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← Back to GamesSep 2, 2023Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Murray State by 13

Home Win Probability

Murray State 77%

Market (Bovada)

Murray State -28.5

Edge: Presbyterian +28.5 (15.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 2, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Presbyterian
0100010
Murray State
710141041

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014284210-010-710-1017-1024-1031-1041-10
Murray StatePresbyterian

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MSPREMSPREMSPREMSPREMSPREMSPREMSPREMSPREMSPREMSPREMSPREMSPUNT832ydPUNT31ydTD139ydPUNT67ydFG1563ydTD686ydPUNT36ydFG850ydTD667ydPUNT36ydEND10ydPUNT314ydTD959ydPUNT514ydPUNT3-7ydPUNT626ydTD354ydPUNT3-3ydTD570ydTO10ydFG921ydPUNT3-5ydEND735yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Presbyterian and Murray State
StatisticPresbyterianMurray State
Passing11-2414-24
Pass Yards99253
Rush Yards97231
Total Yards196484
Turnovers10
3rd Down3-128-15
Penalties4-359-85
Possession23:0736:53

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Presbyterian
passing
Tyler Wesley
11/22, 99 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Tyler Wesley
11 CAR, 82 YDS
receiving
Dominic Kibby
4 REC, 54 YDS
Murray State
passing
Eric Phoenix
4/5, 121 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Q'Darryius Jennings
9 CAR, 50 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Taylor Shields
2 REC, 69 YDS, 2 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Q'Daryius Jennings run for 4 yds to the MUR 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.34

DJ Williams pass complete to Q'Daryius Jennings for 10 yds to the MUR 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Q'Daryius Jennings run for 1 yd to the MUR 40

2nd & 9Penalty-5 yds

Murray State Penalty, False Start (Q'Daryius Jennings) to the MUR 35

2nd & 14Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Q'Daryius Jennings run for 4 yds to the MUR 39

3rd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.77

DJ Williams pass complete to Jacob Bell for 10 yds to the MUR 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

WILLIAMS, DJ pass to the left complete for 49 yards to BRITTEN, Deshun caught at the MUR49 and advanced to the PC2 (LEWIS, Malik). PENALTY MUR Holding on ADEWOLE, Detoye enforced 10 yards from the MUR49 to the MUR39 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Rush+18 ydsPPA +3.09

Jawaun Northington run for 18 yds to the PRES 43

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Jawaun Northington run for no gain to the PRES 43

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

DJ Williams pass incomplete

4th & 2Punt0 yds

punt for 43 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Tyler Wesley run for 1 yd to the PRES 21

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Ty Englehart pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.14

Tyler Wesley pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

punt for 18 yds

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+39 ydsPPA +3.14

Kylan Galbreath run for 39 yds for a TD (Matt Maldonado KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Tyler Wesley pass complete to Deverious Abercrombie for 4 yds to the PRES 30

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

JB Seay run for 2 yds to the PRES 32

3rd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.61

Tyler Wesley pass complete to Dominic Kibby for 6 yds to the PRES 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.81

Zach Switzer run for a loss of 5 yards to the PRES 33

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Tyler Wesley pass incomplete

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Tyler Wesley pass incomplete

4th & 15Punt0 yds

punt for 32 yds, downed at the MUR 35

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Q'Daryius Jennings run for 3 yds to the MUR 38

2nd & 7Penalty-10 yds

WILLIAMS, DJ pass up the middle complete for 17 yards to BELL, Jacob caught at the MUR50 and advanced to the PC45 (RUSS-MARTIN, Brooks). PENALTY MUR Holding on MOODY, Blake enforced 10 yards from the MUR38 to the MUR28 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 17Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Q'Daryius Jennings run for 5 yds to the MUR 33

3rd & 12Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +3.17

DJ Williams pass complete to Cole Rusk for 17 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.35

Jawaun Northington run for a loss of 1 yard to the MUR 49

2nd & 11Penalty0 yds

WILLIAMS, DJ pass deep up the middle intercepted by WILDER, George at the PC16. Wilder return for 0 yards to the PC16, End of Play. PENALTY MUR Holding on NORTHINGTON, Jawaun PC Holding on WILDER, George , Offsetting penalties [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 11Rush+23 ydsPPA +2.43

