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← Back to GamesSep 23, 2023Week 4
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

St. Thomas (MN) by 20.1

Home Win Probability

St. Thomas (MN) 88%

Market (Caesars Sportsbook (Colorado))

St. Thomas (MN) -16

Edge: St. Thomas (MN) -16 (4.1 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 23, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Morehead State
0714728
St. Thomas (MN)
00211435

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-728-2128-28
St. Thomas (MN)Morehead State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MSST(MSST(ST(MSMSST(ST(MSST(MSST(MSMSST(ST(MSMSST(MSST(ST(MSMSST(MSPUNT3-1ydPUNT829ydPUNT50ydPUNT34ydPUNT35ydPUNT515ydPUNT636ydTO10ydDOWNS724ydDOWNS41ydPUNT520ydPUNT30ydPUNT418ydTD982ydPUNT3-9ydEND212ydTD472ydTD375ydTD875ydTD380ydTD1184ydTD770ydPUNT530ydPUNT43ydTD1283ydTD573ydUncategorized2-5yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Morehead State and St. Thomas (MN)
StatisticMorehead StateSt. Thomas (MN)
Passing21-4510-16
Pass Yards302137
Rush Yards66285
Total Yards368422
Turnovers01
3rd Down4-156-13
Penalties13-10511-109
Possession30:3029:30

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Morehead State
passing
Carter Cravens
20/44, 295 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Caleb Ramseur
12 CAR, 74 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Kyle Daly
6 REC, 107 YDS, 1 TD
St. Thomas (MN)
passing
Tak Tateoka
10/16, 137 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Shawn Shipman
16 CAR, 204 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Andrew McElroy
5 REC, 92 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

pass incomplete to Kyle Daly

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.39

James Louis run for a loss of 1 yard to the MORE 24

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

pass incomplete to Isaiah Davis

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Kip Warren punt for 43 yds

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Shawn Shipman run for 5 yds to the STMN 35

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.93

Shawn Shipman run for 6 yds to the STMN 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

pass incomplete to Lucas Torgerson

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.50

Shawn Shipman run for 2 yds to the STMN 43

3rd & 8Rush+13 ydsPPA +2.89

Tak Tateoka run for 13 yds to the MORE 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Shawn Shipman run for 3 yds to the MORE 41

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04
3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

pass incomplete to Lucas Torgerson

4th & 7Punt+36 yds

Elliot Huether punt for 41 yds St. Thomas-Minnesota Penalty, illegal motion (-5 Yards) to the MORE 25

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

James Louis run for 4 yds to the MORE 36

2nd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.20

Ryan Upp pass complete to Carter Cravens for 7 yds to the MORE 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-8 ydsPPA -2.38

James Louis run for a loss of 8 yards to the MORE 35

2nd & 18Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Carter Cravens pass complete to Ryan Upp for 5 yds to the MORE 40

3rd & 13Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.52

Carter Cravens sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the MORE 32

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+23 yds

Stephen Shagen kickoff for 56 yds , Kyle Daly return for 23 yds to the MORE 32

4th & 21Punt0 yds

Kip Warren punt for 32 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Shawn Shipman run for 1 yd to the STMN 37

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Shawn Shipman run for 6 yds to the STMN 43

3rd & 3Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.17

Tak Tateoka run for a loss of 3 yards to the STMN 40

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Elliot Huether punt for 35 yds , Caleb Ramseur returns for no gain to the MORE 25

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Gabriel Abel run for 1 yd to the STMN 34

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Tak Tateoka run for 4 yds to the STMN 38

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

pass incomplete to Jacob WIldermuth

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Elliot Huether punt for 42 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.11

Carter Cravens pass complete to Ryan Upp for 9 yds to the MORE 29

2nd & 1Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.03

Carter Cravens pass complete to Kyle Daly for 6 yds to the MORE 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

pass incomplete to Kyle Daly

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

pass incomplete to Ryan Upp

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Carter Cravens pass incomplete to Caleb Ramseur, broken up by Yusef Leak

