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← Back to GamesNov 4, 2023Week 10
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Butler by 14

Home Win Probability

Morehead State 21%

Market (ESPN Bet)

Morehead State +7.5

Edge: Butler -7.5 (6.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 4, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Butler
21147749
Morehead State
70007

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842560-70-147-287-357-427-49
Morehead StateButler

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MSBUTMSBUTMSBUTMSBUTMSBUTMSBUTMSBUTBUTMSBUTMSBUTMSBUTMSBUTMSMSPUNT33ydTD562ydTO522ydTD550ydPUNT640ydTD486ydTD275ydTD1175ydPUNT30ydPUNT415ydPUNT511ydTD465ydPUNT416ydEND1-1ydTO859ydPUNT443ydPUNT30ydPUNT3-6ydTD871ydDOWNS625ydTO717ydDOWNS47ydPUNT63ydTD25ydEND511yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Butler and Morehead State
StatisticButlerMorehead State
Passing21-2513-23
Pass Yards303136
Rush Yards179111
Total Yards482247
Turnovers22
3rd Down5-101-11
Penalties4-306-58
Possession37:4522:15

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Butler
passing
Bret Bushka
16/17, 281 YDS, 5 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Jyran Mitchell
22 CAR, 125 YDS
receiving
Luke Wooten
5 REC, 88 YDS, 2 TD
Morehead State
passing
Carter Cravens
11/20, 126 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Jackson Lanier
12 CAR, 78 YDS
receiving
Kyle Daly
5 REC, 104 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

Luka Zurak kickoff for 65 yds , Ryan Upp return for 17 yds to the MORE 17

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Carter Cravens pass complete to Ryan Upp for 3 yds to the MORE 20

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Carter Cravens pass incomplete, broken up by Lucas Kozlowski

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Carter Cravens pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt+41 yds

Kip Warren punt for 41 yds , Joey Audia returns for a loss of 1 yard to the BUT 38

1st & 10Rush+30 ydsPPA +2.08

Jyran Mitchell run for 30 yds to the MORE 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.37

Bret Bushka pass complete to Ethan Loss for 7 yds to the MORE 25

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Jyran Mitchell run for 3 yds to the MORE 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.71

Jyran Mitchell run for a loss of 3 yards to the MORE 25

2nd & 13Passing Touchdown+25 ydsPPA +3.36

Bret Bushka pass complete to Ethan Loss for 25 yds for a TD (Luka Zurak KICK)

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+27 yds

Luka Zurak kickoff for 64 yds , Ryan Upp return for 27 yds to the MORE 28

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Carter Cravens pass complete to Chance Harris for 5 yds to the MORE 33

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Chance Harris run for 4 yds to the MORE 37

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.23

Bryce Patterson run for 4 yds to the MORE 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Chance Harris run for 2 yds to the MORE 43

2nd & 8Fumble Recovery (Opponent)0 ydsPPA -1.66

Chance Harris run for no gain to the 50 yard line Chance Harris fumbled, forced by Nick Bafia, recovered by BUT Tyson Garrett , return to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Jyran Mitchell pass complete to Jack Bill for 6 yds to the MORE 44

2nd & 4Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.63

Bret Bushka sacked by Andre Nolan-White and Isaac Armstrong for a loss of 2 yards to the MORE 46

3rd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.11

Bret Bushka pass complete to Ethan Loss for 10 yds to the MORE 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.58

Bret Bushka pass complete to Ethan Loss for 8 yds to the MORE 28

2nd & 2Passing Touchdown+28 ydsPPA +2.43

Bret Bushka pass complete to Luke Wooten for 28 yds for a TD (Luka Zurak KICK)

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+15 yds

Luka Zurak kickoff for 64 yds , Ryan Upp return for 15 yds to the 50 yard line Morehead State Penalty, personal foul (8 Yards) to the MORE 8

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.77

Carter Cravens pass complete to Kyle Daly for 17 yds to the MORE 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Jackson Lanier run for a loss of 1 yard to the MORE 24

2nd & 11Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.12

Jackson Lanier run for 16 yds to the MORE 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Carter Cravens pass complete to Kyle Daly for 6 yds to the MORE 46

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.74

Jackson Lanier run for 2 yds to the MORE 48

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Carter Cravens pass incomplete to Kyle Daly

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Kip Warren punt for 38 yds, downed at the BUT 14

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Jyran Mitchell run for 3 yds to the BUT 17

2nd & 7Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.14

Jyran Mitchell run for 13 yds to the BUT 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

Morehead State Penalty, Defensive holding (10 Yards) to the BUT 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.32

Jyran Mitchell run for a loss of 1 yard to the BUT 39

2nd & 11Passing Touchdown+61 ydsPPA +6.08

Bret Bushka pass complete to Jyran Mitchell for 61 yds for a TD (Luka Zurak KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Jackson Lanier run for 7 yds to the MORE 32