Q'Daryius Jennings run for 23 yds to the PRES 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Jawaun Northington run for 3 yds to the PRES 11

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Jawaun Northington run for 1 yd to the PRES 10

3rd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

DJ Williams run for 2 yds to the PRES 8

4th & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.40

Jawaun Northington run for 4 yds to the PRES 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.65

Jawaun Northington run for no gain to the PRES 4

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.36

Jawaun Northington run for no gain to the PRES 4

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

DJ Williams run for 2 yds to the PRES 2

4th & 2Field Goal Good+12 yds

Matt Maldonado 12 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.14

Tyler Wesley pass complete to Dominic Kibby for 18 yds to the PRES 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

QB Keeper WESLEY, Tyler rush up the middle for a gain of 37 yards to the MUR31 (GOATLEY, Cody), 1ST DOWN. PENALTY Before the snap, PC False Start on CALDWELL, Clint enforced 5 yards from the end of the play at the MUR31 to the MUR36 and results in a 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Zach Switzer run for 3 yds to the MUR 33

2nd & 7Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +0.72

Tyler Wesley pass complete to Terik Mulder for 23 yds to the MUR 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Tyler Wesley run for 8 yds to the MUR 2

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Tyler Wesley run for 1 yd to the MUR 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

JB Seay run for 1 yd for a TD (Mack Mikko KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

DJ Williams pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Jawaun Northington run for 6 yds to the MUR 41

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

DJ Williams pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

punt for 14 yds, downed at the PRES 45

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.66

Dealo Parson run for 7 yds to the MUR 48

2nd & 3Sack-9 ydsPPA -3.00

Tyler Wesley sacked by Detoye Adewole for a loss of 9 yards to the PRES 43

3rd & 12Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +3.72

Tyler Wesley pass complete to Dominic Kibby for 24 yds to the MUR 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +0.37

Tyler Wesley run for 21 yds to the MUR 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.49

Dominic Kibby run for a loss of 3 yards to the MUR 15

2nd & 13Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.37

Tyler Wesley pass complete to Dealo Parson for 10 yds to the MUR 5

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Tyler Wesley pass incomplete

4th & 3Field Goal Good+15 yds

Mack Mikko 15 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

DJ Williams pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

DJ Williams pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +3.09

DJ Williams pass complete to Michael Fox for 17 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

DJ Williams pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +2.36

DJ Williams pass complete to Cole Rusk for 32 yds to the PRES 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +2.59

DJ Williams pass complete to Taylor Shields for 18 yds for a TD (Matt Maldonado KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Tyler Wesley pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Tyler Wesley pass complete to Dominic Kibby for 6 yds to the PRES 31

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Tyler Wesley pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

punt for 49 yds, downed at the MUR 30

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

DJ Williams pass incomplete

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

WESLEY, Tyler pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for WARNER, Worth broken up by JOHNSON, Justus at the PC50. PENALTY MUR Holding enforced 10 yards from the PC25 to the PC35 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.64

Tyler Wesley sacked by Nick Walker for a loss of 5 yards to the PRES 30

2nd & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

JB Seay run for 3 yds to the PRES 33

3rd & 12Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.10

Tyler Wesley pass complete to JB Seay for 6 yds to the PRES 39

4th & 6Punt0 yds

punt for 20 yds

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.00

DJ Williams run for 8 yds to the MUR 49

2nd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Kywon Morgan run for 6 yds to the PRES 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Q'Daryius Jennings run for 2 yds to the PRES 43

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Kywon Morgan run for 6 yds to the PRES 37

3rd & 2Penalty-4 yds

Murray State Penalty, personal foul (-4 Yards) to the PRES 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.26

Kywon Morgan run for 11 yds to the PRES 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.31

Kywon Morgan run for 1 yd to the PRES 21

2nd & 9Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.91

Caden Jumper run for 15 yds to the PRES 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

Cortezz Jones run for 6 yds for a TD (Matt Maldonado KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.45

Tyler Wesley run for 7 yds to the PRES 22

2nd & 3Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +0.10

Tyler Wesley pass complete to Zach Switzer for 3 yds to the PRES 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Zach Switzer run for 6 yds to the PRES 31

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Tyler Wesley run for 3 yds to the PRES 34

