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← Back to GamesNov 4, 2023Week 10
Harvard
38
-Final
24
Columbia
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Harvard by 16.7

Home Win Probability

Columbia 16%

Market (ESPN Bet)

Columbia +13.5

Edge: Harvard -13.5 (3.2 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 4, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Harvard
17701438
Columbia
0731424

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-177-2410-3117-38
ColumbiaHarvard

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20HARCOLHARCOLCOLHARCOLHARCOLHARCOLHARCOLCOLHARHARCOLHARCOLHARCOLHARPUNT37ydPUNT37ydTD283ydTD375ydPUNT519ydFG1268ydTD1075ydTD571ydTO420ydPUNT741ydPUNT839ydEND313ydTO10ydFG1951ydPUNT833ydTD462ydDOWNS4-7ydTD618ydTD573ydPUNT31ydTD1374ydEND10yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Harvard and Columbia
StatisticHarvardColumbia
Passing13-1824-40
Pass Yards264215
Rush Yards137115
Total Yards401330
Turnovers12
3rd Down5-105-17
Penalties2-200-0
Possession28:4831:12

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Harvard
passing
Jaden Craig
13/18, 264 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Shane McLaughlin
18 CAR, 89 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Tim Dowd
3 REC, 123 YDS, 1 TD
Columbia
passing
Joe Green
24/40, 215 YDS, 2 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Joey Giorgi
19 CAR, 92 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Edan Stagg
7 REC, 82 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

pass incomplete to Tyler Neville

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Shane McLaughlin run for 5 yds to the HARV 34

3rd & 5Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Jaden Craig pass complete to Scott Woods II for 2 yds to the HARV 36

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+26 yds

Hugo Merry kickoff for 57 yds , Xaviah Bascon return for 26 yds to the HARV 29

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Sebastien Tasko punt for 41 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Joey Giorgi run for 3 yds to the COLU 26

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Joey Giorgi run for 4 yds to the COLU 30

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

pass incomplete to James Miller

4th & 3Punt0 yds

William Hughes punt for 53 yds

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

McLaughlin,Shane rush right (Roussos,Anthony).

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+83 ydsPPA +7.02

Jaden Craig pass complete to Tim Dowd for 83 yds for a TD (Cali Canaval KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Giorgi,Joey rush middle (Shipman,Gavin;Psyk,Jacob).

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

pass incomplete to Edan Stagg

3rd & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.18

Joe Green pass complete to Joey Giorgi for a loss of 1 yard to the COLU 24

4th & 11Punt Return Touchdown+10 ydsPPA -6.69

Kaleb Moody 10 Yd Punt Return (Cali Canaval Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Joe Green pass complete to Edan Stagg for 8 yds to the COLU 33

2nd & 2Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.41

Joe Green pass complete to Marcus Libman for 7 yds to the COLU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Malcolm Terry II run for 4 yds to the COLU 44

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

pass incomplete to Edan Stagg

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

pass incomplete to Edan Stagg

4th & 6Punt+8 yds

William Hughes punt for 41 yds , Scott Woods II returns for 8 yds to the HARV 23

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.87

Shane McLaughlin run for 8 yds to the HARV 31

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.20

Jaden Craig run for 5 yds to the HARV 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.70

Jaden Craig run for a loss of 5 yards to the HARV 31

2nd & 15Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.14

Shane McLaughlin run for 12 yds to the HARV 43

3rd & 3Rush+11 ydsPPA +2.17

Jaden Craig run for 11 yds to the COLU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.80

Jaden Craig pass complete to Tyler Neville for 19 yds to the COLU 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Shane McLaughlin run for 5 yds to the COLU 22

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.11

Shane McLaughlin run for 7 yds to the COLU 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Shane McLaughlin run for 3 yds to the COLU 12

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Shane McLaughlin run for 3 yds to the COLU 9

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

pass incomplete to Ledger Hatch

4th & 4Field Goal Good+27 yds

Cali Canaval 27 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Joe Green pass complete to Edan Stagg for 8 yds to the COLU 33

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.02

Joey Giorgi run for 3 yds to the COLU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Joe Green pass complete to Joey Giorgi for 6 yds to the COLU 42

2nd & 4Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.27

Joe Green run for 13 yds to the HARV 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.00

Giorgi,Joey rush middle (Little,Eric;Moody,Kaleb).

