Skip to main content
← Back to GamesSep 9, 2023Week 2

House Prediction

Model Margin

Mercer by 19.4

Home Win Probability

Mercer 85%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Sep 9, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Morehead State
3127022
Mercer
14791848

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-314-614-1214-1528-1530-1530-2238-2245-2248-22
MercerMorehead State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MSMERMSMERMSMERMSMERMSMERMSMERMSMERMSMERMSMSMERMSMERMSPUNT32ydTD449ydFG1453ydTD380ydFG756ydPUNT3-3ydTD572ydPUNT3-1ydFG1246ydTD668ydEND2-1ydTD175ydDOWNS622ydFG1056ydTD871ydPUNT431ydTD34ydPUNT36ydTD574ydTO311ydFG925ydUncategorized12yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Morehead State and Mercer
StatisticMorehead StateMercer
Passing15-2813-19
Pass Yards196268
Rush Yards109186
Total Yards305454
Turnovers10
3rd Down5-134-9
Penalties4-4010-103
Possession34:2622:27

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Morehead State
passing
Carter Cravens
14/26, 187 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Caleb Ramseur
7 CAR, 67 YDS
receiving
Kyle Daly
4 REC, 63 YDS, 1 TD
Mercer
passing
Carter Peevy
13/19, 268 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Devron Harper
3 CAR, 72 YDS
receiving
Ty James
5 REC, 146 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Caleb Ramseur run for 2 yds to the MORE 22

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Carter Cravens pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Carter Cravens pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Kip Warren punt for 50 yds

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -2.36

Carter Peevy sacked by Noah Benza for a loss of 6 yards to the MER 45

2nd & 16Rush+37 ydsPPA +3.53

Devron Harper run for 37 yds to the MORE 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Carter Peevy pass complete to Devron Harper for 1 yd to the MORE 17

2nd & 9Rushing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +2.86

Carter Peevy run for 17 yds for a TD (Reice Griffith KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Morehead State Penalty, Offensive Holding (TEAM) to the MORE 15

1st & 20Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.19

James Louis run for a loss of 3 yards to the MORE 12

2nd & 23Rush0 ydsPPA -0.04

James Louis run for no gain to the MORE 12

3rd & 23Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.14

Carter Cravens pass complete to Isaiah Davis for 23 yds to the MORE 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

James Louis run for no gain to the MORE 35

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Chance Harris run for 1 yd to the MORE 36

3rd & 9Rush+14 ydsPPA +2.92

Carter Cravens run for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.09

Carter Cravens pass complete to Ryan Upp for 9 yds to the MER 41

2nd & 1Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.44

Carter Cravens pass complete to Isaiah Davis for 1 yd to the MER 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Chance Harris run for 2 yds to the MER 38

2nd & 8Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.98

Carter Cravens pass complete to Kyle Daly for 15 yds to the MER 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.32

Chance Harris run for 1 yd to the MER 22

2nd & 9Penalty-5 yds

CRAVENS, Carter pass deep to the right incomplete intended for DOTTORE, Nick thrown to the MER1. PENALTY MOR Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on TONG, Zach enforced 5 yards from the MER22 to the MER27 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 14Rush0 ydsPPA -0.77

Chance Harris run for no gain to the MER 27

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Carter Cravens pass incomplete

4th & 14Penalty+5 yds

HAZLETT, Nathan field goal attempt from 44 yards NO GOOD (wide right) [kick was spotted at MER34]. PENALTY MER Offsides on MCCARTHY, Tavion enforced 5 yards from the MER27 to the MER22. NO PLAY (replay the down).

