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← Back to GamesSep 30, 2023Week 5
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

North Dakota State by 26.1

Home Win Probability

North Dakota State 92%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Sep 30, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
South Dakota
7140324
North Dakota StateNorth Dakota State
307919

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-73-73-143-2110-2113-2113-2419-24
North Dakota StateSouth Dakota

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SDNDSSDNDSSDNDSSDNDSSDNDSSDNDSSDTD675ydFG1656ydTD1178ydTO521ydTD246ydPUNT617ydEND419ydTD1289ydPUNT36ydFG1680ydFG1254ydTD1275ydEND1-2yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing South Dakota and North Dakota State
StatisticSouth DakotaNorth Dakota State
Passing10-1218-25
Pass Yards168159
Rush Yards101189
Total Yards269348
Turnovers01
3rd Down2-46-12
Penalties4-256-52
Possession24:2835:32

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

South Dakota
passing
Aidan Bouman
10/12, 168 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Nate Thomas
14 CAR, 49 YDS
receiving
Carter Bell
5 REC, 124 YDS, 2 TD
North Dakota State
passing
Cam Miller
18/25, 159 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Cam Miller
12 CAR, 65 YDS
receiving
Zach Mathis
4 REC, 42 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 15Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.33

Aidan Bouman pass complete to Travis Theis for no gain to the SDAK 20

2nd & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.10

Travis Theis run for 2 yds to the SDAK 22

3rd & 13Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.29

Aidan Bouman pass complete to Carter Bell for 16 yds to the SDAK 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.03

Aidan Bouman pass complete to Jack Martens for 11 yds to the SDAK 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Nate Thomas run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

2nd & 9Passing Touchdown+50 ydsPPA +4.81

Aidan Bouman pass complete to Carter Bell for 50 yds for a TD (Will Leyland KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

RaJa Nelson run for 6 yds to the NDSU 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.99

Cam Miller pass complete to Finn Diggins for 9 yds to the NDSU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

TaMerik Williams run for 3 yds to the NDSU 43

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

TK Marshall run for 4 yds to the NDSU 47

3rd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.81

Cam Miller run for 7 yds to the SDAK 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.75

TK Marshall run for 8 yds to the SDAK 38

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Barika Kpeenu run for 3 yds to the SDAK 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Cam Miller pass complete to Tyler Terhark for 3 yds to the SDAK 32

2nd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.52

Cam Miller pass complete to Finn Diggins for 9 yds to the SDAK 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Cam Miller pass complete to Finn Diggins for 3 yds to the SDAK 20

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Cam Miller run for 2 yds to the SDAK 18

3rd & 5Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.84

Cam Miller run for 11 yds to the SDAK 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Cam Miller run for 3 yds to the SDAK 4

2nd & 4Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.74

Cam Miller sacked by Mi'Quise Grace for a loss of 6 yards to the SDAK 10

3rd & 10Penalty-15 yds

MILLER, Cam pass to the left complete for 10 yards to MATHIS, Zach caught at the USD0 and advanced to the USD0, TOUCHDOWN NDS, score nullified by penalty, clock 01:52 (Play was confirmed after review). PENALTY NDS Personal Foul on SUNDELL, Jalen enforced 15 yards from the USD10 to the USD25 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 25Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Cam Miller run for 6 yds to the SDAK 19

4th & 19Field Goal Good+37 yds

Griffin Crosa 37 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.84

Nate Thomas run for 8 yds to the SDAK 30

2nd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Nate Thomas run for 6 yds to the SDAK 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.14

Aidan Bouman pass complete to Jack Martens for 12 yds to the SDAK 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Nate Thomas run for no gain to the SDAK 48

2nd & 10Penalty+4 yds

BOUMAN, Aidan pass short up the middle incomplete intended for BELL, Carter thrown to the NDS47. PENALTY NDS Pass Interference on WEERTS, Luke enforced at the spot of the foul for 4 yards to the NDS48 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.71

Aidan Bouman pass complete to JJ Galbreath for 13 yds to the NDSU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.75

Travis Theis run for 9 yds to the NDSU 26

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.46

Nate Thomas run for 2 yds to the NDSU 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Aidan Bouman pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.26

Aidan Bouman pass complete to Carter Bell for 7 yds to the NDSU 17

1st & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Nate Thomas run for 1 yd to the NDSU 8

2nd & 8Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.68

Keyondray Jones run for 8 yds for a TD (Will Leyland KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Zeke Mata kickoff for 64 yds , return for no gain to the NDSU 6

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

TaMerik Williams run for 1 yd to the NDSU 7

2nd & 9Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.93

Cam Miller pass complete to Joe Stoffel for 16 yds to the NDSU 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Cam Miller pass complete to Zach Mathis for 3 yds to the NDSU 26

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.43

TaMerik Williams run for 1 yd to the NDSU 27

3rd & 6Interception0 ydsPPA -0.09

Cam Miller pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Travis Theis run for 4 yds to the NDSU 42

2nd & 6Penalty-10 yds

BOUMAN, Aidan pass to the left complete for 8 yards to THEIS, Travis caught at the NDS49 and advanced to the NDS34 (WISNIEWSKI, Cole). PENALTY USD Holding on GALBREATH, JJ enforced 10 yards from the NDS42 to the USD48 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 16Passing Touchdown+52 ydsPPA +5.88

