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← Back to GamesOct 8, 2023Week 6
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Weber State by 17.9

Home Win Probability

Weber State 84%

Market (William Hill (New Jersey))

Weber State -8.5

Edge: Weber State -8.5 (9.3 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 8, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Northern Arizona
0200727
Weber State
730010

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-610-20
Weber StateNorthern Arizona

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20WSNAWSNAWSWSNAWSNANAWSNAWSNAWSNAWSNAWSNAWSNAPUNT37ydPUNT64ydTD1373ydTD1056ydTD675ydFG824ydTD1275ydPUNT32ydMISS638ydMISS1545ydDOWNS48ydTO1023ydPUNT412ydPUNT75ydPUNT3-1ydPUNT516ydTO3-5ydPUNT4-5ydDOWNS4-1ydTD339ydTO532ydUncategorized3-2yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Northern Arizona and Weber State
StatisticNorthern ArizonaWeber State
Passing26-3219-30
Pass Yards191119
Rush Yards13061
Total Yards321180
Turnovers12
3rd Down8-172-12
Penalties11-909-85
Possession37:1122:49

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Northern Arizona
passing
Adam Damante
25/31, 183 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Devon Starling
21 CAR, 94 YDS
receiving
Coleman Owen
10 REC, 60 YDS
Weber State
passing
Kylan Weisser
19/30, 119 YDS, 2 INT
rushing
Adrian Cormier
7 CAR, 30 YDS
receiving
Haze Hadley
6 REC, 33 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Kylan Weisser pass complete to Tajon Evans for 5 yds to the WEB 40

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Kris Jackson run for 2 yds to the WEB 42

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

pass incomplete to Jacob Sharp

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Jack Burgess punt for 58 yds

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Devon Starling run for 4 yds to the NAU 24

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Adam Damante pass complete to Coleman Owen for 5 yds to the NAU 29

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.96

Devon Starling run for 4 yds to the NAU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.34

Adam Damante pass complete to Coleman Owen for a loss of 3 yards to the NAU 30

2nd & 13Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.57

Adam Damante sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the NAU 22 Northern Arizona Penalty, intentional grounding (Bryzai White) to the NAU 22

3rd & 21Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.03

Devon Starling run for 2 yds to the NAU 24

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Eemil Herranen punt for 49 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -1.17

Kylan Weisser pass complete to Haze Hadley for a loss of 5 yards to the WEB 22

2nd & 15Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.14

Kylan Weisser pass complete to Jacob Sharp for 14 yds to the WEB 36

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.01

Kylan Weisser run for 2 yds to the WEB 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.09

Kylan Weisser pass complete to Keayen Nead

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Kylan Weisser pass complete to Haze Hadley for 6 yds to the WEB 44

3rd & 4Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.58

Kylan Weisser pass complete to Haze Hadley for 16 yds to the NAU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Adrian Cormier run for 5 yds to the NAU 35

2nd & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.36

Kylan Weisser pass complete to Marvin Session for 8 yds to the NAU 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.18

Adrian Cormier run for 12 yds to the NAU 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Kylan Weisser pass complete to Hayden Meacham for 7 yds to the NAU 8

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.79

Adrian Cormier run for 5 yds to the NAU 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Adrian Cormier run for 2 yds to the NAU 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Kylan Weisser run for 1 yd for a TD (Kyle Thompson KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+44 yds

Sloan Calder kickoff for 65 yds , George Steele return for 44 yds to the NAU 44

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.16

Adam Damante pass complete to Bryzai White

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.11

Devon Starling run for 9 yds to the WEB 47

3rd & 1Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.72

Devon Starling run for 22 yds to the WEB 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.17

Adam Damante run for 1 yd to the WEB 24 for a 1ST down Weber State Penalty, illegal block (Naseme Colvin) to the WEB 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Northern Arizona Penalty, false start (Johny Bottorff) to the WEB 17

1st & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Chase Belcher run for 3 yds to the WEB 14

2nd & 12Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Adam Damante pass complete to Hendrix Johnson for 4 yds to the WEB 10

3rd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.05

Adam Damante pass complete to Hendrix Johnson for 9 yds to the WEB 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96
3rd & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.82

Angel Flores run for 6 yds for a TD (Marcus Lye PAT MISSED)

2nd & 1Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.92

Northern Arizona Penalty, false start (Shawn Dourseau) to the WEB 6

0th & 1End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Kylan Weisser run for 5 yds to the WEB 30

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.84

Kris Jackson run for 6 yds to the WEB 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 33Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.04

Kris Jackson run for 8 yds to the WEB 21

2nd & 25Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.05

Kylan Weisser pass complete to Jacob Sharp for 7 yds to the WEB 28

3rd & 18Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.29

Kylan Weisser pass complete to Kris Jackson for 11 yds to the WEB 39

4th & 7Punt+85 yds

Jack Burgess punt for 46 yds , Coleman Owen returns for 85 yds for a TD (Marcus Lye KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+35 yds

Marcus Lye kickoff for 59 yds , Abraham Williams return for 35 yds to the WEB 41

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Adrian Cormier run for 2 yds to the WEB 43

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion+15 ydsPPA +2.05

Kylan Weisser pass incomplete for a 1ST down Northern Arizona Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Colby Humphrey) to the NAU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.70

