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← Back to GamesOct 14, 2023Week 7
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Southern Illinois by 14.3

Home Win Probability

Murray State 18%

Market (William Hill (New Jersey))

Murray State +21

Edge: Murray State +21 (6.7 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 14, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Southern Illinois
1037727
Murray State
03036

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-70-103-103-133-206-27
Murray StateSouthern Illinois

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SIMSSIMSSIMSSIMSSIMSMSSIMSSIMSSIMSSIMSSIMSSIMSSITD175ydTO1267ydFG1676ydFG844ydPUNT630ydPUNT36ydDOWNS4-24ydDOWNS722ydFG1180ydEND1-2ydPUNT31ydPUNT38ydPUNT3-1ydTD648ydPUNT31ydPUNT3-8ydPUNT34ydPUNT38ydPUNT3-14ydPUNT614ydFG975ydTD1074ydTO2-2ydEND622yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Southern Illinois and Murray State
StatisticSouthern IllinoisMurray State
Passing14-2312-29
Pass Yards137157
Rush Yards27033
Total Yards407190
Turnovers13
3rd Down9-183-13
Penalties8-617-75
Possession34:2725:33

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Southern Illinois
passing
Nic Baker
14/23, 137 YDS
rushing
Justin Strong
14 CAR, 128 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Izaiah Hartrup
6 REC, 63 YDS
Murray State
passing
DJ Williams
12/29, 157 YDS, 2 INT
rushing
Q'Darryius Jennings
3 CAR, 15 YDS
receiving
Michael Fox
2 REC, 71 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 15Rushing Touchdown+80 ydsPPA +6.82

Justin Strong run for 80 yds for a TD (Jake Baumgarte KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Cortezz Jones run for 5 yds to the MUR 29

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.72

DJ Williams run for 5 yds to the MUR 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.99

Cortezz Jones run for no gain to the MUR 34

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

DJ Williams pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +3.54

DJ Williams pass complete to Taylor Shields for 23 yds to the SIU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

DJ Williams pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.61

Cortezz Jones run for 2 yds to the SIU 41

3rd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

DJ Williams pass complete to Isaiah Hill for 5 yds to the SIU 36

4th & 3Penalty+15 yds

WILLIAMS, DJ pass short up the middle complete for 0 yards to RUSK, Cole caught at the SIU31 and advanced to the SIU36 (STEED, Ubayd). PENALTY SIU Personal Foul on JULES, PJ enforced 15 yards from the SIU31 to the SIU16 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.45

DJ Williams pass complete to Cortezz Jones for 8 yds to the SIU 8

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.40

Cortezz Jones run for 1 yd to the SIU 7

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.83

DJ Williams run for 3 yds to the SIU 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Penalty-5 yds

Murray State Penalty, False Start (Jacob Frye) to the SIU 9

1st & 9Interception0 ydsPPA -4.58

DJ Williams pass intercepted, touchback.

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Nic Baker pass complete to Izaiah Hartrup for 6 yds to the SIU 26

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Nic Baker pass incomplete

3rd & 4Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.95

Nic Baker pass complete to Izaiah Hartrup for 13 yds to the SIU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Nic Baker pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.04

Nic Baker pass complete to Izaiah Hartrup for 10 yds to the SIU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Nic Baker pass complete to Zach Gibson for 7 yds to the MUR 44

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Shaun Lester run for no gain to the MUR 44

3rd & 3Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.58

Shaun Lester run for 11 yds to the MUR 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.26

Shaun Lester run for 11 yds to the MUR 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Shaun Lester run for 4 yds to the MUR 18

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Nic Baker pass complete to Zach Gibson for 5 yds to the MUR 13

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.08

Justin Strong run for 2 yds to the MUR 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Justin Strong run for 6 yds to the MUR 5

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Shaun Lester run for 1 yd to the MUR 4

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Nic Baker pass incomplete

4th & 3Field Goal Good+21 yds

Thomas Burks 21 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.68

DJ Williams pass complete to Isaiah Hill for 18 yds to the MUR 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

DJ Williams pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Cortezz Jones run for no gain to the MUR 47

3rd & 10Penalty-10 yds

QB Keeper WILLIAMS, DJ rush up the middle for a gain of 13 yards to the SIU40 (STEED, Ubayd). PENALTY MUR Holding enforced 10 yards from the MUR47 to the MUR37 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 20Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +4.40

DJ Williams pass complete to Michael Fox for 35 yds to the SIU 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Cortezz Jones run for 1 yd to the SIU 27

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.65

Cortezz Jones run for no gain to the SIU 27

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

DJ Williams pass incomplete

4th & 9Field Goal Good+44 yds

Matt Maldonado 44 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Nic Baker pass complete to Vinson Davis III for 6 yds to the SIU 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Nic Baker pass complete to Ryan Schwendeman for 3 yds to the SIU 34

