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← Back to GamesOct 28, 2023Week 9
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

San Diego by 5

Home Win Probability

San Diego 59%

Market (William Hill (New Jersey))

San Diego -4.5

Edge: San Diego -4.5 (0.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 28, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Morehead State
030811
San Diego
707317

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40147-07-314-314-1117-11
San DiegoMorehead State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MSSDMSSDMSSDMSSDMSSDMSSDSDMSSDMSSDMSSDMSSDMSSDMSPUNT420ydTO541ydPUNT3-2ydTO2-14ydMISS4-4ydTD1080ydPUNT614ydTO22ydFG1244ydPUNT919ydPUNT531ydEND1-1ydTD1480ydPUNT623ydPUNT38ydTD449ydPUNT35ydPUNT37ydPUNT47ydPUNT510ydFG948ydDOWNS827ydPUNT33ydTO538yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Morehead State and San Diego
StatisticMorehead StateSan Diego
Passing22-4711-19
Pass Yards208199
Rush Yards30131
Total Yards238330
Turnovers13
3rd Down3-148-15
Penalties5-2813-99
Possession21:1838:42

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Morehead State
passing
Carter Cravens
22/47, 208 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Carter Cravens
8 CAR, 26 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Ryan Upp
9 REC, 89 YDS
San Diego
passing
Dom Nankil
11/19, 199 YDS, 2 INT
rushing
Isaiah Williams
31 CAR, 134 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Ja'seem Reed
4 REC, 93 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

San Diego Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Nick Murray) to the MORE 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Carter Cravens pass complete to Ryan Upp for 5 yds to the USD 49

2nd & 5Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.19

Carter Cravens pass complete to Kyle Daly for no gain to the USD 49

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Carter Cravens pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Kip Warren punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Eric Haney at the USD 11

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Isaiah Williams run for 2 yds to the USD 13

2nd & 8Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.86

Isaiah Williams run for 11 yds to the USD 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Re-al Mitchell run for 2 yds to the USD 26

2nd & 8Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +2.89

Dom Nankil pass complete to Josh Heverly for 26 yds to the MORE 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -3.31

Dom Nankil pass intercepted by Jihad McCall at MOR30, intended for Re-al Mitchell. McCall return 2 yards to MOR 32.

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.38

James Louis run for a loss of 4 yards to the MORE 28

2nd & 14Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Carter Cravens pass complete to Michael Armour for 2 yds to the MORE 30

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Carter Cravens pass incomplete

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Kip Warren punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Eric Haney at the USD 29

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

San Diego Penalty, False Start (Jack D'Ambra) to the USD 24

1st & 15Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.67

Dom Nankil sacked by Kenneth Shaffner for a loss of 8 yards to the USD 16

2nd & 23Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-1 ydsPPA +0.32

Isaiah Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the USD 15 Isaiah Williams fumbled, recovered by MORE Paul O'Brien [SG] WILLIAMS, Isaiah rush up the middle for a loss of 1 yard, WILLIAMS, Isaiah fumbled at USD12 , recovered by MOR O'BRIEN, Paul at the USD15, returned 0 yards to the USD15, End of Play, clock 08:36.

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

CRAVENS, Carter pass to the left complete for 15 yards to UPP, Ryan caught at the USD1 and advanced to the USD0, TOUCHDOWN MOR, score nullified by penalty, clock 08:32 (Play was confirmed after review). PENALTY MOR Pass Interference on UPP, Ryan enforced 15 yards to the USD30 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 25Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.74

Carter Cravens pass complete to Ryan Upp for 11 yds to the USD 19

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

Carter Cravens pass incomplete

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

Carter Cravens pass incomplete

4th & 14Field Goal Missed+36 yds

Nathan Hazlett 36 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Sack-12 ydsPPA -0.97

Dom Nankil sacked by Matthew McClelland for a loss of 12 yards to the USD 8

2nd & 22Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.19

Isaiah Williams run for 13 yds to the USD 21

3rd & 9Pass Reception+41 ydsPPA +4.07

Dom Nankil pass complete to Ja'seem Reed for 41 yds to the MORE 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

WILLIAMS, Isaiah rush to the left for a gain of 27 yards to the MOR11 (CORPORA-ELLIS, Luciano). PENALTY USD Holding on MCCLURE, Brad enforced 10 yards from the MOR38 to the MOR48 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Isaiah Williams run for 4 yds to the MORE 44

2nd & 16Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.52

Dom Nankil pass complete to Josh Heverly for 12 yds to the MORE 32

3rd & 4Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.03

Dom Nankil pass complete to Re-al Mitchell for 14 yds to the MORE 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Dom Nankil pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

San Diego Penalty, False Start (Evans Bowling) to the MORE 23

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

Dom Nankil pass incomplete

3rd & 15Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.19

Dom Nankil pass complete to Josh Heverly for 18 yds to the MORE 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Penalty0 yds

