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← Back to GamesNov 4, 2023Week 10
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Monmouth by 27.5

Home Win Probability

Monmouth 93%

Market (ESPN Bet)

Monmouth -24.5

Edge: Monmouth -24.5 (3.0 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 4, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Stony Brook
037717
Monmouth
72871456

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-07-314-328-342-342-1042-1749-1756-17
MonmouthStony Brook

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SBMONSBMONSBMONSBMONSBMONSBMONSBMONSBMONSBMONSBMONSBMONSBTO1062ydTD980ydPUNT421ydPUNT3-3ydFG1053ydTD181ydPUNT30ydTD458ydPUNT30ydTD758ydPUNT39ydTD976ydEND1-1ydTD765ydTD1175ydPUNT35ydTD854ydPUNT433ydPUNT632ydTD580ydPUNT37ydTD967ydEND16yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Stony Brook and Monmouth
StatisticStony BrookMonmouth
Passing13-2523-28
Pass Yards122333
Rush Yards211255
Total Yards333588
Turnovers10
3rd Down5-125-8
Penalties8-673-25
Possession30:5529:05

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Stony Brook
passing
Casey Case
9/17, 79 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Roland Dempster
22 CAR, 141 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jayce Freeman
4 REC, 50 YDS
Monmouth
passing
Marquez McCray
22/27, 323 YDS, 4 TD
rushing
Jaden Shirden
17 CAR, 171 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Dymere Miller
11 REC, 150 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Casey Case pass complete to Jayce Freeman for 5 yds to the STBK 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.93

Casey Case pass complete to Jayce Freeman for 7 yds to the STBK 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Jadon Turner run for 3 yds to the STBK 40

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Jadon Turner run for 4 yds to the STBK 44

3rd & 3Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +2.90

Casey Case pass complete to Anthony Johnson for 30 yds to the MONM 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Casey Case pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.39

Casey Case pass complete to Roland Dempster for 8 yds to the MONM 18

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.25

Roland Dempster run for 4 yds to the MONM 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Jadon Turner run for 1 yd to the MONM 13

2nd & 9Interception0 ydsPPA -4.21

Casey Case pass intercepted, touchback.

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Jaden Shirden run for 2 yds to the MONM 22

2nd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Marquez McCray pass complete to Dymere Miller for 6 yds to the MONM 28

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.04

Jaden Shirden run for 4 yds to the MONM 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jaden Shirden run for 5 yds to the MONM 37

2nd & 5Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.32

Marquez McCray pass complete to Dymere Miller for 10 yds to the MONM 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+33 ydsPPA +1.48

Jaden Shirden run for 33 yds to the STBK 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Marquez McCray pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Jaden Shirden run for 3 yds to the STBK 17

3rd & 7Rushing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +3.14

Jaden Shirden run for 17 yds for a TD (Vincenzo Rea KICK)

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Roland Dempster run for 12 yds to the STBK 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Roland Dempster run for 5 yds to the STBK 42

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Roland Dempster run for 3 yds to the STBK 45

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.80

Roland Dempster run for 1 yd to the STBK 46

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Clayton Taylor punt for 32 yds, downed at the MONM 22

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Makhi Green run for 3 yds to the MONM 25

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Jaden Shirden run for 2 yds to the MONM 27

3rd & 5Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.51

Marquez McCray sacked by Anthony Williams for a loss of 8 yards to the MONM 19

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Luke Schabel punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Nick Chimienti at the STBK 35

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.15

Casey Case pass complete to Dez Williams for 12 yds to the STBK 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Roland Dempster run for 3 yds to the MONM 38

2nd & 7Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.84

Casey Case pass complete to Jayce Freeman for 14 yds to the MONM 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.47

Roland Dempster run for 8 yds to the MONM 16

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.31

Roland Dempster run for 5 yds to the MONM 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Roland Dempster run for 4 yds to the MONM 7

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Casey Case pass incomplete

3rd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Roland Dempster run for 5 yds to the MONM 2

