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← Back to GamesOct 14, 2023Week 7
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

North Dakota State by 9.1

Home Win Probability

North Dakota 29%

Market (William Hill (New Jersey))

North Dakota +7

Edge: North Dakota State -7 (2.1 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 14, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
North Dakota StateNorth Dakota State
7100724
North Dakota
21771449

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-714-721-1021-1728-1735-1742-1749-24
North DakotaNorth Dakota State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NDSNDNDSNDNDSNDNDSNDNDSNDNDSNDNDSNDNDSNDNDSTD975ydTD873ydPUNT32ydTD435ydFG658ydPUNT3-4ydTD1167ydTD975ydTO952ydTD423ydPUNT30ydTD1563ydDOWNS640ydTD365ydTD1075ydDOWNS48ydEND18yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing North Dakota State and North Dakota
StatisticNorth Dakota StateNorth Dakota
Passing13-199-12
Pass Yards214113
Rush Yards150215
Total Yards364328
Turnovers10
3rd Down5-127-11
Penalties4-203-23
Possession31:5128:09

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

North Dakota State
passing
Cam Miller
11/16, 175 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Cam Miller
9 CAR, 48 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Eli Green
4 REC, 96 YDS
North Dakota
passing
Tommy Schuster
9/12, 113 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Gaven Ziebarth
18 CAR, 156 YDS, 3 TD
receiving
Bo Belquist
2 REC, 41 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

0th & 0Kickoff Return Touchdown+100 yds

Luke Skokna 100 Yd Kickoff Return (C.J. Elrichs Kick)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Cam Miller run for 4 yds to the NDSU 44

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

North Dakota Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Kadon Kauppinen) to the NDSU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Cam Miller run for 4 yds to the NDSU 44

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

TaMerik Williams run for 5 yds to the NDSU 49

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.05

Cam Miller run for 2 yds to the UND 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

TK Marshall run for 3 yds to the UND 46

2nd & 7Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.20

Cam Miller pass complete to Zach Mathis for 12 yds to the UND 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Barika Kpeenu run for 4 yds to the UND 30

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Cole Payton run for 4 yds to the UND 26

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+26 ydsPPA +3.07

Cam Miller run for 26 yds for a TD (Griffin Crosa KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.95

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Isaiah Smith for 8 yds to the UND 35

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.95

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Isaiah Smith for 8 yds to the UND 35

2nd & 2Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.61

Isaiah Smith run for 9 yds to the UND 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Isaiah Smith run for 4 yds to the UND 48

2nd & 6Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.99

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Caden Dennis for 6 yds to the NDSU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +0.99

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Wesley Eliodor for 31 yds to the NDSU 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.61

Gaven Ziebarth run for 9 yds to the NDSU 6

2nd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.06

run for 1 yd to the NDSU 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Gaven Ziebarth run for 5 yds for a TD (C.J. Elrichs KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

TaMerik Williams run for 3 yds to the NDSU 31

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

TaMerik Williams run for 3 yds to the NDSU 31

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Cam Miller pass complete to RaJa Nelson for 5 yds to the NDSU 36

3rd & 2Rush-6 ydsPPA -1.09

Cole Payton run for a loss of 6 yards to the NDSU 30

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

North Dakota State Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the NDSU 30

1st & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.50

Gaven Ziebarth run for 6 yds to the NDSU 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Tommy Schuster pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.58

Gaven Ziebarth run for 11 yds to the NDSU 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.54

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Luke Skokna for 13 yds for a TD (C.J. Elrichs KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.67

Cam Miller pass complete to Zach Mathis for no gain to the NDSU 24

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.67

Cam Miller pass complete to Zach Mathis for no gain to the NDSU 24

2nd & 10Pass Reception+53 ydsPPA +4.15

Cam Miller pass complete to Zach Mathis for 53 yds to the UND 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Cam Miller pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

TaMerik Williams run for 1 yd to the UND 22

3rd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

TaMerik Williams run for 4 yds to the UND 18

4th & 5Field Goal Good+36 yds

Griffin Crosa 36 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Isaiah Smith run for 2 yds to the UND 37

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Tommy Schuster pass incomplete

3rd & 8Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.64

Tommy Schuster sacked by Jake Kava for a loss of 6 yards to the UND 31

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Luke Silvernale punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Jayden Price at the NDSU 33

4th & 8Punt0 yds

punt for 5 yds

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-5 ydsPPA -1.52

RaJa Nelson run for a loss of 5 yards to the NDSU 28 RaJa Nelson fumbled, recovered by NDSU RaJa Nelson

2nd & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.21

Cam Miller run for 1 yd to the NDSU 29

3rd & 14Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.98

Cam Miller pass complete to Eli Green for 17 yds to the NDSU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

TaMerik Williams run for 3 yds to the NDSU 49

2nd & 7Pass Reception+37 ydsPPA +2.06

Cam Miller pass complete to Eli Green for 37 yds to the UND 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Barika Kpeenu run for 3 yds to the UND 11

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Cam Miller run for 3 yds to the UND 8

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Cole Payton run for 2 yds to the UND 6

4th & 2Penalty0 yds

North Dakota Penalty, Offsides (Jeffrey Griffin Jr.) to the UND 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

TaMerik Williams run for 2 yds to the UND 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

TaMerik Williams run for no gain to the UND 1

3rd & 1Passing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Cam Miller pass complete to Joe Stoffel for 1 yd for a TD (Griffin Crosa KICK)

