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← Back to GamesSep 30, 2023Week 5
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Davidson by 11.1

Home Win Probability

Davidson 75%

Market (William Hill (New Jersey))

Davidson -6

Edge: Davidson -6 (5.1 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 30, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
San Diego
61031433
Davidson
107211755

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-07-610-617-1317-1624-1631-1945-1955-2755-33
DavidsonSan Diego

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20DAVSDDAVSDDAVSDDAVSDSDDAVSDDAVSDDAVSDDAVSDDAVSDDAVSDDAVTD1180ydTD775ydFG770ydTD573ydTD1075ydPUNT415ydPUNT33ydFG1445ydTO4-2ydTD336ydDOWNS853ydTD178ydFG754ydTD795ydDOWNS4-2ydTD643ydPUNT31ydTD268ydTD575ydFG834ydTD575ydEND2-1yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing San Diego and Davidson
StatisticSan DiegoDavidson
Passing22-3915-17
Pass Yards408108
Rush Yards63449
Total Yards471557
Turnovers10
3rd Down4-114-9
Penalties10-592-26
Possession28:1631:44

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

San Diego
passing
Grant Sergent
22/39, 408 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Isaiah Williams
13 CAR, 74 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Re-al Mitchell
7 REC, 132 YDS
Davidson
passing
Coulter Cleland
11/13, 90 YDS
rushing
Mari Adams
14 CAR, 169 YDS, 4 TD
receiving
Kellyn West
4 REC, 32 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Aidan Lehman kickoff for 63 yds , TJ Magee return for 18 yds to the DAV 20

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.11

Mari Adams run for 9 yds to the DAV 29

2nd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.03

Mari Adams run for 6 yds to the DAV 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Coulter Cleland pass complete to Aaron Maione for 3 yds to the DAV 38

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Mari Adams run for 2 yds to the DAV 40

3rd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Mari Adams run for 3 yds to the DAV 43

4th & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +2.28

Coulter Cleland run for 3 yds to the DAV 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+24 ydsPPA +1.37

Coulter Cleland run for 24 yds to the USD 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Mason Sheron run for 4 yds to the USD 26

2nd & 6Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.31

Mason Sheron run for 11 yds to the USD 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Mari Adams run for 3 yds to the USD 12

2nd & 7Rushing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.66

Mari Adams run for 12 yds for a TD (Adam Zouagui KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Grant Sergent pass incomplete to Re-al Mitchell

2nd & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.83

Isaiah Williams run for 13 yds to the USD 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Re-al Mitchell run for 4 yds to the USD 42

2nd & 6Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.77

Isaiah Williams run for 15 yds to the DAV 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +1.89

Grant Sergent pass complete to Re-al Mitchell for 40 yds to the DAV 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Re-al Mitchell run for 1 yd to the DAV 2

2nd & 2Penalty-5 yds

Shotgun Mitchell,Re-al rush middle for 0 yards to the DAV02 (Kindles,Darryn; Warren,Aaron) PENALTY SAN Illegal Formation 5 yards from DAV02 to DAV07. NO PLAY.

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.61

Grant Sergent pass complete to Josh Heverly for 7 yds for a TD (Aidan Lehman PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Coulter Cleland pass complete to Maxwell Weaver for 5 yds to the DAV 30

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Mason Sheron run for 2 yds to the DAV 32

3rd & 3Rush+57 ydsPPA +3.95

Coulter Cleland run for 57 yds to the USD 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Mason Sheron run for 2 yds to the USD 9

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Mason Sheron run for 4 yds to the USD 5

3rd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.30

Mason Sheron run for no gain to the USD 5

4th & 4Field Goal Good+22 yds

Adam Zouagui 22 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+22 yds

Adam Zouagui kickoff for 60 yds , Eric Haney return for 22 yds to the USD 27

1st & 10Pass Reception+61 ydsPPA +3.40

Grant Sergent pass complete to Re-al Mitchell for 61 yds to the DAV 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Isaiah Williams run for 2 yds to the DAV 10

2nd & 8Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.49

Grant Sergent pass complete to Ja'seem Reed for 8 yds to the DAV 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Isaiah Williams run for 1 yd to the DAV 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Isaiah Williams run for 1 yd for a TD (Aidan Lehman KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Coulter Cleland pass complete to Mark McCurdy for 7 yds to the DAV 32

2nd & 3Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.63

Coulter Cleland pass complete to Kellyn West for 18 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down San Diego Penalty, Defensive Offside (Liam McHale) declined for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.59

Mari Adams run for 7 yds to the USD 43

2nd & 3Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.88

Coulter Cleland pass complete to Sam Hedrick for 1 yd to the USD 44

3rd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.49

Mari Adams run for 5 yds to the USD 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.82

Coulter Cleland pass complete to Clarence Freeman IV for 9 yds to the USD 30

2nd & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA -0.33

Will Cox run for 8 yds to the USD 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.18

Mark McCurdy run for 19 yds to the USD 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.75

