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← Back to GamesNov 18, 2023Week 12
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

San Diego by 6.8

Home Win Probability

Stetson 34%

Market (ESPN Bet)

Stetson +6

Edge: San Diego -6 (0.8 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 18, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
San Diego
71092147
Stetson
076720

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842560-147-1713-3313-40
StetsonSan Diego

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SDSTESTESDSTESDSTESDSTESDSDSTESTESDSDSTESDSTESTESDSTESDPUNT722ydTD593ydDOWNS744ydTD1167ydMISS953ydFG1076ydTD265ydPUNT34ydDOWNS1045ydMISS639ydTO10ydPUNT420ydTD226ydDOWNS1159ydTD28ydSAF3-3ydTD655ydTO336ydTO946ydTD1384ydTD864ydUncategorized29yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing San Diego and Stetson
StatisticSan DiegoStetson
Passing21-2822-35
Pass Yards219293
Rush Yards21650
Total Yards435343
Turnovers14
3rd Down3-84-10
Penalties8-904-26
Possession36:2023:40

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

San Diego
passing
Tanner Jellison
21/27, 219 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Isaiah Williams
25 CAR, 145 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Re-al Mitchell
12 REC, 90 YDS, 2 TD
Stetson
passing
Brady Meitz
21/34, 274 YDS, 2 TD, 3 INT
rushing
Devon Brewer
8 CAR, 20 YDS
receiving
Ronnel Johnson
9 REC, 155 YDS, 2 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+14 yds

Marshall Golick kickoff for 41 yds , Eric Haney return for 14 yds to the USD 38

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Isaiah Williams run for 6 yds to the USD 44

2nd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.71

Tanner Jellison pass complete to Liam McHale for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.59

Tanner Jellison pass complete to Re-al Mitchell for 7 yds to the STET 43

2nd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.24

Isaiah Williams run for 7 yds to the STET 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

San Diego Penalty, false start (Liam McHale) to the STET 41

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

pass incomplete to Isaiah Smith

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

pass incomplete to Josh Heverly

3rd & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.65

Isaiah Williams run for 1 yd to the STET 40

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Aydan Corrales punt for 33 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.31

Brady Meitz pass complete to Ronnel Johnson

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.13

Meitz,Brady rush left (Wickware,Jayden).

3rd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.78

Brady Meitz pass complete to Kaleb Costner for 10 yds to the STET 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.60

Brady Meitz pass complete to Gabe Atkin for 10 yds to the STET 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception Return Touchdown+30 ydsPPA -8.07

Zamir Wallace 30 Yd Interception Return (Aydan Corrales Kick)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Aydan Corrales kickoff for 60 yds , Jalon Warthen-Carr return for 18 yds to the STET 23

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.97

Brady Meitz pass complete to Gabe Atkin for 12 yds to the STET 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.23

Brady Meitz pass complete to Gabe Atkin for 13 yds to the STET 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.71

Brady Meitz pass complete to Gabe Atkin for 10 yds to the USD 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.91

Meitz,Brady rush right (Carney,Garrett).

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Brady Meitz run for 6 yds to the USD 36

3rd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Devon Brewer run for 1 yd to the USD 35

4th & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -2.26

Jalon Warthen-Carr run for 2 yds to the USD 33

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Tanner Jellison pass complete to Re-al Mitchell for 6 yds to the USD 39

2nd & 4Rush-10 ydsPPA -2.13

Williams,Isaiah rush (Martin,Andrew;Davis,C.J.), PENALTY USD holding 10 yards to the USD49. San Diego Penalty, Offensive holding (Liam McHale) to the USD 29

2nd & 14Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.59

Tanner Jellison pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 16 yds to the USD 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Isaiah Williams run for 3 yds to the USD 48

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Isaiah Smith run for 6 yds to the STET 46

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.14

Isaiah Smith run for 6 yds to the STET 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.37

Tanner Jellison pass complete to Re-al Mitchell for 10 yds to the STET 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Isaiah Williams run for 3 yds to the STET 27

2nd & 7Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.46

Tanner Jellison pass complete to Re-al Mitchell for 15 yds to the STET 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Isaiah Williams run for 7 yds to the STET 5

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.23

Isaiah Williams run for 5 yds for a TD (Aydan Corrales KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+23 yds

Aydan Corrales kickoff for 56 yds , Jalon Warthen-Carr return for 23 yds to the STET 32

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Brady Meitz run for 5 yds to the STET 37

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.61

Devon Brewer run for 2 yds to the STET 39

3rd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.66

Devon Brewer run for 5 yds to the STET 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.58

Donovan Shepard run for a loss of 2 yards to the STET 42

2nd & 12Rush+39 ydsPPA +3.35

Brady Meitz run for 39 yds to the USD 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Brady Meitz pass complete to Gabe Atkin for 4 yds to the USD 15

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

pass incomplete to Gabe Atkin

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Brady Meitz pass incomplete to Ronnel Johnson, broken up by Jagger Pagano

