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← Back to GamesOct 14, 2023Week 7
Elon
0
-Final
21
Villanova
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Villanova by 4

Home Win Probability

Villanova 60%

Market (William Hill (New Jersey))

Villanova -7.5

Edge: Elon +7.5 (3.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 14, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Elon
00000
Villanova
1407021

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-014-021-0
VillanovaElon

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20VILELOVILELOVILELOVILELOVILELOELOVILELOVILELOVILELOVILTD1059ydDOWNS48ydTD459ydPUNT59ydDOWNS947ydPUNT34ydTO860ydDOWNS541ydDOWNS1043ydEND2-4ydPUNT515ydTD881ydPUNT611ydTO653ydPUNT3-7ydPUNT615ydPUNT517ydEND1289yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Elon and Villanova
StatisticElonVillanova
Passing5-133-10
Pass Yards4636
Rush Yards53440
Total Yards99476
Turnovers02
3rd Down1-96-14
Penalties6-555-25
Possession19:1140:49

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Elon
passing
Justin Allen
4/11, 40 YDS
rushing
Jalen Hampton
10 CAR, 19 YDS
receiving
Landyn Backey
1 REC, 33 YDS
Villanova
passing
Connor Watkins
3/10, 36 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Isaiah Ragland
15 CAR, 126 YDS
receiving
Antonio Johnson
2 REC, 32 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 15Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Jalen Jackson run for 6 yds to the VILL 42

2nd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.86

Jalen Jackson run for 8 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 1Penalty+15 yds

Elon Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the ELON 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.53

Jalen Jackson run for 1 yd to the ELON 34

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Rayjuon Pringle run for 4 yds to the ELON 30

3rd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.92

Connor Watkins run for 6 yds to the ELON 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Isaiah Ragland run for 2 yds to the ELON 22

2nd & 8Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.37

Isaiah Ragland run for 8 yds to the ELON 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.61

Isaiah Ragland run for 13 yds to the ELON 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

TD Ayo-Durojaiye 1 Yd Run (Matthew Mercurio Kick)

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-2 ydsPPA -1.56

Jalen Hampton run for a loss of 2 yards to the ELON 49 Jalen Hampton fumbled, recovered by ELON Jalen Hampton

2nd & 12Penalty-5 yds

Elon Penalty, False Start (Caleb Krings) to the ELON 44

2nd & 17Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.03

Will Lankford run for 10 yds to the VILL 46

3rd & 7Penalty+5 yds

Villanova Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the VILL 41

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.15

Jalen Hampton run for no gain to the VILL 41

4th & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.81

Will Lankford run for no gain to the VILL 41

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.32

Jalen Jackson run for 9 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.38

Jalen Jackson run for no gain to the 50 yard line

3rd & 1Fumble Recovery (Own)0 ydsPPA -1.16

run for no gain to the 50 yard line fumbled, recovered by VILL Connor Watkins , return to the 50 yard line , return for no gain to the 50 yard line

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+50 ydsPPA +5.87

TD Ayo-Durojaiye 50 Yd Run (Matthew Mercurio Kick)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Jalen Hampton run for 1 yd to the ELON 26

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Jalen Hampton run for 4 yds to the ELON 30

3rd & 5Penalty+5 yds

Villanova Penalty, Offsides (Danny Abraham) to the ELON 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Justin Allen run for 1 yd to the ELON 36

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.57

Will Lankford run for 1 yd to the ELON 37

3rd & 8Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.55

Justin Allen sacked by Danny Abraham for a loss of 3 yards to the ELON 34

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Kyle Romenick punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Rayjuon Pringle at the VILL 24

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Isaiah Ragland run for 3 yds to the VILL 27

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Isaiah Ragland run for 6 yds to the VILL 33

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.02

Connor Watkins run for 3 yds to the VILL 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

Elon Penalty, Delay Of Game (Jordan Bonner) to the VILL 41

1st & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.57

Jalen Jackson run for 5 yds to the VILL 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.21

Jalen Jackson run for 19 yds to the ELON 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.87

TD Ayo-Durojaiye run for a loss of 1 yard to the ELON 36

2nd & 11Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

TD Ayo-Durojaiye run for 3 yds to the ELON 33

3rd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Connor Watkins pass complete to Jaaron Hayek for 4 yds to the ELON 29

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.69

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Will Lankford pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Will Lankford pass complete to Arthur Nwandu for 6 yds to the ELON 35

3rd & 4Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.67

Justin Allen pass complete to Dan Frederick for a loss of 2 yards to the ELON 33

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Kyle Romenick punt for 61 yds, downed at the VILL 6

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.62

Connor Watkins pass complete to Antonio Johnson for 16 yds to the VILL 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jalen Jackson run for 5 yds to the VILL 27

2nd & 5Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.33

Jalen Jackson run for 12 yds to the VILL 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+24 ydsPPA +2.91

Connor Watkins run for 24 yds to the ELON 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

TD Ayo-Durojaiye run for 3 yds to the ELON 34

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

3rd & 7Interception0 ydsPPA -2.87

Connor Watkins pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +2.72

Justin Allen pass complete to Landyn Backey for 33 yds to the VILL 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Justin Allen pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Jalen Hampton run for 4 yds to the VILL 35

3rd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.59

Jalen Hampton run for 2 yds to the VILL 33

4th & 4Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -2.32

Justin Allen pass complete to Jordan Bonner for 2 yds to the VILL 31

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Isaiah Ragland run for 4 yds to the VILL 35