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Joey Giorgi run for 1 yd to the HARV 44

3rd & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Joe Green pass complete to James Miller for 4 yds to the HARV 40

4th & 5Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.77

Joe Green pass complete to JJ Jenkins for 14 yds to the HARV 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Malcolm Terry II run for 3 yds to the HARV 23

2nd & 7Rushing Touchdown+23 ydsPPA +2.87

Joey Giorgi run for 23 yds for a TD (Hugo Merry KICK) Harvard Penalty, off-side (Micaiah Bell) to the HARV 3

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+25 yds

Hugo Merry kickoff for 56 yds , Xaviah Bascon return for 25 yds to the HARV 29

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.41

Jaden Craig pass complete to Tim Dowd for 15 yds to the HARV 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Shane McLaughlin run for 2 yds to the HARV 46

2nd & 8Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.87

Jaden Craig pass complete to Tyler Neville for 14 yds to the COLU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+37 ydsPPA +1.72

Jaden Craig pass complete to Kaedyn Odermann for 37 yds to the COLU 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Shane McLaughlin run for 3 yds for a TD (Cali Canaval KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.51

Malcolm Terry II run for a loss of 5 yards to the COLU 20

3rd & 15Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +3.02

Joe Green pass complete to Edan Stagg for 25 yds to the COLU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -2.72

Joe Green pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.69

Jaden Craig pass complete to Cooper Barkate for 12 yds to the HARV 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.64

Jaden Craig pass complete to Tyler Neville for 1 yd to the HARV 28

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

pass incomplete to Kaedyn Odermann

3rd & 9Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.93

Jaden Craig pass complete to Kaedyn Odermann for 19 yds to the HARV 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Shane McLaughlin run for 4 yds to the COLU 49

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jaden Craig pass complete to Cooper Barkate for 5 yds to the COLU 44

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Sebastien Tasko punt for 34 yds

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.59

Malcolm Terry II run for 8 yds to the COLU 18

2nd & 2Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.28

Malcolm Terry II run for 9 yds to the COLU 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

pass incomplete to JJ Jenkins

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.34

Joey Giorgi run for 7 yds to the COLU 34

3rd & 3Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.99

Joe Green pass complete to Titus Evans for 10 yds to the COLU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Joey Giorgi run for 5 yds to the COLU 49

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.20

Joe Green pass incomplete to JJ Jenkins, broken up by Gavin Shipman

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

pass incomplete to Malcolm Terry II

4th & 5Punt0 yds

William Hughes punt for 26 yds

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Shane McLaughlin run for 4 yds to the HARV 29

2nd & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.24

Shane McLaughlin run for 9 yds to the HARV 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Shane McLaughlin run for 6 yds to the HARV 40

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -0.61

Joe Green pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Joe Green run for 5 yds to the COLU 30

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Malcolm Terry II run for 3 yds to the COLU 33

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.15

Malcolm Terry II run for 3 yds to the COLU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.38

Joey Giorgi run for 15 yds to the HARV 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Joe Green pass complete to Edan Stagg for 5 yds to the HARV 44

2nd & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Joe Green pass complete to Edan Stagg for 3 yds to the HARV 41

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Joey Giorgi run for 1 yd to the HARV 40

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.81

Joey Giorgi run for 1 yd to the HARV 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.62

Joey Giorgi run for 1 yd to the HARV 38

2nd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.44

Joey Giorgi run for 7 yds to the HARV 31

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.71

Joey Giorgi run for 1 yd to the HARV 30

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.26

Ty'son Edwards run for 2 yds to the HARV 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

pass incomplete to Titus Evans

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.42

Joe Green pass complete to Wills Meyer for 8 yds to the HARV 20

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

pass incomplete to Wills Meyer

4th & 2Penalty+5 yds

Harvard Penalty, off-side (Thor Griffith) to the HARV 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

Giorgi,Joey rush left (Leskovec,Nate;Bartrum,Ty).

