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← Back to GamesNov 18, 2023Week 12
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Youngstown State by 21.5

Home Win Probability

Murray State 11%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Nov 18, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Youngstown State
7137734
Murray State
737017

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-77-710-710-1310-2010-2717-2717-34
Murray StateYoungstown State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20YSMSYSMSYSMSYSMSYSMSYSMSMSYSMSYSMSYSMSYSMSYSTD1075ydTD567ydPUNT636ydPUNT310ydMISS722ydFG661ydPUNT519ydPUNT34ydTD755ydTO10ydTD319ydEND210ydMISS844ydTD1269ydTD875ydDOWNS935ydDOWNS46ydPUNT3-7ydPUNT33ydTD428ydDOWNS941ydEND434yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Youngstown State and Murray State
StatisticYoungstown StateMurray State
Passing23-2614-32
Pass Yards156257
Rush Yards20649
Total Yards362306
Turnovers01
3rd Down7-142-9
Penalties1-153-33
Possession39:3720:23

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Youngstown State
passing
Mitch Davidson
23/26, 156 YDS, 4 TD
rushing
Tyshon King
23 CAR, 152 YDS
receiving
Bryce Oliver
8 REC, 74 YDS, 2 TD
Murray State
passing
Jayden Stinson
12/30, 245 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Jawaun Northington
11 CAR, 47 YDS
receiving
Cole Rusk
4 REC, 94 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Tyshon King run for 3 yds to the YSU 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.37

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Bryce Oliver for 20 yds to the YSU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Brandan Serrano for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 8Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.65

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Max Tomczak for 2 yds to the MUR 48

3rd & 6Rush+10 ydsPPA +2.22

Dra Rushton run for 10 yds to the MUR 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.37

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Dra Rushton for 12 yds to the MUR 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Mitch Davidson pass complete to C.J. Charleston for 6 yds to the MUR 20

2nd & 4Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.01

Tyshon King run for 10 yds to the MUR 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Bryce Oliver for 3 yds to the MUR 7

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.61

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Colt Sechrest for 7 yds for a TD (Andrew Lastovka KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+68 yds

Clay Medvec kickoff for 59 yds , Golden Eke return for 68 yds to the MUR 33

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Jawaun Northington run for 4 yds to the MUR 37

2nd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Jayden Stinson pass complete to Michael Fox for 4 yds to the MUR 41

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Jayden Stinson pass incomplete

4th & 2Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.96

Eric Phoenix pass complete to Ben Williamson for 12 yds to the YSU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+47 ydsPPA +3.61

Jayden Stinson pass complete to Cole Rusk for 47 yds for a TD (Matt Maldonado KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Dra Rushton run for 2 yds to the YSU 22

2nd & 8Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Dra Rushton for 3 yds to the YSU 25

3rd & 5Penalty+10 yds

Murray State Penalty, Defensive Holding (Nick Walker) to the MUR 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.28

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Luke Hensley for a loss of 1 yard to the MUR 48

2nd & 11Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.20

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Luke Hensley for a loss of 1 yard to the MUR 49

3rd & 12Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Bryce Oliver for 5 yds to the MUR 44

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Brendon Kilpatrick punt for 43 yds, downed at the MUR 1

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Mitch Davidson run for 8 yds to the MUR 9

2nd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Jawaun Northington run for 2 yds to the MUR 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.37

Eric Phoenix pass complete to Michael Fox for no gain to the MUR 11

2nd & 10Punt0 yds

Orion Phillips punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Max Tomczak at the YSU 47

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Tyshon King run for 4 yds to the MUR 49

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Mitch Davidson pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.44

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Max Tomczak for 14 yds to the MUR 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Mitch Davidson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Tyshon King run for 4 yds to the MUR 31

3rd & 6Fumble Recovery (Own)0 ydsPPA -0.96

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Max Tomczak for no gain Max Tomczak fumbled, recovered by YSU C.J. Charleston [NHSG] DAVIDSON, Mitch pass to the right complete for 0 yards to TOMCZAK, Max caught at the MUR33, TOMCZAK, Max fumbled at MUR33 forced by WILLIAMS, Malachi, recovered by YSU CHARLESTON, CJ at the MUR31, returned 0 yards to the MUR31, End of Play.

4th & 6Field Goal Missed+48 yds

Andrew Lastovka 48 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +2.67

Jayden Stinson pass complete to Taylor Shields for 35 yds to the YSU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +0.41

Jayden Stinson pass complete to Michael Fox for 23 yds to the YSU 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Jawaun Northington run for 3 yds to the YSU 8

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Jayden Stinson pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Jayden Stinson pass incomplete

4th & 7Field Goal Good+26 yds

Matt Maldonado 26 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Dra Rushton run for 7 yds to the YSU 40

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.36

Dra Rushton run for 4 yds to the YSU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Dra Rushton run for 5 yds to the YSU 49

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.44

Dra Rushton run for 3 yds to the MUR 48

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.13

Dra Rushton run for no gain to the MUR 48

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Brendon Kilpatrick punt for 48 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jayden Stinson pass complete to Cole Rusk for 5 yds to the MUR 25

2nd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.69

DJ Escort run for a loss of 1 yard to the MUR 24

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Jayden Stinson pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Orion Phillips punt for 31 yds

1st & 10Rush+25 ydsPPA +1.46

Tyshon King run for 25 yds to the MUR 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Tyshon King run for 4 yds to the MUR 26

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.60

Tyshon King run for no gain to the MUR 26

3rd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.86

Mitch Davidson run for 7 yds to the MUR 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.28

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Bryce Oliver for 11 yds to the MUR 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Tyshon King run for 5 yds to the MUR 3