2nd & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Connor Watkins run for 9 yds to the VILL 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Jalen Jackson run for 4 yds to the VILL 48

3rd & 6Rush+12 ydsPPA +2.50

Connor Watkins run for 12 yds to the ELON 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.37

Jalen Jackson run for 10 yds to the ELON 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Jalen Jackson run for no gain to the ELON 30

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+2 ydsPPA -0.41

Connor Watkins run for 2 yds to the ELON 26 Connor Watkins fumbled, recovered by VILL Connor Watkins

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

4th & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.72

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

ALLEN, Justin pass to the right incomplete intended for BACKEY, Landyn thrown to the ELO40. PENALTY ELO Holding enforced 10 yards from the ELO26 to the ELO16 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Rush0 ydsPPA -0.15

Malik Griffin run for no gain to the ELON 16

2nd & 20Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.03

Malik Griffin run for 6 yds to the ELON 22

0th & 20End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Justin Allen run for 1 yd to the ELON 30

2nd & 9Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.61

Jalen Hampton run for 9 yds to the ELON 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Chandler Brayboy run for 5 yds to the ELON 44

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.44

Jalen Hampton run for 3 yds to the ELON 47

3rd & 2Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.47

Jalen Hampton run for a loss of 3 yards to the ELON 44

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Kyle Romenick punt for 47 yds

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.78

TD Ayo-Durojaiye run for 8 yds to the VILL 27

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.78

Connor Watkins run for 1 yd to the VILL 28

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.75

TD Ayo-Durojaiye run for 2 yds to the VILL 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+24 ydsPPA +2.15

Connor Watkins run for 24 yds to the ELON 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.03

Jalen Jackson run for no gain to the ELON 46

2nd & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.75

Connor Watkins pass complete to Antonio Johnson for 16 yds to the ELON 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+29 ydsPPA +1.88

Connor Watkins run for 29 yds to the ELON 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

TD Ayo-Durojaiye 1 Yd Run (Matthew Mercurio Kick)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Jalen Hampton run for 1 yd to the ELON 21

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Will Lankford run for 3 yds to the ELON 24

3rd & 6Penalty+5 yds

Villanova Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the ELON 29

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.78

Will Lankford run for 2 yds to the ELON 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.89

Will Lankford run for no gain to the ELON 31

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.49

Will Lankford run for no gain to the ELON 31

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.23

Justin Allen pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Kyle Romenick punt for 46 yds

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Connor Watkins run for 6 yds to the VILL 31

2nd & 4Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.82

Isaiah Ragland run for 18 yds to the VILL 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Elon Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Josh Johnson) to the ELON 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Isaiah Ragland run for 5 yds to the ELON 23

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Isaiah Ragland run for 2 yds to the ELON 21

3rd & 3Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-1 ydsPPA -4.02

Jalen Jackson run for a loss of 1 yard to the ELON 22 Jalen Jackson fumbled, recovered by ELON Caleb Curtain

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.99

Justin Allen sacked by Shane Hartzell for a loss of 7 yards to the ELON 15

2nd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.09

Justin Allen pass incomplete

3rd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.04

Justin Allen pass incomplete

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Kyle Romenick punt for 49 yds, downed at the VILL 36

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

TD Ayo-Durojaiye run for 3 yds to the VILL 39

2nd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.04

TD Ayo-Durojaiye run for a loss of 1 yard to the VILL 38

3rd & 8Rush+9 ydsPPA +2.50

TD Ayo-Durojaiye run for 9 yds to the VILL 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Jalen Jackson run for 2 yds to the VILL 49

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Jalen Jackson run for 3 yds to the ELON 48

3rd & 5Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.15

Connor Watkins sacked by Jesse Powell II for a loss of 1 yard to the ELON 49

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Nathan Fondacaro punt for 26 yds, fair catch by Cornell Hendrick Jr. at the ELON 23

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Justin Allen pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.90

Justin Allen run for 15 yds to the ELON 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Justin Allen pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

Elon Penalty, False Start (Kevin Burkett) to the ELON 33

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Justin Allen pass incomplete

3rd & 15Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.14

Justin Allen pass complete to Jordan Bonner for 7 yds to the ELON 40

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Kyle Romenick punt for 55 yds, downed at the VILL 5

1st & 10Rush+28 ydsPPA +1.49

Isaiah Ragland run for 28 yds to the VILL 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Isaiah Ragland run for 4 yds to the VILL 37

2nd & 6Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.74

Ja'briel Mace run for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.59

Ja'briel Mace run for 7 yds to the ELON 43

2nd & 3Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.38

Isaiah Ragland run for 11 yds to the ELON 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Ja'briel Mace run for 3 yds to the ELON 29

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Connor Watkins run for 3 yds to the ELON 26

3rd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.64

Connor Watkins run for 5 yds to the ELON 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.31

Isaiah Ragland run for 13 yds to the ELON 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Ja'briel Mace run for 2 yds to the ELON 6

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Isaiah Ragland run for 1 yd to the ELON 5

3rd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29

[NH] Kneel down by VIL at ELO6 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

Elon

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
15%
13 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
1 play
38%
8 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play

Villanova

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
2 plays
0%
1 play
48%
29 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
33%
3 plays
67%
6 plays
42%
12 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
50%
4 plays
50%
6 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
2 plays