Skip to main content
← Back to GamesNov 18, 2023Week 12
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

North Dakota State by 8.6

Home Win Probability

Northern Iowa 28%

Market (ESPN Bet)

Northern Iowa +8.5

Edge: North Dakota State -8.5 (0.1 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 18, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
North Dakota StateNorth Dakota State
141371448
Northern Iowa
3710727

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842563-1410-2713-3420-4120-48
Northern IowaNorth Dakota State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NDSNINDSNININDSNINDSNDSNINDSNINDSNINDSNININDSNININDSNINDSNINDSTD768ydFG1262ydTD1075ydPUNT3-6ydTO10ydTD430ydTD584ydPUNT630ydFG41ydTO25ydFG1332ydUncategorized10ydTD165ydFG1061ydPUNT39ydPUNT3-7ydTD1075ydTD775ydTD275ydTD965ydPUNT3-1ydTO532ydPUNT3-4ydDOWNS820ydUncategorized10yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing North Dakota State and Northern Iowa
StatisticNorth Dakota StateNorthern Iowa
Passing17-2224-38
Pass Yards238342
Rush Yards16165
Total Yards399407
Turnovers04
3rd Down5-134-10
Penalties6-552-20
Possession30:3328:15

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

North Dakota State
passing
Cam Miller
17/22, 238 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Cole Payton
4 CAR, 79 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
RaJa Nelson
6 REC, 113 YDS, 1 TD
Northern Iowa
passing
Theo Day
24/38, 342 YDS, 2 TD, 4 INT
rushing
Tye Edwards
12 CAR, 67 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Sam Schnee
8 REC, 164 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.96

Cam Miller pass complete to Eli Green for 10 yds to the NDSU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

TaMerik Williams run for 3 yds to the NDSU 45

2nd & 7Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.75

Cam Miller pass complete to Cole Payton for 14 yds to the UNI 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.67

TaMerik Williams run for 1 yd to the UNI 40

2nd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Cam Miller pass complete to RaJa Nelson for 5 yds to the UNI 35

3rd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.26

TaMerik Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNI 36

4th & 5Passing Touchdown+36 ydsPPA +5.10

Cam Miller pass complete to Eli Green for 36 yds for a TD (Griffin Crosa KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

pass incomplete to Sam Schnee

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.85

Theo Day pass complete to Amauri Pesek-Hickson for 11 yds to the UNI 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.75

Theo Day pass complete to Sam Schnee for 24 yds to the NDSU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Tyjahree Edwards run for 4 yds to the NDSU 32

2nd & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.42

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 9 yds to the NDSU 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.47

Theo Day pass complete to Logan Wolf for 8 yds to the NDSU 15

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

pass incomplete to Layne Pryor

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.20

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 3 yds to the NDSU 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 3 yds to the NDSU 9

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

pass incomplete to Sergio Morancy

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

pass incomplete to Sergio Morancy

4th & 7Field Goal Good+26 yds

Matthew Cook 26 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Cam Miller run for 7 yds to the NDSU 32

2nd & 3Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.63

RaJa Nelson run for 18 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Cam Miller run for 2 yds to the UNI 48

2nd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Cam Miller pass complete to Zach Mathis for 5 yds to the UNI 43

3rd & 3Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.37

Cam Miller pass complete to Carson Williams for 7 yds to the UNI 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.55

TaMerik Williams run for 1 yd to the UNI 35

2nd & 9Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.98

Cam Miller pass complete to RaJa Nelson for 18 yds to the UNI 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.67

TK Marshall run for a loss of 4 yards to the UNI 21

2nd & 14Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.31

Cam Miller pass complete to RaJa Nelson for 20 yds to the UNI 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Cam Miller run for 1 yd for a TD (Griffin Crosa KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Tyjahree Edwards run for 3 yds to the UNI 28

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

pass incomplete to Alex Allen

3rd & 7Fumble Recovery (Own)-9 ydsPPA -0.43

Theo Day run for a loss of 9 yards to the UNI 19 Theo Day fumbled, recovered by UNI Theo Day Day,Theo rush middle for loss of 9 yards to the UNI19, fumble by Day,Theo recovered by UNI Day,Theo, Day,Theo rush.

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Noah Pettinger punt for 11 yds

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -0.61

Theo Day pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Incompletion+15 ydsPPA +0.26

Cam Miller pass incomplete to Zach Mathis for a 1ST down Northern Iowa Penalty, personal foul (Rolliann Sturkey) to the UNI 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

Nelson,RaJa rush middle (Butler,Cannon;Boyd,Khristian).