3rd & 1Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -1.06

Tyler Wesley pass complete to Zach Switzer for a loss of 5 yards to the PRES 29

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Zane Smith punt for 34 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

DJ Williams pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Kywon Morgan run for 1 yd to the PRES 46

3rd & 9Pass Reception-8 ydsPPA -1.60

DJ Williams pass complete to Jacob Bell for a loss of 8 yards to the MUR 46

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Orion Phillips punt for 53 yds, downed at the PRES 1

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.29

Tyler Wesley run for 12 yds to the PRES 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Tyler Wesley run for 6 yds to the PRES 19

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.25

JB Seay run for 4 yds to the PRES 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Tyler Wesley pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Tyler Wesley pass complete to JB Seay for 4 yds to the PRES 27

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Tyler Wesley pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Zane Smith punt for 27 yds, fair catch by Kanyon Walker at the MUR 46

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Eric Phoenix pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Cortezz Jones run for 3 yds to the MUR 49

3rd & 7Passing Touchdown+51 ydsPPA +5.72

Eric Phoenix pass complete to Taylor Shields for 51 yds for a TD (Matt Maldonado KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Tyler Wesley pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.46

Zach Switzer run for a loss of 3 yards to the PRES 22

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.09

Tyler Wesley pass incomplete

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Zane Smith punt for 35 yds , returns for no gain to the MUR 30

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Kylan Galbreath run for 3 yds to the MUR 33

2nd & 7Penalty-5 yds

Murray State Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the MUR 28

2nd & 12Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.15

Eric Phoenix pass complete to Golden Eke for 6 yds to the MUR 34

3rd & 6Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +3.35

Eric Phoenix pass complete to Deshun Britten for 24 yds to the PRES 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +2.08

Eric Phoenix pass complete to Golden Eke for 40 yds to the PRES 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Q'Daryius Jennings run for 2 yds for a TD (Matt Maldonado KICK)

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Murray State Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (DJ Williams) to the MUR 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Jayden Stinson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.05

Jayden Stinson pass complete to Cortezz Jones for 15 yds to the PRES 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Cortezz Jones run for 3 yds to the PRES 17

2nd & 7Penalty-10 yds

JONES, Cortezz rush up the middle for a gain of 17 yards to the PC0, TOUCHDOWN MUR, score nullified by penalty, clock 10:37 (Play was confirmed after review). PENALTY MUR Holding on BELL, Jacob enforced 10 yards from the PC17 to the PC27 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 17Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.91

Jayden Stinson pass complete to Cortezz Jones for 13 yds to the PRES 14

3rd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.44

Kywon Morgan run for 5 yds to the PRES 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Kylan Galbreath run for 5 yds to the PRES 4

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Kywon Morgan run for 1 yd to the PRES 3

3rd & 3Penalty-5 yds

MORGAN, Kywon rush up the middle for a gain of 2 yards to the PC1 (THORNTON, Jacob;ELMORE, Keith). PENALTY Before the snap, MUR Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the PC3 to the PC8. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 8Rush-6 ydsPPA -1.15

Kywon Morgan run for a loss of 6 yards to the PRES 14

4th & 14Field Goal Good+27 yds

James London 27 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Ty Englehart run for 2 yds to the PRES 27

2nd & 8Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.60

Jaden Wright run for a loss of 2 yards to the PRES 25

3rd & 10Penalty-5 yds

Presbyterian Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the PRES 20

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.07

Ty Englehart pass incomplete

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Zane Smith punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Michael Fox at the PRES 44

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jawaun Northington run for 5 yds to the PRES 39

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

DJ Escort run for 3 yds to the PRES 36

3rd & 2Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.04

DJ Escort run for 17 yds to the PRES 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.14

DJ Escort run for 16 yds to the PRES 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.75

[SG] Kneel down by STINSON, Jayden at PC5 (team loss of 2).

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

[SG] Kneel down by STINSON, Jayden at PC7 (team loss of 2).

3rd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

[SG] Kneel down by STINSON, Jayden at PC9 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

Presbyterian

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
44%
18 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
33%
6 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
0%
1 play
40%
5 plays
4th

Murray State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
33%
24 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
50%
2 plays
20%
5 plays
56%
9 plays
80%
5 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
40%
5 plays
50%
6 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play