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← Back to GamesOct 28, 2023Week 9
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

St. Thomas (MN) by 16.5

Home Win Probability

St. Thomas (MN) 82%

Market (William Hill (New Jersey))

St. Thomas (MN) -10.5

Edge: St. Thomas (MN) -10.5 (6.0 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 28, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Marist
070714
St. Thomas (MN)
21147749

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428425621-035-742-14
St. Thomas (MN)Marist

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ST(MARST(MARST(MARST(MARST(MARST(MARST(MARST(MARST(MARST(MARST(MARST(MARPUNT36ydPUNT518ydTO319ydTO416ydTD240ydPUNT411ydTD357ydPUNT39ydTD249ydPUNT40ydTD245ydDOWNS1471ydTO220ydTD830ydTD1075ydDOWNS1348ydTD1465ydTD1374ydPUNT30ydTO859ydTD317ydPUNT53ydPUNT3-4ydUncategorized24yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Marist and St. Thomas (MN)
StatisticMaristSt. Thomas (MN)
Passing29-5111-19
Pass Yards290127
Rush Yards52252
Total Yards342379
Turnovers22
3rd Down6-174-7
Penalties7-614-17
Possession38:2821:32

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Marist
passing
Brock Bagozzi
29/48, 290 YDS, 2 INT
rushing
Tristan Shannon
9 CAR, 18 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Reed Dexter
7 REC, 93 YDS
St. Thomas (MN)
passing
Amari Powell
11/17, 127 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Shawn Shipman
11 CAR, 121 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Andrew McElroy
6 REC, 55 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Shawn Shipman run for 1 yd to the STMN 31

2nd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.44

Amari Powell pass complete to Andrew McElroy for 7 yds to the STMN 38

3rd & 2Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.95

Landon Reed run for a loss of 2 yards to the STMN 36

4th & 4Punt+2 yds

Elliot Huether punt for 36 yds , Tristan Shannon returns for 2 yds to the MRST 30

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Brock Bagozzi pass complete to Matt Stianche for 6 yds to the MRST 36

2nd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.66

Brock Bagozzi pass complete to Brandon Lombana for a 1ST down St. Thomas-Minnesota Penalty, off-side (Luke Herzog) to the MRST 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Woods,Amin rush middle (Mohler,Jack).

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

pass incomplete to Mohamed Diawara

3rd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.34

Brock Bagozzi pass complete to Amin Woods for 7 yds to the MRST 48

4th & 3Punt0 yds

punt for no gain

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +0.50

Hope Adebayo run for 20 yds to the MRST 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.43

Hope Adebayo run for a loss of 1 yard to the MRST 19

2nd & 11Interception0 ydsPPA -3.98

Andrew McElroy pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Amin Woods run for 1 yd to the MRST 7

2nd & 9Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.70

Brock Bagozzi pass complete to Amin Woods for 12 yds to the MRST 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Brock Bagozzi run for 3 yds to the MRST 22

2nd & 7Interception0 ydsPPA -0.34

Brock Bagozzi pass intercepted Marist Penalty, Defensive holding (Jake Anapol) to the MRST 40

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.05

Gabriel Abel run for a loss of 1 yard to the MRST 41

2nd & 11Passing Touchdown+41 ydsPPA +4.24

Amari Powell pass complete to Colin Chase for 41 yds for a TD (Stephen Shagen KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+15 yds

Stephen Shagen kickoff for 52 yds , Carter James return for 15 yds to the MRST 28

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.00

Amin Woods run for 11 yds to the MRST 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.11

Woods,Amin rush middle (Hopkins,Seth;Warren,C.J).