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

pass incomplete to Hunter Brozio

3rd & 10Passing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +3.24

Cam Miller pass complete to RaJa Nelson for 15 yds for a TD (Griffin Crosa KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.15

Theo Day pass complete to Layne Pryor for 17 yds to the UNI 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 2 yds to the UNI 35

2nd & 8Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.68

Theo Day pass complete to Sergio Morancy for 22 yds to the NDSU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 3 yds to the NDSU 40

2nd & 7Rushing Touchdown+40 ydsPPA +3.66

Tyjahree Edwards run for 40 yds for a TD (Matthew Cook KICK)

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.93

TK Marshall run for 11 yds to the NDSU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

TK Marshall run for 2 yds to the NDSU 38

2nd & 8Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.18

Cam Miller pass complete to RaJa Nelson for 15 yds to the UNI 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Cam Miller run for 2 yds to the UNI 45

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -1.10

Miller,Cam rush middle (Bailey,Cordarrius).

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

pass incomplete to Zach Mathis

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Kaedin Steindorf punt for 45 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

RaJa Nelson run for 1 yd to the UNI 16

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

pass incomplete to Hunter Brozio

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

pass incomplete to Joe Stoffel

4th & 9Field Goal Good+34 yds

Griffin Crosa 34 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 5 yds to the UNI 35

2nd & 5Interception0 ydsPPA -1.41

Theo Day pass intercepted

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

North Dakota State Penalty, false start (Jalen Sundell) to the NDSU 43

1st & 15Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.56

TaMerik Williams run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.65

Cam Miller run for 2 yds to the UNI 48

3rd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Cam Miller pass complete to Eli Green for 5 yds to the UNI 43

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.95

Cam Miller run for 1 yd to the UNI 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Barika Kpeenu run for 2 yds to the UNI 40

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.48

Cam Miller pass complete to Joe Stoffel for 7 yds to the UNI 33

3rd & 1Rush-8 ydsPPA -2.72

TK Marshall run for 7 yds to the UNI 26 for a 1ST down North Dakota State Penalty, personal foul (Carson Williams) to the UNI 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +0.61

Cam Miller pass complete to Eli Green for 20 yds to the UNI 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

North Dakota State Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the UNI 31

1st & 20Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Cam Miller pass complete to Braylon Henderson for 5 yds to the UNI 26

2nd & 15Sack-6 ydsPPA -2.01

Cam Miller sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the UNI 32

3rd & 21Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.47

Cam Miller pass complete to Zach Mathis for 12 yds to the UNI 20

4th & 9Field Goal Good+37 yds

Griffin Crosa 37 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Edwards,Tye rush right (Kubitz,Nick;Hendricks,Dylan), UNI wins the toss and chooses receive.

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+65 ydsPPA +5.24

Cole Payton run for 65 yds for a TD (Griffin Crosa KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.77

Edwards,Tye rush left (Weerts,Luke;Kava,Jake).

2nd & 10Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +3.51

Theo Day pass complete to Sam Schnee for 33 yds to the NDSU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 4 yds to the NDSU 36

2nd & 6Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +0.71

Theo Day pass complete to Sam Schnee for 20 yds to the NDSU 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 5 yds to the NDSU 11

2nd & 5Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.28

Tyjahree Edwards run for 9 yds to the NDSU 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85

Edwards,Tye rush middle (Gulley,Marcus;Kopp,Logan).

2nd & 2Rush-6 ydsPPA -0.88

Tyjahree Edwards run for a loss of 6 yards to the NDSU 8

3rd & 8Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.83

Theo Day sacked for a loss of 4 yards to the NDSU 12

4th & 12Field Goal Good+30 yds

Matthew Cook 30 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Marshall,TK rush left (Governor,Woo).

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Cam Miller run for 5 yds to the NDSU 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Cam Miller pass complete to TaMerik Williams for 4 yds to the NDSU 34

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Kaedin Steindorf punt for 39 yds

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 3 yds to the UNI 30 Amauri Pesek-Hickson fumbled, recovered by UNI Tristan Roper Pesek-Hickson,Amauri rush middle for 3 yards to the UNI30, fumble by Pesek-Hickson,Amauri recovered by UNI Roper,Tristan, Roper,Tristan rush.

