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← Back to GamesSep 30, 2023Week 5
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Western Carolina by 18.7

Home Win Probability

The Citadel 14%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Sep 30, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Western Carolina
14217749
The Citadel
707014

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-147-3514-49
The CitadelWestern Carolina

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20WCTCWCTCWCTCWCTCWCTCTCWCTCWCTCWCTCWCTCTD875ydTD875ydTD1176ydTD841ydTD960ydPUNT610ydTD551ydPUNT32ydTD745ydEND20ydPUNT33ydDOWNS845ydTO466ydTD1288ydTD865ydTD1274ydPUNT3-6ydTO1043ydUncategorized724yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Western Carolina and The Citadel
StatisticWestern CarolinaThe Citadel
Passing30-3912-18
Pass Yards308103
Rush Yards261123
Total Yards569226
Turnovers11
3rd Down4-95-10
Penalties7-756-60
Possession33:3622:43

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Western Carolina
passing
Cole Gonzales
22/28, 237 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Desmond Reid
18 CAR, 167 YDS, 5 TD
receiving
Censere Lee
6 REC, 83 YDS
The Citadel
passing
Graeson Underwood
11/16, 91 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Graeson Underwood
7 CAR, 28 YDS
receiving
Cooper Wallace
3 REC, 44 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.89

Desmond Reid run for 21 yds to the WCU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.04

Desmond Reid run for 15 yds to the CIT 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.52

Cole Gonzales pass complete to Censere Lee for 19 yds to the CIT 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Desmond Reid run for 3 yds to the CIT 17

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Desmond Reid run for 6 yds to the CIT 11

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.52

Desmond Reid run for 5 yds to the CIT 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -0.80

Cole Gonzales pass complete to Censere Lee Western Carolina Penalty, off-side (AJ Colombo) to the CIT 11

1st & 11Rushing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.59

Desmond Reid run for 11 yds for a TD (Richard McCollum KICK)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Varney Layman run for 8 yds to the CIT 33

2nd & 2Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.07

Varney Layman run for 14 yds to the CIT 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Johnny Crawford III run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 7Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.53

Graeson Underwood run to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down Western Carolina Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Caleb Fisher) to the WCU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.31

Cooper Wallace pass complete to Malachi Taylor for 12 yds to the WCU 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.47

Cooper Wallace run for 16 yds to the WCU 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Pass Incompletion+5 ydsPPA +0.13

Graeson Underwood pass incomplete to Tyson Trottier for a 1ST down Western Carolina Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Rod Gattison) to the WCU 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Johnny Crawford III run for 2 yds for a TD (Colby Kintner KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Colby Kintner kickoff for 60 yds , AJ Colombo return for 19 yds to the WCU 24

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.96

Desmond Reid run for 22 yds to the WCU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.65

Cole Gonzales pass complete to Calvin Jones for 7 yds to the CIT 47

2nd & 3Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.57

Cole Gonzales pass complete to Ajay Belanger for 12 yds to the CIT 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.75

Cole Gonzales pass complete to AJ Colombo for 9 yds to the CIT 26

2nd & 1Rush+14 ydsPPA -0.31

Desmond Reid run for 14 yds to the CIT 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Desmond Reid run for 3 yds to the CIT 9

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.30
3rd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.10

Cole Gonzales pass complete to Desmond Reid for 6 yds to the CIT 3

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.88

Desmond Reid run for 2 yds to the CIT 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96
2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Desmond Reid run for 1 yd for a TD (Richard McCollum KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+5 yds

Paxton Robertson kickoff , Cooper Wallace return for no gain , Landon Owens return for no gain The Citadel Penalty, illegal block (Thomas Wyatt) to the WCU 41

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.32

pass incomplete to Ricky Conway

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

pass incomplete to Elijah Bass

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.59

Graeson Underwood run for 2 yds to the WCU 39

3rd & 8Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.92

Graeson Underwood run for 10 yds to the WCU 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Johnny Crawford III run for 1 yd to the WCU 28

2nd & 9Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.67

The Citadel Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the WCU 33

2nd & 14Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.37

Graeson Underwood pass complete to Tyler Cherry for 7 yds to the WCU 33

3rd & 7Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.38

Graeson Underwood run for 10 yds to the WCU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.02

Branson Adams run for 8 yds to the WCU 48

2nd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.26

Branson Adams run for 7 yds to the CIT 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Cole Gonzales pass incomplete to Corey Washington, broken up by Bradlee Jones