4th & 6Field Goal Missed+32 yds

Brandon Bush 32 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Isaiah Williams run for 7 yds to the USD 27

2nd & 3Rush+33 ydsPPA +2.67

Isaiah Williams run for 33 yds to the STET 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Tanner Jellison pass complete to Re-al Mitchell for 5 yds to the STET 35

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Isaiah Williams run for 6 yds to the STET 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.20

Tanner Jellison run for 11 yds to the STET 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.71

Isaiah Williams run for 7 yds to the STET 11 for a 1ST down Stetson Penalty, personal foul (6 Yards) to the STET 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush-13 ydsPPA -1.47

Re-al Mitchell run for 2 yds to the STET 3 San Diego Penalty, personal foul (Liam McHale) to the STET 18

2nd & 18Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.66

Tanner Jellison pass complete to Cole Monach for 14 yds to the STET 4

3rd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29

Williams,Isaiah rush middle (Maxwell,Davion;Davis,C.J.).

4th & 4Field Goal Good+21 yds

Aydan Corrales 21 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Aydan Corrales kickoff for 50 yds , Jalon Warthen-Carr return for 20 yds to the STET 35

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Devon Brewer run for 3 yds to the STET 38

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+62 ydsPPA +5.65

Brady Meitz pass complete to Ronnel Johnson for 62 yds for a TD (Brandon Bush KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+27 yds

Marshall Golick kickoff for 65 yds , Yosei Takahashi return for 27 yds to the USD 27

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Isaiah Smith run for 2 yds to the USD 29

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Isaiah Williams run for 2 yds to the USD 31

3rd & 6Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.35

Tanner Jellison pass complete to Re-al Mitchell

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Aydan Corrales punt for 49 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion+10 ydsPPA +0.69

pass incomplete to Ronnel Johnson San Diego Penalty, Defensive holding (Liam McHale) to the STET 30

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Brady Meitz pass complete to Ronnel Johnson for 3 yds to the STET 33

2nd & 7Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Brady Meitz pass complete to Kaleb Costner for 3 yds to the STET 36

3rd & 4Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.42

Brady Meitz pass complete to Gabe Atkin for 13 yds to the STET 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.73

Brady Meitz pass complete to Ronnel Johnson for 11 yds to the USD 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

pass incomplete to Kaleb Costner

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

pass incomplete to Charlie King

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

pass incomplete to Ronnel Johnson

4th & 10Pass Incompletion+5 ydsPPA -0.96

Brady Meitz pass incomplete to Ronnel Johnson San Diego Penalty, off-side (Liam McHale) to the USD 35

4th & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -2.00

Meitz,Brady rush left (Cooper,Malachi).

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Tanner Jellison pass complete to Re-al Mitchell for 9 yds to the USD 44

2nd & 1Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.10

Tanner Jellison pass complete to Cole Monach for 7 yds to the STET 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Tanner Jellison run for 4 yds to the STET 45

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

pass incomplete to Re-al Mitchell

3rd & 6Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.30

Tanner Jellison pass complete to Cole Monach for 19 yds to the STET 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Field Goal Missed+44 yds

Aydan Corrales 44 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)0 ydsPPA -0.99

Williams,Isaiah rush left , fumble by Williams,Isaiah recovered by STE Hernandez,Edward, Hernandez,Edward rush. Isaiah Williams fumbled, recovered by STET Edward Hernandez Williams,Isaiah rush left , fumble by Williams,Isaiah recovered by STE Hernandez,Edward, Hernandez,Edward rush.

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Devon Brewer run for 5 yds to the USD 45

2nd & 5Sack-15 ydsPPA -3.36

Brady Meitz sacked for a loss of 15 yards to the STET 40

3rd & 20Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Brady Meitz pass complete to Donovan Shepard for 5 yds to the STET 45

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Marshall Golick punt for 29 yds

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.33

Jalon Warthen-Carr run for 7 yds to the USD 19

2nd & 3Passing Touchdown+19 ydsPPA +2.39

Jalon Warthen-Carr pass complete to Donovan Shepard for 19 yds for a TD (Brandon Bush PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+14 yds

Marshall Golick kickoff for 54 yds , Yosei Takahashi return for 14 yds to the USD 25

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Isaiah Smith run for 5 yds to the USD 30

2nd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Isaiah Smith run for 8 yds to the USD 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Tanner Jellison pass complete to Re-al Mitchell for 7 yds to the USD 45

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.32

Isaiah Smith run for 4 yds to the USD 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Tanner Jellison pass incomplete to Re-al Mitchell, broken up by David Stubbs

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Tanner Jellison pass complete to Isaiah Smith for 5 yds to the STET 46

3rd & 5Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.28

Tanner Jellison pass complete to Cole Monach for 21 yds to the STET 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

pass incomplete to Josh Heverly

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.38

Tanner Jellison pass complete to Re-al Mitchell for 8 yds to the STET 17

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.40

Isaiah Smith run for 1 yd to the STET 16

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -3.83

Smith,Isaiah rush middle (Littlejohn,Rassie).

