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← Back to GamesNov 18, 2023Week 12
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Western Carolina by 13.6

Home Win Probability

VMI 21%

Market (ESPN Bet)

VMI +16.5

Edge: VMI +16.5 (2.9 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 18, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Western Carolina
01001424
VMI
0713727

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-07-37-1013-1020-10
VMIWestern Carolina

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20WCVMIWCVMIWCVMIWCVMIWCVMIWCVMIWCVMIVMIWCVMIWCVMIWCVMIPUNT734ydPUNT36ydDOWNS631ydPUNT32ydDOWNS945ydTD979ydFG1051ydPUNT34ydPUNT34ydPUNT412ydTD880ydTO854ydPUNT420ydEND1-2ydPUNT732ydPUNT69ydTD647ydPUNT34ydTD163ydTO312ydUncategorized626yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Western Carolina and VMI
StatisticWestern CarolinaVMI
Passing14-268-19
Pass Yards164144
Rush Yards116154
Total Yards280298
Turnovers11
3rd Down4-123-9
Penalties4-453-30
Possession22:1022:50

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Western Carolina
passing
Brody Palhegyi
12/22, 142 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Desmond Reid
15 CAR, 39 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Zion Booker
2 REC, 45 YDS
VMI
passing
Hunter Rice
1/1, 1 YDS
rushing
Hunter Rice
12 CAR, 126 YDS, 3 TD
receiving
Aidan Twombly
5 REC, 121 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Branson Adams run for 3 yds to the WCU 20

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.88

Branson Adams run for 8 yds to the WCU 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.65

Cole Gonzales run for 7 yds to the WCU 35

2nd & 3Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.74

Branson Adams run for 8 yds to the WCU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Branson Adams run for 5 yds to the WCU 48

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.20

Cole Gonzales pass incomplete to Censere Lee

3rd & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Cole Gonzales pass complete to Branson Adams for 3 yds to the VMI 49

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Stephen Brantley punt for 24 yds

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Rashad Raymond run for 6 yds to the VMI 31

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

pass incomplete to Rashad Raymond

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

pass incomplete to Aidan Twombly

4th & 4Punt+10 yds

Jack Culbreath punt for 44 yds , AJ Colombo returns for 10 yds to the WCU 35

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Desmond Reid run for 4 yds to the WCU 39

2nd & 6Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.11

Cole Gonzales pass complete to Desmond Reid for 19 yds to the VMI 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Desmond Reid run for 6 yds to the VMI 36

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Cole Gonzales run for 1 yd to the VMI 35

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.80

Desmond Reid run for 1 yd to the VMI 34

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.49

Cole Gonzales pass incomplete to Desmond Reid

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Rashad Raymond run for 2 yds to the VMI 36

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.74

pass incomplete to Egypt Nelson

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

pass incomplete to Egypt Nelson

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Jack Culbreath punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WCU 34

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Markel Townsend run for 7 yds to the WCU 41

2nd & 3Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.49

Markel Townsend run for 5 yds to the VMI 46 for a 1ST down VMI Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Dorien Starnes) to the VMI 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Brody Palhegyi pass complete to Censere Lee for 5 yds to the VMI 34

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.64

Markel Townsend run for 1 yd to the VMI 33

3rd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.90

Desmond Reid run for 4 yds to the VMI 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.50

Brody Palhegyi run for 8 yds to the VMI 21

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.60

Desmond Reid run for no gain to the VMI 21

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Desmond Reid run for 1 yd to the VMI 20

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.75

Desmond Reid run for 1 yd to the VMI 21

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Grant Swinehart run for 6 yds to the VMI 27

2nd & 4Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.08

Hunter Rice run for 11 yds to the VMI 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Grant Swinehart run for 1 yd to the VMI 37

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

pass incomplete to Ivan Thorpe

3rd & 11Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +3.54

pass complete to Aidan Twombly for 21 yds to the WCU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Ivan Thorpe run for 2 yds to the WCU 40

2nd & 8Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +1.27

pass complete to Aidan Twombly for 30 yds to the WCU 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

run for 3 yds to the WCU 7

2nd & 7Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.61

Hunter Rice run for 7 yds for a TD (Caden Beck KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Brody Palhegyi pass incomplete to Zion Booker

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.48

Brody Palhegyi pass complete to Ajay Belanger for 8 yds to the WCU 33

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.25

Desmond Reid run for 4 yds to the WCU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Brody Palhegyi pass incomplete to Desmond Reid

2nd & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.64

Brody Palhegyi pass complete to AJ Colombo for 18 yds to the VMI 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.57

Brody Palhegyi pass complete to AJ Colombo for 12 yds to the VMI 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Brody Palhegyi pass complete to Desmond Reid for 3 yds to the VMI 30

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Desmond Reid run for 4 yds to the VMI 26

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.41

Brody Palhegyi run for 2 yds to the VMI 24

4th & 1Field Goal Good+41 yds

Richard McCollum 41 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Rashad Raymond run for 3 yds to the VMI 38

2nd & 7Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Hunter Rice pass complete to Rashad Raymond for 1 yd to the VMI 39

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

pass incomplete to Julio DaSilva

4th & 6Punt+11 yds

Jack Culbreath punt for 49 yds , AJ Colombo returns for 11 yds to the WCU 23

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.54

Desmond Reid run for 1 yd to the WCU 24

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.37

Desmond Reid run for no gain to the WCU 24

3rd & 9Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY WCU False Start (Whitmore,Blake) 5 yards from WCU24 to WCU19. NO PLAY.