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Joe Green pass complete to JJ Jenkins for 5 yds to the HARV 10

3rd & 5Sack-14 ydsPPA -2.73

Joe Green sacked for a loss of 14 yards to the HARV 24

4th & 19Field Goal Good+42 yds

Hugo Merry 42 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Hugo Merry kickoff for 31 yds , Jaeden Kinlock return for no gain to the HARV 30 Jaeden Kinlock fumbled, recovered by HARV Ryan Osborne Merry,Hugo kickoff 31 yards to the HAR29, Kinlock,Jaeden return loss of 2 yards to the HAR27, fumble by Kinlock,Jaeden recovered by HAR Osborne,Ryan, Osborne,Ryan return 3 yards to the HAR30 (Meyer,Wills). , return for no gain to the HARV 30

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Shane McLaughlin run for 6 yds to the HARV 36

2nd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.76

Jaden Craig pass complete to Ledger Hatch for 6 yds to the HARV 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.30

Jaden Craig run for 9 yds to the COLU 49

2nd & 1Rush-3 ydsPPA -2.15

Jaden Craig run for a loss of 3 yards to the HARV 48

3rd & 4Rush+9 ydsPPA +2.06

Jaden Craig run for 9 yds to the COLU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

pass incomplete to Ledger Hatch

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Shane McLaughlin run for 4 yds to the COLU 39

3rd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Shane McLaughlin run for 2 yds to the COLU 37

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Sebastien Tasko punt for 37 yds

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Cooper Barkate run for 5 yds to the HARV 43

2nd & 5Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +1.97

Jaden Craig pass complete to Tim Dowd for 25 yds to the COLU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +0.82

Jaden Craig pass complete to Ledger Hatch for 26 yds to the COLU 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

Shane McLaughlin run for 6 yds for a TD (Cali Canaval KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Joey Giorgi run for 1 yd to the COLU 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Joe Green pass complete to JJ Jenkins for 6 yds to the COLU 32

3rd & 3Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -0.73

Joe Green pass complete to Jack Larsen for a loss of 4 yards to the COLU 28

4th & 7Sack-10 ydsPPA +0.20

Joe Green sacked for a loss of 10 yards to the COLU 18

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Xaviah Bascon run for 6 yds to the COLU 12

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Jaden Craig run for 2 yds to the COLU 10

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.76

Jaden Craig run for 5 yds to the COLU 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Xaviah Bascon run for 4 yds to the COLU 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Craig,Jaden rush middle (Thomas,Owen;Milia,Rocco).

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Jaden Craig run for 1 yd for a TD (Cali Canaval KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+27 yds

Cali Canaval kickoff for 60 yds , Carter McFadden return for 27 yds to the COLU 27

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Joe Green pass complete to Edan Stagg for 2 yds to the COLU 29

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Joe Green pass incomplete to JJ Jenkins, broken up by Luke Bridges

3rd & 8Rush+29 ydsPPA +3.66

Joey Giorgi run for 14 yds to the HARV 43 Harvard Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Delian Bradley) to the HARV 42

1st & 10Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +0.77

Joe Green pass complete to Edan Stagg for 31 yds to the HARV 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.52

Joe Green pass complete to Joey Giorgi for 11 yds for a TD (Hugo Merry KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Phillip Smitherman run for 5 yds to the HARV 48

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.96

Charles Deprima run for 1 yd to the HARV 49

3rd & 4Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.57

Charles Deprima sacked for a loss of 5 yards to the HARV 44

4th & 9Punt+4 yds

Sebastien Tasko punt for 34 yds , Carter McFadden returns for 4 yds to the COLU 26

1st & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +2.39

Joe Green pass complete to JJ Jenkins for 27 yds to the HARV 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Malcolm Terry II run for 1 yd to the HARV 46

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

pass incomplete to JJ Jenkins

3rd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Joey Giorgi run for 5 yds to the HARV 41

4th & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +2.44

Joe Green pass complete to Jack Larsen for 5 yds to the HARV 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

pass incomplete to Jack Larsen

2nd & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.38

Joe Green sacked for a loss of 2 yards to the HARV 38

3rd & 12Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.32

Joe Green pass complete to Joey Giorgi for 11 yds to the HARV 27

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.11

Ty'son Edwards run for 3 yds to the HARV 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

pass incomplete to Wills Meyer

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.15

Joe Green pass complete to Jack Larsen for 6 yds to the HARV 18

3rd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.44

Joe Green pass complete to Marcus Libman for 7 yds to the HARV 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.52

Joe Green pass complete to JJ Jenkins for 11 yds for a TD (Hugo Merry KICK)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.58

Charles Deprima run for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard line

Situational Analysis

Harvard

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
50%
2 plays
57%
23 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
57%
7 plays
50%
6 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
100%
3 plays
33%
6 plays
100%
1 play
4th

Columbia

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
41%
29 plays
2nd
100%
3 plays
20%
5 plays
50%
14 plays
3rd
29%
7 plays
25%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
100%
3 plays
100%
2 plays
100%
1 play
0%
1 play