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← Back to GamesOct 21, 2023Week 8
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

North Dakota State by 44

Home Win Probability

North Dakota State 99%

Market (William Hill (New Jersey))

North Dakota State -36.5

Edge: North Dakota State -36.5 (7.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 21, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Western Illinois
00077
North Dakota StateNorth Dakota State
142414052

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-014-028-038-045-052-052-7
North Dakota StateWestern Illinois

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NDSWINDSWINDSWINDSWINDSWINDSWINDSWINDSWINDSWINDSWINDSWITD1075ydPUNT514ydTD765ydPUNT3-1ydTD420ydPUNT412ydTD176ydTO516ydTD149ydPUNT67ydFG1281ydPUNT37ydTD465ydPUNT418ydTD675ydDOWNS1053ydDOWNS940ydPUNT33ydTO15ydTD248ydDOWNS629ydEND77yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Western Illinois and North Dakota State
StatisticWestern IllinoisNorth Dakota State
Passing8-1311-16
Pass Yards71200
Rush Yards113425
Total Yards184625
Turnovers11
3rd Down2-137-10
Penalties4-257-75
Possession27:4132:19

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Western Illinois
passing
Matt Morrissey
8/13, 71 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Seth Glatz
11 CAR, 64 YDS
receiving
A.J. Coons
2 REC, 48 YDS, 1 TD
North Dakota State
passing
Cam Miller
8/12, 103 YDS
rushing
RaJa Nelson
3 CAR, 103 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Joe Stoffel
2 REC, 84 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.14

Cam Miller pass incomplete

2nd & 20Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.09

Cam Miller pass complete to TK Marshall for 8 yds to the NDSU 23

3rd & 12Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.65

Cam Miller pass complete to Eli Green for 19 yds to the NDSU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.15

TaMerik Williams run for no gain to the NDSU 42

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.09

Cam Miller pass complete to Hunter Brozio for 9 yds to the WIU 49

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.93

Cam Miller run for 1 yd to the WIU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +1.15

Cam Miller pass complete to Joe Stoffel for 35 yds to the WIU 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

RaJa Nelson run for 8 yds to the WIU 5

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.15

TK Marshall run for 4 yds to the WIU 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

TK Marshall run for 1 yd for a TD (Griffin Crosa KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Eli Ozick kickoff for 63 yds , return for no gain to the WIU 5

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Matt Morrissey pass complete to Jaylin Jackson for 6 yds to the WIU 11

2nd & 4Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.04

Ludovick Choquette run for 19 yds to the WIU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Matt Morrissey pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.52

Matt Morrissey pass complete to Jaylin Jackson for a loss of 1 yard to the WIU 29

3rd & 11Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.27

Matt Morrissey sacked for a loss of 5 yards to the WIU 24

4th & 16Penalty-5 yds

Western Illinois Penalty, Delay Of Game (-5 Yards) to the WIU 19

4th & 21Punt0 yds

Jared Campbell punt for 35 yds , Jayden Price returns for no gain to the NDSU 35

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.70

RaJa Nelson run for 19 yds to the WIU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.57

Cam Miller run for 11 yds to the WIU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

TaMerik Williams run for 4 yds to the WIU 31

2nd & 6Rush+28 ydsPPA +1.58

Eli Green run for 28 yds to the WIU 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Cam Miller pass complete to Hunter Brozio for 2 yds to the WIU 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

TK Marshall run for no gain to the WIU 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

TK Marshall run for 1 yd for a TD (Griffin Crosa KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Ludovick Choquette run for 2 yds to the WIU 26

2nd & 8Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Matt Morrissey pass complete to Tre Maronic for 3 yds to the WIU 29

3rd & 5Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.54

Matt Morrissey sacked by Eli Mostaert and Dylan Hendricks for a loss of 6 yards to the WIU 23

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Jared Campbell punt for 39 yds

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

TaMerik Williams run for 7 yds to the WIU 13

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Cam Miller pass incomplete

3rd & 3Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.88

TaMerik Williams run for 8 yds to the WIU 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Barika Kpeenu run for 5 yds for a TD (Griffin Crosa KICK)

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

North Dakota State Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Jaxon Duttenhefer) to the WIU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.92