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

SCHUSTER, Tommy pass to the right complete for 32 yards to BELQUIST, Bo caught at the UND31 and advanced to the NDS43 (JONES, Ryan). PENALTY NDS Sideline Interference enforced 5 yards from the NDS43 to the NDS38 and results in a 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Gaven Ziebarth run for 1 yd to the NDSU 37

2nd & 9Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.74

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Wesley Eliodor for 1 yd to the NDSU 36

3rd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Gaven Ziebarth run for 6 yds to the NDSU 30

4th & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.47

Gaven Ziebarth run for 6 yds to the NDSU 24 for a 1ST down

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Isaiah Smith run for 1 yd to the NDSU 4

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.54

Tommy Schuster run for a loss of 1 yard to the NDSU 25

2nd & 11Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.68

Isaiah Smith run for 12 yds to the NDSU 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Isaiah Smith for 8 yds to the NDSU 5

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.48

Luke Skokna run for 4 yds for a TD (C.J. Elrichs KICK)

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Cam Miller run for 6 yds to the NDSU 25

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

TK Marshall run for 3 yds to the NDSU 28

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.10

TK Marshall run for 6 yds to the NDSU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Cam Miller run for 8 yds to the NDSU 42

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.03

Owen Johnson run for 3 yds to the NDSU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +1.49

Cam Miller pass complete to Eli Green for 26 yds to the UND 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.35

Barika Kpeenu run for 7 yds to the UND 22

2nd & 3Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.62

Cam Miller sacked by Ben McNaboe for a loss of 7 yards to the UND 29

3rd & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -2.95

Cam Miller pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Gaven Ziebarth run for 2 yds to the NDSU 21

2nd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Gaven Ziebarth for 5 yds to the NDSU 16

3rd & 3Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.64

Gaven Ziebarth run for 9 yds to the NDSU 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.20

Gaven Ziebarth run for 7 yds for a TD (C.J. Elrichs KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

North Dakota State Penalty, False Start (Brandon Westberg) to the NDSU 20

1st & 15Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Barika Kpeenu run for no gain to the NDSU 20

2nd & 15Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Cam Miller run for 5 yds to the NDSU 25

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Cam Miller pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Kaedin Steindorf punt for 48 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Tommy Schuster pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.01

Gaven Ziebarth run for 9 yds to the UND 46

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.10

run for 2 yds to the UND 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Gaven Ziebarth run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.61

Luke Skokna run for 7 yds to the NDSU 43

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.19

Luke Skokna run for no gain to the NDSU 43

4th & 1Penalty+5 yds

North Dakota State Penalty, Offsides (Eli Mostaert) to the NDSU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Gaven Ziebarth run for 3 yds to the NDSU 35

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Simon Romfo run for 3 yds to the NDSU 32

3rd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.88

Gaven Ziebarth run for 5 yds to the NDSU 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Tommy Schuster run for 1 yd to the NDSU 26

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.62

Simon Romfo run for no gain to the NDSU 26

3rd & 9Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.22

Gaven Ziebarth run for 15 yds to the NDSU 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Simon Romfo run for 2 yds to the NDSU 9

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.28

Gaven Ziebarth run for no gain to the NDSU 9

3rd & 8Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.97

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Bo Belquist for 9 yds for a TD (C.J. Elrichs KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.42

Cam Miller pass complete to Eli Green for 16 yds to the NDSU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.25

TK Marshall run for 15 yds to the UND 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Cam Miller pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Barika Kpeenu run for 1 yd to the UND 43

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

Cam Miller pass incomplete

4th & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA -0.83

Cam Miller pass complete to Braylon Henderson for 8 yds to the UND 35

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Gaven Ziebarth run for 1 yd to the UND 36

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Isaiah Smith run for 5 yds to the UND 41

3rd & 4Rushing Touchdown+59 ydsPPA +6.01

Gaven Ziebarth run for 59 yds for a TD (C.J. Elrichs KICK)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

TaMerik Williams run for 9 yds to the NDSU 34

2nd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

TaMerik Williams run for 1 yd to the NDSU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.06

Cole Payton run for 11 yds to the NDSU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.92

TK Marshall run for 8 yds to the UND 46

2nd & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.17

Cole Payton run for 8 yds to the UND 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +1.21

Cole Payton pass complete to Braylon Henderson for 33 yds to the UND 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.79

Barika Kpeenu run for a loss of 3 yards to the UND 8

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Cole Payton pass incomplete

3rd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Cole Payton run for 2 yds to the UND 6

4th & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +3.13

Cole Payton pass complete to Jake Lippe for 6 yds for a TD (Griffin Crosa KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Donavan Hunt run for no gain to the UND 25

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.39

Donavan Hunt run for a loss of 1 yard to the UND 24

3rd & 11Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.06

Grant Romfo run for 6 yds to the UND 30

4th & 5Penalty-5 yds

North Dakota Penalty, Delay Of Game (-5 Yards) to the UND 25

4th & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.29

Grant Romfo run for 8 yds to the UND 33

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.54

TaMerik Williams run for 8 yds to the UND 25

Situational Analysis

North Dakota State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
46%
24 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
40%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
50%
8 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
80%
5 plays
0%
1 play
0%
5 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play

North Dakota

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
35%
20 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
100%
1 play
45%
11 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
75%
4 plays
100%
2 plays
75%
4 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play