1st & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Isaiah Williams run for 2 yds to the STET 6

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.53

Tanner Jellison pass complete to Re-al Mitchell for 6 yds for a TD (Aydan Corrales KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+14 yds

Aydan Corrales kickoff for 63 yds , Jalon Warthen-Carr return for 14 yds to the STET 49 Stetson Penalty, Offensive holding (8 Yards) to the STET 8

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.43

Devon Brewer run for a loss of 3 yards to the STET 5

2nd & 13Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.08

Brady Meitz pass complete to Devon Brewer

3rd & 13Safety-5 ydsPPA -1.65

Brady Meitz sacked for a loss of 5 yards for a SAFETY Stetson Penalty, intentional grounding (Brady Meitz) to the STET 0

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+22 yds

Marshall Golick kickoff for 57 yds , Eric Haney return for 22 yds to the USD 45

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.66

Isaiah Smith run for 7 yds to the STET 48

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.20

Isaiah Williams run for 4 yds to the STET 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Isaiah Williams run for 3 yds to the STET 41

2nd & 7Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +1.20

Tanner Jellison pass complete to Josh Heverly for 29 yds to the STET 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Isaiah Williams run for 6 yds to the STET 6

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.35

Re-al Mitchell run for 6 yds for a TD (Aydan Corrales KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Aydan Corrales kickoff for 35 yds , Elijah Workinger return for no gain to the STET 27

1st & 10Pass Reception+43 ydsPPA +3.12

Brady Meitz pass complete to Ronnel Johnson for 43 yds to the USD 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.77

Brady Meitz sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the USD 37

2nd & 17Interception0 ydsPPA -2.42

Brady Meitz pass intercepted

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+15 yds

Aydan Corrales kickoff for 50 yds , Jalon Warthen-Carr return for 15 yds to the STET 30

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Brady Meitz run for 4 yds to the STET 34

2nd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.08

Devon Brewer run for 6 yds to the STET 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Brady Meitz pass complete to Ronnel Johnson for 3 yds to the STET 43

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Devon Brewer run for 1 yd to the STET 44

3rd & 6Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.03

Brady Meitz sacked for a loss of 4 yards to the STET 40

4th & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +3.58

Brady Meitz pass complete to Gabe Atkin for a 1ST down San Diego Penalty, personal foul (Nick Murray) to the USD 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +0.80

Donovan Shepard run for 6 yds to the USD 39 for a 1ST down San Diego Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Jagger Pagano) to the USD 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

pass incomplete to Devon Brewer

2nd & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -3.88

Brady Meitz pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Tanner Jellison pass complete to Re-al Mitchell for 5 yds to the USD 21

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.65

Isaiah Williams run for 7 yds to the USD 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.49

Isaiah Williams run for 16 yds to the USD 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.13

Isaiah Williams run for 15 yds to the STET 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Isaiah Williams run for 2 yds to the STET 39

2nd & 8Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.97

Tanner Jellison pass complete to Liam McHale for 12 yds to the STET 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Isaiah Williams run for 4 yds to the STET 23

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

pass incomplete to Re-al Mitchell

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion+12 ydsPPA +0.79

Tanner Jellison pass incomplete to Josh Heverly for a 1ST down Stetson Penalty, personal foul (Rassie Littlejohn) to the STET 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Isaiah Williams run for 2 yds to the STET 9

2nd & 8Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.50

Isaiah Williams run for a loss of 3 yards to the STET 12

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Tanner Jellison pass incomplete to Josh Heverly, broken up by Jaylon Johnson

4th & 11Passing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +3.70

Tanner Jellison pass complete to Re-al Mitchell for 12 yds for a TD (Aydan Corrales KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+24 yds

Aydan Corrales kickoff for 53 yds , Jalon Warthen-Carr return for 24 yds to the STET 36

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Brady Meitz run for 2 yds to the STET 38

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

pass incomplete to Devon Brewer

3rd & 8Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +3.69

Brady Meitz pass complete to Gabe Atkin for 29 yds to the USD 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Brady Meitz pass incomplete to Gabe Atkin, broken up by Ryan Meloche

2nd & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.97

Brady Meitz pass complete to Ronnel Johnson for 17 yds to the USD 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Brady Meitz pass incomplete to Gabe Atkin, broken up by Nick Guerena

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.85

Brady Meitz pass complete to Ronnel Johnson for 10 yds to the USD 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

Brady Meitz pass complete to Ronnel Johnson for 6 yds for a TD (Brandon Bush KICK)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.83

Logan Gingg run for 9 yds to the USD 19

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.81

Scott,James rush middle (Lerew,Nicholas).

Situational Analysis

San Diego

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
60%
30 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
86%
7 plays
67%
9 plays
75%
8 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
60%
5 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play
100%
1 play

Stetson

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
41%
27 plays
2nd
100%
1 play
25%
4 plays
40%
10 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
25%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
50%
2 plays