4th & 9Field Goal Good+39 yds

Nathan Hazlett 39 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

PEEVY, Carter pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for JAMES, Ty thrown to the MER38. PENALTY MER Illegal Touch-Pass enforced 0 yards from the MER20 to the MER20, penalty results in a loss of down [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Carter Peevy pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+50 ydsPPA +4.39

Carter Peevy pass complete to Devron Harper for 50 yds to the MORE 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+30 ydsPPA +2.81

Al Wooten II run for 30 yds for a TD (Reice Griffith KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

James Louis run for no gain to the MORE 35

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Carter Cravens pass incomplete

3rd & 10Penalty+15 yds

CRAVENS, Carter pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for UPP, Ryan broken up by WISE, Lance at the MER40. PENALTY MER Targeting on WISE, Lance enforced 15 yards from the MOR35 to the MOR50 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +1.27

Carter Cravens pass complete to Isaiah Davis for 34 yds to the MER 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

James Louis run for 2 yds to the MER 14

2nd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Carter Cravens pass complete to Caleb Tillman for 5 yds to the MER 9

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Carter Cravens pass incomplete

4th & 3Field Goal Good+26 yds

Nathan Hazlett 26 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.84

Carter Peevy sacked by Terrell Spigner for a loss of 1 yard to the MER 25

2nd & 11Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.39

Micah Bell run for a loss of 2 yards to the MER 23

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

Carter Peevy pass incomplete

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Kody Arnold punt for 49 yds, downed at the MORE 28

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +2.01

Caleb Ramseur run for 22 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Carter Cravens run for 5 yds to the MER 45

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Caleb Ramseur run for 4 yds to the MER 41

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.74

Bryce Patterson run for 2 yds to the MER 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

CRAVENS, Carter pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for DALY, Kyle thrown to the MER2. PENALTY MER Roughing the Passer on CAMESE, Caden enforced 15 yards from the MER39 to the MER24 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NH]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+24 ydsPPA +2.68

Carter Cravens pass complete to Kyle Daly for 24 yds for a TD

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Al Wooten II run for no gain to the MER 20

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.39

Parker Wroble run for 8 yds to the MER 28

3rd & 2Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.67

Carter Peevy run for a loss of 4 yards to the MER 24

4th & 6Penalty-5 yds

Mercer Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MER 19

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Kody Arnold punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Caleb Ramseur at the MORE 49

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.59

Carter Cravens run for a loss of 2 yards to the MORE 47

2nd & 12Rush0 ydsPPA -0.88

Caleb Ramseur run for no gain to the MORE 47

3rd & 12Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +3.29

Carter Cravens pass complete to Kyle Daly for 15 yds to the MER 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Carter Cravens pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.21

Carter Cravens pass complete to Bradley West for 15 yds to the MER 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Carter Cravens pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Bradley West run for 3 yds to the MER 20

3rd & 7Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.37

Carter Cravens run for 15 yds to the MER 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Carter Cravens pass incomplete

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Caleb Ramseur run for 2 yds to the MER 3

3rd & 3Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.43

Bryce Patterson run for a loss of 2 yards to the MER 5

4th & 5Field Goal Good+22 yds

Nathan Hazlett 22 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.96

Al Wooten II run for 10 yds to the MER 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.09

Carter Peevy pass complete to Ty James for 13 yds to the MORE 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Carter Peevy pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Carter Peevy pass complete to Devron Harper for 3 yds to the MORE 42

3rd & 7Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +2.55

Carter Peevy pass complete to Ty James for 34 yds to the MORE 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.32

Al Wooten II run for 8 yds for a TD (Reice Griffith KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Carter Cravens pass incomplete

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.72

run for a loss of 1 yard to the MORE 35

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+75 ydsPPA +6.08

Carter Peevy pass complete to Ty James for 75 yds for a TD (C. Peevy Run For Two-point Conversion)

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

HARRIS, Chance rush up the middle for a loss of 1 yard to the MOR40 (DOWLING, Isaac). PENALTY MER Face mask on SWAIN, Jordan enforced 15 yards from the MOR41 to the MER44 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Carter Cravens run for 2 yds to the MER 42

2nd & 8Penalty-10 yds

HARRIS, Chance rush to the left for a gain of 2 yards to the MER40 (MCCARTHY, Tavion), out of bounds. PENALTY MOR Holding enforced 10 yards from the MER42 to the MOR48 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 18Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +3.27

Carter Cravens pass complete to Ryan Upp for 22 yds to the MER 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.70

