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← Back to GamesNov 11, 2023Week 11
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Western Carolina by 21.3

Home Win Probability

Western Carolina 88%

Market (ESPN Bet)

Western Carolina -17

Edge: Western Carolina -17 (4.3 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 11, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
East Tennessee State
70007
Western Carolina
1017211058

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428425620-727-755-7
Western CarolinaEast Tennessee State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20WCETSWCETSWCETSWCETSWCETSWCETSWCETSWCETSWCETSWCETSWCETSWCETSWCETSWCFG950ydPUNT36ydPUNT30ydTD447ydTD880ydTO547ydTD587ydTO23ydFG517ydPUNT31ydPUNT31ydPUNT510ydTD767ydPUNT537ydEND828ydPUNT35ydTD760ydTO33ydTD231ydTO28ydTD943ydPUNT35ydTD766ydPUNT632ydFG1290ydPUNT726ydUncategorized448yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing East Tennessee State and Western Carolina
StatisticEast Tennessee StateWestern Carolina
Passing5-1534-52
Pass Yards132513
Rush Yards83174
Total Yards215687
Turnovers40
3rd Down4-134-11
Penalties5-375-50
Possession28:3231:28

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

East Tennessee State
passing
Haynes Eller
3/8, 68 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Trey Foster
15 CAR, 58 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Tommy Winton III
3 REC, 89 YDS
Western Carolina
passing
Cole Gonzales
25/38, 363 YDS, 5 TD
rushing
Branson Adams
17 CAR, 110 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Censere Lee
7 REC, 127 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

pass incomplete to Calvin Jones

2nd & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.42

Branson Adams run for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Western Carolina Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the WCU 45

1st & 15Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.84

Cole Gonzales pass complete to Branson Adams for 15 yds to the ETSU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Cole Gonzales pass complete to Censere Lee for 5 yds to the ETSU 35

2nd & 5Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +0.57

Cole Gonzales pass complete to Branson Adams for 23 yds to the ETSU 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.49

Branson Adams run for a loss of 3 yards to the ETSU 15

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

pass incomplete to David White Jr.

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

pass incomplete to Censere Lee

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+24 yds

Ewan Johnson kickoff for 54 yds , Calvin Jones return for 24 yds to the WCU 35

4th & 13Field Goal Good+32 yds

Richard McCollum 32 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Trey Foster run for 9 yds to the ETSU 44

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.44

pass incomplete to Xavier Gaillardetz

3rd & 1Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.43

Jawan Martin run for a loss of 3 yards to the ETSU 41

4th & 4Punt+2 yds

Nate Brackett punt for 55 yds , Corey Washington returns for 2 yds to the WCU 6

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29

Adams,Branson rush left (Hoskins,Jordan).

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Cole Gonzales pass incomplete to Censere Lee, broken up by Jayvon Henderson

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.05

Cole Gonzales pass incomplete to Branson Adams, broken up by Stephen Scott

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Stephen Brantley punt for 41 yds

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.54

Trey Foster run for 7 yds to the WCU 40

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Trey Foster run for 2 yds to the WCU 38

3rd & 1Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +2.18

William Riddle pass complete to Xavier Gaillardetz for 35 yds to the WCU 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Trey Foster run for 3 yds for a TD (Ewan Johnson KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Ewan Johnson kickoff for 64 yds , Calvin Jones return for 19 yds to the WCU 20

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Marlin Cochran run for 3 yds to the WCU 23

2nd & 7Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.61

Cole Gonzales pass complete to Censere Lee for 25 yds to the WCU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Cole Gonzales run for 5 yds to the ETSU 47

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Branson Adams run for 1 yd to the ETSU 46

3rd & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Cole Gonzales pass complete to David White Jr. for 3 yds to the ETSU 43

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +2.00

Branson Adams run for 2 yds to the ETSU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.67

