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← Back to GamesSep 29, 2023Week 5
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Princeton by 16.2

Home Win Probability

Princeton 82%

Market (Caesars Sportsbook (Colorado))

Princeton -6.5

Edge: Princeton -6.5 (9.7 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 29, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Columbia
00707
Princeton
300710

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q407143-03-710-7
PrincetonColumbia

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20PRICOLPRICOLPRICOLPRIPRICOLPRICOLCOLPRIPRICOLPRICOLPRICOLPRICOLPRIFG1565ydMISS1761ydMISS860ydPUNT35ydPUNT3-4ydDOWNS939ydPUNT39ydPUNT3-2ydPUNT519ydEND20ydPUNT32ydPUNT33ydTD10ydPUNT34ydPUNT34ydPUNT1026ydPUNT31ydPUNT5-4ydPUNT617ydTD2081ydTO1118ydEND1-4yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Columbia and Princeton
StatisticColumbiaPrinceton
Passing11-2626-43
Pass Yards71191
Rush Yards10880
Total Yards179271
Turnovers22
3rd Down4-166-18
Penalties3-207-50
Possession24:0635:54

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Columbia
passing
Caden Bell
11/26, 71 YDS
rushing
Joey Giorgi
16 CAR, 61 YDS
receiving
Bryson Canty
3 REC, 46 YDS
Princeton
passing
Blake Stenstrom
26/43, 191 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Blake Stenstrom
11 CAR, 30 YDS
receiving
AJ Barber
3 REC, 56 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to Luke Colella for 9 yds to the PRIN 34

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.28

Blake Stenstrom run for no gain to the PRIN 34

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.86

Dareion Murphy run for 1 yd to the PRIN 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to Luke Colella for 7 yds to the PRIN 42

2nd & 3Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.76

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to Matthew Mahoney for 2 yds to the PRIN 44

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.29

John Volker run for 4 yds to the PRIN 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

John Volker run for no gain to the PRIN 48

2nd & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.18

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to Matthew Mahoney for 17 yds to the COLU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

John Volker run for 6 yds to the COLU 29

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.53

John Volker run for 1 yd to the COLU 28

3rd & 3Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.73

Blake Stenstrom run for 15 yds to the COLU 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to AJ Barber for 1 yd to the COLU 12

2nd & 9Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to Dareion Murphy for 2 yds to the COLU 10

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Blake Stenstrom pass incomplete to Matthew Mahoney

4th & 7Field Goal Good+28 yds

Jeffrey Sexton 28 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Joey Giorgi run for 4 yds to the COLU 39

2nd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Caden Bell pass complete to JJ Jenkins for 4 yds to the COLU 43

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.28

Joey Giorgi run for 2 yds to the COLU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Caden Bell pass complete to Dominic Busby for 3 yds to the COLU 48

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -1.11

Joey Giorgi run for no gain to the COLU 48

3rd & 7Penalty+10 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Bell,Caden pass incomplete short left to Evans,Titus PENALTY Prin Holding (Newman,Jalen) 10 yards from COLUMB48 to Prin42, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY COLUMB False Start (Chapman,Mark) 5 yards from Prin42 to Prin47. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY COLUMB False Start (Mills,Zach) 5 yards from Prin47 to COLUMB48. NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.56

Malcolm Terry II run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Caden Bell pass incomplete to James Miller

3rd & 18Rush+19 ydsPPA +3.80

Malcolm Terry II run for 19 yds to the PRIN 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.70

Joey Giorgi run for 9 yds to the PRIN 22

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.46

Joey Giorgi run for 3 yds to the PRIN 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.46

Caden Bell pass complete to Bryson Canty for 8 yds to the PRIN 11

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Joey Giorgi run for 1 yd to the PRIN 10

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.24

Ty'son Edwards run for 2 yds to the PRIN 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Ty'son Edwards run for 2 yds to the PRIN 6

2nd & 6Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.30

Caden Bell pass complete to JJ Jenkins for no gain to the PRIN 6

3rd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Caden Bell run for 2 yds to the PRIN 4

4th & 4Field Goal Missed+22 yds

Hugo Merry 22 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

John Volker run for 3 yds to the PRIN 23

2nd & 7Pass Reception+44 ydsPPA +3.72

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to AJ Barber for 44 yds to the COLU 33 for a 1ST down

2nd & 5Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.25

Blake Stenstrom run for 12 yds to the COLU 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY Prin False Start (Colella,Luke) 5 yards from COLUMB16 to COLUMB21. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.28

Blake Stenstrom run for 1 yd to the COLU 20

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Blake Stenstrom pass incomplete to Luke Colella

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Blake Stenstrom pass incomplete to Luke Colella

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to Jo Jo Hawkins for 5 yds to the COLU 28

4th & 14Field Goal Missed+38 yds

Jeffrey Sexton 38 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Joey Giorgi run for 5 yds to the COLU 25

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Caden Bell pass incomplete to Bryson Canty

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Caden Bell pass incomplete to Dominic Busby

4th & 5Punt+8 yds

William Hughes punt for 48 yds , AJ Barber returns for 8 yds to the PRIN 35

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

Ja'Derris Carr run for no gain to the PRIN 35

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Blake Stenstrom pass incomplete to Jalen Geer

3rd & 10Penalty-10 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Stenstrom,Blake rush right for 6 yards gain to the Prin41 (McFadden,Carter), out of bounds PENALTY Prin Holding (Hilliard,Nicholas) 10 yards from Prin35 to Prin25. NO PLAY.