3rd & 1Rush+18 ydsPPA +2.41

Jaelin Benefield run for 18 yds to the MUR 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.84

Jaelin Benefield run for 1 yd to the MUR 47

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Jaelin Benefield run for 2 yds to the MUR 45

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Nic Baker pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Michael Fox at the MUR 10

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Q'Daryius Jennings run for 6 yds to the MUR 16

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

DJ Williams pass incomplete

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

DJ Williams pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Matt Maldonado punt for 34 yds

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.09

Justin Strong run for 9 yds to the MUR 41

2nd & 1Penalty-5 yds

Southern Illinois Penalty, False Start (Chase Evans) to the MUR 46

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Jaelin Benefield run for 3 yds to the MUR 43

3rd & 3Penalty-5 yds

Southern Illinois Penalty, False Start (Abdou Toure) to the MUR 48

3rd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.54

Jaelin Benefield run for 2 yds to the MUR 46

4th & 6Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-14 ydsPPA -0.89

run for a loss of 14 yards to the SIU 26 Chase Reeves fumbled, recovered by MUR Dylan Appleton

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.18

DJ Williams run for 13 yds to the SIU 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

DJ Williams run for 1 yd to the SIU 12

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Cortezz Jones run for 2 yds to the SIU 10

3rd & 7Penalty+8 yds

(05:00) WILLIAMS, DJ pass to the left incomplete intended for HILL, Isaiah broken up by DAVIS, Mark at the SIU0. PENALTY SIU Pass Interference on DAVIS, Mark enforced 8 yards to the SIU2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Cortezz Jones run for 1 yd to the SIU 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

DJ Williams run for no gain to the SIU 1

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

DJ Williams run for no gain to the SIU 1

4th & 1Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-3 ydsPPA -4.21

Cortezz Jones run for a loss of 3 yards to the SIU 4 Cortezz Jones fumbled, recovered by SIU Mark Davis

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.69

Justin Strong run for 9 yds to the SIU 13

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.67

Justin Strong run for no gain to the SIU 13

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.37

Shaun Lester run for 4 yds to the SIU 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.68

Shaun Lester run for 11 yds to the SIU 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

BAKER, Nic pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for HARTRUP, Izaiah broken up by JOHNSON, Justus at the MUR46. PENALTY MUR Pass Interference on JOHNSON, Justus enforced 15 yards to the SIU43 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.22

Nic Baker pass complete to Izaiah Hartrup for 16 yds to the MUR 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.67

Jaelin Benefield run for 1 yd to the MUR 40

2nd & 9Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Nic Baker pass complete to Jaelin Benefield for 2 yds to the MUR 38

3rd & 7Penalty+15 yds

(00:45) BAKER, Nic pass deep to the left incomplete intended for HARTRUP, Izaiah broken up by HILL, JR., Chris at the MUR20. PENALTY MUR Pass Interference on JOHNSON, Justus enforced 15 yards to the MUR23 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Jaelin Benefield run for 2 yds to the MUR 21

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Nic Baker pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Nic Baker pass complete to Vinson Davis III for 5 yds to the MUR 16

4th & 3Field Goal Good+33 yds

Thomas Burks 33 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.59

[NHSG] Kneel down by WILLIAMS, DJ at MUR19 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

DJ Williams pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.29

DJ Williams pass complete to Golden Eke for 1 yd to the MUR 26

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

DJ Williams pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

punt for 44 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Nic Baker pass complete to Zach Gibson for 6 yds to the SIU 39

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -1.11

Justin Strong run for no gain to the SIU 39

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Nic Baker run for 2 yds to the SIU 41

4th & 2Punt0 yds

punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Michael Fox at the MUR 24

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Q'Daryius Jennings run for 2 yds to the MUR 26

2nd & 8Penalty-10 yds

WILLIAMS, DJ pass short up the middle complete for 0 yards to SHIELDS, Taylor caught at the MUR31 and advanced to the MUR26 (JULES, PJ). PENALTY MUR Holding on JONES, DJ enforced 10 yards from the MUR26 to the MUR16 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.08

DJ Williams pass incomplete

3rd & 18Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.03

Q'Daryius Jennings run for 7 yds to the MUR 23

4th & 11Punt0 yds

punt for 37 yds

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.71

Vinson Davis III run for 13 yds to the MUR 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Justin Strong run for 3 yds to the MUR 32

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Nic Baker pass complete to Izaiah Hartrup for 5 yds to the MUR 27

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.47

Justin Strong run for 5 yds to the MUR 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.22

Shaun Lester run for 13 yds to the MUR 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rushing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.42

Vinson Davis III run for 9 yds for a TD (Jake Baumgarte KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