4th & 1Penalty-10 yds

DEMPSTER, Roland rush up the middle for a gain of 2 yards to the MON0, TOUCHDOWN SBU, score nullified by penalty (Play was confirmed after review). PENALTY SBU Holding on TUNC, Collin enforced 10 yards from the MON2 to the MON12 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

4th & 11Field Goal Good+29 yds

Enda Kirby 29 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+81 ydsPPA +6.44

Jaden Shirden run for 81 yds for a TD (Vincenzo Rea KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Vincenzo Rea kickoff for 60 yds , return for no gain to the STBK 17

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Casey Case pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.22

Casey Case pass complete to Jayden Cook for no gain to the STBK 17

3rd & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.10

Casey Case pass complete to Anthony Johnson for no gain to the STBK 17

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Clayton Taylor punt for 48 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+50 ydsPPA +2.24

Marquez McCray pass complete to Dymere Miller for 50 yds to the STBK 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Sone Ntoh run for 1 yd to the STBK 7

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.15

Sone Ntoh run for 6 yds to the STBK 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Sone Ntoh 1 Yd Run for a TD (Vincenzo Rea Kick)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Vincenzo Rea kickoff for 46 yds , return for no gain to the STBK 28

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Casey Case pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Casey Case pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Casey Case pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Clayton Taylor punt for 40 yds, downed at the MONM 42

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.02

Marquez McCray pass complete to Dymere Miller for 12 yds to the STBK 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +0.90

Marquez McCray pass complete to Dymere Miller for 24 yds to the STBK 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.46

Marquez McCray pass complete to Dre Tucker for 8 yds to the STBK 14

2nd & 2Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Marquez McCray pass complete to Dymere Miller for 2 yds to the STBK 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Jaden Shirden run for 2 yds to the STBK 10

2nd & 8Penalty0 yds

Stony Brook Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Jalen Hoyle) to the STBK 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.79

Jaden Shirden run for a loss of 3 yards to the STBK 8

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.68

Marquez McCray pass complete to Dymere Miller for 8 yds for a TD (Vincenzo Rea KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Casey Case pass complete to Anthony Johnson for 3 yds to the STBK 28

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Casey Case pass incomplete

3rd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.13

Ross Tallarico run for 6 yds to the STBK 34

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Clayton Taylor punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Eddie Morales III at the MONM 24

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Jaden Shirden run for 4 yds to the MONM 28

2nd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.11

Marquez McCray pass complete to Assanti Kearney for 8 yds to the MONM 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Marquez McCray pass complete to Dymere Miller for 6 yds to the MONM 42

2nd & 4Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.72

Marquez McCray pass complete to Jaden Shirden for 2 yds to the MONM 44

3rd & 2Rush+32 ydsPPA +2.79

Sone Ntoh run for 32 yds to the STBK 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.54

Marquez McCray sacked by Anthony Williams for a loss of 1 yard to the STBK 25

2nd & 11Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.67

Marquez McCray pass complete to Makhi Green for 11 yds to the STBK 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.31

Marquez McCray run for no gain to the STBK 14

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.86

Marquez McCray pass complete to Dre Tucker for 14 yds for a TD (Vincenzo Rea KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.89

Kneel down by DEMPSTER, Roland at SBU30 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jaden Shirden run for 5 yds to the MONM 40

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Jaden Shirden run for 3 yds to the MONM 43

3rd & 2Penalty+5 yds

Stony Brook Penalty, Offsides (De'Aundre Cruz) to the MONM 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Marquez McCray pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.34

Marquez McCray pass complete to Assanti Kearney for 22 yds to the STBK 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Jaden Shirden run for 1 yd to the STBK 29

2nd & 9Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +0.81

Marquez McCray pass complete to Assanti Kearney for 20 yds to the STBK 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.42

Marquez McCray pass complete to Jack Neri for 9 yds for a TD (Vincenzo Rea KICK)

1st & 10Rush+26 ydsPPA +2.32

Roland Dempster run for 26 yds to the MONM 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Jadon Turner run for 2 yds to the MONM 47

2nd & 8Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.54

Jadon Turner run for 16 yds to the MONM 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Roland Dempster run for 4 yds to the MONM 27