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

Theo Day pass incomplete to Alex Allen, broken up by Cole Wisniewski

3rd & 7Sack-10 ydsPPA -0.50

Theo Day sacked for a loss of 10 yards to the UNI 20

4th & 17Punt+5 yds

Noah Pettinger punt for 50 yds , Jayden Price returns for 5 yds to the NDSU 35

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Tyjahree Edwards run for 5 yds to the UNI 30

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Theo Day pass incomplete to Sergio Morancy, broken up by Logan Kopp

3rd & 5Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.08

Theo Day pass complete to Logan Wolf for 11 yds to the UNI 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.32

Theo Day pass complete to Sam Schnee for 9 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.66

Tyjahree Edwards run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNI 49

3rd & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.64

Tyjahree Edwards run for 8 yds to the NDSU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.49

Theo Day pass complete to Sergio Morancy for 7 yds to the NDSU 36

2nd & 3Penalty-5 yds

Northern Iowa Penalty, false start (Sergio Morancy) to the NDSU 41

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 4 yds to the NDSU 37

3rd & 4Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +1.48

Theo Day pass complete to Sam Schnee for 26 yds to the NDSU 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.52

Theo Day pass complete to Sam Schnee for 11 yds for a TD (Matthew Cook KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

TaMerik Williams run for 1 yd to the NDSU 26

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

pass incomplete to Jake Lippe

3rd & 9Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +4.14

Cam Miller pass complete to RaJa Nelson for 40 yds to the UNI 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.01

RaJa Nelson run for a loss of 2 yards to the UNI 36

2nd & 12Rush-7 ydsPPA -2.34

Cole Payton run for a loss of 7 yards to the UNI 43

3rd & 19Rush+20 ydsPPA +3.62

Cam Miller run for 20 yds to the UNI 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+23 ydsPPA +2.66

Cole Payton run for 23 yds for a TD (Griffin Crosa KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +2.66

Theo Day pass complete to Sam Schnee for 31 yds to the NDSU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -3.59

Theo Day pass intercepted for a TD (Griffin Crosa KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.15

Theo Day pass complete to Amauri Pesek-Hickson for 12 yds to the UNI 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.16

Theo Day pass complete to Sergio Morancy for 19 yds to the NDSU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.26

Theo Day pass complete to Sam Schnee for 10 yds to the NDSU 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

pass incomplete to Jaiden Ellis-Lahey

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion+12 ydsPPA +0.59

Theo Day pass incomplete to Sam Schnee for a 1ST down North Dakota State Penalty, personal foul (Kody Huisman) to the NDSU 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Tyjahree Edwards run for 5 yds to the NDSU 7

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

pass incomplete to Sam Schnee

3rd & 5Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.29

Theo Day sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the NDSU 15

4th & 13Passing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +4.08

Theo Day pass complete to Amauri Pesek-Hickson for 15 yds for a TD (Matthew Cook KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Barika Kpeenu run for 4 yds to the UNI 43

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.61

Barika Kpeenu run for 2 yds to the UNI 41

3rd & 4Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.52

Cole Payton run for a loss of 2 yards to the UNI 43

4th & 6Penalty-5 yds

North Dakota State Penalty, delay of game (Zach Mathis) to the UNI 48

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Kaedin Steindorf punt for 47 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.29

Theo Day pass complete to Sergio Morancy for 12 yds to the UNI 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

pass incomplete to Sam Schnee

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.02

Theo Day pass complete to Jaiden Ellis-Lahey for 12 yds to the UNI 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Theo Day pass incomplete to Jaiden Ellis-Lahey for a 1ST down North Dakota State Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Jayden Price) to the UNI 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -1.57

Theo Day pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.52

TaMerik Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the UNI 49

2nd & 12Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

TaMerik Williams run for 1 yd to the UNI 48

3rd & 11Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.01

TaMerik Williams run for a loss of 3 yards to the NDSU 49

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Kaedin Steindorf punt for 51 yds

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.80

Theo Day run for 8 yds to the UNI 28

2nd & 2Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.16

Theo Day pass complete to Desmond Hutson for 5 yds to the UNI 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Theo Day pass complete to Sergio Morancy for 3 yds to the UNI 36

2nd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.45

Theo Day pass complete to Desmond Hutson for 8 yds to the UNI 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.52

Theo Day sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the UNI 35

2nd & 19Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.64

Theo Day pass complete to Logan Wolf for 10 yds to the UNI 45

3rd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Theo Day pass complete to Logan Wolf for 6 yds to the NDSU 49

4th & 3Sack-11 ydsPPA -0.97

Theo Day sacked for a loss of 11 yards to the UNI 40

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.05

Cole Payton run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNI 40

Situational Analysis

North Dakota State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
30%
23 plays
100%
2 plays
2nd
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
58%
12 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play

Northern Iowa

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
50%
34 plays
2nd
25%
4 plays
50%
6 plays
64%
11 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
100%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
20%
5 plays
4th
0%
1 play
100%
1 play