Skip to main content
← Back to GamesSep 30, 2023Week 5
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Maine by 12.1

Home Win Probability

Maine 76%

Market (Caesars Sportsbook (Colorado))

Maine -6

Edge: Maine -6 (6.1 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 30, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Stony Brook
0147728
Maine
281414056

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428425614-021-028-035-735-1449-1456-1456-2156-28
MaineStony Brook

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SBMAISBMAISBMAISBMAISBMAISBMAISBMAISBMAISBMAISBMAISBMAISBMAISBMAISBMAISBMAISBMAITO115ydTD633ydPUNT3-1ydTD480ydDOWNS630ydTD263ydPUNT6-1ydTD558ydDOWNS746ydPUNT36ydTD691ydTD598ydPUNT33ydPUNT32ydTD587ydPUNT38ydPUNT3-5ydTD451ydEND14ydTD1075ydTO35ydTD32ydPUNT418ydPUNT38ydTD355ydPUNT55ydMISS750ydTO1-5ydTO415ydPUNT39ydTD562ydEND524yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Stony Brook and Maine
StatisticStony BrookMaine
Passing22-3729-35
Pass Yards348425
Rush Yards13187
Total Yards479512
Turnovers31
3rd Down4-133-10
Penalties6-434-35
Possession29:2530:35

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Stony Brook
passing
Casey Case
22/37, 348 YDS, 4 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Shakhi Carson
9 CAR, 59 YDS
receiving
Jayden Cook
7 REC, 117 YDS, 2 TD
Maine
passing
Derek Robertson
25/30, 394 YDS, 5 TD
rushing
Trevin Ewing
1 CAR, 30 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Montigo Moss
5 REC, 108 YDS, 2 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+15 ydsPPA -0.51

Casey Case run for 15 yds to the STBK 33 Casey Case fumbled, recovered by ME Xavier Holmes

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.54

Derek Robertson pass complete to Cooper Heisey for 8 yds to the STBK 25

2nd & 2Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA -0.16

Derek Robertson pass complete to Rohan Jones for 14 yds to the STBK 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.35

Tristen Kenan run for a loss of 1 yard to the STBK 12

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Derek Robertson pass incomplete

3rd & 11Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.25

Derek Robertson pass complete to Jamie Lamson for 11 yds to the STBK 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Penalty0 yds

Stony Brook Penalty, Offsides (Jadon Turner) to the STBK 1

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Tristen Kenan run for 1 yd for a TD (Cody Williams KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Roland Dempster run for 4 yds to the STBK 45

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Casey Case pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.74

Casey Case pass incomplete

4th & 6Penalty-5 yds

Stony Brook Penalty, False Start (Roland Dempster) to the STBK 40

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Clayton Taylor punt for 40 yds to the ME 20, fair catch by Joe Gillette

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.96

Derek Robertson pass complete to Montigo Moss for 13 yds to the ME 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Derek Robertson pass complete to Joe Gillette for 4 yds to the ME 37

2nd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.31

Joe Gillette run for 8 yds to the ME 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+55 ydsPPA +4.28

Derek Robertson pass complete to Joe Gillette for 55 yds for a TD (Cody Williams KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Shakhi Carson run for 5 yds to the STBK 38

2nd & 5Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.78

Casey Case pass complete to Anthony Johnson for 16 yds to the ME 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Casey Case pass complete to Rahmon Hart Jr. for 6 yds to the ME 40

2nd & 4Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.56

Casey Case pass complete to Jayden Cook for 2 yds to the ME 38

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.10

Roland Dempster run for no gain to the ME 38

4th & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -2.10

Jayden Cook run for 1 yd to the ME 37

1st & 10Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +2.24

Derek Robertson pass complete to Jamie Lamson for 33 yds to the STBK 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+30 ydsPPA +2.81

Trevin Ewing run for 30 yds for a TD (Cody Williams KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Casey Case pass complete to Rahmon Hart Jr. for 4 yds to the STBK 28

2nd & 6Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.84

Casey Case sacked by John Costanza for a loss of 3 yards to the STBK 25

3rd & 9Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.76

Casey Case pass complete to Anthony Johnson for 9 yds to the STBK 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.58

Shakhi Carson run for a loss of 5 yards to the STBK 29

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Casey Case pass incomplete

3rd & 15Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.19

Casey Case sacked by Xavier Holmes and Vince Thomas for a loss of 6 yards to the STBK 23

4th & 21Punt0 yds

Clayton Taylor punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Joe Gillette at the ME 42