DJ Williams run for 6 yds to the MUR 31

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

DJ Williams pass incomplete

3rd & 4Fumble Recovery (Own)-5 ydsPPA -0.65

DJ Williams run for a loss of 5 yards to the MUR 26 DJ Williams fumbled, recovered by MUR Ashton Flinn

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Matt Maldonado punt for 54 yds

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Justin Strong run for 6 yds to the SIU 26

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.71

Justin Strong run for no gain to the SIU 26

3rd & 4Fumble Recovery (Own)-6 ydsPPA -0.51

Nic Baker run for a loss of 6 yards to the SIU 12 Nic Baker fumbled, recovered by SIU Ryan Schwendeman

4th & 18Punt0 yds

punt for 43 yds

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.31

Cortezz Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the SIU 49

2nd & 11Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

DJ Williams pass complete to Taylor Shields for 5 yds to the SIU 44

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

DJ Williams pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Orion Phillips punt for 40 yds, downed at the SIU 4

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Justin Strong run for 2 yds to the SIU 6

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Justin Strong run for 4 yds to the SIU 10

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.10

Justin Strong run for 2 yds to the SIU 12

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Nathan Torney punt for 40 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

DJ Williams pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Cortezz Jones run for no gain to the MUR 47

3rd & 10Sack-14 ydsPPA -1.14

DJ Williams sacked by Ben Bogle for a loss of 14 yards to the MUR 33

4th & 24Punt0 yds

Orion Phillips punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Jaylen Reed at the SIU 42

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Nic Baker run for 3 yds to the SIU 45

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Nic Baker pass incomplete

3rd & 7Rush+14 ydsPPA +2.81

Nic Baker run for 14 yds to the MUR 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Southern Illinois Penalty, Illegal Snap on CAUGHELL, Jacob enforced (Jacob Caughell) to the MUR 46

1st & 15Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.25

Jaelin Benefield run for a loss of 1 yard to the MUR 47

2nd & 16Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Nic Baker run for 3 yds to the MUR 44

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Nic Baker pass incomplete

4th & 13Punt0 yds

punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Michael Fox at the MUR 14

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

DJ Williams pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+36 ydsPPA +3.24

DJ Williams pass complete to Michael Fox for 36 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

WILLIAMS, DJ pass deep to the right incomplete intended for SHIELDS, Taylor thrown to the SIU20. PENALTY SIU Pass Interference on JOHNSON, Drake enforced 15 yards to the SIU35 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.32

DJ Williams pass complete to Golden Eke for 13 yds to the SIU 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

DJ Williams pass complete to Drayton Charlton-Perrin for 5 yds to the SIU 17

2nd & 5Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.69

DJ Williams run for 12 yds to the SIU 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Penalty+3 yds

WILLIAMS, DJ pass short up the middle incomplete intended for FOX, Michael broken up by JULES, PJ at the SIU0. PENALTY SIU Pass Interference on JULES, PJ enforced 3 yards to the SIU2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 2Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.64

DJ Williams sacked by Dante Cleveland for a loss of 9 yards to the SIU 11

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

DJ Williams pass incomplete

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

DJ Williams pass incomplete

4th & 11Field Goal Good+29 yds

Matt Maldonado 29 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Shaun Lester run for 2 yds to the SIU 28

2nd & 8Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.82

Nic Baker pass complete to Izaiah Hartrup for 13 yds to the SIU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Shaun Lester run for 5 yds to the SIU 46

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.94

Shaun Lester run for 7 yds to the MUR 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.05

Shaun Lester run for no gain to the MUR 47

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Nic Baker pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +3.53

Nic Baker pass complete to Vinson Davis III for 40 yds to the MUR 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Nic Baker pass incomplete

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Jaelin Benefield run for 5 yds to the MUR 2

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

Shaun Lester run for 2 yds for a TD (Jake Baumgarte KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.30

DJ Williams pass complete to Isaiah Hill for 3 yds to the MUR 28

2nd & 7Penalty-5 yds

Murray State Penalty, False Start (Chris Hill Jr.) to the MUR 23

2nd & 12Interception0 ydsPPA -0.04

DJ Williams pass intercepted

2nd & 12Interception0 ydsPPA -0.04

DJ Williams pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.78

Jaelin Benefield run for no gain to the MUR 38

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Jaelin Benefield run for 5 yds to the MUR 33

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Izaiah Hartrup run for 4 yds to the MUR 29

4th & 1Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.39

Shaun Lester run for 14 yds to the MUR 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Jaelin Benefield run for 1 yd to the MUR 14

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.34

[NHSG] Kneel down by BAKER, Nic at MUR16 (team loss of 2).

Situational Analysis

Southern Illinois

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
54%
28 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
25%
8 plays
42%
12 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
86%
7 plays
20%
5 plays
60%
5 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play

Murray State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
38%
21 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
13%
8 plays
20%
5 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
0%
3 plays
40%
5 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play