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Roland Dempster run for 2 yds to the MONM 25

3rd & 4Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.67

Roland Dempster run for 10 yds to the MONM 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Roland Dempster run for 6 yds to the MONM 9

2nd & 4Penalty-5 yds

Stony Brook Penalty, False Start (Kollin Melendez) to the MONM 14

2nd & 9Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Daron Bryden pass complete to Jayden Cook for 3 yds to the MONM 11

3rd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.23

Daron Bryden pass complete to Ross Tallarico for 7 yds to the MONM 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.52

Roland Dempster run for 1 yd to the MONM 3

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Jayden Cook 3 Yd Run (Enda Kirby Kick)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.73

Jaden Shirden run for no gain to the MONM 26

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Marquez McCray pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Marquez McCray pass complete to Makhi Green for 5 yds to the MONM 31

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Luke Schabel punt for 34 yds

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.83

Jadon Turner run for 11 yds to the MONM 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Roland Dempster run for 6 yds to the MONM 37

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Daron Bryden pass incomplete

3rd & 4Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.26

Roland Dempster run for 10 yds to the MONM 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Jadon Turner run for 4 yds to the MONM 23

2nd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.22

Roland Dempster run for 8 yds to the MONM 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.39

Jadon Turner run for a loss of 1 yard to the MONM 16

2nd & 11Rushing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +2.95

Roland Dempster run for 16 yds for a TD (Enda Kirby KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +2.21

Marquez McCray pass complete to Assanti Kearney for 28 yds to the MONM 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Marquez McCray pass complete to Dymere Miller for 5 yds to the MONM 49

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.20

Marquez McCray pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Marquez McCray pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Luke Schabel punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Nick Chimienti at the STBK 10

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.46

Daron Bryden pass complete to Jayce Freeman for 24 yds to the STBK 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.81

Roland Dempster run for 1 yd to the STBK 35

2nd & 9Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.78

Daron Bryden pass complete to Dez Williams for 9 yds to the STBK 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Daron Bryden pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Daron Bryden pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.65

Jadon Turner run for a loss of 2 yards to the STBK 42

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Clayton Taylor punt for 38 yds

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Monmouth Penalty, Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on WILLIAMS, Tyler enforced (-5 Yards) to the MONM 15

1st & 15Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.35

Jaden Shirden run for 8 yds to the MONM 23

2nd & 7Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.96

Marquez McCray pass complete to Dymere Miller for 18 yds to the MONM 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.32

Marquez McCray pass complete to Dymere Miller for 9 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.21

Jaden Shirden run for 4 yds to the STBK 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+46 ydsPPA +3.54

Marquez McCray pass complete to Assanti Kearney for 46 yds for a TD (Vincenzo Rea KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Roland Dempster run for 1 yd to the STBK 18

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Daron Bryden pass incomplete

3rd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.06

Ross Tallarico run for 6 yds to the STBK 24

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Clayton Taylor punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Eddie Morales III at the MONM 33

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Makhi Green run for 9 yds to the MONM 42

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Makhi Green run for 3 yds to the MONM 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.80

Enzo Arjona pass complete to TJ Speight for 10 yds to the STBK 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Monmouth Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the 50 yard line

1st & 15Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Makhi Green run for 5 yds to the STBK 45

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.98

Makhi Green run for 9 yds to the STBK 36

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.65

Austin Castorina run for 5 yds to the STBK 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.52

Makhi Green run for 8 yds to the STBK 23 for a 1ST down Stony Brook Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Calvin Harrison) to the STBK 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Makhi Green run for 4 yds to the STBK 7

2nd & 6Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.54

Makhi Green run for 7 yds for a TD (Eric Bernstein KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Ross Tallarico run for 6 yds to the STBK 31

Situational Analysis

Stony Brook

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
41%
27 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
33%
6 plays
33%
12 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
67%
3 plays
100%
4 plays
40%
5 plays
4th

Monmouth

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
59%
29 plays
100%
2 plays
2nd
0%
3 plays
50%
6 plays
73%
11 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
100%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
100%
2 plays
4th