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Kip Warren punt for 35 yds

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.71

Caleb Ramseur run for 19 yds to the MORE 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Chance Harris run for 1 yd to the MORE 45

2nd & 9Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.11

Carter Cravens pass complete to Michael Armour for 15 yds to the STMN 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

pass incomplete to Trevon Kleint

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.80

Caleb Ramseur run for 1 yd to the STMN 39

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

pass incomplete to Michael Armour

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Kip Warren punt for 25 yds

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -0.92

Tak Tateoka pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Hope Adebayo run for 1 yd to the STMN 15

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Hope Adebayo run for 4 yds to the STMN 19

3rd & 5Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.27

Tak Tateoka pass complete to Andrew McElroy for 10 yds to the STMN 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

St. Thomas-Minnesota Penalty, delay of game (Tak Tateoka) to the STMN 24

1st & 15Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.35

Tak Tateoka pass complete to Jacob WIldermuth for 7 yds to the STMN 31

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Hope Adebayo run for 5 yds to the STMN 36

3rd & 3Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.52

Tak Tateoka pass complete to Gabriel Abel for 1 yd to the STMN 37

4th & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Hope Adebayo run for 1 yd to the STMN 38

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Morehead State Penalty, false start (Torbyn Eakins) to the STMN 43

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

pass incomplete to Ryan Upp

2nd & 15Penalty-5 yds

Morehead State Penalty, false start (Jaxsen Spears) to the STMN 48

2nd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Carter Cravens pass incomplete to Ryan Upp, broken up by Ryan Calcagno

3rd & 20Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.99

Carter Cravens pass complete to James Louis for 11 yds to the STMN 37

4th & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.33

pass incomplete to Michael Armour

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Hope Adebayo run for 4 yds to the STMN 41

2nd & 6Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.60

Tak Tateoka pass complete to Andrew McElroy for 12 yds to the MORE 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Hope Adebayo run for 6 yds to the MORE 41

2nd & 4Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.54

Hope Adebayo run for a loss of 2 yards to the MORE 43

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

pass incomplete to Lucas Torgerson

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Elliot Huether punt for 27 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

pass incomplete to Isaiah Davis

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

pass incomplete to Trevon Kleint

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.09

pass incomplete to Chance Harris

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Kip Warren punt for 43 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion+15 ydsPPA +1.25

Tak Tateoka pass incomplete to Andrew McElroy, broken up by Zane Porter for a 1ST down Morehead State Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Kaleb Lyons) to the MORE 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Tak Tateoka run for 6 yds to the MORE 38

2nd & 4Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.42

Tak Tateoka sacked for a loss of 2 yards to the MORE 40

3rd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.27

Gabriel Abel run for a loss of 1 yard to the MORE 41

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Tak Tateoka punt for 23 yds

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.49

Caleb Ramseur run for 7 yds to the MORE 25

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Caleb Ramseur run for 2 yds to the MORE 27

3rd & 1Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.63

Caleb Ramseur run for 12 yds to the MORE 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

pass incomplete to Caleb Tillman

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion+15 ydsPPA +2.42

pass incomplete to Harrison Cohen for a 1ST down St. Thomas-Minnesota Penalty, roughing passer (Jack Mohler) to the STMN 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.75

Carter Cravens pass complete to Nick Dottore for 17 yds to the STMN 29 for a 1ST down

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion+10 ydsPPA +0.83

pass incomplete to Ryan Upp for a 1ST down St. Thomas-Minnesota Penalty, Defensive holding (Yusef Leak) to the STMN 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+24 ydsPPA +2.68

Carter Cravens pass complete to Kyle Daly for 24 yds for a TD (Nathan Hazlett KICK) St. Thomas-Minnesota Penalty, personal foul (Seth Hopkins) to the 50 yard line

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

pass incomplete to James Louis

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

Morehead State Penalty, personal foul (Zach Fish) to the STMN 42

2nd & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.81

Caleb Ramseur run for 1 yd to the STMN 41

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

Carter Cravens pass incomplete to Isaiah Davis, broken up by Nick Hand

4th & 14Penalty-5 yds

Morehead State Penalty, delay of game (Coby Nile) to the STMN 46

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Kip Warren punt for 46 yds

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.87

Shawn Shipman run for 12 yds to the STMN 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.93
1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