Will Cox run for no gain to the USD 3

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Mason Sheron run for 3 yds for a TD (Adam Zouagui KICK)

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.41

Isaiah Williams run for 11 yds to the USD 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Isaiah Williams run for 4 yds to the USD 23

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Grant Sergent pass incomplete to Ja'seem Reed

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Grant Sergent pass incomplete to Ja'seem Reed

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Aydan Corrales punt for 57 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Mason Sheron run for 1 yd to the DAV 21

2nd & 9Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Coulter Cleland pass complete to Mark McCurdy for 2 yds to the DAV 23

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

Coulter Cleland pass incomplete to Mark McCurdy

4th & 7Punt+12 yds

Tristan Allen punt for 49 yds , Eric Haney returns for 12 yds to the USD 40

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Grant Sergent pass incomplete to Re-al Mitchell

2nd & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.47

Re-al Mitchell run for 16 yds to the DAV 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.65

Grant Sergent sacked by Jonathan Hammond for a loss of 3 yards to the DAV 47

2nd & 13Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY SAN Delay Of Game (Sergent,Grant) 5 yards from DAV47 to SAN48. NO PLAY.

2nd & 18Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.64

Grant Sergent pass complete to Isaiah Smith for 8 yds to the DAV 44

3rd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Grant Sergent pass complete to Re-al Mitchell for 3 yds to the DAV 41

4th & 7Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +2.87

Grant Sergent pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 7 yds to the DAV 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY SAN False Start (D'Ambra,Jack) 5 yards from DAV34 to DAV39. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Isaiah Williams run for 4 yds to the DAV 35

2nd & 11Penalty+13 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Sergent,Grant pass incomplete short left to Heverly,Josh, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY DAV Pass Interference (McLaughlin,Sabin) 13 yards from DAV35 to DAV22, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Grant Sergent pass complete to Isaiah Smith for 7 yds to the DAV 15

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Grant Sergent pass incomplete to Re-al Mitchell

3rd & 3Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.49

Grant Sergent pass complete to Ja'seem Reed for 7 yds to the DAV 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Grant Sergent pass incomplete to Josh Heverly

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Grant Sergent pass incomplete to Re-al Mitchell

3rd & 8Fumble Recovery (Own)-7 ydsPPA -1.33

Grant Sergent sacked by Jack Wiese for a loss of 7 yards to the DAV 15 Grant Sergent fumbled, recovered by USD Trey Price , return for 0 yards

4th & 15Field Goal Good+33 yds

Aidan Lehman 33 yd FG GOOD

0th & 15End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+26 yds

Adam Zouagui kickoff for 53 yds , Eric Haney return for 26 yds to the USD 38

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Isaiah Williams run for 4 yds to the USD 42

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Isaiah Smith run for 5 yds to the USD 47

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.09

Re-al Mitchell run for 2 yds to the USD 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Shotgun Williams,Isaiah rush right for 0 yards to the SAN49 (Tessman,John) PENALTY SAN Holding (Bowling,Evans) 10 yards from SAN49 to SAN39. NO PLAY.

1st & 20Fumble Recovery (Own)+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Grant Sergent pass complete to Re-al Mitchell for 3 yds Re-al Mitchell fumbled, recovered by DAV Sabin McLaughlin

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.72

Coulter Cleland run for no gain to the USD 36

2nd & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.38

Coulter Cleland sacked by Jayden Wickware for a loss of 2 yards to the USD 38

3rd & 12Rushing Touchdown+38 ydsPPA +5.11

Mari Adams run for 38 yds for a TD (Adam Zouagui KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY SAN Illegal Substitution (Williams,Isaiah) 5 yards from SAN25 to SAN20. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY SAN Delay Of Game (Sergent,Grant) 5 yards from SAN20 to SAN15. NO PLAY.

1st & 20Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.21

Grant Sergent sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the USD 9

2nd & 26Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.00

Re-al Mitchell run for 5 yds to the USD 14

3rd & 21Pass Reception+37 ydsPPA +3.61

Grant Sergent pass complete to Josh Heverly for 37 yds to the DAV 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +0.97

Isaiah Williams run for 20 yds to the DAV 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Isaiah Williams run for 1 yd to the DAV 28

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

Grant Sergent pass incomplete to Re-al Mitchell

3rd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Grant Sergent pass complete to Isaiah Smith for 6 yds to the DAV 22

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.34

Grant Sergent pass incomplete to Re-al Mitchell

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+78 ydsPPA +6.27

Mason Sheron run for 78 yds for a TD (Adam Zouagui KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Isaiah Williams run for 2 yds to the USD 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.43

Grant Sergent pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 7 yds to the USD 34

3rd & 1Pass Reception+49 ydsPPA +3.52

Grant Sergent pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 49 yds to the DAV 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Grant Sergent pass incomplete to Cole Monach

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Isaiah Williams run for 4 yds to the DAV 21

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Grant Sergent pass incomplete to Re-al Mitchell

