Skip to main content
← Back to GamesSep 9, 2023Week 2

House Prediction

Model Margin

North Dakota State by 30.7

Home Win Probability

North Dakota State 95%

Market (Caesars Sportsbook (Colorado))

North Dakota State -35.5

Edge: Maine +35.5 (4.8 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 9, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Maine
00077
North Dakota StateNorth Dakota State
610141444

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428423-06-09-023-030-037-744-7
North Dakota StateMaine

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MAINDSMAINDSMAINDSMAINDSMAINDSMAINDSMAINDSMAINDSMAINDSMAINDSMAINDSMAITO3-1ydFG45ydPUNT39ydPUNT30ydTO612ydFG51ydPUNT514ydDOWNS1082ydPUNT39ydFG1140ydPUNT30ydTD648ydMISS847ydTD1275ydDOWNS520ydDOWNS722ydTO10ydTD530ydDOWNS529ydTD259ydTD1289ydTD959ydEND15yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Maine and North Dakota State
StatisticMaineNorth Dakota State
Passing18-2917-24
Pass Yards117192
Rush Yards106264
Total Yards223456
Turnovers40
3rd Down3-117-15
Penalties6-469-90
Possession24:5135:09

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Maine
passing
Derek Robertson
18/29, 117 YDS, 3 INT
rushing
Tristen Kenan
14 CAR, 53 YDS
receiving
Jamie Lamson
6 REC, 42 YDS
North Dakota State
passing
Cam Miller
14/19, 152 YDS
rushing
Cole Payton
8 CAR, 102 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Zach Mathis
4 REC, 62 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Tristen Kenan run for 1 yd to the ME 21

2nd & 9Penalty-5 yds

Maine Penalty, False Start (Rohan Jones) to the ME 16

2nd & 14Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.17

Derek Robertson pass complete to Tristen Kenan for a loss of 3 yards to the ME 13

3rd & 17Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Derek Robertson pass complete to Rohan Jones for 6 yds Rohan Jones fumbled, recovered by NDSU Marcus Sheppard

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

TaMerik Williams run for 3 yds to the ME 11

2nd & 7Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.65

run for a loss of 4 yards to the ME 15

3rd & 11Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.12

Cam Miller pass complete to Jake Lippe for 6 yds to the ME 9

4th & 5Field Goal Good+27 yds

Griffin Crosa 27 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Derek Robertson pass complete to Jamie Lamson for 5 yds to the ME 32

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.68

John Gay run for 1 yd to the ME 33

3rd & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Derek Robertson pass complete to Joe Gillette for 3 yds to the ME 36

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Aidan Cadogan punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Jayden Price at the NDSU 21

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.59

TK Marshall run for no gain to the NDSU 21

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Cam Miller pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Cam Miller pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Kaedin Steindorf punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Joe Gillette at the ME 35

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Tristen Kenan run for 6 yds to the ME 41

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.95

Tristen Kenan run for 1 yd to the ME 42

3rd & 3Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +1.52

Derek Robertson pass complete to Montigo Moss for 3 yds to the ME 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Derek Robertson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Tristen Kenan run for 2 yds to the ME 47

3rd & 8Interception0 ydsPPA -0.99

Derek Robertson pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.32

Barika Kpeenu run for 1 yd to the ME 22

2nd & 9Penalty+5 yds

QB Keeper MILLER, Cam rush to the left for a gain of 5 yards to the UMA17 (HOLMES, Xavier). PENALTY UMA Offsides on HOLMES, Xavier enforced 5 yards from the UMA22 to the UMA17 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Cam Miller run for 3 yds to the ME 14

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.11

TaMerik Williams run for 14 yds North Dakota State Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the ME 22

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Cam Miller pass incomplete

4th & 9Field Goal Good+40 yds

Griffin Crosa 40 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Derek Robertson pass complete to Montigo Moss for 7 yds to the ME 42

2nd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.53

Derek Robertson run for 6 yds to the ME 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.60

Tristen Kenan run for a loss of 2 yards to the ME 46

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Derek Robertson pass incomplete

3rd & 12Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Derek Robertson pass complete to Jamie Lamson for 3 yds to the ME 49

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Aidan Cadogan punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Jayden Price at the NDSU 17