3rd & 14Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.10

Brody Palhegyi run for 8 yds to the WCU 27

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Stephen Brantley punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Ivan Thorpe at the VMI 29

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Rashad Raymond run for 1 yd to the VMI 30

2nd & 9Penalty+15 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Ironside,Collin pass incomplete short left to Nelson,Egypt broken up by Williams,CJ PENALTY WCU Pass Interference (Williams,CJ) 15 yards from VMI30 to VMI45, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Rashad Raymond run for no gain to the VMI 45

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY VMI False Start (Doyle,Austin) 5 yards from VMI45 to VMI40. NO PLAY.

2nd & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.44

Rashad Raymond run for 1 yd to the VMI 41

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

pass incomplete to Rashad Raymond

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Jack Culbreath punt for 59 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+41 ydsPPA +3.25

Brody Palhegyi pass complete to Zion Booker for 41 yds to the VMI 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.62

Desmond Reid run for 1 yd to the VMI 38

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Brody Palhegyi run for 5 yds to the VMI 33

3rd & 4Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.90

Brody Palhegyi pass complete to Zion Booker for 4 yds to the VMI 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Brody Palhegyi pass incomplete to AJ Colombo

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+22 ydsPPA +1.13

Brody Palhegyi pass complete to David White Jr. for 22 yds David White Jr. fumbled, recovered by WCU for a 1ST down

1st & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Brody Palhegyi pass incomplete to Ajay Belanger

2nd & 7Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.61

Desmond Reid run for 7 yds for a TD (Richard McCollum KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Hunter Rice run for 3 yds to the VMI 34

2nd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.41

pass complete to Julio DaSilva for 8 yds to the VMI 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

pass incomplete to Isaiah Lemmond

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

pass incomplete to Egypt Nelson

3rd & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +3.44

pass complete to Aidan Twombly for 20 yds to the WCU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -2.05

sacked by Ed Jones IV for a loss of 6 yards to the WCU 44

2nd & 16Penalty+15 yds

Western Carolina Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Va Lealaimatafao) to the WCU 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -4.44

pass intercepted Rod Gattison return for no gain to the WCU 29

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.21

Brody Palhegyi pass complete to Desmond Reid for 13 yds to the WCU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Brody Palhegyi run for 2 yds to the WCU 44

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Brody Palhegyi run for 3 yds to the WCU 41

3rd & 11Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.48

Brody Palhegyi pass complete to Calvin Jones for 8 yds to the WCU 49

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Stephen Brantley punt for 51 yds for a touchback

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.70

Kneel down by VMI at VMI18 for loss of 2 yards.

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Ivan Thorpe run for 6 yds to the VMI 31

2nd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.79

Hunter Rice run for 7 yds to the VMI 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

pass incomplete to Aidan Twombly

2nd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.35

pass complete to Aidan Twombly for 14 yds to the WCU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Ivan Thorpe run for no gain to the WCU 48

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

run for 1 yd to the WCU 47

3rd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Hunter Rice run for 4 yds to the WCU 43

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Jack Culbreath punt for 43 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Desmond Reid run for 3 yds to the WCU 23

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Brody Palhegyi pass incomplete to Censere Lee

3rd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.63

Brody Palhegyi pass complete to Desmond Reid for 10 yds to the WCU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Brody Palhegyi pass complete to Desmond Reid for 2 yds to the WCU 31

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Brody Palhegyi pass incomplete to Censere Lee

3rd & 12Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.24

Brody Palhegyi sacked by Josh Knapp for a loss of 2 yards to the WCU 29

4th & 14Blocked Punt+18 yds

Stephen Brantley punt blocked by Joe Comello blocked by Joe Comello

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Hunter Rice run for 6 yds to the WCU 41

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.28

Ivan Thorpe run for 5 yds to the WCU 46

3rd & 9Fumble Recovery (Own)-4 ydsPPA -1.34

sacked by Hayward McQueen Jr. for a loss of 4 yards to the 50 yard line fumbled, recovered by VMI , return for 0 yards to the 50 yard line

4th & 13Penalty+10 yds

Culbreath,Jack punt 50 yards to the WCU00, Touchback PENALTY WCU Holding (Guinn,Jaquarius) 10 yards from VMI50 to WCU40, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Ironside,Collin pass incomplete short left to Thorpe,Ivan PENALTY VMI Holding (Poindexter,Tyriq) 10 yards from WCU40 to WCU50. NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.50

Rashad Raymond run for 7 yds to the WCU 43

2nd & 13Pass Reception+36 ydsPPA +2.48

pass complete to Aidan Twombly for 36 yds to the WCU 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.20

Hunter Rice run for 7 yds for a TD (Caden Beck PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Desmond Reid run for 4 yds to the WCU 29

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Brody Palhegyi pass incomplete to Censere Lee

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Brody Palhegyi pass incomplete to Calvin Jones

4th & 6Punt+8 yds

Stephen Brantley punt for 42 yds , Ivan Thorpe returns for 8 yds to the VMI 37

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+63 ydsPPA +5.05

Hunter Rice run for 63 yds for a TD (Caden Beck KICK)

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Brody Palhegyi run for 12 yds to the WCU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Brody Palhegyi pass incomplete to De'Andre Tamarez

2nd & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.88

Brody Palhegyi pass intercepted Evan Eller return for no gain to the WCU 30

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Hunter Rice run for 4 yds to the WCU 26

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Hunter Rice run for 4 yds to the WCU 22

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.34

Hunter Rice run for 5 yds to the WCU 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Hunter Rice run for 5 yds to the WCU 12

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.45

run for 6 yds to the WCU 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.28

Grant Swinehart run for 2 yds to the WCU 4

Situational Analysis

Western Carolina

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
42%
24 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
20%
5 plays
55%
11 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
25%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
100%
1 play
67%
3 plays
4th
50%
2 plays

VMI

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
32%
22 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
67%
6 plays
50%
8 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
0%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
4th