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← Back to GamesNov 4, 2023Week 10
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

North Dakota by 17.3

Home Win Probability

Murray State 15%

Market (ESPN Bet)

Murray State +19.5

Edge: Murray State +19.5 (2.2 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 4, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
North Dakota
101471445
Murray State
01071431

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-70-100-173-1710-2417-3124-3831-3831-45
Murray StateNorth Dakota

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NDMSNDMSNDMSNDMSNDMSNDMSNDMSNDMSNDMSNDTD975ydPUNT528ydFG1478ydPUNT31ydTD761ydFG1064ydTD375ydTD1075ydEND1-1ydPUNT36ydTD569ydTD975ydPUNT613ydTD684ydTD775ydTD1175ydTD342ydDOWNS935ydEND620yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing North Dakota and Murray State
StatisticNorth DakotaMurray State
Passing18-2319-36
Pass Yards279228
Rush Yards228151
Total Yards507379
Turnovers00
3rd Down9-113-11
Penalties5-742-15
Possession32:1827:42

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

North Dakota
passing
Tommy Schuster
18/23, 279 YDS, 5 TD
rushing
Isaiah Smith
21 CAR, 153 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Bo Belquist
6 REC, 84 YDS
Murray State
passing
DJ Williams
19/36, 228 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Jawaun Northington
17 CAR, 89 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Michael Fox
7 REC, 87 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Isaiah Smith run for 5 yds to the UND 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +2.57

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Bo Belquist for 26 yds to the MUR 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Isaiah Smith run for 5 yds to the MUR 39

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.38

Luke Skokna run for 5 yds to the MUR 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.30

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Nick Kupfer for 13 yds to the MUR 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.11

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Caden Dennis for 10 yds to the MUR 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29

Isaiah Smith run for no gain to the MUR 11

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Tommy Schuster pass incomplete

3rd & 10Passing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +3.11

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Jack Wright for 11 yds for a TD (C.J. Elrichs KICK)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.94

Jawaun Northington run for 9 yds to the MUR 23

2nd & 1Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.97

DJ Williams pass complete to Jacob Bell for 17 yds to the MUR 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Jawaun Northington run for 2 yds to the MUR 42

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.93

Jawaun Northington run for no gain to the MUR 42

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

DJ Williams pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Orion Phillips punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Luke Skokna at the UND 19

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.20

Isaiah Smith run for 16 yds to the UND 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Wesley Eliodor for 6 yds to the UND 41

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Isaiah Smith run for no gain to the UND 41

3rd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.91

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Caden Dennis for 6 yds to the UND 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.25

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Bo Belquist for 22 yds to the MUR 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Tommy Schuster pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.47

Luke Skokna run for 8 yds to the MUR 23

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.35

Luke Skokna run for 4 yds to the MUR 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Luke Skokna run for 3 yds to the MUR 16

2nd & 7Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.84

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Bo Belquist for 11 yds to the MUR 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Isaiah Smith run for 3 yds to the MUR 2

2nd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.56

Isaiah Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the MUR 3

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Tommy Schuster pass incomplete

4th & 3Field Goal Good+20 yds

C.J. Elrichs 20 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Kylan Galbreath run for 1 yd to the MUR 26

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

DJ Williams pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

DJ Williams pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Orion Phillips punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Bo Belquist at the UND 39

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.30

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Isaiah Smith for a loss of 1 yard to the UND 38

2nd & 11Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.71

Sawyer Seidl run for 8 yds to the UND 46

3rd & 3Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.35

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Bo Belquist for 16 yds to the MUR 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -2.05

Tommy Schuster sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the MUR 44

2nd & 16Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.50

Isaiah Smith run for 7 yds to the MUR 37

3rd & 9Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.00

Tommy Schuster run for 15 yds to the MUR 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+22 ydsPPA +2.65

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Nick Kupfer for 22 yds for a TD (C.J. Elrichs KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

DJ Williams pass complete to Q'Daryius Jennings for 4 yds to the MUR 29

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

DJ Williams run for 2 yds to the MUR 31

3rd & 4Rush+22 ydsPPA +3.00

DJ Williams run for 22 yds to the UND 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.77

