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← Back to GamesNov 11, 2023Week 11
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

North Dakota State by 13.2

Home Win Probability

North Dakota State 77%

Market (ESPN Bet)

North Dakota State -8

Edge: North Dakota State -8 (5.2 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 11, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Southern Illinois
730010
North Dakota StateNorth Dakota State
7671434

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-07-710-713-720-1027-1034-10
North Dakota StateSouthern Illinois

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NDSSINDSSINDSSINDSSISINDSSINDSSINDSSINDSSINDSSINDSSINDSTD775ydTD1165ydFG1176ydPUNT39ydPUNT534ydMISS853ydFG742ydPUNT3-16ydFG630ydEND1-1ydPUNT37ydTD870ydPUNT37ydPUNT619ydPUNT37ydTD759ydDOWNS4-4ydTD531ydPUNT615ydPUNT835ydTO733ydEND1-1yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Southern Illinois and North Dakota State
StatisticSouthern IllinoisNorth Dakota State
Passing16-2915-19
Pass Yards151232
Rush Yards55217
Total Yards206449
Turnovers11
3rd Down4-137-12
Penalties4-406-50
Possession21:4438:16

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Southern Illinois
passing
Nic Baker
12/17, 114 YDS
rushing
Romeir Elliott
10 CAR, 25 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Izaiah Hartrup
5 REC, 71 YDS
North Dakota State
passing
Cam Miller
15/19, 232 YDS
rushing
TaMerik Williams
8 CAR, 51 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
RaJa Nelson
4 REC, 81 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

TaMerik Williams run for no gain to the NDSU 25

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Cole Payton run for 1 yd to the NDSU 26

3rd & 9Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +3.60

Cam Miller pass complete to RaJa Nelson for 29 yds to the SIU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

(12:59) MILLER, Cam pass to the right complete for 8 yards to MATHIS, Zach caught at the SIU37 and advanced to the SIU37 (JULES, PJ), clock 12:43. PENALTY NDS Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on ZABEL, Grey enforced 5 yards from the SIU45 to the NDS50 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.84

Barika Kpeenu run for 1 yd to the SIU 49

2nd & 14Rush+34 ydsPPA +2.82

Cam Miller run for 34 yds to the SIU 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

RaJa Nelson run for 7 yds to the SIU 8

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.25

Cam Miller run for 8 yds for a TD (Griffin Crosa KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Nic Baker run for 2 yds to the SIU 37

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Justin Strong run for 2 yds to the SIU 39

3rd & 6Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +2.09

Nic Baker pass complete to Vinson Davis III for 6 yds to the SIU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Ro Elliott run for 4 yds to the SIU 49

2nd & 6Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.25

Nic Baker pass complete to Vinson Davis III for 11 yds to the NDSU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Nic Baker pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.29

Nic Baker pass complete to Izaiah Hartrup for 13 yds to the NDSU 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Ro Elliott run for 2 yds to the NDSU 25

2nd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Nic Baker pass complete to Justin Strong for 4 yds to the NDSU 21

3rd & 4Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.37

Justin Strong run for 17 yds to the NDSU 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Ro Elliott run for 4 yds for a TD (Jake Baumgarte KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Thomas Burks kickoff for 57 yds , return for no gain to the NDSU 17

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.02

Cam Miller pass complete to Braylon Henderson for 9 yds to the NDSU 26

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.10

RaJa Nelson run for 5 yds to the NDSU 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

TaMerik Williams run for 5 yds to the NDSU 36

2nd & 5Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +2.45

Cam Miller pass complete to RaJa Nelson for 27 yds to the SIU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Eli Green run for 4 yds to the SIU 33

2nd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.45

Cam Miller pass complete to Braylon Henderson for 9 yds to the SIU 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.48

RaJa Nelson run for 17 yds to the SIU 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Cam Miller pass incomplete

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Cole Payton run for 4 yds to the SIU 3

3rd & 3Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.59

Cam Miller run for a loss of 4 yards to the SIU 7

4th & 7Field Goal Good+25 yds

Griffin Crosa 25 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Justin Strong run for no gain to the SIU 25

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Ro Elliott run for 3 yds to the SIU 28

3rd & 7Penalty+5 yds

(14:09) BAKER, Nic pass to the right incomplete intended for COX, D'Ante' thrown to the SIU43, clock 14:04. PENALTY NDS Offsides on KAVA, Jake enforced 5 yards from the SIU28 to the SIU33 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Justin Strong run for 1 yd to the SIU 34

