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← Back to GamesDec 26, 2023Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Bowling Green by 9.1

Home Win Probability

Minnesota 31%

Market (Bovada)

Minnesota -2.5

Edge: Bowling Green +2.5 (11.6 pts)

fitted_v1 · Dec 26, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Bowling GreenBowling Green
7301424
MinnesotaMinnesota
6314730

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014286-79-716-1023-1023-1730-24
MinnesotaBowling Green

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20BGMINBGMINBGMINBGMINBGMINBGMINBGMINBGMINBGMINBGMINBGMINTD375ydTD1375ydDOWNS1141ydPUNT38ydPUNT34ydFG742ydPUNT627ydPUNT39ydPUNT30ydTO10ydFG40ydPUNT36ydEND1-2ydTD1178ydPUNT3-9ydTD627ydPUNT615ydPUNT512ydTD780ydTD548ydTD1475ydEND42yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Bowling Green and Minnesota
StatisticBowling GreenMinnesota
Passing21-378-16
Pass Yards22126
Rush Yards82255
Total Yards303281
Turnovers01
3rd Down4-135-12
Penalties5-313-8
Possession26:3833:22

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Bowling Green
passing
Connor Bazelak
21/36, 221 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
PaSean Wimberly
3 CAR, 63 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Odieu Hilaire
10 REC, 152 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Minnesota
passing
Cole Kramer
8/16, 26 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Darius Taylor
35 CAR, 208 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Darius Taylor
2 REC, 11 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Odieu Hiliare for 12 yds to the BGSU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.51

Jamal Johnson run for 17 yds to the MINN 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+46 ydsPPA +3.54

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Odieu Hiliare for 46 yds for a TD (Alan Anaya KICK)

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.22

Darius Taylor run for 14 yds to the MINN 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Cole Kramer pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 3 yds to the MINN 42

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.81

Darius Taylor run for 1 yd to the MINN 43

3rd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.33

Cole Kramer pass complete to Darius Taylor for 8 yds to the BGSU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.67

Darius Taylor run for 11 yds to the BGSU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Darius Taylor run for 4 yds to the BGSU 34

2nd & 6Penalty+15 yds

Kramer, Cole pass incomplete to Jackson, Daniel, PENALTY BOWLGREEN roughing passer (Ferguson, Davon) 15 yards to the BOWLGREEN19, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MINNESOTA.

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.28

Darius Taylor run for 1 yd to the BGSU 18

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Darius Taylor run for 4 yds to the BGSU 14

3rd & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Cole Kramer pass complete to Darius Taylor for 3 yds to the BGSU 11

4th & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.01

Darius Taylor run for 5 yds to the BGSU 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Darius Taylor run for 3 yds to the BGSU 3

2nd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.48

Cole Kramer run for a loss of 1 yard to the BGSU 4

3rd & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.70

Cole Kramer pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 4 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Jamal Johnson for 3 yds to the BGSU 28

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jaison Patterson run for 5 yds to the BGSU 33

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.34

Jhaylin Embry run for 5 yds to the BGSU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.27

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Odieu Hiliare for 14 yds to the MINN 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Odieu Hiliare

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Harold Fannin Jr. run for 4 yds to the MINN 44

3rd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.88

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Abdul-Fatai Ibrahim for 7 yds to the MINN 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Jamal Johnson run for 3 yds to the MINN 34

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete

4th & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.84

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Odieu Hiliare

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Darius Taylor run for 6 yds to the MINN 41

2nd & 4Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.95

Cole Kramer pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 1 yd to the MINN 42

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.68

Darius Taylor run for 1 yd to the MINN 43

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Mark Crawford punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Jhaylin Embry at the BGSU 11

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Camden Orth run for 6 yds to the BGSU 17

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.49

Camden Orth run for no gain to the BGSU 17

3rd & 4Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.27

Camden Orth run for a loss of 2 yards to the BGSU 15 Camden Orth fumbled, recovered by BGSU

4th & 6Punt+8 yds

Jackson Kleather punt for 47 yds , Quentin Redding returns for 8 yds to the MINN 46