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

pass incomplete to Luke Pecovic

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

pass incomplete to Mohamed Diawara

4th & 10Punt+11 yds

Joe Neubecker punt for 39 yds , Andrew McElroy returns for 11 yds to the 50 yard line Marist Penalty, illegal block (Justin Iaccio) to the STMN 43

1st & 10Rush+53 ydsPPA +2.78

Shawn Shipman run for 53 yds to the MRST 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Shawn Shipman run for 3 yds to the MRST 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Hope Adebayo run for 1 yd for a TD (Stephen Shagen KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+9 yds

Stephen Shagen kickoff for 61 yds , Tristan Shannon return for 9 yds to the MRST 13

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.40

Woods,Amin rush middle (Tyler,Evan;Leak,Yusef).

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.29

Brock Bagozzi pass complete to Brandon Lombana for 8 yds to the MRST 21

3rd & 2Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Brock Bagozzi pass complete to Jackson Willette for 1 yd to the MRST 22

4th & 1Punt+2 yds

Joe Neubecker punt for 29 yds , Andrew McElroy returns for 2 yds to the MRST 49

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Amari Powell pass complete to Andrew McElroy for 6 yds to the MRST 43

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+43 ydsPPA +3.43

Hope Adebayo run for 43 yds for a TD (Stephen Shagen KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+22 yds

Stephen Shagen kickoff for 62 yds , Carter James return for 22 yds to the MRST 25

1st & 10Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -1.07

Brock Bagozzi pass complete to Matt Stianche Marist Penalty, illegal formation (Justin Iaccio) to the MRST 20

1st & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Tristan Shannon run for 1 yd to the MRST 21

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

pass incomplete to Matt Stianche Marist Penalty, Offensive holding (Ibrahim Giwa) to the MRST 21

3rd & 14Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Brock Bagozzi pass complete to Tristan Shannon for 4 yds to the MRST 25

4th & 10Punt+17 yds

Joe Neubecker punt for 37 yds , Andrew McElroy returns for 17 yds to the MRST 45

1st & 10Rush+40 ydsPPA +1.59

Gabriel Abel run for 40 yds to the MRST 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Gabriel Abel run for 5 yds for a TD (Stephen Shagen KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Stephen Shagen kickoff for 53 yds , Tristan Shannon return for 20 yds to the MRST 45 Marist Penalty, Offensive holding (Kolbe Benham) to the MRST 22

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Tristan Shannon run for 6 yds to the MRST 28

2nd & 4Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.11

Brock Bagozzi pass complete to Tristan Shannon for 11 yds to the MRST 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Max Jackson run for 3 yds to the MRST 42

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

pass incomplete to Matt Stianche

3rd & 7Rush+10 ydsPPA +2.58

Brock Bagozzi run for 10 yds to the STMN 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.68

Brock Bagozzi pass complete to Mohamed Diawara for 12 yds to the STMN 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Brock Bagozzi pass complete to Mohamed Diawara for 6 yds to the STMN 30

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

pass incomplete to Matt Stianche

3rd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.80

Brock Bagozzi pass complete to Reed Dexter for 5 yds to the STMN 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.15

Brock Bagozzi pass complete to Reed Dexter for 11 yds to the STMN 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Brock Bagozzi pass complete to Tristan Shannon for 6 yds to the STMN 8

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

pass incomplete to Matt Stianche

3rd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Tristan Shannon run for 1 yd to the STMN 7

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.99

pass incomplete to Brandon Lombana

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +0.94

Shawn Shipman run for 20 yds to the STMN 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -1.07

Amari Powell pass intercepted

1st & 10Sack-12 ydsPPA -2.82

Brock Bagozzi sacked for a loss of 12 yards to the STMN 42 Marist Penalty, intentional grounding (Brock Bagozzi) to the STMN 42

2nd & 22Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Brock Bagozzi run for 4 yds to the STMN 38

3rd & 18Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.70

Brock Bagozzi pass complete to Jake Ciolino for 13 yds to the STMN 25

4th & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.48

Brock Bagozzi pass complete to Tristan Shannon for 6 yds to the STMN 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

pass incomplete to Brandon Lombana

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Brock Bagozzi pass complete to Jackson Willette for 4 yds to the STMN 15

3rd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Tristan Shannon run for 4 yds to the STMN 11