Nathan Hazlett kickoff for 54 yds , Terrance Kamara return for 17 yds to the STMN 28

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.66

Shawn Shipman run for 1 yd to the STMN 29

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.40

Shawn Shipman run for 1 yd to the STMN 30

3rd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.07

Tak Tateoka pass complete to Jacob WIldermuth for 9 yds to the STMN 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+61 ydsPPA +4.86

Shawn Shipman run for 61 yds for a TD (Stephen Shagen KICK)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

James Louis run for 9 yds to the MORE 34

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.28
3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

James Louis run for a loss of 1 yard to the MORE 33

4th & 2Punt+2 yds

punt for no gain , Matthew Rink returns for 2 yds for a TD (Stephen Shagen KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

St. Thomas-Minnesota Penalty, false start (James Morrison) to the MORE 8

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

St. Thomas-Minnesota Penalty, delay of game (Noah Friedt) to the MORE 30

1st & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.81

Chance Harris run for 2 yds to the MORE 32

2nd & 3Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.37

Chance Harris run for a loss of 3 yards to the MORE 29

3rd & 6Pass Reception-15 ydsPPA -0.55

Carter Cravens pass complete to Caleb Tillman Morehead State Penalty, Offensive pass interference (Caleb Tillman) to the MORE 14

3rd & 21Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +2.71

Carter Cravens pass complete to Ryan Upp for 27 yds to the MORE 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Morehead State Penalty, personal foul (Zach Fish) to the MORE 36

1st & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Chance Harris run for 2 yds to the MORE 38

2nd & 13Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +3.05

Carter Cravens pass complete to Kyle Daly for 20 yds to the STMN 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +0.87

Carter Cravens pass complete to Caleb Tillman for 33 yds to the STMN 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.42

Carter Cravens pass complete to Caleb Tillman for 9 yds for a TD (Nathan Hazlett KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Nathan Hazlett kickoff for 45 yds , Daniel Tschida return for no gain to the STMN 20

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.11

Shawn Shipman run for 9 yds to the STMN 29

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

pass incomplete to Andrew McElroy

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+71 ydsPPA +6.39

Shawn Shipman run for 71 yds for a TD (Stephen Shagen KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+24 yds

Stephen Shagen kickoff for 63 yds , Kyle Daly return for 24 yds to the MORE 41 Morehead State Penalty, Offensive holding (Kairo Reid) to the MORE 16

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.65

Caleb Ramseur run for 11 yds to the MORE 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.64

Caleb Ramseur run for 1 yd to the MORE 28

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

pass incomplete to Caleb Tillman

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion+15 ydsPPA +2.56

pass incomplete to Kyle Daly St. Thomas-Minnesota Penalty, roughing passer (Joey Fitzgerald) to the MORE 43

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Carter Cravens run for 5 yds to the MORE 48

2nd & 5Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.17

Carter Cravens pass complete to Kyle Daly for 12 yds to the STMN 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +0.99

Carter Cravens pass complete to Kyle Daly for 33 yds to the STMN 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

pass incomplete to Caleb Ramseur

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Carter Cravens pass incomplete to Caleb Tillman, broken up by Johnson Fallah

3rd & 7Penalty+4 yds

St. Thomas-Minnesota Penalty, personal foul (Caden Nelson) to the STMN 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Caleb Ramseur 3 Yd Run (Nathan Hazlett Kick)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+28 yds

Nathan Hazlett kickoff for 63 yds , Andrew McElroy return for 28 yds to the STMN 30

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.00

Hope Adebayo run for 8 yds to the STMN 38

2nd & 2Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.85

Hope Adebayo run for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Landon Reed run to the 50 yard line Morehead State Penalty, off-side (Terrell Spigner) to the MORE 45