Cole Gonzales pass complete to Branson Adams for 1 yd to the ETSU 40

2nd & 9Passing Touchdown+40 ydsPPA +3.91

Cole Gonzales pass complete to David White Jr. for 40 yds for a TD (Richard McCollum KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+25 yds

Stephen Brantley kickoff for 62 yds , Ton'Quez Ball return for 25 yds to the ETSU 28

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.66

Trey Foster run for 1 yd to the ETSU 29

2nd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.41

Torey Lambert run for 7 yds to the ETSU 36

3rd & 2Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +3.13

William Riddle pass complete to Tommy Winton III for 29 yds to the WCU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion+10 ydsPPA +0.27

William Riddle pass incomplete to Xavier Gaillardetz, broken up by CJ Williams for a 1ST down Western Carolina Penalty, Defensive holding (Andreas Keaton) to the WCU 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -4.30

Christian Mathis pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.91

Cole Gonzales pass complete to Branson Adams for 9 yds to the WCU 22

2nd & 1Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.23

Cole Gonzales pass complete to Zion Booker for 20 yds to the WCU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-10 ydsPPA -2.47

Gonzales,Cole rush (Evans,Max), PENALTY WCU holding (Coulter,Christian) 10 yards to the ETS48. Western Carolina Penalty, Offensive holding (Christian Coulter) to the WCU 32

1st & 20Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +3.51

Cole Gonzales pass complete to Censere Lee for 30 yds to the ETSU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+38 ydsPPA +3.09

Cole Gonzales pass complete to Censere Lee for 38 yds for a TD (Richard McCollum KICK)

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

East Tennessee State Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Cameron Lewis) to the ETSU 3

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Trey Foster run for 3 yds to the ETSU 38

2nd & 7Interception0 ydsPPA -1.35

William Riddle pass intercepted

1st & 10Interception+10 ydsPPA -3.76

Cole Gonzales pass intercepted for a 1ST down East Tennessee State Penalty, Defensive holding (Khalil Anderson) to the ETSU 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.43

Cole Gonzales sacked for a loss of 5 yards to the ETSU 36

2nd & 15Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.18

Cole Gonzales pass complete to Censere Lee for 12 yds to the ETSU 24

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

pass incomplete to David White Jr.

4th & 3Field Goal Good+41 yds

Richard McCollum 41 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Trey Foster run for 2 yds to the ETSU 27

2nd & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.54

Torey Lambert run for a loss of 1 yard to the ETSU 26

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

pass incomplete to Xavier Gaillardetz

4th & 9Punt+11 yds

Nate Brackett punt for 36 yds , Corey Washington returns for 11 yds to the WCU 49

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Cole Gonzales pass complete to Corey Washington for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

pass incomplete to De'Andre Tamarez

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

pass incomplete to De'Andre Tamarez

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Stephen Brantley punt for 50 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Trey Foster run for 3 yds to the ETSU 23

2nd & 7Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.67

for a 1ST down Western Carolina Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Marlon Alexander) to the ETSU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.43

Tommy Winton III run for a loss of 2 yards to the ETSU 36

2nd & 12Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Torey Lambert run for 1 yd to the ETSU 37

3rd & 11Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.50

William Riddle sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the ETSU 30

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Nate Brackett punt for 37 yds

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.95

Branson Adams run for 22 yds to the ETSU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.96

Branson Adams run for 9 yds to the ETSU 36

2nd & 1Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA -0.24

Cole Gonzales pass complete to Calvin Jones for 8 yds to the ETSU 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.24

Cole Gonzales pass complete to Calvin Jones for 17 yds to the ETSU 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-4 ydsPPA -0.54

Cole Gonzales run for a loss of 4 yards to the ETSU 15 Cole Gonzales fumbled, recovered by WCU Cole Gonzales Gonzales,Cole rush middle for loss of 4 yards to the ETS15, fumble by Gonzales,Cole recovered by WCU Gonzales,Cole, Gonzales,Cole rush.