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Nathan Torney punt for 48 yds

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.06

RaJa Nelson run for 16 yds to the NDSU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Southern Illinois Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the SIU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.54

Barika Kpeenu run for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard line

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

Cam Miller pass incomplete

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

Cam Miller pass incomplete

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Kaedin Steindorf punt for 35 yds

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Nic Baker run for 4 yds to the SIU 19

2nd & 6Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +2.41

Nic Baker pass complete to Izaiah Hartrup for 26 yds to the SIU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.80

Nic Baker pass complete to Ro Elliott for 10 yds to the NDSU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.54

Nic Baker run for 11 yds to the NDSU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Ro Elliott run for 3 yds to the NDSU 31

2nd & 7Penalty-5 yds

Southern Illinois Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the NDSU 36

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Nic Baker pass incomplete

3rd & 12Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.89

Nic Baker pass complete to Justin Strong for 9 yds to the NDSU 27

4th & 3Penalty-5 yds

Southern Illinois Penalty, False Start (Justin Strong) to the NDSU 32

4th & 8Field Goal Missed+49 yds

Jake Baumgarte 49 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

(07:07) KPEENU, Barika rush to the left for no gain to the NDS32 (HEARNS, Desman), out of bounds, clock 07:01. PENALTY NDS Holding on SUNDELL, Jalen declined NDS Tripping on BROZIO, Hunter enforced 15 yards from the NDS32 to the NDS17. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 25Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.13

Cole Payton run for 8 yds to the NDSU 25

2nd & 17Pass Reception-7 ydsPPA -0.27

Cam Miller pass complete to Joe Stoffel for a loss of 7 yards to the NDSU 18

3rd & 24Pass Reception+52 ydsPPA +4.56

Cam Miller pass complete to Braylon Henderson for 52 yds to the SIU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

TaMerik Williams run for 5 yds to the SIU 25

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Barika Kpeenu run for 1 yd to the SIU 24

3rd & 4Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.10

Cole Payton run for a loss of 2 yards to the SIU 26

4th & 6Field Goal Good+44 yds

Griffin Crosa 44 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Ro Elliott run for 2 yds to the SIU 27

2nd & 8Sack-11 ydsPPA -0.82

Nic Baker sacked by Dylan Hendricks for a loss of 11 yards to the SIU 16

3rd & 19Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.05

Nic Baker sacked by Jake Kava for a loss of 7 yards to the SIU 9

4th & 26Punt0 yds

Nathan Torney punt for 46 yds, fumbled by NDSU Jayden Price, recovered by

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.73

Ro Elliott run for 8 yds to the NDSU 37

2nd & 2Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.13

Nic Baker pass complete to Izaiah Hartrup for 17 yds to the NDSU 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Nic Baker pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Nic Baker run for 5 yds to the NDSU 15

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Nic Baker pass incomplete

4th & 5Field Goal Good+32 yds

Jake Baumgarte 32 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

(00:17) Kneel down by NDS at NDS32 (team loss of 1), clock 00:10.

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Ro Elliott run for a loss of 1 yard to the SIU 24

2nd & 11Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.14

Nic Baker pass complete to Ro Elliott for 6 yds to the SIU 30

3rd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Ro Elliott run for 2 yds to the SIU 32

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Nathan Torney punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Jayden Price at the NDSU 30

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

TaMerik Williams run for 4 yds to the NDSU 34

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.17

Barika Kpeenu run for 7 yds to the NDSU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

North Dakota State Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Barika Kpeenu) to the NDSU 26

2nd & 25Penalty+15 yds

(11:52) MILLER, Cam pass deep to the left incomplete intended for MATHIS, Zach thrown to the SIU37, clock 11:43. PENALTY SIU Pass Interference on JOHNSON, DJ enforced 15 yards to the NDS41 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.32

TK Marshall run for 9 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Cam Miller run for 2 yds to the SIU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.54

Braylon Henderson run for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard line

2nd & 12Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.29

Cam Miller pass complete to Joe Stoffel for 16 yds to the SIU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+34 ydsPPA +2.94

TaMerik Williams run for 34 yds for a TD (Griffin Crosa KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Nic Baker run for 4 yds to the SIU 29

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Justin Strong run for 3 yds to the SIU 32

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Nic Baker pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Nathan Torney punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Jayden Price at the NDSU 24