2nd & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Brandan Serrano for 3 yds for a TD (Andrew Lastovka PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Pass Interception Return+23 ydsPPA -0.92

Jayden Stinson pass intercepted Marcus Hooker return for 23 yds to the MUR 19

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.36

Dra Rushton run for no gain to the MUR 19

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Mitch Davidson pass complete to C.J. Charleston for 5 yds to the MUR 14

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.93

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Bryce Oliver for 14 yds for a TD (Andrew Lastovka KICK)

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.63

Jawaun Northington run for 10 yds to the MUR 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.80

Jawaun Northington run for no gain to the MUR 28

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +2.60

Jayden Stinson pass complete to Jacob Bell for 30 yds to the YSU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Jayden Stinson run for 6 yds to the YSU 39

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Jawaun Northington run for 3 yds to the YSU 36

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.56

Jawaun Northington run for 2 yds to the YSU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Jayden Stinson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Jayden Stinson pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Jayden Stinson run for 3 yds to the YSU 31

4th & 7Field Goal Missed+49 yds

Matt Maldonado 49 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.84

Tyshon King run for 20 yds to the MUR 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.86

Tyshon King run for 1 yd to the MUR 48

2nd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.52

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Bryce Oliver for 10 yds to the MUR 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Tyshon King run for 5 yds to the MUR 33

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Dra Rushton run for 4 yds to the MUR 29

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.86

Dra Rushton run for no gain to the MUR 29

4th & 1Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.33

Tyshon King run for 9 yds to the MUR 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Dra Rushton run for 5 yds to the MUR 15

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Dra Rushton run for 3 yds to the MUR 12

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.42

Dra Rushton run for no gain to the MUR 12

4th & 2Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.63

Dra Rushton run for 9 yds to the MUR 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Dra Rushton run for 3 yds for a TD (Andrew Lastovka KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jawaun Northington run for 5 yds to the MUR 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.61

Jayden Stinson pass complete to Jacob Bell for 14 yds to the MUR 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Jayden Stinson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +2.90

Jayden Stinson pass complete to Cole Rusk for 35 yds to the YSU 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Jawaun Northington run for 2 yds to the YSU 19

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Jayden Stinson pass incomplete

3rd & 8Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.85

Jawaun Northington run for 10 yds to the YSU 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.42

Jayden Stinson pass complete to Michael Fox for 9 yds for a TD (Matt Maldonado KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.35

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Bryce Oliver for 9 yds to the YSU 39

2nd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.06

Tyshon King run for 6 yds to the YSU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Mitch Davidson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Tyshon King run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.95

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Max Tomczak for 6 yds to the MUR 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Max Tomczak for 6 yds to the MUR 38

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Tyshon King run for 2 yds to the MUR 36

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Tyshon King run for 1 yd to the MUR 35

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -2.53

Tyshon King run for no gain to the MUR 35

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Jayden Stinson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Jawaun Northington run for 6 yds to the MUR 41

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Jayden Stinson pass incomplete

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Jayden Stinson pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Dra Rushton run for 3 yds to the MUR 38

2nd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.19

Dra Rushton run for a loss of 1 yard to the MUR 39

3rd & 8Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.24

Mitch Davidson sacked by Sam Williams for a loss of 9 yards to the MUR 48

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Brendon Kilpatrick punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Michael Fox at the MUR 7

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Jayden Stinson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.06

Jayden Stinson run for 3 yds to the MUR 10

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

Jayden Stinson pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Orion Phillips punt for 45 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Tyshon King run for 2 yds to the MUR 26

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Tyshon King run for 7 yds to the MUR 19

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.17

Tyshon King run for 4 yds to the MUR 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+13 yds

DAVIDSON, Mitch pass to the right incomplete intended for OLIVER, Bryce thrown to the MUR0. PENALTY MUR Pass Interference on WILLIFORD, Caldra enforced 13 yards to the MUR2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Bryce Oliver for 2 yds for a TD (Andrew Lastovka KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+62 yds

Clay Medvec kickoff for 62 yds , return for no gain to the MUR 10 , Jayson Coley return for no gain to the MUR 10

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.38

Jayden Stinson pass complete to Cole Rusk for 7 yds to the MUR 17

2nd & 3Penalty+15 yds

STINSON, Jayden pass deep to the right incomplete intended for SHIELDS, Taylor thrown to the MUR40. PENALTY YSU Pass Interference on BLAKE, Ezekiel enforced 15 yards to the MUR32 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Jayden Stinson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.97

Jayden Stinson pass complete to Jawaun Northington for 23 yds to the YSU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Jayden Stinson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.60

Jayden Stinson pass complete to Parker Perry for 13 yds to the YSU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -2.54

Jayden Stinson sacked by Dawan Martin for a loss of 10 yards to the YSU 42

2nd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Jayden Stinson pass incomplete

3rd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Jayden Stinson pass incomplete

4th & 20Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.14

Jayden Stinson sacked by Deamontae Diggs for a loss of 7 yards to the YSU 49

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Tyshon King run for 3 yds to the MUR 48

2nd & 7Rush+32 ydsPPA +1.75

Tyshon King run for 32 yds to the MUR 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Tyshon King run for no gain to the MUR 16

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.38

[NH] Kneel down by DAVIDSON, Mitch at MUR17 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

Youngstown State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
2 plays
44%
27 plays
2nd
100%
3 plays
14%
7 plays
58%
12 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
20%
5 plays
83%
6 plays
0%
1 play
100%
1 play
4th
67%
3 plays

Murray State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
46%
24 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
25%
4 plays
50%
8 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
50%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
0%
1 play