Matt Morrissey sacked by Logan Kopp for a loss of 8 yards to the WIU 28

2nd & 18Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.13

Seth Glatz run for 2 yds to the WIU 30

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Matt Morrissey pass incomplete

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Jared Campbell punt for 46 yds

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+76 ydsPPA +6.15

RaJa Nelson run for 76 yds for a TD (Griffin Crosa KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.61

Seth Glatz run for no gain to the WIU 22

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Seth Glatz run for 1 yd to the WIU 23

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Matt Morrissey pass incomplete

4th & 9Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.34

Jared Campbell run for 15 yds to the WIU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -2.05

Matt Morrissey pass intercepted

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+49 ydsPPA +3.76

Joe Stoffel 49 Yd pass from Cole Payton (Griffin Crosa Kick)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Torrance Farmer run for 3 yds to the WIU 28

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Torrance Farmer run for 5 yds to the WIU 33

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.15

Torrance Farmer run for 3 yds to the WIU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.92

Matt Morrissey sacked by Jaxon Duttenhefer for a loss of 8 yards to the WIU 28

2nd & 18Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.13

Torrance Farmer run for 2 yds to the WIU 30

3rd & 16Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.08

Torrance Farmer run for 2 yds to the WIU 32

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Jared Campbell punt for 48 yds

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.55

Barika Kpeenu run for 8 yds to the NDSU 16

2nd & 2Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.54

Cam Miller pass complete to Carson Williams for 24 yds to the NDSU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Barika Kpeenu run for 3 yds to the NDSU 43

2nd & 7Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.00

Cam Miller run for 17 yds to the WIU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.45

TK Marshall run for 7 yds to the WIU 33

2nd & 3Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.02

Cam Miller pass complete to Zach Mathis for 7 yds to the WIU 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

MILLER, Cam scrambles to the left for a gain of 2 yards to the WIU24 (STEFFEN, Garret). PENALTY NDS Illegal Block in the Back on KUBAS, Jake enforced 10 yards from the WIU26 to the WIU36 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.27

Barika Kpeenu run for 15 yds to the WIU 21

2nd & 5Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.13

Barika Kpeenu run for 11 yds to the WIU 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Cam Miller pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.35

Cam Miller pass complete to RaJa Nelson for a loss of 1 yard to the WIU 11

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Cam Miller pass incomplete

4th & 11Field Goal Good+29 yds

Griffin Crosa 29 yd FG GOOD

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Ludovick Choquette run for 3 yds to the WIU 26

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Matt Morrissey run for 3 yds to the WIU 29

3rd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Matt Morrissey run for 1 yd to the WIU 30

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Jared Campbell punt for 51 yds

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.63

TaMerik Williams run for 18 yds to the WIU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.01

TaMerik Williams run for 9 yds to the WIU 38

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

Cole Payton run for no gain to the WIU 38

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+38 ydsPPA +3.64

TK Marshall run for 38 yds for a TD (Griffin Crosa KICK)

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.89

Torrance Farmer run for 21 yds to the WIU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.38

Torrance Farmer run for a loss of 1 yard to the WIU 45

2nd & 11Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.31

Matt Morrissey run for a loss of 4 yards to the WIU 41

3rd & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Torrance Farmer run for 2 yds to the WIU 43

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Jared Campbell punt for 32 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.22

Cole Payton pass complete to Finn Diggins for 14 yds to the NDSU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Barika Kpeenu run for 4 yds to the NDSU 43

2nd & 6Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.86

Cole Payton sacked by Mike Newman and Gage Freeman for a loss of 6 yards to the NDSU 37

3rd & 12Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +4.10

Cole Payton pass complete to Tyler Terhark for 34 yds to the WIU 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Barika Kpeenu run for 5 yds to the WIU 24

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+24 ydsPPA +2.71

Barika Kpeenu run for 24 yds for a TD (Griffin Crosa KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Seth Glatz run for 5 yds to the WIU 27

2nd & 5Penalty-10 yds

QB Keeper MORRISSEY, Matt rush up the middle for a gain of 3 yards to the WIU30 (JUNG, Sam). PENALTY WIU Holding on BANKS-WALL, Jeremiah enforced 10 yards from the WIU27 to the WIU17 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 15Rush+42 ydsPPA +3.95