QB Keeper MITCHELL, Re-al rush to the right for no gain to the MOR5 (WHITTINGTON, Gabe). PENALTY Before the snap, MOR Illegal Substitution enforced half the distance from the goal, 2 yards from the MOR5 to the MOR3. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Isaiah Williams run for 2 yds for a TD (Aidan Lehman KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Chance Harris run for 4 yds to the MORE 31

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Carter Cravens pass incomplete

3rd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.91

Carter Cravens run for 8 yds to the MORE 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Chance Harris run for 2 yds to the MORE 41

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Carter Cravens pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

Carter Cravens pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Kip Warren punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Eric Haney at the USD 15

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Isaiah Williams run for 2 yds to the USD 17

2nd & 8Interception0 ydsPPA -0.09

Dom Nankil pass intercepted by Kaleb Lyons at USD 47, intended for Ja'seem Reed. Lyons returned -4 yards to MOR 49.

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

James Louis run for 2 yds to the USD 49

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.88

James Louis run for 1 yd to the USD 48

3rd & 7Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.63

Carter Cravens pass complete to Xavier Rawls for 18 yds to the USD 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.70

Chance Harris run for a loss of 1 yard to the USD 31

2nd & 11Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.62

Carter Cravens run for 1 yd to the USD 30

3rd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.54

Carter Cravens pass complete to Ryan Upp for 12 yds to the USD 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Carter Cravens pass complete to Kyle Daly for 6 yds to the USD 12

2nd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.21

Carter Cravens pass complete to Ryan Upp for 5 yds to the USD 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Carter Cravens pass incomplete

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Carter Cravens pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Carter Cravens pass incomplete

4th & 7Field Goal Good+24 yds

Nathan Hazlett 24 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.95

Isaiah Williams run for 8 yds to the USD 35

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.98

Isaiah Williams run for 1 yd to the USD 36

3rd & 1Penalty-5 yds

NANKIL, Dom pass short to the left complete for 18 yards to NANKIL, Dom caught at the USD40 and advanced to the MOR46, out of bounds. PENALTY Before the snap, USD Illegal Substitution enforced 5 yards Before the snap, USD Illegal Substitution enforced 5 yards Before the snap, USD Illegal Substitution enforced 5 yards from the USD31 to the USD21. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 16Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.44

Dom Nankil pass complete to Ja'seem Reed for 18 yds to the USD 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Isaiah Williams run for 5 yds to the USD 44

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.44

Isaiah Williams run for 3 yds to the USD 47

3rd & 2Penalty-5 yds

San Diego Penalty, False Start (Liam McHale) to the USD 42

3rd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.43

Dom Nankil pass complete to Josh Heverly for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

NANKIL, Dom pass up the middle incomplete intended for SMITH, Isaiah thrown to the USD45. PENALTY USD Holding on D'AMBRA, Jack enforced 10 yards from the USD50 to the USD40 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.12

Isaiah Williams run for 10 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

San Diego Penalty, False Start (Evans Bowling) to the USD 45

2nd & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.57

Isaiah Williams run for 1 yd to the USD 46

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Dom Nankil pass incomplete

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Aydan Corrales punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Ryan Upp at the MORE 23

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.45

Carter Cravens pass complete to Trevon Kleint for 17 yds to the MORE 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.99

Carter Cravens pass complete to Ryan Upp for 11 yds to the USD 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Morehead State Penalty, Illegal Snap enforced (TEAM) to the MORE 46

1st & 15Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.79

Carter Cravens pass complete to Michael Armour for 8 yds to the USD 46

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Carter Cravens pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

Carter Cravens pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Kip Warren punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Eric Haney at the USD 13

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.40

Kneel down by NANKIL, Dom at USD12 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Isaiah Williams run for 7 yds to the USD 27

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Isaiah Williams run for 2 yds to the USD 29

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.78

Isaiah Williams run for 2 yds to the USD 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.89

Re-al Mitchell run for no gain to the USD 31

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Dom Nankil pass complete to Ja'seem Reed for 4 yds to the USD 35

3rd & 6Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.98

Dom Nankil pass complete to Peyton Smith for 18 yds to the MORE 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.56

Re-al Mitchell run for 10 yds to the MORE 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Dom Nankil pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.10

Isaiah Williams run for 12 yds to the MORE 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.45

Isaiah Williams run for no gain to the MORE 25

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.77

Isaiah Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the MORE 26

3rd & 11Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.75

Dom Nankil pass complete to Josh Heverly for 10 yds to the MORE 16

4th & 1Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.12

Re-al Mitchell run for 10 yds to the MORE 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

Dom Nankil run for 6 yds for a TD (Aidan Lehman KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.07

Chance Harris run for a loss of 1 yard to the MORE 31

2nd & 11Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.49

Carter Cravens pass complete to Ryan Upp for 16 yds to the MORE 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Carter Cravens pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

CRAVENS, Carter pass to the left incomplete intended for UPP, Ryan broken up by MURRAY, Nick at the USD45. PENALTY USD Pass Interference on MURRAY, Nick enforced 15 yards to the USD38 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Carter Cravens pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.21