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.99

Tristen Kenan run for 8 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.33

Tristen Kenan run for no gain to the 50 yard line

3rd & 2Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.66

Derek Robertson pass complete to Tristen Kenan for 9 yds to the STBK 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Derek Robertson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+41 ydsPPA +4.12

Derek Robertson pass complete to Montigo Moss for 41 yds for a TD (Cody Williams KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Casey Case pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +2.81

Roland Dempster run for 22 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.10

Casey Case pass complete to Anthony Johnson for 23 yds to the ME 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Casey Case pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Shakhi Carson run for 1 yd to the ME 26

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Casey Case pass incomplete

4th & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.38

Casey Case pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.34

John Gay run for 6 yds to the ME 32

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.90

John Gay run for no gain to the ME 32

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Derek Robertson pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Aidan Cadogan punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Nick Chimienti at the STBK 9

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Casey Case pass complete to Jayden Cook for 5 yds to the STBK 14

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Casey Case pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.98

Casey Case pass complete to Jayden Cook for 10 yds to the STBK 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.05

Casey Case pass complete to Anthony Johnson for 23 yds to the STBK 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Casey Case pass complete to Cal Redman for 6 yds to the ME 47

2nd & 4Passing Touchdown+47 ydsPPA +3.73

Casey Case pass complete to Jayden Cook for 47 yds for a TD (Spencer Biscoe KICK)

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Stony Brook Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Quenton Porter) to the ME 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.41

Derek Robertson pass complete to Montigo Moss for 15 yds to the ME 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.18

Derek Robertson pass complete to Jamie Lamson for 16 yds to the STBK 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Anthony Harris pass complete to Tristen Kenan for 6 yds to the STBK 34

2nd & 4Passing Touchdown+34 ydsPPA +2.92

Derek Robertson pass complete to Joe Gillette for 34 yds for a TD (Cody Williams KICK)

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.00

Jayden Cook run for a loss of 3 yards to the STBK 23

2nd & 13Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.11

Roland Dempster run for 6 yds to the STBK 29

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Casey Case pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Clayton Taylor punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Joe Gillette at the ME 36

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

Anthony Harris run for no gain to the ME 36

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Anthony Harris pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Derek Robertson pass complete to Tristen Kenan for 2 yds to the ME 38

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Bailey Timms punt for 49 yds, downed at the STBK 13

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.00

Casey Case pass complete to Anthony Johnson for 17 yds to the STBK 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Stony Brook Penalty, Delay Of Game (Casey Case) to the STBK 25

1st & 15Penalty+15 yds

Maine Penalty, Roughing the Passer on HOLMES, Xavier enforced (Xavier Holmes) to the STBK 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Casey Case pass complete to Jayce Freeman for 2 yds to the STBK 49

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -1.08

Shakhi Carson run for no gain to the STBK 49

3rd & 8Passing Touchdown+51 ydsPPA +5.84

Casey Case pass complete to Cal Redman for 51 yds for a TD (Spencer Biscoe KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Derek Robertson pass complete to Joe Gillette for 3 yds to the ME 18

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Derek Robertson pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Derek Robertson pass complete to Jamie Lamson for 5 yds to the ME 23

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Aidan Cadogan punt for 52 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Casey Case pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Ross Tallarico run for 5 yds to the STBK 44

3rd & 5Penalty-10 yds

CASE, Casey pass short to the right complete for 10 yards to JOHNSON, Anthony caught at the SBU45 and advanced to the MAI46 (MATTHEWS, Damon), out of bounds. PENALTY SBU Holding enforced 10 yards from the SBU44 to the SBU34 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Casey Case pass incomplete

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Clayton Taylor punt for 17 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Derek Robertson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.91

Derek Robertson pass complete to Trevin Ewing for 12 yds to the STBK 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.40

Derek Robertson pass complete to Montigo Moss for 12 yds to the STBK 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+27 ydsPPA +2.74

Derek Robertson pass complete to Montigo Moss for 27 yds for a TD (Cody Williams KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Joey Bryson kickoff for 63 yds , return for no gain to the STBK 26

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Ross Tallarico run for 4 yds to the STBK 30

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Derek Robertson pass complete to Michael Monios for 5 yds to the ME 30

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.93

Abdul Stewart run for 7 yds to the ME 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.57

Derek Robertson pass complete to Tristen Kenan for 18 yds to the STBK 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

KENAN, Tristen rush to the right for a loss of 3 yards to the SBU48 (FERRELLI, Anthony;CHALMERS, Chayce). PENALTY MAI Holding enforced 10 yards from the SBU45 to the MAI45 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.71