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Maine Penalty, Personal Foul (Shakur Smalls) to the NDSU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.17

Cam Miller pass complete to Zach Mathis for 21 yds to the ME 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.24

RaJa Nelson run for 12 yds to the ME 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

North Dakota State Penalty, Personal Foul (Eli Green) to the ME 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Cam Miller run for 4 yds to the ME 13

2nd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.91

Cam Miller pass complete to Owen Johnson for 9 yds to the ME 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Cam Miller run for 3 yds to the ME 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Cam Miller run for no gain to the ME 1

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Cam Miller run for no gain to the ME 1

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -4.21

TK Marshall run for no gain to the ME 1

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Tristen Kenan run for 2 yds to the ME 3

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.06

Tristen Kenan run for 3 yds to the ME 6

3rd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Derek Robertson pass complete to Joe Gillette for 4 yds to the ME 10

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Aidan Cadogan punt for 42 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Eli Green run for 1 yd to the NDSU 48

2nd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Cam Miller pass complete to RaJa Nelson for 7 yds to the ME 45

3rd & 2Penalty-5 yds

North Dakota State Penalty, False Start (Cam Miller) to the 50 yard line

3rd & 7Rush+10 ydsPPA +2.44

Cam Miller run for 10 yds to the ME 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Cole Payton pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Cam Miller run for 3 yds to the ME 37

3rd & 7Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.67

Cam Miller pass complete to Zach Mathis for 11 yds to the ME 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.17

Cam Miller pass complete to Joe Stoffel for 12 yds to the ME 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

MILLER, Cam pass short to the left complete for 8 yards to MATHIS, Zach caught at the UMA11 and advanced to the UMA6 (GIBSON, Jamaree). PENALTY NDS Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on KUBAS, Jake enforced 5 yards from the UMA14 to the UMA19 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Cam Miller pass incomplete

2nd & 15Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.11

TK Marshall run for 6 yds to the ME 13

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Cam Miller pass incomplete

4th & 9Field Goal Good+31 yds

Griffin Crosa 31 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

John Gay run for a loss of 1 yard to the ME 24

2nd & 11Penalty-5 yds

Maine Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ME 19

2nd & 16Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.06

Derek Robertson pass complete to Cooper Heisey for 3 yds to the ME 22

3rd & 13Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.04

Derek Robertson pass complete to John Gay for 3 yds to the ME 25

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Aidan Cadogan punt for 23 yds, downed at the ME 48

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

RaJa Nelson run for 2 yds to the ME 46

2nd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.28

Cam Miller pass complete to Zach Mathis for 10 yds to the ME 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.36

Cam Miller run for 14 yds to the ME 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

TaMerik Williams run for 5 yds to the ME 17

2nd & 5Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.38

Cam Miller run for 10 yds to the ME 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Penalty+5 yds

MILLER, Cam pass to the right incomplete intended for MATHIS, Zach thrown to the UMA0. PENALTY UMA Pass Interference on KAMARA, Alhaji enforced 5 yards to the UMA2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Cam Miller run for 2 yds for a TD (Griffin Crosa KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Derek Robertson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Derek Robertson pass complete to Jamie Lamson for 3 yds to the ME 28

3rd & 7Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.18

Derek Robertson pass complete to Joe Gillette for 12 yds to the ME 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Derek Robertson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

Derek Robertson pass incomplete

3rd & 10Penalty+15 yds

ROBERTSON, Derek pass deep to the left incomplete intended for MOSS, Montigo thrown to the NDS35. PENALTY NDS Pass Interference on SHEPPARD, Marcus enforced 15 yards to the NDS45 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.73

Derek Robertson pass complete to Tristen Kenan for 8 yds to the NDSU 37

2nd & 2Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA -0.02

Derek Robertson pass complete to Jamie Lamson for 9 yds to the NDSU 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Field Goal Missed+46 yds

Cody Williams 46 yd FG MISSED

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Cam Miller pass complete to Jake Lippe for 11 yds to the NDSU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Cam Miller pass complete to Bryce Lance for 7 yds to the NDSU 43

2nd & 3Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.96

Cam Miller pass complete to Eli Green for 12 yds to the ME 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.57

TK Marshall run for 12 yds to the ME 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.22