1st & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.79

Cole Kramer pass complete to Daniel Jackson for a loss of 3 yards to the MINN 43

2nd & 13Rush+31 ydsPPA +3.26

Cole Kramer run for 31 yds to the BGSU 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.16

Darius Taylor run for 11 yds to the BGSU 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Darius Taylor run for 3 yds to the BGSU 12

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Cole Kramer pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Cole Kramer pass incomplete

4th & 7Field Goal Good+31 yds

Dragan Kesich 31 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.07

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Odieu Hiliare for 23 yds to the BGSU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.15

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Odieu Hiliare for 9 yds to the MINN 43

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Harold Fannin Jr. run for 3 yds to the MINN 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Harold Fannin Jr.

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

Bowling Green Penalty, False Start (Cedric Dunbar II) to the MINN 45

2nd & 15Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.89

Connor Bazelak sacked by Jah Joyner for a loss of 8 yards to the BGSU 47

3rd & 23Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Lucian Anderson III run for 5 yds to the MINN 48 Bowling Green Penalty, Offensive Holding (Yards) declined

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Jackson Kleather punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Quentin Redding at the MINN 15

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Darius Taylor run for 5 yds to the MINN 20

2nd & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Cole Kramer pass complete to Jameson Geers for 3 yds to the MINN 23

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.32

Darius Taylor run for 1 yd to the MINN 24

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Mark Crawford punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Jhaylin Embry at the BGSU 34

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.99

Harold Fannin Jr. run for no gain to the BGSU 34

2nd & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.57

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Abdul-Fatai Ibrahim for no gain to the BGSU 34 Bowling Green Penalty, Illegal Touching (Yards) to the BGSU 34

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Harold Fannin Jr.

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Jackson Kleather punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Quentin Redding at the MINN 29

1st & 10Pass Interception Return+28 ydsPPA -1.22

Cole Kramer pass intercepted Darius Lorfils return for 28 yds to the MINN 15

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -0.97

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for a loss of 5 yards to the MINN 20

3rd & 15Penalty+5 yds

Minnesota Penalty, Defensive Offside (Jah Joyner) to the MINN 15

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Odieu Hiliare

4th & 10Field Goal Good+33 yds

Alan Anaya 33 yd FG GOOD

4th & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+15 yds

Jack Sauder kickoff for 58 yds , Le'Meke Brockington return for 15 yds to the MINN 22

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Cole Kramer pass incomplete to Elijah Spencer

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Darius Taylor run for 2 yds to the MINN 24

3rd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Darius Taylor run for 4 yds to the MINN 28

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Mark Crawford punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Jhaylin Embry at the BGSU 29

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.06

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the BGSU 27

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Jack Sauder kickoff for 62 yds , Quentin Redding return for 19 yds to the MINN 22

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Cole Kramer pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.93

Darius Taylor run for 16 yds to the MINN 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Darius Taylor run for 7 yds to the MINN 45

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.32

Darius Taylor run for 4 yds to the MINN 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.83

Darius Taylor run for 13 yds to the BGSU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Cole Kramer pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.30

Jordan Nubin run for 21 yds to the BGSU 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.53

Darius Taylor run for 11 yds to the BGSU 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Darius Taylor run for 4 yds to the BGSU 2

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Darius Taylor run for 1 yd to the BGSU 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Cole Kramer run for 1 yd for a TD (Dragan Kesich KICK)

1st & 10Sack-11 ydsPPA -1.24

Connor Bazelak sacked by Tyler Stolsky for a loss of 11 yards to the BGSU 14 Bowling Green Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Yards) to the BGSU 14

2nd & 21Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.14

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 10 yds to the BGSU 24

3rd & 11Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.21

Connor Bazelak sacked by Jah Joyner for a loss of 8 yards to the BGSU 16

4th & 19Punt+27 yds

Jackson Kleather punt for 38 yds , Quentin Redding returns for 27 yds to the BGSU 27

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Darius Taylor run for 3 yds to the BGSU 24

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Darius Taylor run for 5 yds to the BGSU 19