1st & 5Pass Reception+39 ydsPPA +0.61

Tak Tateoka pass complete to Andrew McElroy for 39 yds to the MORE 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Hope Adebayo run for 3 yds to the MORE 3

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Hope Adebayo run for 1 yd to the MORE 2

3rd & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

Tak Tateoka pass complete to Patrick Wagner for 2 yds for a TD (Stephen Shagen KICK)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.23

Shawn Shipman run for 9 yds to the STMN 33

2nd & 1Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.23

Shawn Shipman run for 19 yds to the MORE 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Tak Tateoka run for 4 yds to the MORE 44

2nd & 6Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.57

Shawn Shipman run for a loss of 2 yards to the MORE 46

3rd & 8Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.91

Tak Tateoka pass complete to Andrew McElroy

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Tak Tateoka punt for 29 yds

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Stephen Shagen kickoff for 52 yds , Caleb Ramseur return for 19 yds to the MORE 32

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Morehead State Penalty, false start (James Wayne) to the MORE 27

1st & 15Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.81

Carter Cravens sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the MORE 19

2nd & 23Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.63

Carter Cravens pass complete to Ryan Upp for 16 yds to the MORE 35

3rd & 7Rush-15 ydsPPA -0.72

Morehead State Penalty, illegal block (Jaxsen Spears) to the MORE 20

3rd & 22Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.28

Carter Cravens pass complete to Trevon Kleint for 15 yds to the MORE 35

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Kip Warren punt for 41 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Caleb Ramseur run for 2 yds to the MORE 19

2nd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Carter Cravens pass complete to Caleb Ramseur for 5 yds to the MORE 24

3rd & 3Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +3.32

Carter Cravens pass complete to Ryan Upp for 16 yds to the STMN 40 St. Thomas-Minnesota Penalty, personal foul (Tommy Shelstad) to the STMN 45

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.23

Caleb Ramseur run for a loss of 1 yard to the STMN 46

2nd & 11Pass Reception-10 ydsPPA -2.32

Carter Cravens pass complete to Caleb Tillman Morehead State Penalty, Offensive holding (James Wayne) to the MORE 48

2nd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

pass incomplete to Ryan Upp

3rd & 17Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.20

Carter Cravens pass complete to Kyle Daly for 12 yds to the STMN 40

4th & 5Pass Incompletion+15 ydsPPA +2.79

Carter Cravens pass incomplete to Kyle Daly for a 1ST down St. Thomas-Minnesota Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Yusef Leak) to the STMN 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Carter Cravens pass complete to James Louis for 6 yds to the STMN 19

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Carter Cravens run for 2 yds to the STMN 17

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.40

James Louis run for 1 yd to the STMN 16

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +3.17

Caleb Ramseur run for 16 yds for a TD (Nathan Hazlett KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+15 yds

Nathan Hazlett kickoff for 53 yds , Terrance Kamara return for 15 yds to the STMN 27

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Hope Adebayo run for 5 yds to the STMN 32

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.52

Tak Tateoka run for 2 yds to the STMN 34

3rd & 3Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.89

Tak Tateoka run for 9 yds to the STMN 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +1.75

Tak Tateoka pass complete to Andrew McElroy for 31 yds to the MORE 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+26 ydsPPA +2.72

Tak Tateoka pass complete to Jacob WIldermuth for 26 yds for a TD (Stephen Shagen KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

Stephen Shagen kickoff for 59 yds , Kyle Daly return for 17 yds to the MORE 23

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Morehead State Penalty, delay of game (Carter Cravens) to the MORE 18

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Carter Cravens pass incomplete to Kyle Daly, broken up by Johnson Fallah

2nd & 15Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Carter Cravens pass complete to Caleb Ramseur for 4 yds to the MORE 18

Situational Analysis

Morehead State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
48%
25 plays
0%
4 plays
2nd
25%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
33%
9 plays
44%
9 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
0%
1 play
20%
5 plays
57%
7 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
0%
1 play

St. Thomas (MN)

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
57%
23 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
50%
4 plays
33%
6 plays
29%
7 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
25%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
0%
1 play