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.76

Branson Adams run for 8 yds to the CIT 37

3rd & 2Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.16

Cole Gonzales pass complete to AJ Colombo for 22 yds to the CIT 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Cole Gonzales pass complete to De'Andre Tamarez for 4 yds to the CIT 11

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Cole Gonzales run for 2 yds to the CIT 9

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.45

Cole Gonzales pass complete to Censere Lee for 17 yds to the WCU 40 for a 1ST down

3rd & 4Rushing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.76

Desmond Reid run for 9 yds for a TD (Richard McCollum KICK)

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Paxton Robertson kickoff for 65 yds , Cooper Wallace return for 18 yds to the CIT 18

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Hi'keem Elmore run for 6 yds to the CIT 24

2nd & 4Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Graeson Underwood pass complete to Tyler Cherry for 2 yds to the CIT 26

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.78

Cooper Wallace run for 2 yds to the CIT 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Johnny Crawford III run for 3 yds to the CIT 31

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Johnny Crawford III run for 5 yds to the CIT 36

4th & 10Punt+30 yds

James Platte punt for 53 yds , AJ Colombo returns for 30 yds to the WCU 49

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.91

for a 1ST down The Citadel Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Je'Mazin Roberts) to the CIT 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+23 ydsPPA +0.47

Desmond Reid run for 23 yds to the CIT 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

pass incomplete to Calvin Jones

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.91

Cole Gonzales pass complete to Desmond Reid for 12 yds to the CIT 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Penalty0 yds

The Citadel Penalty, personal foul (Yards) to the CIT 1

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Desmond Reid run for 1 yd for a TD (Richard McCollum KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Romello Jones run for 4 yds to the CIT 29

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.65
3rd & 6Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.39

Graeson Underwood pass complete to Johnny Crawford III for a loss of 2 yards to the CIT 27 The Citadel Penalty, illegal block (Sawyer Whitman) to the CIT 27

4th & 8Punt0 yds

James Platte punt for 18 yds

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.63

Desmond Reid run for 14 yds to the CIT 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.21

Cole Gonzales pass complete to Desmond Reid for 10 yds to the CIT 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.63

Cole Gonzales pass complete to Censere Lee for 9 yds to the CIT 12

2nd & 1Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA -0.19

Cole Gonzales pass complete to Corey Washington for 5 yds to the CIT 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Desmond Reid run for 4 yds to the CIT 3

2nd & 3Pass Reception-10 ydsPPA -1.11

Cole Gonzales pass complete to Ajay Belanger Western Carolina Penalty, Offensive holding (AJ Colombo) to the CIT 13

2nd & 13Rushing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.97

Desmond Reid run for 13 yds for a TD (Richard McCollum KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

pass incomplete to Malachi Taylor

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Graeson Underwood run for 2 yds to the WCU 35

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Cooper Wallace run for 3 yds to the CIT 28

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

pass incomplete to Tyler Cherry

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Graeson Underwood pass incomplete to Malachi Taylor, broken up by Ed Jones IV

4th & 7Punt0 yds

James Platte punt for 35 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Cole Gonzales pass complete to Calvin Jones for 5 yds to the WCU 42

2nd & 5Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.80

Cole Gonzales pass complete to Calvin Jones for 19 yds to the CIT 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Branson Adams run for 5 yds to the CIT 34

2nd & 5Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.49

Cole Gonzales pass complete to Calvin Jones for 18 yds to the CIT 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.48

Cole Gonzales pass complete to AJ Colombo for a loss of 2 yards to the CIT 18

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

pass incomplete to Branson Adams

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

pass incomplete to Censere Lee

4th & 12Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -2.77

Stephen Brantley pass complete to Jake Young

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Western Carolina Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Tyler Smith) to the CIT 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +2.36

Graeson Underwood pass complete to Cooper Wallace for 31 yds to the WCU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.40

Graeson Underwood pass complete to Tyson Trottier for 19 yds to the WCU 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)0 ydsPPA -0.33

Cooper Wallace fumbled, recovered by CIT Cooper Wallace

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+4 ydsPPA -4.10

Cooper Wallace run for 4 yds to the WCU 12 Cooper Wallace fumbled, recovered by WCU Curtis Fann Jr.