Derek Robertson pass complete to Michael Monios for 21 yds to the STBK 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.55

Tristen Kenan run for 8 yds to the STBK 26

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.25

Tristen Kenan run for 5 yds to the STBK 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.39

Tristen Kenan run for no gain to the STBK 21

2nd & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.56

Derek Robertson pass complete to Michael Monios for 18 yds to the STBK 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Tristen Kenan run for 1 yd to the STBK 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Tristen Kenan run for 2 yds for a TD (Cody Williams KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Ross Tallarico run for 4 yds to the STBK 37

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.75

Ross Tallarico run for 1 yd to the STBK 38

3rd & 5Interception0 ydsPPA -0.67

Casey Case pass intercepted

1st & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85

John Gay run for no gain to the STBK 2

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

John Gay run for no gain to the STBK 2

3rd & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

Derek Robertson pass complete to Cooper Heisey for 2 yds for a TD (Cody Williams KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.15

Casey Case pass complete to Jayden Cook for 12 yds to the STBK 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Ross Tallarico run for 1 yd to the STBK 46

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Casey Case pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Casey Case pass complete to Jayden Cook for 5 yds to the ME 49

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Clayton Taylor punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Joe Gillette at the ME 13

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Derek Robertson pass complete to John Gay for 4 yds to the ME 17

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

John Gay run for 2 yds to the ME 19

3rd & 4Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Anthony Harris pass complete to Braeden Heald for 2 yds to the ME 21

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Aidan Cadogan punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Nick Chimienti at the STBK 45

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.09

Casey Case pass complete to Cole Bunicci for 15 yds to the ME 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Shakhi Carson run for 4 yds to the ME 36

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+36 ydsPPA +3.28

Casey Case pass complete to Jayden Cook for 36 yds for a TD (Spencer Biscoe KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Brian Santana-Fis run for 6 yds to the ME 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.09

Anthony Harris pass complete to Trevin Ewing for 10 yds to the ME 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Anthony Harris run for 3 yds to the ME 44

2nd & 7Sack-14 ydsPPA -2.19

Anthony Harris sacked by Andy Nwaoko and Anthony Ferrelli for a loss of 14 yards to the ME 30

3rd & 21Rush0 ydsPPA -0.07

Anthony Harris run for no gain to the ME 30

4th & 21Punt0 yds

Aidan Cadogan punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Nick Chimienti at the STBK 32

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.51

Ross Tallarico run for 16 yds to the STBK 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Ross Tallarico run for no gain to the STBK 48

2nd & 10Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +2.62

Casey Case pass complete to Jayce Freeman for 40 yds to the ME 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.72

Casey Case sacked by Dorian Royal for a loss of 6 yards to the ME 18

2nd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Casey Case pass incomplete

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Casey Case pass incomplete

4th & 16Field Goal Missed+35 yds

Spencer Biscoe 35 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-5 ydsPPA -0.61

Anthony Harris run for a loss of 5 yards to the ME 15 Anthony Harris fumbled, recovered by STBK Nick Chimienti

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Shakhi Carson run for 7 yds to the ME 8

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Shakhi Carson run for 1 yd to the ME 7

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.13

run for 4 yds to the ME 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+3 ydsPPA -5.54

run for 3 yds Jayden Cook fumbled, recovered by ME Damon Matthews

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Symon Sathler run for 2 yds to the ME 22

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.36

Symon Sathler run for 7 yds to the ME 29

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Brian Santana-Fis run for no gain to the ME 29

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Bailey Timms punt for 33 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Casey Case pass complete to RJ Lamarre for 6 yds to the STBK 44

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.54

Shakhi Carson run for 4 yds to the STBK 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+42 ydsPPA +1.49

Shakhi Carson run for 42 yds to the ME 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Ross Tallarico run for 4 yds to the ME 6

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.53

Casey Case pass complete to RJ Lamarre for 6 yds for a TD (Spencer Biscoe KICK)

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Ayden Pereira run for 12 yds to the ME 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.21

Ayden Pereira pass complete to Evan Wallace for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Symon Sathler run for 4 yds to the STBK 46

2nd & 6Rush-4 ydsPPA -2.00

Ayden Pereira run for a loss of 4 yards to the 50 yard line

3rd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.71

[NH] Kneel down by MAI at MAI49 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

Stony Brook

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
45%
29 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
50%
10 plays
50%
6 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
60%
5 plays
0%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play

Maine

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
33%
3 plays
60%
30 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
20%
5 plays
57%
7 plays
57%
7 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
67%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
4th