4th & 2Rushing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +3.06

Brock Bagozzi run for 11 yds for a TD (Chase Gardi KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+15 yds

Chase Gardi kickoff for 55 yds , Andrew McElroy return for 15 yds to the STMN 25

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Shawn Shipman run for 2 yds to the STMN 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.29

Amari Powell pass complete to Jacob WIldermuth for 8 yds to the STMN 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.48

Amari Powell pass complete to Andrew McElroy for 16 yds to the MRST 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.67

Amari Powell pass complete to Andrew McElroy for 11 yds to the MRST 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

pass incomplete to Patrick Wagner

2nd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.18

Amari Powell pass complete to Colin Chase for 13 yds to the MRST 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

pass incomplete to Jacob WIldermuth

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Amari Powell pass incomplete to Gabriel Abel, broken up by Rechee Smith

3rd & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.34

Shawn Shipman run for 16 yds to the MRST 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.42

Amari Powell pass complete to Andrew McElroy for 9 yds for a TD (Stephen Shagen KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Tristan Shannon run for 2 yds to the MRST 19

2nd & 8Sack-13 ydsPPA -0.54

Brock Bagozzi sacked for a loss of 13 yards to the MRST 6

3rd & 21Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.61

Brock Bagozzi pass complete to Tristan Shannon for 23 yds to the MRST 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

pass incomplete to Max Jackson

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.37

Max Jackson run for 7 yds to the MRST 36

3rd & 3Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.05

Brock Bagozzi pass complete to Brandon Lombana for 10 yds to the MRST 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

pass incomplete to Matt Stianche

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.57

Brock Bagozzi pass complete to Tristan Shannon for 7 yds to the STMN 47

3rd & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.53

Brock Bagozzi pass complete to Brandon Lombana for 6 yds to the STMN 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.88

Jackson,Max rush middle (Bullard,Seth;Bunce,Jonathan).

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Brock Bagozzi pass complete to Max Mazzella for 6 yds to the STMN 35

3rd & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Brock Bagozzi pass complete to Jackson Willette for 3 yds to the STMN 32

4th & 1Rush-3 ydsPPA -2.80

Tristan Shannon run for a loss of 3 yards to the STMN 35

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+10 yds

Stephen Shagen kickoff for 58 yds , Tristan Shannon return for 10 yds to the MRST 17

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.97

Shawn Shipman run for 10 yds to the STMN 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Shawn Shipman run for 4 yds to the STMN 49

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

pass incomplete to Patrick Wagner

3rd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +2.18

Amari Powell pass complete to Shawn Shipman for 7 yds to the MRST 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-1 ydsPPA -1.19

Shawn Shipman run for a loss of 1 yard to the MRST 45 Shawn Shipman fumbled, recovered by STMN Shawn Shipman Shipman,Shawn rush middle for loss of 1 yard to the MAR45, fumble by Shipman,Shawn recovered by UST Shipman,Shawn, Shipman,Shawn rush.

2nd & 11Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.67

Shawn Shipman run for 11 yds to the MRST 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack+10 ydsPPA +0.26

Amari Powell sacked for a loss of 5 yards to the MRST 39 for a 1ST down Marist Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Tyler Ruscher) to the MRST 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Hope Adebayo run for 5 yds to the MRST 19

2nd & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Amari Powell pass complete to Jacob WIldermuth for 3 yds to the MRST 16

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.20

Hope Adebayo run for 2 yds to the MRST 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

pass incomplete to Andrew McElroy

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.11

Amari Powell run for 6 yds to the MRST 8

3rd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.54

Amari Powell pass complete to Andrew McElroy for 6 yds to the MRST 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Shawn Shipman run for 2 yds for a TD (Stephen Shagen KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+11 yds

Elliot Huether kickoff for 50 yds , Tristan Shannon return for 11 yds to the MRST 26