Aidan Bouman pass complete to Carter Bell for 52 yds for a TD (Will Leyland KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Cam Miller run for 2 yds to the NDSU 18

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Cam Miller pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.57

Cam Miller pass complete to Eli Green for 13 yds to the NDSU 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

TaMerik Williams run for 2 yds to the NDSU 33

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.65

TK Marshall run for no gain to the NDSU 33

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Cam Miller pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Kaedin Steindorf punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Carter Bell at the SDAK 25

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Nate Thomas run for 8 yds to the SDAK 33

2nd & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.51

Travis Theis run for 8 yds to the SDAK 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.34

Aidan Bouman pass complete to Carter Bell for a loss of 1 yard to the SDAK 40

2nd & 11Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Nate Thomas run for 4 yds to the SDAK 44

0th & 11End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.60

TaMerik Williams run for 8 yds to the NDSU 19

2nd & 2Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.82

Cam Miller pass complete to Logan Hofstedt for 15 yds to the NDSU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Cole Payton run for 5 yds to the NDSU 39

2nd & 5Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.39

TK Marshall run for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

TK Marshall run for 2 yds to the SDAK 48

2nd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Cam Miller pass complete to Jake Lippe for 6 yds to the SDAK 42

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.94

Cole Payton run for 2 yds to the SDAK 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.37

Cam Miller pass complete to Joe Stoffel for 10 yds to the SDAK 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.20

Barika Kpeenu run for 10 yds to the SDAK 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.30

Barika Kpeenu run for 12 yds to the SDAK 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Cole Payton run for 1 yd to the SDAK 7

2nd & 7Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.61

Cole Payton run for 7 yds for a TD (Griffin Crosa KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Nate Thomas run for 6 yds to the SDAK 31

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.87

Nate Thomas run for no gain to the SDAK 31

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Aidan Bouman pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Tyler Ebel punt for 56 yds, downed at the NDSU 13

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.62

Eli Green run for 12 yds to the NDSU 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

TK Marshall run for 8 yds to the NDSU 33

2nd & 2Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.69

Cam Miller pass complete to Zach Mathis for 22 yds to the SDAK 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.00

TaMerik Williams run for no gain to the SDAK 45

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Cam Miller run for 7 yds to the SDAK 38

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Cole Payton run for 2 yds to the SDAK 36

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.63

Cam Miller run for 2 yds to the SDAK 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

TK Marshall run for 5 yds to the SDAK 29

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.17

Eli Green run for 5 yds to the SDAK 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Cole Payton run for 2 yds to the SDAK 22

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.38

Cole Payton run for 1 yd to the SDAK 21

3rd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.76

Cam Miller pass complete to Zach Mathis for 9 yds to the SDAK 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

TaMerik Williams run for 4 yds to the SDAK 8

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Cam Miller run for 2 yds to the SDAK 6

3rd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.39

Cole Payton run for a loss of 1 yard to the SDAK 7

4th & 5Field Goal Good+26 yds

Griffin Crosa 26 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.64

Travis Theis run for 1 yd to the SDAK 28

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Travis Theis run for 2 yds to the SDAK 30

3rd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.92

Aidan Bouman pass complete to JJ Galbreath for 8 yds to the SDAK 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

North Dakota State Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Eli Mostaert) to the NDSU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.44

Keyondray Jones run for 7 yds to the NDSU 32

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.08

Nate Thomas run for 3 yds to the NDSU 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Nate Thomas run for 4 yds to the NDSU 25

2nd & 6Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.29

Travis Theis run for 11 yds to the NDSU 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.45

Nate Thomas run for a loss of 2 yards to the NDSU 16

2nd & 12Penalty-5 yds

South Dakota Penalty, False Start (Jordan Larsen) to the NDSU 21

2nd & 17Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.86

Travis Theis run for a loss of 1 yard to the NDSU 22

3rd & 18Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Travis Theis run for 3 yds to the NDSU 19

4th & 15Field Goal Good+37 yds

Will Leyland 37 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Cam Miller pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.68

Cam Miller pass complete to Eli Green for 9 yds to the NDSU 34

3rd & 1Rush+14 ydsPPA +2.09

Cam Miller run for 14 yds to the NDSU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.36

Cam Miller pass complete to TaMerik Williams for 6 yds to the SDAK 46

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.18

Cam Miller pass incomplete

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Cam Miller pass incomplete

4th & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.81

Cam Miller pass complete to Zach Mathis for 8 yds to the SDAK 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.35

Cam Miller pass complete to RaJa Nelson for 11 yds to the SDAK 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +0.54

Cam Miller run for 20 yds to the SDAK 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.41

Cam Miller pass complete to Joe Stoffel for no gain to the SDAK 7

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Cam Miller pass incomplete

3rd & 7Penalty+5 yds

MILLER, Cam pass to the left incomplete intended for MATHIS, Zach thrown to the USD0. PENALTY USD Pass Interference on BARROS, Shahid enforced 5 yards to the USD2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Joe Stoffel 2 Yd pass from Cam Miller (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.88

Kneel down by BOUMAN, Aidan at NDS43 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

South Dakota

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
44%
18 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
50%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
75%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
0%
1 play
100%
1 play
50%
2 plays
4th

North Dakota State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
46%
28 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
50%
6 plays
46%
13 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play