2nd & 3Passing Touchdown+68 ydsPPA +5.47

Carter Cravens pass complete to Kyle Daly for 68 yds for a TD (Nathan Hazlett KICK)

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.71

Joey Audia run for 19 yds to the BUT 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Joey Audia run for 3 yds to the BUT 47

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Joey Suchy run for 1 yd to the BUT 48

3rd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.27

Bret Bushka pass complete to Cameron Heald for 8 yds to the MORE 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.60

Joey Suchy run for 14 yds to the MORE 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Joey Suchy run for 3 yds to the MORE 27

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Bret Bushka pass complete to Luke Wooten for 6 yds to the MORE 21

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.17

Joey Suchy run for 1 yd to the MORE 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Jyran Mitchell run for 2 yds to the MORE 18

2nd & 8Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.77

Bret Bushka pass complete to Jyran Mitchell for a loss of 3 yards to the MORE 21

3rd & 11Passing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +3.59

Bret Bushka pass complete to Luke Wooten for 21 yds for a TD (Luka Zurak KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Carter Cravens pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.39

Jackson Lanier run for 2 yds to the MORE 37

3rd & 8Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.51

Carter Cravens pass complete to Jackson Lanier for a loss of 2 yards to the MORE 35

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Kip Warren punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Joey Audia at the BUT 27

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Jyran Mitchell run for 5 yds to the BUT 32

2nd & 5Penalty+5 yds

Morehead State Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the BUT 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jyran Mitchell run for 5 yds to the BUT 42

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Jyran Mitchell run for 1 yd to the BUT 43

3rd & 4Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.90

Bret Bushka sacked by Noah Benza and Coby Nile for a loss of 1 yard to the BUT 42

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Luka Zurak punt for 42 yds, downed at the MORE 16

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Evan Roach run for 4 yds to the MORE 20

2nd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.72

Carter Cravens pass complete to Harrison Cohen for 7 yds to the MORE 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-4 ydsPPA -1.12

Carter Cravens run for a loss of 4 yards to the MORE 26 Carter Cravens fumbled, recovered by MORE Evan Roach C. Cravens rush for loss of 4 yards to the MOR23, fumble by C. Cravens recovered by MOR E. Roach at MOR26.

2nd & 11Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Carter Cravens pass complete to Evan Roach for 3 yds to the MORE 29

3rd & 8Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.31

Carter Cravens sacked by George Dristiliaris for a loss of 2 yards to the MORE 27

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Kip Warren punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Joey Audia at the BUT 35

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Bret Bushka run for 8 yds to the BUT 43

2nd & 2Rush-12 ydsPPA -2.92

Jyran Mitchell run for 3 yds to the BUT 46 Butler Penalty, personal foul (Will Mason) to the BUT 31

2nd & 14Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.38

Jyran Mitchell run for a loss of 1 yard to the BUT 30

3rd & 15Penalty+15 yds

Bushka, Bret pass incomplete to Bill, Jack, PENALTY MOR pass interference 15 yards to the BUT45, 1ST DOWN BUT, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+55 ydsPPA +4.28

Bret Bushka pass complete to Jack Bill for 55 yds for a TD (Luka Zurak KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Carter Cravens pass complete to Kyle Daly for 10 yds to the MORE 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Carter Cravens pass incomplete to Ryan Upp

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Carter Cravens pass complete to Jackson Lanier for 6 yds to the MORE 41

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Carter Cravens pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Kip Warren punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Joey Audia at the BUT 27

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.88

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the BUT 26

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

2nd & 11Penalty-5 yds

Morehead State Penalty, illegal use of hands (-5 Yards) to the MORE 30

2nd & 16Kickoff Return (Offense)+23 yds

Nathan Hazlett kickoff for 58 yds , Jack Bill return for 23 yds to the BUT 35

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.15

Jyran Mitchell run for 12 yds to the BUT 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.85

Bret Bushka pass complete to Ethan Loss for 12 yds to the MORE 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.56

Bret Bushka pass complete to Luke Wooten for 17 yds to the MORE 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Jyran Mitchell run for 1 yd to the MORE 23

2nd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.48

Bret Bushka pass complete to Ethan Loss for 10 yds to the MORE 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jyran Mitchell run for 5 yds to the MORE 8

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Jyran Mitchell run for 2 yds to the MORE 6

3rd & 3Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -4.34

Bret Bushka pass intercepted Matthew McClelland return for no gain to the MORE 2

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

Butler Penalty, delay of game (Thomas Brown) to the MORE 7

1st & 5Rush+37 ydsPPA +1.88

Jackson Lanier run for 37 yds to the MORE 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Jackson Lanier run for 1 yd to the MORE 45

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Carter Cravens pass incomplete to Kyle Daly, broken up by Will Mason

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Carter Cravens pass incomplete to Ryan Upp, broken up by Tyson Garrett