2nd & 14Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.42

Branson Adams run for 11 yds to the ETSU 4

3rd & 3Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.64

Branson Adams run for 4 yds for a TD (Richard McCollum KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Foster,Trey rush middle (Williams,Antoine;Mullix,Tahjae).

2nd & 10Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +3.49

Haynes Eller pass complete to Tommy Winton III for 33 yds to the WCU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

pass incomplete to Trey Foster

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Torey Lambert run for 4 yds to the WCU 38

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

pass incomplete to Jaylen Frierson

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Nate Brackett punt for 32 yds

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.32

Branson Adams run for 10 yds to the WCU 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.99

Branson Adams run for 9 yds to the WCU 25

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

pass incomplete to Censere Lee

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.72

Branson Adams run for 3 yds to the WCU 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.20

Cole Gonzales pass complete to Branson Adams for 13 yds to the WCU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion-10 ydsPPA -2.40

Cole Gonzales pass incomplete to Clayton Bardall, broken up by Ray Coney Western Carolina Penalty, Offensive holding (Blake Whitmore) to the WCU 31

1st & 20Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Marlin Cochran run for 3 yds to the WCU 34

2nd & 17Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.13

Cole Gonzales pass complete to Branson Adams for 6 yds to the WCU 35

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Trey Foster run for 3 yds to the ETSU 33

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.46

Will Huzzie run for 2 yds to the ETSU 35

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

pass incomplete to Xavier Gaillardetz

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+27 yds

Stephen Brantley kickoff for 62 yds , Ton'Quez Ball return for 27 yds to the ETSU 30

4th & 5Punt+11 yds

Nate Brackett punt for 36 yds , Corey Washington returns for 11 yds to the WCU 40

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Branson Adams run for 5 yds to the WCU 45

2nd & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Cole Gonzales pass complete to Censere Lee for 8 yds to the ETSU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Cole Gonzales pass complete to David White Jr. for 1 yd to the ETSU 46

2nd & 9Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +1.84

Cole Gonzales pass complete to David White Jr. for 28 yds to the ETSU 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.62

Cole Gonzales pass complete to Censere Lee for 9 yds to the ETSU 9

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.09

Branson Adams run for 4 yds to the ETSU 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Cole Gonzales pass complete to David White Jr. for 5 yds for a TD (Richard McCollum KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Stephen Brantley kickoff for 64 yds , Ton'Quez Ball return for 20 yds to the ETSU 21

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.59

Lambert,Torey rush middle (Mullix,Tahjae).

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Torey Lambert run for 3 yds to the ETSU 24

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Haynes Eller pass incomplete, broken up by Tahjae Mullix

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

pass incomplete to Patrick Boyd Jr.

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+31 ydsPPA +3.42

Cole Gonzales pass complete to Ajay Belanger for 31 yds for a TD (Richard McCollum KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Haynes Eller pass complete to Xavier Gaillardetz for 8 yds to the ETSU 43

2nd & 2Fumble Recovery (Opponent)0 ydsPPA -2.79

Foster,Trey rush middle , fumble by Foster,Trey recovered by WCU Hampton,Devuntray, Hampton,Devuntray rush. Trey Foster fumbled, recovered by WCU Devuntray Hampton Foster,Trey rush middle , fumble by Foster,Trey recovered by WCU Hampton,Devuntray, Hampton,Devuntray rush.

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.69

Branson Adams run for 8 yds to the ETSU 35

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.91

Adams,Branson rush middle (Scott,Stephen;Coney,Ray).

3rd & 2Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.85

Cole Gonzales pass complete to David White Jr. for 9 yds to the ETSU 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.26

Cole Gonzales run for 10 yds to the ETSU 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Cole Gonzales pass incomplete to Branson Adams, broken up by Stephen Scott

2nd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.85

Branson Adams run for 10 yds to the ETSU 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

Cole Gonzales pass complete to Branson Adams for 6 yds for a TD (Richard McCollum KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Lambert,Torey rush left (Anderson Jr,Darian;Monroe,Blue).