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.28

Brock Bagozzi pass complete to Reed Dexter for 9 yds to the MRST 35

2nd & 1Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +1.89

Brock Bagozzi pass complete to Reed Dexter for 34 yds to the STMN 31 for a 1ST down St. Thomas-Minnesota Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Sanjay Redd) to the STMN 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

pass incomplete to Tristan Shannon

2nd & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.87

Brock Bagozzi pass complete to Reed Dexter for 16 yds to the STMN 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

pass incomplete to Reed Dexter

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.11

Brock Bagozzi pass complete to Max Jackson for 6 yds to the STMN 9

3rd & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Brock Bagozzi pass complete to Reed Dexter for 3 yds to the STMN 6

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.99

Tristan Shannon run for 1 yd to the STMN 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Brock Bagozzi pass complete to Tristan Shannon St. Thomas-Minnesota Penalty, off-side (Caleb Sandstrom) to the STMN 3

1st & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Max Jackson run for 1 yd to the STMN 2

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Brock Bagozzi pass incomplete to Matt Stianche, broken up by Yusef Leak

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.31

Bagozzi,Brock rush middle (Shelstad,Tommy;Hand,Nick).

4th & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.85

Tristan Shannon run for 2 yds for a TD (Chase Gardi KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+10 yds

Chase Gardi kickoff for 40 yds , Luke Schuler return for 10 yds to the STMN 35

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.18

Gabriel Abel run for a loss of 1 yard to the STMN 34

2nd & 11Penalty-5 yds

St. Thomas-Minnesota Penalty, false start (Terrance Kamara) to the STMN 29

2nd & 16Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Gabriel Abel run for 3 yds to the STMN 32

3rd & 13Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.08

Travis Plugge run for 3 yds to the STMN 35

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Elliot Huether punt for 33 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.42

Brock Bagozzi pass complete to Reed Dexter for 15 yds to the MRST 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Brock Bagozzi pass incomplete to Reed Dexter, broken up by Sanjay Redd

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.11

Brock Bagozzi pass complete to Tristan Shannon for 9 yds to the STMN 44

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.95

Tristan Shannon run for 4 yds to the STMN 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

pass incomplete to Reed Dexter

2nd & 10Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +1.61

Brock Bagozzi pass complete to Max Jackson for 31 yds to the STMN 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Brock Bagozzi pass incomplete to Max Jackson, broken up by Caden Nelson

2nd & 9Interception-15 ydsPPA -4.26

Brock Bagozzi pass intercepted for a 1ST down Marist Penalty, illegal block (Isaiah Smith) to the MRST 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Travis Plugge run for 6 yds to the MRST 11

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.20

Gabriel Abel run for 4 yds to the MRST 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.20

Gabriel Abel 7 Yd Run (Elliot Huether Kick)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

St. Thomas-Minnesota Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the MRST 8

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Elliot Huether kickoff , Carter James return for no gain to the MRST 35 Marist Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Kyle Coffindaffer) to the MRST 6

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

pass incomplete to Dyvante Terrelonge

2nd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.61

Logan Brabham run for 10 yds to the MRST 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Logan Brabham pass incomplete to Reed Dexter, broken up by Malaki-Milton Jackson

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

pass incomplete to Trevor Sterry

3rd & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.14

Logan Brabham sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the MRST 9

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Joe Neubecker punt for 47 yds

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -2.08

Gus Theisen run for a loss of 5 yards to the STMN 39

2nd & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Gus Theisen run for 1 yd to the STMN 40

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

pass incomplete to Owen Lyons

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Elliot Huether punt for 29 yds

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Carter James run for 4 yds to the MRST 35

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.70

Carter James run for 1 yd to the MRST 35

Situational Analysis

Marist

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
30%
30 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
50%
2 plays
40%
5 plays
56%
18 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
20%
5 plays
50%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
60%
5 plays
100%
1 play

St. Thomas (MN)

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
50%
2 plays
52%
25 plays
2nd
100%
1 play
50%
4 plays
80%
5 plays
40%
5 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
100%
2 plays
100%
1 play
0%
2 plays
4th