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← Back to GamesSep 30, 2023Week 5
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Murray State by 12.1

Home Win Probability

Murray State 75%

Market (William Hill (New Jersey))

Murray State +2

Edge: Murray State +2 (14.1 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 30, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Indiana State
0781328
Murray State
977730

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014289-09-723-1523-2130-28
Murray StateIndiana State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MSISMSISMSISMSISMSISISISMSISMSISMSISMSISMSPUNT35ydSAF3-3ydTD750ydMISS1267ydPUNT639ydTD1493ydPUNT515ydPUNT37ydTD1157ydEND1-2ydTD110ydTD875ydPUNT723ydTD1188ydPUNT37ydPUNT3-5ydTD563ydTD977ydPUNT32ydDOWNS827ydEND2-19yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Indiana State and Murray State
StatisticIndiana StateMurray State
Passing15-2711-17
Pass Yards159157
Rush Yards235101
Total Yards394258
Turnovers10
3rd Down3-103-10
Penalties6-5111-125
Possession34:3725:23

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Indiana State
passing
Cade Chambers
15/27, 159 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Plez Lawrence
29 CAR, 203 YDS, 3 TD
receiving
Harry Van Dyne
10 REC, 122 YDS, 1 TD
Murray State
passing
DJ Williams
11/17, 157 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Cortezz Jones
14 CAR, 70 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Cole Rusk
3 REC, 58 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Cortezz Jones run for 2 yds to the MUR 27

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

DJ Williams run for 3 yds to the MUR 30

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

DJ Williams pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Orion Phillips punt for 67 yds, downed at the INST 3

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.26

Plez Lawrence run for no gain to the INST 3

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.09

Plez Lawrence run for 1 yd to the INST 4

3rd & 9Safety0 ydsPPA -1.69

Caldra Williford Safety

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Cortezz Jones run for 3 yds to the INST 47

2nd & 7Sack-10 ydsPPA -2.67

DJ Williams sacked by Garret Ollendieck for a loss of 10 yards to the MUR 43

3rd & 17Pass Reception+41 ydsPPA +4.33

DJ Williams pass complete to Michael Fox for 41 yds to the INST 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Cortezz Jones run for 1 yd to the INST 15

2nd & 9Penalty+4 yds

JONES, Cortezz rush up the middle for a gain of 4 yards to the INS11 (HARRIS JR., Antoineo;BROWN, Geoffrey). PENALTY INS Holding enforced half the distance from the goal, 2 yards from the INS4 to the INS2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.00

Cortezz Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the INST 3

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Cortezz Jones run for 1 yd to the INST 2

3rd & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

DJ Williams pass complete to Q'Daryius Jennings for 2 yds for a TD (Matt Maldonado KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Cade Chambers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.63

Cade Chambers pass complete to Gianini Belizaire for 11 yds to the INST 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Plez Lawrence run for 3 yds to the INST 39

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.47

Plez Lawrence run for 8 yds to the INST 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.74

Plez Lawrence run for 10 yds to the MUR 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.91

Plez Lawrence run for 9 yds to the MUR 34

2nd & 1Rush+9 ydsPPA -0.25

Plez Lawrence run for 9 yds to the MUR 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.18

Cade Chambers pass complete to Harry Van Dyne for 14 yds to the MUR 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Korbin Allen run for 3 yds to the MUR 8

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Cade Chambers pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Cade Chambers pass incomplete

4th & 7Field Goal Missed+25 yds

Stephen Ruiz 25 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Murray State Penalty, False Start (Q'Daryius Jennings) to the MUR 15

1st & 15Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.55

Cortezz Jones run for 18 yds to the MUR 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

DJ Williams run for 3 yds to the MUR 36

2nd & 7Rush+20 ydsPPA +2.40

Cortezz Jones run for 20 yds to the INST 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-11 ydsPPA -3.12

Golden Eke run for a loss of 11 yards to the MUR 45

2nd & 21Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Q'Daryius Jennings run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 16Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.70

DJ Williams pass complete to Cortezz Jones for 9 yds to the INST 41

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Orion Phillips punt for 34 yds

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Murray State Penalty, Personal Foul (Jayson Coley) to the INST 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.73

Plez Lawrence run for no gain to the INST 26

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

CHAMBERS, Cade pass to the left complete for 6 yards to VAN DYNE, Harry caught at the INS32 and advanced to the INS32 (JOHNSON, Justus). PENALTY Before the snap, INS Illegal Motion enforced 5 yards from the INS26 to the INS21. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.11