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Trey Foster run for 5 yds to the ETSU 30

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Haynes Eller pass incomplete to Trey Foster, broken up by Jordy Lowery

4th & 5Punt+7 yds

Nate Brackett punt for 43 yds , Corey Washington returns for 7 yds to the WCU 34

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Brody Palhegyi run for 6 yds to the WCU 40

2nd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.85

Brody Palhegyi run for 7 yds to the WCU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Brody Palhegyi pass incomplete to Terrence Horne, broken up by Sheldon Arnold II

2nd & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.20

Brody Palhegyi pass complete to Camury Reid for 16 yds to the ETSU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Brody Palhegyi pass incomplete to Terrence Horne, broken up by Jayvon Henderson

2nd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.06

Brody Palhegyi run for 10 yds to the ETSU 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+27 ydsPPA +2.74

Brody Palhegyi pass complete to Clayton Bardall for 27 yds for a TD (Richard McCollum KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Lambert,Torey rush middle (Hampton,Devuntray).

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Trey Foster run for 2 yds to the ETSU 27

3rd & 8Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +3.47

Haynes Eller pass complete to Tommy Winton III for 27 yds to the WCU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Torey Lambert run for 6 yds to the WCU 40

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.56

Torey Lambert run for 2 yds to the WCU 38

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

pass incomplete to Tommy Winton III

4th & 2Penalty-5 yds

East Tennessee State Penalty, delay of game (Tommy Winton III) to the WCU 43

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Nate Brackett punt for 40 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Bennett Judy pass complete to Jake Young for 4 yds to the WCU 7

2nd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.33

Bennett Judy pass complete to Terrence Horne for 7 yds to the WCU 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +1.90

Bennett Judy pass complete to Terrence Horne for 26 yds to the WCU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Bennett Judy pass complete to Patrick Boyd Jr. for 5 yds to the WCU 45

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.17

pass incomplete to De'Andre Tamarez

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Bennett Judy pass incomplete, broken up by Cameron Garnett

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Stephen Brantley punt

4th & 0Rush+5 yds

Marlin Cochran run for 5 yds to the ETSU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+36 ydsPPA +1.05

Taron Dickens pass complete to Patrick Boyd Jr. for 36 yds to the ETSU 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Marlin Cochran run for 2 yds to the ETSU 7

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.28

Zanders,Quenten rush middle (Hoskins,Jordan;LeBlanc,Brenden).

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

pass incomplete to Zion Booker

4th & 7Field Goal Good+24 yds

Richard McCollum 24 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

East Tennessee State Penalty, substitution infraction (Tommy Winton III) to the ETSU 8

1st & 15Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.91

Trey Foster run for 15 yds to the ETSU 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Trey Foster run for 3 yds to the ETSU 26

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Adrian Johnson run for 6 yds to the ETSU 32

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.89

Haynes Eller run for 2 yds to the ETSU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Adrian Johnson run for 2 yds to the ETSU 36

2nd & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.85

Adrian Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the ETSU 35

3rd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Adrian Johnson run for 4 yds to the ETSU 39

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Nate Brackett punt for 36 yds , Corey Washington returns for no gain to the WCU 25

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.42

Bennett Judy pass complete to Corey Washington for 16 yds to the WCU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Bennett Judy pass complete to Corey Washington for 13 yds to the ETSU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +0.80

Quenten Zanders run for 19 yds to the ETSU 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Quenten Zanders run for 3 yds to the ETSU 27

Situational Analysis

East Tennessee State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
26%
19 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
0%
3 plays
0%
1 play
42%
12 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
60%
5 plays
0%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
0%
1 play
4th

Western Carolina

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
2 plays
51%
41 plays
67%
3 plays
2nd
40%
5 plays
67%
6 plays
67%
12 plays
75%
4 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play