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Kip Warren punt for 27 yds, fair catch by Joey Audia at the BUT 28

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Jyran Mitchell run for 2 yds to the BUT 30

2nd & 8Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.75

Bret Bushka sacked by Gabe Whittington for a loss of 3 yards to the BUT 27

3rd & 11Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.14

Bret Bushka run for 1 yd to the BUT 28 Butler Penalty, Offensive holding (Thomas Brown) declined

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Luka Zurak punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Ryan Upp at the MORE 37

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Carter Cravens pass complete to Kyle Daly for 3 yds to the MORE 40

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Carter Cravens pass incomplete to Ryan Upp

3rd & 7Fumble Recovery (Own)-9 ydsPPA -0.91

Carter Cravens sacked by George Dristiliaris for a loss of 9 yards to the MORE 31 Carter Cravens fumbled, recovered by MORE Torbyn Eakins , return for 0 yards

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Kip Warren punt for 40 yds, downed at the BUT 29

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.68

Jyran Mitchell run for 18 yds to the BUT 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.18

Jyran Mitchell run for 9 yds to the MORE 44

2nd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA -0.13

Jyran Mitchell run for 7 yds to the MORE 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.31

Jyran Mitchell run for 10 yds to the MORE 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.61

Jyran Mitchell run for a loss of 1 yard to the MORE 28

2nd & 11Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.82

Bret Bushka pass complete to Luke Wooten for 16 yds to the MORE 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.30

Bret Bushka pass complete to Joey Suchy for no gain to the MORE 12

2nd & 10Rushing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.83

Bret Bushka run for 12 yds for a TD (Luka Zurak KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Bryce Patterson pass complete to Evan Roach for 8 yds to the MORE 33

2nd & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.51

Evan Roach run for 8 yds to the MORE 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Bryce Patterson run for 3 yds to the MORE 44

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Bryce Patterson run for 3 yds to the MORE 47

3rd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.75

Bryce Patterson run for 1 yd to the MORE 48

4th & 3Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.75

Bryce Patterson pass complete to Harrison Cohen for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Joey Suchy run for 4 yds to the MORE 46

2nd & 6Penalty-5 yds

Butler Penalty, false start (Thomas Brown) to the BUT 49

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Eddie Schott pass incomplete to Ethan Loss, broken up by Kaleb Lyons

3rd & 11Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +3.26

Eddie Schott pass complete to Jyran Mitchell for 3 yds to the MORE 48 for a 1ST down Morehead State Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the MORE 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.15

Joey Audia run for a loss of 3 yards to the MORE 36

2nd & 13Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Eddie Schott pass complete to Joey Suchy for 3 yds to the MORE 33

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Eddie Schott pass incomplete to Luke Wooten

4th & 10Pass Interception Return+21 ydsPPA -1.59

Eddie Schott pass intercepted Jihad McCall return for 21 yds to the MORE 40

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.12

Evan Roach run for no gain to the MORE 40

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Evan Roach run for 6 yds to the MORE 46

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Bryce Patterson run for 2 yds to the MORE 48

4th & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.85

Bryce Patterson run for a loss of 1 yard to the MORE 47

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Griffin Caldwell run for 2 yds to the MORE 45

2nd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Eddie Schott pass complete to Griffin Caldwell for 6 yds to the MORE 39

3rd & 2Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.23

Griffin Caldwell run for 17 yds to the MORE 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Butler Penalty, delay of game (Thomas Brown) to the MORE 27

1st & 15Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Eddie Schott pass complete to Joey Audia for 4 yds to the MORE 23

2nd & 11Sack-16 ydsPPA -3.47

Eddie Schott sacked by Noah Benza for a loss of 16 yards to the MORE 39

3rd & 27Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.63

Eddie Schott sacked by Kenneth Shaffner for a loss of 5 yards to the MORE 44

4th & 32Punt0 yds

Luka Zurak punt for 39 yds, downed at the MORE 5

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Jackson Lanier run for 5 yds to the MORE 10

2nd & 5Interception Return Touchdown+18 ydsPPA -7.15

Bryce Patterson pass intercepted for a TD Patrick Coury return for 18 yds for a TD (Luka Zurak KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

Jackson Lanier run for no gain to the MORE 35

2nd & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +2.25

Jackson Lanier run for 13 yds to the MORE 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.60

Jackson Lanier run for a loss of 2 yards to the MORE 46

2nd & 12Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.10

Jackson Lanier run for a loss of 2 yards to the MORE 44

3rd & 14Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Evan Roach run for 2 yds to the MORE 46

Situational Analysis

Butler

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
55%
31 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
25%
4 plays
0%
3 plays
63%
8 plays
43%
7 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
0%
1 play
50%
4 plays
4th
0%
1 play

Morehead State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
35%
20 plays
2nd
100%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
33%
9 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
0%
3 plays
0%
5 plays
0%
1 play
4th
0%
2 plays