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Barika Kpeenu run for 2 yds to the NDSU 26

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Cam Miller run for 2 yds to the NDSU 28

3rd & 6Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.54

Cam Miller pass complete to TaMerik Williams for 6 yds to the NDSU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

TaMerik Williams run for 2 yds to the NDSU 36

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Cam Miller run for 3 yds to the NDSU 39

3rd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Cam Miller pass complete to RaJa Nelson for 4 yds to the NDSU 43

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Kaedin Steindorf punt for 41 yds

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.57

Ro Elliott run for a loss of 2 yards to the SIU 14

2nd & 12Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.08

Nic Baker pass complete to Vinson Davis III for 6 yds to the SIU 20

3rd & 6Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.08

Nic Baker pass complete to Izaiah Hartrup for 3 yds to the SIU 23

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Nathan Torney punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Jayden Price at the NDSU 41

1st & 10Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -1.83

Cam Miller pass complete to TK Marshall for a loss of 4 yards to the NDSU 37

2nd & 14Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Cam Miller pass complete to Zach Mathis for 3 yds to the NDSU 40

3rd & 11Penalty-5 yds

North Dakota State Penalty, Illegal Substitution (-5 Yards) to the NDSU 35

3rd & 16Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +4.40

Cam Miller pass complete to Eli Green for 40 yds to the SIU 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.45

TaMerik Williams run for no gain to the SIU 25

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Cam Miller run for 3 yds to the SIU 22

3rd & 7Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.40

Cam Miller pass complete to RaJa Nelson for 21 yds to the SIU 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

TaMerik Williams run for 1 yd for a TD (Griffin Crosa KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Nic Baker pass complete to Ryan Schwendeman for 3 yds to the SIU 38

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Jaelin Benefield run for 3 yds to the SIU 41

3rd & 4Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.91

Nic Baker sacked by Jake Kava and Jaxon Duttenhefer for a loss of 2 yards to the SIU 39

4th & 6Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.08

Nic Baker sacked by Jake Kava for a loss of 8 yards to the SIU 31

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Barika Kpeenu run for 4 yds to the SIU 27

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.63

Barika Kpeenu run for no gain to the SIU 27

3rd & 6Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.64

Cam Miller pass complete to Eli Green for 22 yds to the SIU 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

TK Marshall run for 3 yds to the SIU 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

TK Marshall run for 2 yds for a TD (Griffin Crosa KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Hunter Simmons pass complete to Jaelin Benefield for 6 yds to the SIU 28

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Hunter Simmons pass incomplete

3rd & 4Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.69

Hunter Simmons pass complete to Vinson Davis III for 9 yds to the SIU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Hunter Simmons pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Hunter Simmons pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Hunter Simmons pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Nathan Torney punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Braylon Henderson at the NDSU 16

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.46

Barika Kpeenu run for 7 yds to the NDSU 23

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.26

Barika Kpeenu run for 5 yds to the NDSU 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Barika Kpeenu run for 5 yds to the NDSU 33

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.71

Barika Kpeenu run for 1 yd to the NDSU 34

3rd & 4Rush+11 ydsPPA +2.19

Barika Kpeenu run for 11 yds to the NDSU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Barika Kpeenu run for 1 yd to the NDSU 46

2nd & 9Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.15

Barika Kpeenu run for a loss of 1 yard to the NDSU 45

3rd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Barika Kpeenu run for 6 yds to the SIU 49

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Kaedin Steindorf punt for 49 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.87

Hunter Simmons pass complete to Izaiah Hartrup for 12 yds to the SIU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Hunter Simmons run for 6 yds to the SIU 38

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Hunter Simmons pass incomplete

3rd & 4Penalty+5 yds

North Dakota State Penalty, Offsides (Jaquise Alexander) to the SIU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Hunter Simmons pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Hunter Simmons pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.86

Hunter Simmons pass complete to Allen Middleton for 10 yds to the NDSU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -3.39

Hunter Simmons pass intercepted by NDSU Najee Nelson at the NDSU 24, no return.

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.67

(00:16) Kneel down by NDS at NDS23 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

Southern Illinois

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
27%
22 plays
2nd
100%
1 play
40%
5 plays
22%
9 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
0%
2 plays
43%
7 plays
50%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play

North Dakota State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
42%
24 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
60%
5 plays
50%
6 plays
0%
6 plays
40%
5 plays
3rd
0%
1 play
60%
5 plays
100%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
4th