Chance Harris run for a loss of 1 yard to the MER 31

2nd & 11Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Chance Harris run for 4 yds to the MER 27

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Carter Cravens pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Al Wooten II run for 3 yds to the MER 40

2nd & 7Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.12

Devron Harper run for 17 yds to the MORE 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Carter Peevy run for 4 yds to the MORE 39

2nd & 6Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.76

Carter Peevy pass complete to Devron Harper for 14 yds to the MORE 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Micah Bell run for 2 yds to the MORE 23

2nd & 8Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.75

Carter Peevy pass complete to Sawyer Burt for 16 yds to the MORE 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.41

Carter Peevy run for no gain to the MORE 7

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.28

Micah Bell run for no gain to the MORE 7

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Carter Peevy pass incomplete

4th & 7Field Goal Good+24 yds

Reice Griffith 24 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Carter Cravens pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+33 ydsPPA +3.51

Caleb Ramseur run for 33 yds to the MER 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.98

James Louis run for a loss of 1 yard to the MER 39

2nd & 11Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Caleb Ramseur run for 4 yds to the MER 35

3rd & 7Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.59

Carter Cravens pass complete to Chance Harris for 2 yds to the MER 33

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Carter Cravens pass incomplete

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.84

Carter Cravens pass complete to Ryan Upp for 13 yds for a TD (Nathan Hazlett KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.22

Carter Peevy pass complete to Devron Harper for 25 yds to the MER 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Carter Peevy pass complete to Andrew May for 6 yds to the MORE 45

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Parker Wroble run for no gain to the MORE 45

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Kody Arnold punt for 42 yds, downed at the MORE 3

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

James Louis run for 2 yds to the MORE 5

2nd & 8Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.22

Carter Cravens run for a loss of 3 yards to the MORE 2

3rd & 11Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Carter Cravens pass complete to Bradley West for 5 yds to the MORE 7

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Kip Warren punt for 46 yds (Hess Horne pass to Gavin McKay for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.84

Chance Harris run for a loss of 1 yard to the MORE 25

2nd & 11Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Chance Harris run for 3 yds to the MORE 28

3rd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Carter Cravens pass complete to Harrison Cohen for 4 yds to the MORE 32

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Kip Warren punt for 42 yds, downed at the MER 26

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Morehead State Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Jihad McCall) to the MORE 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +0.62

Tyrell Coard run for 21 yds to the MORE 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

QB Keeper PEEVY, Carter rush to the left for a gain of 19 yards to the MOR1 (CORPORA-ELLIS, Luciano), out of bounds. PENALTY MER Holding enforced 10 yards from the MOR20 to the MOR30 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.26

Carter Peevy pass complete to Devron Harper for 7 yds to the MORE 23

2nd & 13Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.70

Carter Peevy pass complete to Ty James for 12 yds to the MORE 11

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.57

Tyrell Coard run for 11 yds for a TD (Reice Griffith KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

James Louis run for 2 yds to the MORE 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Connor Genal pass complete to Kyle Daly for 9 yds to the MORE 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -1.85

Connor Genal pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Mike Mcgowan run for 6 yds to the MORE 39

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Mike Mcgowan run for 1 yd to the MORE 38

3rd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.10

Al Wooten II run for 7 yds to the MORE 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.44

Mike Mcgowan run for 1 yd to the MORE 30

2nd & 9Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.69

Carter Peevy pass complete to Ty James for 12 yds to the MORE 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.51

Mike Mcgowan run for a loss of 2 yards to the MORE 20

2nd & 12Rush0 ydsPPA -0.51

Al Wooten II run for no gain to the MORE 20

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Carter Peevy pass incomplete

4th & 12Field Goal Good+37 yds

Reice Griffith 37 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Bradley West run for 2 yds to the MORE 29

Situational Analysis

Morehead State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
20%
25 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
1 play
0%
2 plays
50%
12 plays
14%
7 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
33%
6 plays
75%
4 plays
4th

Mercer

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
45%
20 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
33%
3 plays
63%
8 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
4th