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.62

Cole Gonzales pass complete to Censere Lee for 8 yds to the WCU 20

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Branson Adams run for 5 yds to the WCU 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.42

Cole Gonzales pass complete to Calvin Jones for 16 yds to the WCU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.47

Cole Gonzales pass complete to Censere Lee for 19 yds to the CIT 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.47

Cole Gonzales run for 7 yds to the CIT 33

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Cole Gonzales pass incomplete to AJ Colombo, broken up by Rett Russell

4th & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.79

Cole Gonzales pass complete to AJ Colombo for 5 yds to the CIT 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Branson Adams run for 3 yds to the CIT 25

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.34

Branson Adams run for 8 yds to the CIT 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.53

Cole Gonzales pass complete to Censere Lee for 11 yds to the CIT 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

Cole Gonzales pass complete to AJ Colombo for 6 yds for a TD (Richard McCollum KICK)

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.97

Graeson Underwood run for 10 yds to the CIT 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Graeson Underwood pass complete to Jay Graves-Billips for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion+15 ydsPPA +1.20

Graeson Underwood pass incomplete to Malachi Taylor for a 1ST down Western Carolina Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Ken Moore Jr.) to the WCU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +0.41

Romello Jones run for 20 yds to the WCU 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Hi'keem Elmore run for 3 yds to the WCU 12

2nd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.41

Cooper Wallace run for a loss of 1 yard to the WCU 13

3rd & 8Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Graeson Underwood pass complete to Cooper Wallace for 3 yds to the WCU 10

4th & 5Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +3.21

Graeson Underwood pass complete to Cooper Wallace for 10 yds for a TD (Colby Kintner KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+5 yds

Colby Kintner kickoff for 44 yds , AJ Colombo return for 5 yds to the WCU 26

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Brody Palhegyi pass complete to Branson Adams for 4 yds to the WCU 30

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Branson Adams run for 4 yds to the WCU 34

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.19

Branson Adams run for 3 yds to the WCU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Branson Adams run for 6 yds to the WCU 43

2nd & 4Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.46

Brody Palhegyi pass complete to Zion Booker for 17 yds to the CIT 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.37

Brody Palhegyi pass complete to Corey Washington for 10 yds to the CIT 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.20

Brody Palhegyi pass complete to Branson Adams for 10 yds to the CIT 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Brody Palhegyi run for 7 yds to the CIT 13

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Branson Adams run for 2 yds to the CIT 11

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

pass incomplete to Corey Washington

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.57

Branson Adams run for 2 yds to the CIT 9 for a 1ST down Western Carolina Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Dominick Poole) to the CIT 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.42

Brody Palhegyi pass complete to De'Andre Tamarez for 9 yds for a TD (Richard McCollum KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+22 yds

Paxton Robertson kickoff for 62 yds , Romello Jones return for 22 yds to the CIT 25

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

pass incomplete to Malachi Taylor

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35
3rd & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.24

Graeson Underwood sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the CIT 19

4th & 16Punt+13 yds

Jack Weil punt for 51 yds , Corey Washington returns for 13 yds to the WCU 43

1st & 10Pass Reception-10 ydsPPA -2.54

Brody Palhegyi pass complete to Patrick Boyd Jr. Western Carolina Penalty, Offensive holding (Patrick Boyd Jr.) to the WCU 33

1st & 20Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Markel Townsend run for 3 yds to the WCU 36

2nd & 17Rush+18 ydsPPA +3.20

Brody Palhegyi run for 3 yds to the CIT 39 for a 1ST down The Citadel Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Nick McGill) to the CIT 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.57

Brody Palhegyi pass complete to Santana Fleming for 11 yds to the CIT 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.27

Markel Townsend run for 10 yds to the CIT 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.14

Brody Palhegyi pass complete to Markel Townsend for 10 yds to the CIT 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Markel Townsend run for 1 yd to the CIT 14

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.34
3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

pass incomplete to Patrick Boyd Jr.

4th & 9Interception0 ydsPPA -3.33

Brody Palhegyi pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Hayden Johnson run for 3 yds to the CIT 6

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.13

Hayden Johnson run for 2 yds to the CIT 8

3rd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.57

Graeson Underwood pass complete to Ricky Conway for 7 yds to the CIT 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Graeson Underwood pass complete to Ricky Conway for 4 yds to the CIT 19

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Graeson Underwood pass complete to Hayden Johnson for 5 yds to the CIT 24

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.68

Hayden Johnson run for 3 yds to the CIT 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Hayden Johnson run for 2 yds to the CIT 27

Situational Analysis

Western Carolina

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
69%
39 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
50%
8 plays
60%
5 plays
71%
7 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
100%
1 play
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
3 plays
0%
1 play
0%
1 play

The Citadel

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
43%
23 plays
2nd
100%
1 play
50%
4 plays
20%
10 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
100%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
40%
5 plays
4th
50%
2 plays