Plez Lawrence run for 2 yds to the INST 23

3rd & 13Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.47

Cade Chambers pass complete to Harry Van Dyne for 12 yds to the INST 35

4th & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.91

Korbin Allen run for 4 yds to the INST 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

Murray State Penalty, Offsides (Curtis Francis) to the INST 44

1st & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.47

Korbin Allen run for 3 yds to the INST 47

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.14

Korbin Allen run for 5 yds to the MUR 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

CHAMBERS, Cade pass deep to the left incomplete intended for VAN DYNE, Harry broken up by JOHNSON, Justus at the MUR15. PENALTY MUR Pass Interference on JOHNSON, Justus enforced 15 yards to the MUR33 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Plez Lawrence run for 5 yds to the MUR 28

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.16

Plez Lawrence run for 5 yds to the MUR 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.32

Plez Lawrence run for 1 yd to the MUR 22

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Plez Lawrence run for 5 yds to the MUR 17

3rd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.42

Plez Lawrence run for 7 yds to the MUR 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Plez Lawrence run for 8 yds to the MUR 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Plez Lawrence run for 2 yds for a TD (Andre Casas KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

DJ Williams pass complete to Jacob Bell for 5 yds to the MUR 31

2nd & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.06

DJ Williams pass complete to Isaiah Hill for 8 yds to the MUR 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.30

Cortezz Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the MUR 38

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

DJ Williams pass incomplete

3rd & 11Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

DJ Williams run for 3 yds to the MUR 41

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Orion Phillips punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Dakota Caton at the INST 10

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Cade Chambers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Plez Lawrence run for 4 yds to the INST 14

3rd & 6Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.06

Cade Chambers pass complete to Harry Van Dyne for 3 yds to the INST 17

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Harry Traum punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Michael Fox at the MUR 43

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

DJ Williams pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.56

Q'Daryius Jennings run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

DJ Williams run for 2 yds to the INST 48

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +2.16

DJ Williams run for 2 yds to the INST 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

DJ Williams run for 1 yd to the INST 45

2nd & 9Penalty+15 yds

WILLIAMS, DJ pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for BELL, Jacob thrown to the INS19. PENALTY INS Pass Interference enforced 15 yards to the INS30 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.35

DJ Williams run for 7 yds to the INST 23

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

DJ Williams pass incomplete

3rd & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.47

DJ Williams pass complete to Taylor Shields for 6 yds to the INST 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.37

DJ Williams pass complete to Taylor Shields for 15 yds to the INST 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

DJ Williams pass incomplete

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Cortezz Jones run for 2 yds for a TD (Matt Maldonado KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

[NHSG] Kneel down by CHAMBERS, Cade at INS23 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

LAWRENCE, Plez rush up the middle for a loss of 2 yards to the INS23 (GOATLEY, Cody). PENALTY MUR Holding enforced 10 yards from the INS25 to the INS35 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Interception Return Touchdown+36 ydsPPA -8.76

Chris Hill Jr. 36 Yd Interception Return (Matt Maldonado Kick)

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.98

Plez Lawrence run for 22 yds to the INST 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.04

Plez Lawrence run for 16 yds to the MUR 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Cade Chambers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Plez Lawrence run for 2 yds to the MUR 35

3rd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.47

Korbin Allen run for 7 yds to the MUR 28

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.13

Korbin Allen run for 1 yd to the MUR 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.74

Korbin Allen run for a loss of 2 yards to the MUR 29

2nd & 12Rushing Touchdown+29 ydsPPA +3.49

Plez Lawrence 29 Yd Run (Dakota Caton Run for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Michael Fox run for a loss of 1 yard to the MUR 24

2nd & 11Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.83

DJ Williams pass complete to Isaiah Hill for 13 yds to the MUR 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Murray State Penalty, Offsides (Cole Rusk) to the MUR 32

1st & 15Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.47

Cortezz Jones run for 7 yds to the MUR 39

2nd & 8Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.94

Cortezz Jones run for 12 yds to the INST 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Q'Daryius Jennings run for 4 yds to the INST 45

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -1.13

Q'Daryius Jennings run for no gain to the INST 45

3rd & 6Penalty-15 yds

WILLIAMS, DJ pass short up the middle complete for 6 yards to SHIELDS, Taylor caught at the INS42 and advanced to the INS39 (BLACKWELL, Maddix). PENALTY MUR Personal Foul enforced 15 yards from the INS45 to the MUR40 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 21Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.20

