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← Back to GamesNov 19, 2023Week 12
Dayton
45
-Final
14
Davidson
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Davidson by 19.2

Home Win Probability

Davidson 86%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Nov 19, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Dayton
72171045
Davidson
007714

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-140-287-35
DavidsonDayton

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20DAYDAVDAYDAVDAVDAYDAVDAYDAVDAVDAYDAVDAYDAVTD668ydPUNT1240ydTD1497ydTD272ydTO528ydTD859ydDOWNS1036ydMISS1034ydEND10ydTD475ydTD565ydDOWNS1448ydPUNT31ydPUNT34yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Dayton and Davidson
StatisticDaytonDavidson
Passing16-1912-18
Pass Yards15471
Rush Yards155185
Total Yards309256
Turnovers02
3rd Down5-84-10
Penalties1-55-60
Possession20:1924:10

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Dayton
passing
Dante Casciola
14/17, 139 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Luke Hansen
16 CAR, 105 YDS
receiving
Gavin Lochow
2 REC, 41 YDS, 2 TD
Davidson
passing
Coulter Cleland
12/18, 71 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Mari Adams
9 CAR, 80 YDS
receiving
Clarence Freeman IV
1 REC, 25 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Luke Hansen run for 5 yds to the DAY 37

2nd & 5Penalty+5 yds

Davidson Penalty, off-side (Darryn Kindles) to the DAY 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Luke Hansen run for 4 yds to the DAY 46

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Dante Casciola run for 5 yds to the DAV 49

3rd & 1Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.14

Dante Casciola pass complete to Cole Dow for 4 yds to the DAV 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.63

Luke Hansen run for 14 yds to the DAV 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+31 ydsPPA +2.84

Dante Casciola pass complete to Gavin Lochow for 31 yds for a TD (Will Holt KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.43

Mari Adams run for 7 yds to the DAV 21

2nd & 3Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Coulter Cleland pass complete to Mark McCurdy for 8 yds to the DAV 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Mari Adams run for 1 yd to the DAV 30

2nd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.65

Mari Adams run for 8 yds to the DAV 38

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.96

Mari Adams run for 1 yd to the DAV 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.11

Coulter Cleland pass complete to Aaron Maione

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Coulter Cleland run for 1 yd to the DAV 40

3rd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.54

Coulter Cleland pass complete to Aaron Maione for 8 yds to the DAV 48

4th & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +2.42

Mari Adams run for 5 yds to the DAY 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.28

Coulter Cleland pass complete to Aaron Maione for a loss of 1 yard to the DAY 48

2nd & 11Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Coulter Cleland run for 5 yds to the DAY 43

3rd & 6Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.56

Coulter Cleland pass complete to Mason Sheron for a loss of 3 yards to the DAY 46

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Tristan Allen punt for 43 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion+15 ydsPPA +0.47

Dante Casciola pass incomplete to Jake Coleman for a 1ST down Davidson Penalty, Defensive pass interference (TJ Magee) to the DAY 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Luke Hansen run for 3 yds to the DAY 21

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Mason Hackett run for 3 yds to the DAY 24

3rd & 4Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.11

Dante Casciola pass complete to Alec Keathley for 16 yds to the DAY 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Dante Casciola run for 3 yds to the DAY 43

2nd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.50

Cole Dow run for 9 yds to the DAV 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.71

Dante Casciola pass complete to Derek Willits for 13 yds to the DAV 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Dante Casciola pass complete to Luke Brenner for 5 yds to the DAV 30

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.23

Luke Hansen run for 7 yds to the DAV 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.32

Luke Hansen run for 1 yd to the DAV 22

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Dante Casciola run for 4 yds to the DAV 18

3rd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.52

Dante Casciola pass complete to Luke Hansen for 7 yds to the DAV 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Gavin Lochow run for 1 yd to the DAV 10

2nd & 9Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.75

Cole Dow pass complete to Alec Keathley for 10 yds for a TD (Will Holt KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.91

Coulter Cleland run for a loss of 1 yard to the DAV 27

2nd & 11Interception0 ydsPPA -0.23

Coulter Cleland pass intercepted for a TD (Will Holt KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Mari Adams run for 2 yds to the DAV 32

2nd & 8Rush+14 ydsPPA +2.06

Coulter Cleland run for 14 yds to the DAV 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Coulter Cleland run for 6 yds to the DAY 48

2nd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.52

Coulter Cleland pass complete to Maxwell Weaver for 6 yds to the DAY 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+1 ydsPPA -3.71

Mari Adams run for 1 yd to the DAY 41 Mari Adams fumbled, recovered by DAY Jerell Lewis Adams,Mari rush middle for 1 yard to the DAY41, fumble by Adams,Mari recovered by DAY Lewis,Jerell, Lewis,Jerell rush.