Seth Glatz run for 42 yds to the NDSU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.65

Seth Glatz run for 8 yds to the NDSU 33

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.66

Seth Glatz run for 1 yd to the NDSU 32

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.95

Seth Glatz run for no gain to the NDSU 32

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.38

Seth Glatz run for 2 yds to the NDSU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Ludovick Choquette run for 3 yds to the NDSU 27

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.63

Ludovick Choquette run for no gain to the NDSU 27

3rd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.87

Seth Glatz run for no gain to the NDSU 27

4th & 7Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -2.52

Matt Morrissey pass complete to Taj Sanders for 2 yds to the NDSU 25

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

North Dakota State Penalty, False Start (Bryce Friday) to the NDSU 20

1st & 15Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.96

Barika Kpeenu run for 19 yds to the NDSU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.30

John Gores run for 14 yds to the WIU 47 North Dakota State Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Hayden Johnston) to the NDSU 28

1st & 21Fumble Recovery (Own)-4 ydsPPA -0.43

run for a loss of 4 yards to the NDSU 24 Peter Anderson fumbled, recovered by NDSU Peter Anderson

2nd & 25Penalty+5 yds

Western Illinois Penalty, Offsides (Mayo Bola) to the NDSU 29

2nd & 20Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.66

Kelly Watson run for 17 yds to the NDSU 46

3rd & 3Rush+19 ydsPPA +2.47

Kelly Watson run for 19 yds to the WIU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.66

Kelly Watson run for a loss of 5 yards to the WIU 40

2nd & 15Rush0 ydsPPA -1.02

Kelly Watson run for no gain to the WIU 40

3rd & 15Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Kelly Watson run for 5 yds to the WIU 35

4th & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.40

Peter Anderson pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Ludovick Choquette run for 3 yds to the WIU 38

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.87

Ludovick Choquette run for no gain to the WIU 38

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Matt Morrissey pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Jared Campbell punt for 19 yds

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+5 ydsPPA -2.53

Kelly Watson run for 5 yds to the NDSU 48 Kelly Watson fumbled, recovered by WIU Kaleb Randolph

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Matt Morrissey pass complete to AJ Coons for 5 yds to the NDSU 43

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+43 ydsPPA +3.59

Matt Morrissey pass complete to AJ Coons for 43 yds for a TD (Owen Valek KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

John Gores run for 6 yds to the NDSU 31

2nd & 4Rush+25 ydsPPA +2.33

John Gores run for 25 yds to the WIU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

John Gores run for 6 yds to the WIU 38

2nd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.19

Kelly Watson run for a loss of 1 yard to the WIU 39

3rd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -1.08

John Gores run for no gain to the WIU 39 North Dakota State Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Yards) to the WIU 39

4th & 5Penalty-10 yds

GORES, John rush to the left for a gain of 12 yards to the WIU27 (JONES, Willie), out of bounds. PENALTY NDS Holding on ZENZEN, Kaden enforced 10 yards from the WIU39 to the WIU49 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

4th & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Kelly Watson run for 3 yds to the WIU 46

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Ludovick Choquette run for 5 yds to the NDSU 49

2nd & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Matt Morrissey pass complete to Taj Sanders for 3 yds to the NDSU 46

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.21

Ludovick Choquette run for 4 yds to the NDSU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.42

Matt Morrissey pass complete to Jay Parker for 10 yds to the NDSU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.69

Matt Morrissey sacked by Gannon Williams for a loss of 6 yards to the NDSU 38

2nd & 16Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.21

Matt Morrissey run for a loss of 1 yard to the NDSU 39

3rd & 17Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.39

Matt Morrissey sacked by Logan Larson and Matt Weerts for a loss of 8 yards to the NDSU 47

Situational Analysis

Western Illinois

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
37%
19 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
67%
3 plays
14%
7 plays
20%
5 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
0%
3 plays
0%
5 plays
4th
100%
1 play
50%
2 plays

North Dakota State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play
65%
23 plays
50%
4 plays
2nd
50%
6 plays
67%
6 plays
67%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
100%
5 plays
0%
1 play
75%
4 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play