Q'Daryius Jennings run for 8 yds to the UND 39

2nd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.06

Jawaun Northington run for 6 yds to the UND 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jawaun Northington run for 5 yds to the UND 28

2nd & 5Penalty0 yds

WILLIAMS, DJ pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for RUSK, Cole thrown to the UND10. PENALTY UND Pass Interference on PEDIGO, Wyatt enforced half the distance from the goal, 14 yards to the UND14 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Jawaun Northington run for 2 yds to the UND 12

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Q'Daryius Jennings run for 1 yd to the UND 11

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

DJ Williams pass incomplete

4th & 7Field Goal Good+28 yds

Matt Maldonado 28 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Isaiah Smith run for 6 yds to the UND 31

2nd & 4Rush+22 ydsPPA +2.13

Sawyer Seidl run for 22 yds to the MUR 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+47 ydsPPA +3.61

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Wesley Eliodor for 47 yds for a TD (C.J. Elrichs KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jawaun Northington run for 5 yds to the MUR 30

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.74

Jawaun Northington run for 5 yds to the MUR 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.77

DJ Williams pass complete to Jacob Bell for 20 yds to the UND 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

DJ Williams run for 1 yd to the UND 44

2nd & 9Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.63

DJ Williams pass complete to Michael Fox for 24 yds to the UND 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.31

DJ Williams sacked by Antonio Bluiett for a loss of 8 yards to the UND 28

2nd & 18Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.47

DJ Williams pass complete to Michael Fox for 8 yds to the UND 20

3rd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.26

DJ Williams pass complete to Jacob Bell for 7 yds to the UND 13

4th & 3Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.15

DJ Williams pass complete to Michael Fox for 7 yds to the UND 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

DJ Williams pass complete to Taylor Shields for 6 yds for a TD (Matt Maldonado KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

[NH] Kneel down by SCHUSTER, Tommy at UND24 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

DJ Williams pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.29

DJ Williams pass complete to Kylan Galbreath for 1 yd to the MUR 26

3rd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.02

DJ Williams pass complete to Jacob Bell for 5 yds to the MUR 31

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Orion Phillips punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Bo Belquist at the UND 31

1st & 10Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +2.60

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Korey Tai for 33 yds to the MUR 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Isaiah Smith run for 6 yds to the MUR 30

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.39

Isaiah Smith run for 2 yds to the MUR 28

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.48

Sawyer Seidl run for 4 yds to the MUR 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+24 ydsPPA +2.68

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Nick Kupfer for 24 yds for a TD (C.J. Elrichs KICK)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Jawaun Northington run for 8 yds to the MUR 33

2nd & 2Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.33

DJ Williams run for 17 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.35

DJ Williams pass complete to Michael Fox for 6 yds to the UND 44

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.31

DJ Williams run for 4 yds to the UND 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.49

DJ Williams pass complete to Taylor Shields for 15 yds to the UND 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-2 ydsPPA -0.68

Jawaun Northington run for a loss of 2 yards to the UND 27 Jawaun Northington fumbled, recovered by MUR Jawaun Northington [NHSG] NORTHINGTON, Jawaun rush up the middle for a loss of 2 yards, NORTHINGTON, Jawaun fumbled at UND27 , recovered by MUR NORTHINGTON, Jawaun at the UND27, returned 0 yards to the UND27, End of Play.

2nd & 12Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Jawaun Northington run for 2 yds to the UND 25

3rd & 10Sack-14 ydsPPA -3.16

DJ Williams sacked by Lance Rucker for a loss of 14 yards to the UND 39

4th & 24Penalty+15 yds

WILLIAMS, DJ pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for FOX, Michael thrown to the UND14. PENALTY UND Pass Interference on BALL, Ethan enforced 15 yards to the UND24 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+24 ydsPPA +2.68

Jawaun Northington run for 24 yds for a TD (Matt Maldonado KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.03

Isaiah Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the UND 30

2nd & 11Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Isaiah Smith run for 6 yds to the UND 36

3rd & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.79

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Isaiah Smith for 5 yds to the UND 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Sawyer Seidl run for 3 yds to the UND 44