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Dante Casciola pass complete to Cole Dow for 3 yds to the DAY 44

2nd & 7Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.74

Luke Hansen run for 13 yds to the DAV 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Luke Hansen run for 6 yds to the DAV 37

2nd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.25

Luke Hansen run for 7 yds to the DAV 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.19

Dante Casciola sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the DAV 39

2nd & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

pass incomplete to Jake Coleman

3rd & 19Rush+34 ydsPPA +4.09

Cole Dow run for 34 yds to the DAV 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Cole Dow pass complete to Luke Hansen for 5 yds for a TD (Will Holt KICK)

1st & 10Rush+24 ydsPPA +2.17

Mason Sheron run for 24 yds to the DAY 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Mason Sheron run for 6 yds to the DAY 42

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Coulter Cleland run for 3 yds to the DAY 39

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.38

Mason Sheron run for a loss of 1 yard to the DAY 40

4th & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +2.00

Sam Valor run for 2 yds to the DAY 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion-10 ydsPPA -2.86

Coulter Cleland pass incomplete to Aaron Maione Davidson Penalty, Offensive holding (Aaron Hopkins) to the DAY 48

1st & 20Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.96

Coulter Cleland pass complete to Sam Valor for 15 yds to the DAY 33

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.80

Valor,Sam rush middle (Arthur,Nathan;Miller,Logan).

3rd & 5Penalty-15 yds

Davidson Penalty, personal foul (Mark McCurdy) to the DAY 48

3rd & 20Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Coulter Cleland run for 5 yds to the DAY 43

4th & 15Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA -0.36

Coulter Cleland pass complete to Maxwell Weaver for 7 yds to the DAY 36

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Dante Casciola pass complete to Derek Willits for 9 yds to the DAY 45

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.08

Luke Hansen run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Luke Hansen run for 5 yds to the DAV 45

2nd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Dante Casciola pass complete to Luke Hansen for 4 yds to the DAV 41

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.17

pass incomplete to Jake Coleman

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.91

Luke Hansen run for 2 yds to the DAV 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

pass incomplete to Gavin Lochow

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

Hansen ,Luke rush left (Tessman,John).

3rd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.94

Dante Casciola pass complete to Derek Willits for 9 yds to the DAV 30

4th & 1Field Goal Missed+47 yds

David Maurer 47 yd FG MISSED

0th & 1End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

pass incomplete to Brody Reina

1st & 10Rush+51 ydsPPA +3.40

Mari Adams run for 51 yds to the DAY 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Coulter Cleland run for 3 yds to the DAY 21

2nd & 7Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -1.03

Coulter Cleland pass complete to Aaron Maione for a loss of 4 yards to the DAY 25

3rd & 11Passing Touchdown+25 ydsPPA +3.85

Coulter Cleland pass complete to Clarence Freeman IV for 25 yds for a TD (Adam Zouagui KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Dayton Penalty, false start (Conor Clyde) to the DAY 30

1st & 15Rush+34 ydsPPA +3.30

Luke Hansen run for 34 yds to the DAV 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Dante Casciola pass complete to Jake Coleman for 4 yds to the DAV 32

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.77

Hackett,Mason rush middle (Tessman,John).

3rd & 6Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.34

Dante Casciola pass complete to Luke Brenner for 22 yds to the DAV 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.51

Dante Casciola pass complete to Gavin Lochow for 10 yds for a TD (Will Holt KICK)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.75

Mason Sheron run for 8 yds to the DAV 26

2nd & 2Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.22

Coulter Cleland sacked for a loss of 3 yards to the DAV 23

3rd & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.35

Coulter Cleland pass complete to Mark McCurdy for 8 yds to the DAV 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Aaron Maione run for 5 yds to the DAV 36

2nd & 5Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.41

Mason Sheron run for 11 yds to the DAV 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.90

Mason Sheron run for 8 yds to the DAY 45

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.22

pass incomplete to Brody Reina

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.17

Mason Sheron run for 4 yds to the DAY 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

pass incomplete to Kellyn West

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.30

Mason Sheron run for 11 yds to the DAY 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

pass incomplete to Langston Green

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.58

Mason Sheron run for 1 yd to the DAY 29

3rd & 9Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Coulter Cleland pass complete to Mark McCurdy for 2 yds to the DAY 27

4th & 7Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.52

Coulter Cleland sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the DAY 34

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Luke Hansen run for 3 yds to the DAY 37

2nd & 7Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.24

Luke Hansen run for a loss of 4 yards to the DAY 33

3rd & 11Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Dante Casciola pass complete to Mason Hackett for 2 yds to the DAY 35

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Logan Forcum punt for 55 yds

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Cleland,Coulter rush middle (McKinley,Aiden).

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Mari Adams run for 4 yds to the DAV 14

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.14

pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Tristan Allen punt for 34 yds

Situational Analysis

Dayton

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
50%
20 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
0%
1 play
60%
5 plays
43%
7 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
50%
2 plays
100%
3 plays
100%
1 play
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play

Davidson

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
40%
20 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
33%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
43%
7 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
100%
2 plays
0%
1 play
0%
1 play