Carter Cravens pass complete to Trevon Kleint for a loss of 1 yard to the USD 39

3rd & 11Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.75

Carter Cravens sacked by Zamir Wallace for a loss of 6 yards to the USD 45

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Kip Warren punt for 38 yds, downed at the USD 7

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.38

Re-al Mitchell run for a loss of 2 yards to the USD 5

2nd & 12Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.40

Isaiah Williams run for 11 yds to the USD 16

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.36

Re-al Mitchell run for a loss of 1 yard to the USD 15

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Aydan Corrales punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Ryan Upp at the USD 49

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.86

Chance Harris run for 1 yd to the USD 48

2nd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.57

Carter Cravens pass complete to Trevon Kleint for 7 yds to the USD 41

3rd & 2Penalty+10 yds

CRAVENS, Carter pass to the right incomplete intended for KLEINT, Trevon thrown to the USD30. PENALTY USD Holding on HONG, Joshua enforced 10 yards from the USD41 to the USD31 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +0.79

Carter Cravens pass complete to Kyle Daly for 25 yds to the USD 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Penalty+4 yds

CRAVENS, Carter pass up the middle incomplete intended for UPP, Ryan broken up by MURRAY, Nick at the USD0, clock 00:00. PENALTY USD Pass Interference on MURRAY, Nick enforced 4 yards to the USD2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Carter Cravens run for 2 yds for a TD (C. Cravens Run For Two-point Conversion)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

Isaiah Williams run for no gain to the USD 35

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Dom Nankil pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Dom Nankil run for 5 yds to the USD 40

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Aydan Corrales punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Ryan Upp at the MORE 23

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Carter Cravens pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.29

Carter Cravens run for 7 yds to the MORE 30

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Carter Cravens pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Kip Warren punt for 25 yds

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.37

Isaiah Williams run for 22 yds to the MORE 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.34

Isaiah Williams run for a loss of 4 yards to the MORE 37

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Dom Nankil pass incomplete

3rd & 14Sack-11 ydsPPA -1.93

Dom Nankil sacked by Isaac Armstrong for a loss of 11 yards to the MORE 48

4th & 25Punt0 yds

Aydan Corrales punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Ryan Upp at the MORE 11

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Carter Cravens pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.12

Carter Cravens pass complete to Harrison Cohen for 15 yds to the MORE 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Carter Cravens pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Carter Cravens pass incomplete

3rd & 10Penalty-5 yds

Morehead State Penalty, False Start (Ryan Upp) to the MORE 21

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.07

Carter Cravens pass incomplete

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Kip Warren punt for 29 yds, downed at the 50 yard line

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Isaiah Williams run for 4 yds to the MORE 46

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Isaiah Williams run for 4 yds to the MORE 42

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.08

Isaiah Williams run for 5 yds to the MORE 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.75

Isaiah Williams run for no gain to the MORE 37

2nd & 10Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +1.61

Dom Nankil pass complete to Ja'seem Reed for 30 yds to the MORE 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Isaiah Williams run for 3 yds to the MORE 4

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.36

Re-al Mitchell run for no gain to the MORE 4

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Isaiah Williams run for 2 yds to the MORE 2

4th & 2Field Goal Good+19 yds

Aidan Lehman 19 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Carter Cravens pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Carter Cravens pass complete to Trevon Kleint for 7 yds to the MORE 32

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Carter Cravens run for 2 yds to the MORE 34

4th & 1Rush+12 ydsPPA +2.62

Carter Cravens run for 12 yds to the MORE 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

Morehead State Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Carter Cravens) to the MORE 47

2nd & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.22

Carter Cravens pass complete to Ryan Upp for a loss of 2 yards to the MORE 44

3rd & 12Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.51

Carter Cravens pass complete to Michael Armour for 8 yds to the USD 48

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Carter Cravens pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Isaiah Williams run for 3 yds to the MORE 49

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Isaiah Williams run for 3 yds to the MORE 46

3rd & 4Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.58

Isaiah Williams run for a loss of 3 yards to the MORE 49

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Aydan Corrales punt for 45 yds , returns for no gain to the MORE 4

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Carter Cravens pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.59

Carter Cravens pass complete to Ryan Upp for 11 yds to the MORE 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.38

Carter Cravens pass complete to Ryan Upp for 20 yds to the MORE 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Carter Cravens pass complete to Michael Armour for 7 yds to the MORE 42

2nd & 3Interception0 ydsPPA -2.47

Carter Cravens pass intercepted

Situational Analysis

Morehead State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
32%
22 plays
100%
2 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
33%
3 plays
42%
12 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
0%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
40%
5 plays
20%
5 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play

San Diego

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
23%
22 plays
33%
3 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
0%
3 plays
44%
9 plays
57%
7 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
100%
3 plays
60%
5 plays
4th
100%
1 play