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Tommy Schuster pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Tommy Schuster pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

C.J. Elrichs punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Michael Fox at the MUR 16

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.72

DJ Williams pass complete to Cole Rusk for 23 yds to the MUR 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

WILLIAMS, DJ pass deep to the right incomplete intended for NORTHINGTON, Jawaun thrown to the UND40. PENALTY MUR Holding UND Holding , Offsetting penalties [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.01

Jawaun Northington run for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Jawaun Northington run for 6 yds to the UND 44

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.31

Jawaun Northington run for 4 yds to the UND 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +0.58

DJ Williams run for 21 yds to the UND 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+19 ydsPPA +2.60

DJ Williams pass complete to Cole Rusk for 19 yds for a TD (Matt Maldonado KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Sawyer Seidl run for 5 yds to the UND 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.86

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Bo Belquist for a loss of 1 yard to the UND 29

3rd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.99

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Bo Belquist for 10 yds to the UND 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+35 ydsPPA +2.14

Isaiah Smith run for 35 yds to the MUR 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Sawyer Seidl run for 3 yds to the MUR 23

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Sawyer Seidl run for 4 yds to the MUR 19

3rd & 3Passing Touchdown+19 ydsPPA +2.91

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Jaden Norby for 19 yds for a TD (C.J. Elrichs KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +2.66

DJ Williams pass complete to Michael Fox for 31 yds to the UND 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

DJ Williams pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Jawaun Northington run for no gain to the UND 44

3rd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.63

DJ Williams pass complete to Jacob Bell for 14 yds to the UND 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

DJ Williams pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.32

DJ Williams run for 7 yds to the UND 23

3rd & 3Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.45

DJ Williams pass complete to Michael Fox for 4 yds to the UND 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

DJ Williams pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Jawaun Northington run for 2 yds to the UND 17

3rd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.23

DJ Williams pass complete to Michael Fox for 7 yds to the UND 10

4th & 1Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.97

DJ Williams pass complete to Cole Rusk for 10 yds for a TD (Matt Maldonado KICK)

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.53

Isaiah Smith run for 14 yds to the MUR 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.34

Isaiah Smith run for 7 yds to the MUR 21

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +2.42

Isaiah Smith run for 21 yds for a TD (C.J. Elrichs KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

DJ Williams pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

DJ Williams pass incomplete

3rd & 10Penalty+15 yds

WILLIAMS, DJ pass deep to the left incomplete intended for BELL, Jacob thrown to the UND40. PENALTY UND Pass Interference on OCANSEY, Edmund enforced 15 yards to the MUR40 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

DJ Williams pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

DJ Williams pass incomplete

3rd & 10Penalty+15 yds

WILLIAMS, DJ pass deep to the right incomplete intended for GALBREATH, Kylan thrown to the UND30. PENALTY UND Pass Interference on DAVIS, Cole enforced 15 yards to the UND45 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

DJ Williams pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-10 yds

Murray State Penalty, Offensive Holding (Cortezz Jones) to the MUR 45

2nd & 20Penalty+15 yds

WILLIAMS, DJ pass deep to the right incomplete intended for PERRY, Parker thrown to the UND25. PENALTY UND Pass Interference on OCANSEY, Edmund enforced 15 yards to the UND40 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

DJ Williams pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

DJ Williams pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

DJ Williams pass incomplete

4th & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

DJ Williams pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Isaiah Smith run for 6 yds to the UND 46

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.51

Isaiah Smith run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Isaiah Smith run for 1 yd to the MUR 49

2nd & 9Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.62

Isaiah Smith run for 11 yds to the MUR 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.78

[NH] Kneel down by SCHUSTER, Tommy at MUR39 (team loss of 1).

2nd & 11Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

[NH] Kneel down by SCHUSTER, Tommy at MUR40 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

North Dakota

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
62%
29 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
57%
7 plays
50%
6 plays
75%
4 plays
3rd
80%
5 plays
100%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
4th

Murray State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
50%
30 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
75%
4 plays
18%
11 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
44%
9 plays
4th
100%
2 plays
0%
1 play