3rd & 20Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.02

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to Ja'Derris Carr for 6 yds to the PRIN 31

4th & 14Blocked Punt+14 yds

Brady Clark punt blocked by Ethan Hebb, punt out-of-bounds at the PRIN 45 blocked by Ethan Hebb

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.54

Joey Giorgi run for 11 yds to the PRIN 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Caden Bell pass complete to Joey Giorgi for 1 yd to the PRIN 33

2nd & 9Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.78

Joey Giorgi run for 10 yds to the PRIN 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Malcolm Terry II run for 5 yds to the PRIN 18

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.06

Malcolm Terry II run for 6 yds to the PRIN 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Malcolm Terry II run for 6 yds to the PRIN 6

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.30

Malcolm Terry II run for 1 yd to the PRIN 5

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Joey Giorgi run for 2 yds to the PRIN 3

4th & 1Rush+3 yds

Caden Bell run for 3 yds to the PRIN 6

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to Jo Jo Hawkins for 2 yds to the PRIN 8

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.19

Blake Stenstrom run for no gain to the PRIN 8

3rd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.09

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to John Volker for 7 yds to the PRIN 15

4th & 1Punt+2 yds

Brady Clark punt for 44 yds , Carter McFadden returns for 2 yds to the COLU 43 Carter McFadden fumbled, recovered by COLU Tyler Morris

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Blake Stenstrom run for 2 yds to the COLU 45 Blake Stenstrom fumbled, recovered by COLU John Volker

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Blake Stenstrom pass incomplete to Tyler Picinic

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Blake Stenstrom pass incomplete to Jo Jo Hawkins

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Brady Clark punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Carter McFadden at the COLU 8

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Ty'son Edwards run for 6 yds to the COLU 14

2nd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Caden Bell pass complete to Titus Evans for 6 yds to the COLU 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Caden Bell pass incomplete to Marcus Libman

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.26

Ty'son Edwards run for no gain to the COLU 20

3rd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.11

Caden Bell pass complete to Wills Meyer for 7 yds to the COLU 27

4th & 3Punt+5 yds

William Hughes punt for 42 yds , AJ Barber returns for 5 yds to the PRIN 36

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to Luke Colella for 9 yds to the PRIN 45

2nd & 1Sack-9 ydsPPA -3.05

Blake Stenstrom sacked by Justin Townsend for a loss of 9 yards to the PRIN 36

0th & 1End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Joey Giorgi run for 3 yds to the COLU 23

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Joey Giorgi run for 1 yd to the COLU 22

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Caden Bell pass incomplete to Joey Giorgi

4th & 8Punt0 yds

William Hughes punt for 38 yds

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Joey Giorgi run for 4 yds to the PRIN 39

2nd & 6Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.76

Caden Bell pass complete to JJ Jenkins for 1 yd to the PRIN 40

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Caden Bell pass incomplete to Joey Giorgi

4th & 7Punt0 yds

William Hughes punt for 31 yds

1st & 10Interception Return Touchdown+2 ydsPPA -7.18

Justin Townsend 2 Yd Interception Return (Hugo Merry Kick)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Dareion Murphy run for 1 yd to the PRIN 26

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Blake Stenstrom pass incomplete to Luke Colella

3rd & 9Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY Prin Delay Of Game (Stenstrom,Blake) 5 yards from Prin26 to Prin21. NO PLAY.

3rd & 14Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.11

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to Tyler Picinic for 8 yds to the PRIN 29

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Brady Clark punt for 56 yds

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Joey Giorgi run for 4 yds to the COLU 19

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.41

Joey Giorgi run for no gain to the COLU 19

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Caden Bell pass incomplete to Marcus Libman

4th & 6Punt+10 yds

William Hughes punt for 52 yds , AJ Barber returns for 10 yds to the PRIN 39

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to John Volker for 6 yds to the PRIN 45

2nd & 4Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY Prin False Start (Matheson,Tommy) 5 yards from Prin45 to Prin40. NO PLAY.