4th & 14Field Goal Good+38 yds

Aidan Lehman 38 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+5 yds

Aidan Lehman kickoff for 65 yds , Tahir Henry return for 5 yds to the DAV 5

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Mari Adams run for 2 yds to the DAV 7

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Coulter Cleland pass incomplete to Maxwell Weaver

3rd & 8Rush+48 ydsPPA +3.80

Coulter Cleland run for 48 yds to the USD 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Mari Adams run for 7 yds to the USD 38

2nd & 3Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +0.54

Coulter Cleland pass complete to Brody Reina for 29 yds to the USD 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Mari Adams run for 5 yds to the USD 4

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.33

Mari Adams run for 4 yds for a TD (Adam Zouagui KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+40 yds

Adam Zouagui kickoff for 60 yds , Ruben Lopez return for 40 yds to the USD 45

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Grant Sergent pass complete to Ja'seem Reed for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.20

Grant Sergent pass incomplete to Re-al Mitchell

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Grant Sergent pass incomplete

4th & 5Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.69

Grant Sergent sacked by Julian Rawlins for a loss of 7 yards to the USD 43

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.56

Coulter Cleland pass complete to Mark McCurdy for 14 yds to the USD 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.68

Mason Sheron run for 9 yds to the USD 20

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.47

Will Cox run for 3 yds to the USD 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Coulter Cleland pass complete to Clarence Freeman IV for 2 yds to the USD 15

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.24

Will Cox run for 7 yds to the USD 8

3rd & 1Penalty+4 yds

PENALTY SAN Offside (Molina,Shayden) 4 yards from SAN08 to SAN04, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Will Cox run for 4 yds for a TD (Adam Zouagui KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+26 yds

Adam Zouagui kickoff for 63 yds , Yosei Takahashi return for 26 yds to the USD 28

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Grant Sergent pass incomplete to Ja'seem Reed

2nd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Grant Sergent pass complete to Re-al Mitchell for 1 yd to the USD 29

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.23

Grant Sergent pass incomplete to Ja'seem Reed

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Aydan Corrales punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Aaron Maione at the DAV 32

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Coulter Cleland pass complete to Kellyn West for 2 yds to the DAV 34

2nd & 8Rushing Touchdown+66 ydsPPA +6.10

Mari Adams run for 66 yds for a TD (Adam Zouagui KICK)

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

San Diego Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Grant Sergent) to the USD 10

2nd & 25Pass Reception+57 ydsPPA +4.46

Grant Sergent pass complete to Ja'seem Reed for 57 yds to the DAV 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Grant Sergent pass incomplete to Re-al Mitchell

2nd & 10Penalty+13 yds

Shotgun Sergent,Grant pass incomplete short middle to Reed,Ja'seem, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY DAV Pass Interference (Hill,Amare) 13 yards from DAV33 to DAV20, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.46

Grant Sergent pass complete to Re-al Mitchell for 8 yds to the DAV 12

2nd & 2Passing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.16

Ja'seem Reed 12 Yd pass from Grant Sergent (Grant Sergent Pass to Ja'seem Reed for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.70

Will Cox run for 1 yd to the USD 41

2nd & 9Penalty0 yds

Davidson Penalty, Offensive Holding (Yards) declined

3rd & 17Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Luke Durkin pass complete to Jaleel Sales for 3 yds to the USD 46

4th & 14Penalty+5 yds

PENALTY SAN Offside (Riggins,Jerry) 5 yards from SAN46 to SAN41. NO PLAY.

4th & 9Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +3.20

Luke Durkin pass complete to Kellyn West for 11 yds to the USD 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Cox,Will rush middle for 0 yards to the SAN30 (Rangel,Jerry; Coburn,Brian) PENALTY SAN Face Mask (Coburn,Brian) 15 yards from SAN30 to SAN15, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Luke Durkin run for 3 yds to the USD 12

2nd & 7Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Luke Durkin pass complete to Kellyn West for 1 yd to the USD 11

3rd & 6Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Luke Durkin pass complete to Jaleel Sales for 3 yds to the USD 8

4th & 3Field Goal Good+25 yds

Adam Zouagui 25 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.11

Grant Sergent sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the USD 19

2nd & 16Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.53

Grant Sergent pass complete to Re-al Mitchell for 22 yds to the USD 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.52

Grant Sergent pass complete to Ja'seem Reed for 20 yds to the DAV 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Grant Sergent pass incomplete to Ja'seem Reed

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+39 ydsPPA +3.95

Grant Sergent pass complete to Josh Heverly for 39 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.88

Kneel down by Davidson at SAN41 for loss of 0 yards.

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.26

Kneel down by Davidson at SAN42 for loss of 1 yard.

Situational Analysis

San Diego

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
35%
23 plays
0%
3 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
60%
10 plays
100%
4 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
100%
1 play

Davidson

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
100%
1 play
50%
24 plays
2nd
57%
7 plays
67%
3 plays
30%
10 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
25%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play