TK Marshall run for 6 yds to the ME 27

2nd & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.07

Cam Miller pass complete to RaJa Nelson for 8 yds to the ME 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Cam Miller pass complete to Joe Stoffel for 5 yds to the ME 14

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Cam Miller run for 2 yds to the ME 12

3rd & 3Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.06

Cam Miller run for 8 yds to the ME 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Penalty-5 yds

North Dakota State Penalty, False Start (Jake Kubas) to the ME 9

1st & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Cam Miller run for 3 yds to the ME 6

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Cam Miller run for 5 yds to the ME 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Cam Miller run for 1 yd for a TD (Griffin Crosa KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.95

Derek Robertson pass complete to Tristen Kenan for 23 yds to the NDSU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.47

Tristen Kenan run for 7 yds to the NDSU 35

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Derek Robertson pass incomplete

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Derek Robertson pass incomplete

4th & 3Interception0 ydsPPA -2.26

Derek Robertson pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.04

Cole Payton run for 14 yds to the ME 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.67

TK Marshall run for 1 yd to the ME 40

2nd & 9Rush+30 ydsPPA +1.40

Cole Payton run for 40 yds North Dakota State Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jalen Sundell) to the ME 49

2nd & 18Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.59

Cole Payton run for 17 yds to the ME 32

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

Cole Payton pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Cole Payton pass incomplete

4th & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -1.90

Kaedin Steindorf run for 3 yds to the ME 33

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -1.57

Derek Robertson pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +0.30

Cole Payton pass complete to Zach Mathis for 20 yds to the ME 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

TaMerik Williams run for 7 yds to the ME 3

2nd & 3Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.61

Cole Payton run for a loss of 3 yards to the ME 6

3rd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Cole Payton run for 4 yds to the ME 2

4th & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.85

Cole Payton run for 2 yds for a TD (Griffin Crosa KICK)

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +2.01

John Gay run for 22 yds to the NDSU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

John Gay run for 3 yds to the NDSU 46

2nd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.35

John Gay run for a loss of 1 yard to the NDSU 47

3rd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Derek Robertson pass complete to Jamie Lamson for 5 yds to the NDSU 42

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.58

Derek Robertson pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.52

TaMerik Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the NDSU 39

2nd & 12Rushing Touchdown+61 ydsPPA +6.18

Cole Payton run for 61 yds for a TD (Griffin Crosa KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Tristen Kenan run for 5 yds to the ME 16

2nd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.42

Derek Robertson pass complete to Braeden Heald for 6 yds to the ME 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.56

Tristen Kenan run for 7 yds to the ME 29

2nd & 3Penalty+15 yds

North Dakota State Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the ME 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.41

Derek Robertson sacked by Marcus Gulley for a loss of 7 yards to the ME 39

2nd & 17Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Tristen Kenan run for 7 yds to the ME 46

3rd & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +3.23

Derek Robertson pass complete to Jamie Lamson for 17 yds to the NDSU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.59

Tristen Kenan run for 8 yds to the NDSU 29

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.24

Tristen Kenan run for 4 yds to the NDSU 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

John Gay run for 3 yds to the NDSU 22

2nd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.30

John Gay run for 9 yds to the NDSU 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.54

John Gay run for 13 yds for a TD (Cody Williams KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Barika Kpeenu run for 6 yds to the NDSU 47

2nd & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.78

Cole Payton pass complete to Finn Diggins for 8 yds to the ME 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +0.74

Barika Kpeenu run for 18 yds to the ME 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Owen Johnson run for 3 yds to the ME 24

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Barika Kpeenu run for 3 yds to the ME 21

3rd & 4Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.64

Cole Payton pass complete to Chris Harris for 12 yds to the ME 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.36

Barika Kpeenu run for 7 yds to the ME 2

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Barika Kpeenu run for 1 yd to the ME 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Owen Johnson run for 1 yd for a TD (Griffin Crosa KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Symon Sathler run for 5 yds to the ME 30

Situational Analysis

Maine

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
52%
23 plays
2nd
25%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
17%
6 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
75%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
0%
2 plays

North Dakota State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
59%
27 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
25%
4 plays
71%
7 plays
43%
7 plays
100%
3 plays
3rd
67%
6 plays
33%
3 plays
40%
5 plays
100%
1 play
4th
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play