushing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.42

Nate Noel run for 9 yds for a TD (Blake Craig KICK)

1st & 10Interception Return Touchdown+25 ydsPPA -7.92

Jayden Johannsen pass intercepted Toriano Pride Jr. return for 25 yds for a TD (Blake Craig KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Kywon Morgan run for 1 yd to the MUR 26

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.41

Kywon Morgan run for no gain to the MUR 26

3rd & 9Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.83

Kywon Morgan run for 9 yds to the MUR 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Jayden Johannsen pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Jayden Johannsen pass complete to Kylan Galbreath for 1 yd to the MUR 36

3rd & 9Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.30

Jayden Johannsen pass complete to Kywon Morgan for 1 yd to the MUR 37

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Tom O'Hara punt for 33 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.77

Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 19 yds to the MIZ 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Brady Cook pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.15

Brady Cook pass complete to Mekhi Miller for 18 yds to the MUR 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +0.36

Marcus Carroll run for 20 yds to the MUR 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.60

Brady Cook pass complete to Theo Wease Jr. for 12 yds to the MUR 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Marcus Carroll run for 1 yd for a TD (Blake Craig KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Q'Daryius Jennings run for 1 yd to the MUR 26

2nd & 9Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.51

JK Carter run for a loss of 2 yards to the MUR 24

3rd & 11Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.15

Jayden Johannsen sacked by Khalil Jacobs for a loss of 1 yard to the MUR 23

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Tom O'Hara punt for 36 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Brady Cook pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.65

Marcus Carroll run for 1 yd to the MIZ 42

3rd & 9Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +3.16

Brady Cook pass complete to Joshua Manning for 16 yds to the MUR 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.48

Brady Cook pass complete to Marcus Carroll for 12 yds to the MUR 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-5 ydsPPA -4.19

Brady Cook run for a loss of 5 yards to the MUR 35 Brady Cook fumbled, recovered by MUR Kevon Haigler K. Haigler return for 0 yds

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Jawaun Northington run for 4 yds to the MUR 44

3rd & 1Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.43

Jayden Johannsen run for a loss of 3 yards to the MUR 41

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Tom O'Hara punt for 59 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jawaun Northington run for 5 yds to the MUR 40

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Brady Cook pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-10 yds

Missouri Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the MIZ 7

2nd & 16Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.19

Brady Cook pass complete to Theo Wease Jr. for 9 yds to the MIZ 23

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

Brady Cook pass incomplete

4th & 7Penalty-5 yds

Missouri Penalty, Delay Of Game (-5 Yards) to the MIZ 13

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Luke Bauer punt for 52 yds, fair catch by KaVan Reed at the MUR 30

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Jayden Johannsen run for 3 yds to the MUR 33

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Jayden Johannsen pass incomplete

3rd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.30

Jayden Johannsen run for 1 yd to the MUR 34

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Tom O'Hara punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Luther Burden III at the MIZ 30

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Nate Noel run for 3 yds to the MIZ 33

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Brady Cook pass complete to Nate Noel for 6 yds to the MIZ 39

3rd & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.64

Nate Noel run for 8 yds to the MIZ 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Brady Cook pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.26

Brady Cook pass complete to Joshua Manning for a loss of 2 yards to the MIZ 45

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Brady Cook pass incomplete

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Luke Bauer punt for 45 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Kywon Morgan run for 2 yds to the MUR 12

2nd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Jayden Johannsen pass complete to JK Carter for 5 yds to the MUR 17

3rd & 3Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +0.59

Jayden Johannsen pass complete to Kywon Morgan for 3 yds to the MUR 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Kywon Morgan run for 4 yds to the MUR 24

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jayden Johannsen pass complete to Josh Crabtree for 5 yds to the MUR 29

3rd & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.70

Kywon Morgan run for a loss of 2 yards to the MUR 27

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Tom O'Hara punt for 41 yds, downed at the MIZ 32

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Brady Cook pass complete to Brett Norfleet for 4 yds to the MIZ 36

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Marcus Carroll run for 4 yds to the MIZ 40

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.53

Marcus Carroll run for 5 yds to the MIZ 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.66

Brady Cook pass complete to Marcus Carroll for 7 yds to the MUR 48

2nd & 3Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.20

Brady Cook pass complete to Nate Noel for 4 yds to the MUR 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 4 yds to the MUR 40

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Brady Cook pass complete to Nate Noel for 5 yds to the MUR 35

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.53

Nate Noel run for 2 yds to the MUR 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Brady Cook pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +0.98

Brady Cook run for 18 yds to the MUR 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Missouri Penalty, False Start (Tre'Vez Johnson) to the MUR 20

1st & 15Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Nate Noel run for 5 yds to the MUR 15

2nd & 10Penalty+9 yds

Murray State Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Kevon Haigler) to the MUR 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Brady Cook pass incomplete

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Brady Cook run for 3 yds for a TD (Blake Craig KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

(00:01) [SG] Kneel down by JOHANNSEN, Jayden at MSU24 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.