Q'Daryius Jennings run for 8 yds to the MUR 48

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Matt Maldonado punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Dakota Caton at the INST 12

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.88

Cade Chambers pass complete to Harry Van Dyne for 16 yds to the INST 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Plez Lawrence run for 2 yds to the INST 30

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Plez Lawrence run for 2 yds to the INST 32

3rd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.17

Cade Chambers pass complete to Dakota Caton for 10 yds to the INST 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.69

Plez Lawrence run for 7 yds to the INST 49

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.26

Korbin Allen run for 4 yds to the MUR 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Korbin Allen run for 3 yds to the MUR 44

2nd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.99

Korbin Allen run for 9 yds to the MUR 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

Indiana State Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Michael Ross) to the INST 47

2nd & 28Penalty+20 yds

CHAMBERS, Cade pass deep to the left incomplete intended for VAN DYNE, Harry broken up by JOHNSON, Justus at the MUR24. PENALTY MUR Pass Interference on JOHNSON, Justus enforced 20 yards to the MUR33 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Indiana State Penalty, False Start (TEAM) to the MUR 38

1st & 15Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.35

Plez Lawrence run for 7 yds to the MUR 31

2nd & 8Rushing Touchdown+31 ydsPPA +3.24

Plez Lawrence 31 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

DJ Williams pass complete to Cole Rusk for 5 yds to the MUR 30

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Jawaun Northington run for 3 yds to the MUR 33

3rd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.68

Jawaun Northington run for a loss of 1 yard to the MUR 32

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Orion Phillips punt for 49 yds

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.97

Plez Lawrence run for a loss of 2 yards to the INST 25

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Cade Chambers pass incomplete

3rd & 12Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.17

Cade Chambers run for a loss of 3 yards to the INST 22

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Harry Traum punt for 41 yds

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.04

DJ Williams run for 8 yds to the MUR 45

2nd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.08

Cortezz Jones run for 2 yds to the MUR 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.04

DJ Williams pass complete to Cole Rusk for 16 yds to the INST 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.75

Cortezz Jones run for no gain to the INST 37

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+37 ydsPPA +3.80

DJ Williams pass complete to Cole Rusk for 37 yds for a TD (Matt Maldonado KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.06

Cade Chambers pass complete to Harry Van Dyne for 13 yds to the INST 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Plez Lawrence run for 5 yds to the INST 41

2nd & 5Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.49

Cade Chambers pass complete to Harry Van Dyne for 13 yds to the MUR 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.61

Cade Chambers pass complete to Harry Van Dyne for 12 yds to the MUR 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Plez Lawrence run for 3 yds to the MUR 31

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Korbin Allen run for 2 yds to the MUR 29

3rd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.86

Korbin Allen run for 5 yds to the MUR 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.22

Cade Chambers pass complete to Harry Van Dyne for 21 yds to the MUR 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Cade Chambers pass complete to Harry Van Dyne for 3 yds for a TD (Andre Casas KICK)

0th & 0Penalty+5 yds

RUIZ, Stephen kickoff 46 yards from the INS35 to the MUR19, SHIELDS, Taylor returned 15 yards to the MUR34 (EDWARDS, Johnathan;CHAMBERS, Ethan). PENALTY MUR Offsides on MILLER, Dave enforced 5 yards from the INS35 to the INS40. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.13

Cortezz Jones run for no gain to the MUR 49

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.61

DJ Williams run for 2 yds to the INST 49

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

DJ Williams pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Orion Phillips punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Harry Van Dyne at the INST 10

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Cade Chambers pass complete to Lance Rees for 3 yds to the INST 13

2nd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.67

Cade Chambers pass complete to Dakota Caton for 9 yds to the INST 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Cade Chambers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.84

Cade Chambers pass complete to Harry Van Dyne for 15 yds to the INST 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Cade Chambers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Cade Chambers pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Cade Chambers pass incomplete

4th & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA +0.12

Cade Chambers pass incomplete

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

Murray State Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the MUR 48

1st & 25Rush0 ydsPPA -0.72

[NHSG] Kneel down by WILLIAMS, DJ at MUR46 (team loss of 2).

2nd & 27Rush0 ydsPPA -0.31

[NHSG] Kneel down by WILLIAMS, DJ at MUR44 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

Indiana State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
42%
31 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
75%
4 plays
100%
2 plays
50%
14 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
2 plays
100%
1 play

Murray State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
33%
18 plays
67%
3 plays
2nd
25%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
57%
7 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
75%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play