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.27

Darius Taylor run for 4 yds to the BGSU 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Jordan Nubin run for 6 yds to the BGSU 9

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Darius Taylor run for 2 yds to the BGSU 7

3rd & 2Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.60

Cole Kramer pass complete to Jameson Geers for 7 yds for a TD (Dragan Kesich KICK)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Connor Bazelak run for a loss of 2 yards to the BGSU 23

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Odieu Hiliare

3rd & 12Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.26

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Odieu Hiliare for 15 yds to the BGSU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Connor Bazelak run for 2 yds to the BGSU 40

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Odieu Hiliare Bowling Green Penalty, Offensive Holding (Yards) declined

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Jackson Kleather punt for 36 yds, downed at the MINN 24

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Darius Taylor run for 5 yds to the MINN 29

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.72

Darius Taylor run for 5 yds to the MINN 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Darius Taylor run for 2 yds to the MINN 36

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.74

Cole Kramer pass incomplete to Daniel Jackson

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Cole Kramer pass incomplete to Daniel Jackson

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Mark Crawford punt for 44 yds, downed at the BGSU 20

1st & 10Rush+42 ydsPPA +3.29

PaSean Wimberly run for 42 yds to the MINN 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.98

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Odieu Hiliare for a loss of 1 yard to the MINN 39

2nd & 11Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.01

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Jaison Patterson for no gain to the MINN 39

3rd & 11Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.72

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Austin Osborne for 8 yds to the MINN 31

4th & 3Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.77

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Odieu Hiliare for 13 yds to the MINN 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Harold Fannin Jr. pass incomplete to Jaylon Tillman

2nd & 10Rushing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +2.94

PaSean Wimberly run for 18 yds for a TD (Alan Anaya KICK)

2nd & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+51 yds

Jack Sauder kickoff for 64 yds , Le'Meke Brockington return for 51 yds to the BGSU 48

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Darius Taylor run for 6 yds to the BGSU 42

2nd & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.42

Darius Taylor run for 8 yds to the BGSU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.20

Jordan Nubin run for a loss of 3 yards to the BGSU 37

2nd & 13Penalty+11 yds

Kramer, Cole pass incomplete to Geers, Jameson, PENALTY BOWLGREEN pass interference 11 yards to the BOWLGREEN26, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MINNESOTA.

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.65

Darius Taylor run for 9 yds to the BGSU 17

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +2.07

Darius Taylor run for 17 yds for a TD (Dragan Kesich KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

PaSean Wimberly run for 3 yds to the BGSU 28

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Austin Osborne

3rd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.98

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 10 yds to the BGSU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Levi Gazarek

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Jaylon Tillman for 2 yds to the BGSU 40

3rd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 6 yds to the BGSU 46

4th & 2Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +2.60

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Odieu Hiliare for 6 yds to the MINN 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.31

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Jaison Patterson for a loss of 1 yard to the MINN 49

2nd & 11Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +2.38

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 29 yds to the MINN 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.11

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Odieu Hiliare for 15 yds to the MINN 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 0Penalty+2 yds

Minnesota Penalty, Defensive Offside (2 Yards) to the MINN 3

1st & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete

2nd & 0Penalty+1 yds

Bazelak, Connor pass incomplete to Tillman, Jaylon, PENALTY MINNESOTA pass interference 1 yards to the MINNESOTA2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN BOWLGREEN.

1st & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Harold Fannin Jr.

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Connor Bazelak run for 2 yds for a TD (Alan Anaya KICK)

2nd & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Jack Sauder kickoff for 14 yds , Corey Crooms Jr. return for no gain to the BGSU 49

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.62

Darius Taylor run for 10 yds to the BGSU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.22

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the BGSU 41

2nd & 12Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.63

TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the BGSU 44

3rd & 15Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.96

TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the BGSU 47

Situational Analysis

Bowling Green

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
33%
24 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play
30%
10 plays
40%
5 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
50%
2 plays
33%
6 plays
75%
4 plays
4th
100%
2 plays
0%
1 play

Minnesota

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
50%
26 plays
2nd
50%
4 plays
40%
5 plays
38%
8 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
67%
3 plays
0%
3 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play