0th & 11End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Jordan Washington run for 3 yds to the MUR 38

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.87

Jordan Washington run for no gain to the MUR 38

3rd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Jordan Washington run for 2 yds to the MUR 40

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Tom O'Hara punt for 58 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Brady Cook pass complete to Joshua Manning for 7 yds to the MIZ 9

2nd & 3Penalty-9 yds

(12:38) NOEL, Nate rush up the middle for a gain of 9 yards to the MIZ18 (PRESTON, Larry), clock 12:32. PENALTY MIZ Holding on GREEN, Cayden enforced half the distance from the goal, 4 yards from the MIZ9 to the MIZ5 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.08

Nate Noel run for 3 yds to the MIZ 8

3rd & 4Pass Reception+49 ydsPPA +3.80

Brady Cook pass complete to Mookie Cooper for 49 yds to the MUR 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Brady Cook pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.59

Brady Cook pass complete to Marquis Johnson for 18 yds to the MUR 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Nate Noel run for 1 yd to the MUR 24

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Nate Noel run for 2 yds to the MUR 22

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Brady Cook pass incomplete

4th & 7Field Goal Good+39 yds

Blake Craig 39 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Jayden Johannsen run for a loss of 2 yards to the MUR 23

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Jayden Johannsen pass incomplete

3rd & 12Sack-13 ydsPPA -0.19

Jayden Johannsen sacked for a loss of 13 yards to the MUR 10 Jayden Johannsen fumbled, recovered by MIZ Joe Moore , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Drew Pyne run for 8 yds to the MUR 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Jamal Roberts run for 2 yds for a TD (Blake Craig KICK)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Q'Daryius Jennings run for 8 yds to the MUR 33

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.13

Q'Daryius Jennings run for no gain to the MUR 33

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Jayden Johannsen pass incomplete

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Tom O'Hara punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Daniel Blood at the MIZ 19

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Drew Pyne pass complete to Daniel Blood for 7 yds to the MIZ 26

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Jamal Roberts run for 2 yds to the MIZ 28

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.92

Jamal Roberts run for 4 yds to the MIZ 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Tavorus Jones run for 5 yds to the MIZ 37

2nd & 5Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.41

Drew Pyne pass complete to Tyler Stephens for 11 yds to the MIZ 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Tavorus Jones run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Drew Pyne pass complete to Tyler Stephens for 6 yds to the MUR 44

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.17

Tavorus Jones run for 5 yds to the MUR 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Drew Pyne pass complete to Marquis Johnson for 6 yds to the MUR 33

2nd & 4Penalty+15 yds

Murray State Penalty, Personal Foul (Justice Cross) to the MUR 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Tavorus Jones run for 6 yds to the MUR 3

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Tavorus Jones run for 1 yd to the MUR 2

3rd & 2Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.51

Tavorus Jones run for a loss of 3 yards to the MUR 5

4th & 5Field Goal Good+22 yds

Blake Craig 22 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Jayden Johannsen pass complete to Josh Crabtree for 9 yds to the MUR 34

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.28

Jawaun Northington run for no gain to the MUR 34

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.95

Jawaun Northington run for 2 yds to the MUR 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Jawaun Northington run for 4 yds to the MUR 40

2nd & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.39

Jawaun Northington run for 9 yds to the MUR 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Jawaun Northington run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

2nd & 9Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Jayden Johannsen pass complete to Jawaun Northington for 3 yds to the MIZ 47

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Jayden Johannsen pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Tom O'Hara punt for 40 yds, downed at the MIZ 7

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Murray State Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Jordan Sonnabend) to the MIZ 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.05

Kewan Lacy run for 11 yds to the MIZ 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.99

Drew Pyne pass complete to Marquis Johnson for 8 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 2Penalty-5 yds

Missouri Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MIZ 45

2nd & 7Penalty+5 yds

(06:21) PYNE, Drew pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for CRUTCHFIELD, Courtney broken up by SLADE, Trelon at the MSU24, clock 06:17. PENALTY MSU Offsides on SONNABEND, Jordan enforced 5 yards from the MIZ45 to the MIZ50 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 2Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.43

Drew Pyne pass complete to Daniel Blood for 11 yds to the MUR 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.44

Kewan Lacy run for 7 yds to the MUR 32

2nd & 3Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.10

Kewan Lacy run for 13 yds to the MUR 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Kewan Lacy run for 6 yds to the MUR 13

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Kewan Lacy run for 5 yds to the MUR 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Drew Pyne pass incomplete

2nd & 8Penalty-10 yds

(03:50) LACY, Kewan rush to the left for no gain to the MSU8 (GUILLORY, Esteban), clock 03:46. PENALTY MIZ Holding on RICHARDSON, Jayven enforced 10 yards from the MSU8 to the MSU18 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 18Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Drew Pyne pass complete to Daniel Blood for 4 yds to the MUR 14

3rd & 14Penalty+5 yds

(02:41) PYNE, Drew pass to the right incomplete intended for MADISON III, James thrown to the MSU0, clock 02:40. PENALTY MSU Offsides on ADEWOLE, Detoye enforced 5 yards from the MSU14 to the MSU9 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Drew Pyne pass complete to Daniel Blood for 5 yds to the MUR 4

4th & 4Penalty-5 yds

Missouri Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MUR 9

4th & 9Field Goal Good+27 yds

Blake Craig 27 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jameson Holcomb pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Kevin Emmanuel run for 3 yds to the MUR 28

3rd & 7Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.69

Kevin Emmanuel run for 7 yds to the MUR 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Kevin Emmanuel run for 4 yds to the MUR 39

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Jameson Holcomb pass incomplete

3rd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Kevin Emmanuel run for no gain to the MUR 39

Situational Analysis

Murray State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
22%
18 plays
2nd
0%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
13%
8 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
40%
5 plays
0%
3 plays
40%
5 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play

Missouri

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
55%
33 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
71%
7 plays
83%
6 plays
60%
10 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
83%
6 plays
100%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
0%
1 play
4th