2nd & 9Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.67

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to Jo Jo Hawkins for 1 yd to the PRIN 39

3rd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +3.15

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to Luke Colella for 15 yds to the COLU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to Tamatoa Falatea for 6 yds to the COLU 40

2nd & 4Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.56

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to Luke Colella for 2 yds to the COLU 38

3rd & 2Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA +0.78

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to John Volker for 2 yds to the COLU 40

4th & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +2.46

Blake Stenstrom run for 7 yds to the COLU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Blake Stenstrom pass incomplete to Jo Jo Hawkins

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.46

AJ Barber run for 2 yds to the COLU 35

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Blake Stenstrom pass incomplete to Luke Colella

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Blake Stenstrom punt for 31 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Caden Bell pass incomplete to Dominic Busby

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.10

Malcolm Terry II run for 1 yd to the COLU 5

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.06

Caden Bell pass incomplete to JJ Jenkins

4th & 9Punt0 yds

William Hughes punt for 44 yds

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

John Volker run for 5 yds to the COLU 44

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.57

Blake Stenstrom run for 6 yds to the COLU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Blake Stenstrom pass incomplete to Tyler Picinic

2nd & 10Penalty-10 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Volker,John rush middle for 4 yards gain to the COLUMB34 (Townsend,Justin; Milia,Rocco) PENALTY Prin Holding (Hilliard,Nicholas) 10 yards from COLUMB38 to COLUMB48. NO PLAY.

2nd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Blake Stenstrom pass incomplete to John Volker

3rd & 20Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY Prin False Start (Mahoney,Matthew) 5 yards from COLUMB48 to Prin47. NO PLAY.

3rd & 25Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Blake Stenstrom pass incomplete to AJ Barber

4th & 25Punt0 yds

Brady Clark punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the COLU 16

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Caden Bell run for 1 yd to the COLU 17

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Joey Giorgi run for 4 yds to the COLU 21

3rd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.15

Caden Bell run for 7 yds to the COLU 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Caden Bell pass complete to Joey Giorgi for 5 yds to the COLU 33

2nd & 5Penalty-10 yds

No Huddle Giorgi,Joey rush middle for 3 yards gain to the COLUMB36 (Johnson,Liam; Nicholas,Ozzie) PENALTY COLUMB Holding (Jordan,Noah) 10 yards from COLUMB33 to COLUMB23. NO PLAY.

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Caden Bell pass incomplete to Bryson Canty

3rd & 15Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.22

Caden Bell run for 10 yds to the COLU 33

4th & 5Punt0 yds

William Hughes punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the PRIN 19 , AJ Barber returns for no gain to the PRIN 19

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to Tamatoa Falatea for 6 yds to the PRIN 25

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Blake Stenstrom run for 3 yds to the PRIN 22

3rd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.47

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to Dareion Murphy for 9 yds to the PRIN 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Blake Stenstrom pass incomplete to Dareion Murphy

2nd & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +2.89

Ja'Derris Carr run for 22 yds to the COLU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.05

Ja'Derris Carr run for no gain to the COLU 47

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Blake Stenstrom run for 3 yds to the COLU 44

3rd & 7Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.16

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to AJ Barber for 11 yds to the COLU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.34

John Volker run for 2 yds to the COLU 31

2nd & 8Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to Jo Jo Hawkins for 2 yds to the COLU 29

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Blake Stenstrom pass incomplete to AJ Barber

4th & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.92

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to Luke Colella for 8 yds to the COLU 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Blake Stenstrom pass incomplete to Jo Jo Hawkins

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Ja'Derris Carr run for 2 yds to the COLU 19

3rd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.15

Ja'Derris Carr run for 6 yds to the COLU 13

4th & 2Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +0.62

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to Luke Colella for 3 yds to the COLU 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

John Volker run for 2 yds to the COLU 8

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Blake Stenstrom pass incomplete to John Volker

3rd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.16

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to Tyler Picinic for 7 yds to the COLU 1

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.79

John Volker run for 1 yd for a TD (Jeffrey Sexton KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

kickoff for 57 yds , return for 17 yds to the COLU 20

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Caden Bell pass incomplete to Bryson Canty

2nd & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.35

Caden Bell sacked by Bakari Edwards for a loss of 3 yards to the COLU 17

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.07

Caden Bell pass incomplete to JJ Jenkins

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Caden Bell pass incomplete to Marcus Libman

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Caden Bell pass incomplete to Bryson Canty

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Caden Bell pass incomplete to Dominic Busby

4th & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +3.70

Caden Bell pass complete to Bryson Canty for 21 yds to the PRIN 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Ty'son Edwards run for 4 yds to the PRIN 41

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.81

Caden Bell run for 1 yd to the PRIN 40

4th & 13Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.02

Caden Bell pass complete to Bryson Canty for 17 yds to the COLU 34 for a 1ST down

3rd & 5Fumble Recovery (Own)-22 ydsPPA -2.95

Caden Bell sacked by Sekou Roland for a loss of 22 yards to the COLU 38 Caden Bell fumbled, recovered by COLU Ryan Savage , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

run for 4 yds to the COLU 42

Situational Analysis

Columbia

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
38%
21 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
2 plays
22%
9 plays
13%
8 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
20%
5 plays
20%
5 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play

Princeton

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
36%
25 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
3 plays
40%
5 plays
23%
13 plays
0%
3 plays
3rd
100%
4 plays
0%
1 play
86%
7 plays
33%
6 plays
4th
100%
2 plays
100%
2 plays