Kylan Weisser pass complete to Dahlyn Jones for 1 yd to the NAU 41

2nd & 9Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.15

Kylan Weisser run for 10 yds to the NAU 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Adrian Cormier run for 2 yds to the NAU 29

2nd & 8Penalty-5 yds

Weber State Penalty, false start (Ethan Atagi) to the NAU 34

2nd & 13Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.52

Kylan Weisser pass complete to Hayden Meacham for 2 yds to the NAU 32

3rd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.59

Adrian Cormier run for 2 yds to the NAU 30

4th & 9Penalty-5 yds

Weber State Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the NAU 35

4th & 14Field Goal Good+52 yds

Kyle Thompson 52 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Xander Werner pass complete to Coleman Owen for 8 yds to the NAU 33

2nd & 2Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.51

Adam Damante pass complete to Coleman Owen for 8 yds to the NAU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Adam Damante pass complete to Coleman Owen for 6 yds to the NAU 47

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.24

Adam Damante pass incomplete to Ethen Cluff, broken up by Maxwell Anderson

3rd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.96

Adam Damante pass complete to Devon Starling for 7 yds to the WEB 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Adam Damante pass complete to BJ Fleming for 6 yds to the WEB 40

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.56

Devon Starling run for 2 yds to the WEB 38

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.86

Devon Starling run for 1 yd to the WEB 37

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.69

Devon Starling run for 2 yds to the WEB 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.75

Adam Damante pass complete to Devon Starling for 9 yds to the WEB 26

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.43

Devon Starling run for 4 yds to the WEB 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+22 ydsPPA +2.65

Adam Damante pass complete to Marcus Phillips Jr. for 22 yds for a TD (Marcus Lye KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+15 yds

Marcus Lye kickoff for 65 yds , Abraham Williams return for 15 yds to the WEB 15

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

pass incomplete to Jacob Sharp

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.24

Dallas Larson run for a loss of 2 yards to the WEB 13

3rd & 12Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Dallas Larson run for 4 yds to the WEB 17

4th & 8Punt+5 yds

Jack Burgess punt for 43 yds , Hendrix Johnson returns for 5 yds to the NAU 45

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Adam Damante pass complete to Coleman Owen for 2 yds to the NAU 47

2nd & 8Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +2.22

Adam Damante pass complete to BJ Fleming for 26 yds to the WEB 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.57

Adam Damante sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the WEB 34

2nd & 17Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.41

Adam Damante pass complete to BJ Fleming for 7 yds to the WEB 27

3rd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.32

Adam Damante pass complete to Chase Belcher for 10 yds to the WEB 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Sloan Calder kickoff for 61 yds , George Steele return for 20 yds to the NAU 24

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Devon Starling run for 2 yds to the NAU 26

2nd & 8Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.02

Adam Damante pass complete to Coleman Owen for 16 yds to the NAU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.42

Devon Starling run for 4 yds to the WEB 46 for a 1ST down Weber State Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the WEB 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Adam Damante pass complete to Hendrix Johnson for 5 yds to the WEB 34

2nd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.33

Devon Starling run for 8 yds to the WEB 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Devon Starling run for 4 yds to the WEB 22

2nd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.20

Adam Damante pass complete to BJ Fleming for 7 yds to the WEB 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.09

Devon Starling run for 12 yds to the WEB 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.21

Northern Arizona Penalty, illegal formation (Shawn Dourseau) to the WEB 8

1st & 8Penalty-5 yds

Northern Arizona Penalty, delay of game (Shawn Dourseau) to the WEB 13

1st & 13Sack-11 ydsPPA -1.45

Adam Damante sacked for a loss of 11 yards to the WEB 24

2nd & 24Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Adam Damante pass complete to Hendrix Johnson Weber State Penalty, substitution infraction (5 Yards) to the WEB 19

2nd & 19Rush-15 ydsPPA -3.32

Northern Arizona Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Devon Starling) to the WEB 34

2nd & 34Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Devon Starling run for 3 yds to the WEB 31

3rd & 31Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

pass incomplete to Chase Belcher

4th & 31Field Goal Missed+48 yds

Marcus Lye 48 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Kris Jackson run for 4 yds to the WEB 35

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Kris Jackson run for 3 yds to the WEB 38

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.57

Kylan Weisser run for 1 yd to the WEB 39

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

pass incomplete to Tajon Evans

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.82

Daniel Britt run for 9 yds to the WEB 30

2nd & 1Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.57

Daniel Britt run for a loss of 4 yards to the WEB 34

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

pass incomplete to Hendrix Johnson

4th & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +2.14

Adam Damante pass complete to Coleman Owen for 6 yds to the WEB 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Chase Belcher run for 2 yds to the WEB 26

2nd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Adam Damante pass complete to Coleman Owen for 4 yds to the WEB 22

3rd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.52

Adam Damante pass complete to Xander Werner for 5 yds to the WEB 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Adam Damante pass complete to Xander Werner for 5 yds to the WEB 12

2nd & 5Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.72

Daniel Britt run for a loss of 4 yards to the WEB 16 Northern Arizona Penalty, illegal formation (Shawn Dourseau) to the WEB 16

3rd & 9Interception0 ydsPPA -3.78

Adam Damante pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.49

Kylan Weisser pass complete to Haze Hadley for 19 yds to the WEB 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.09
2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

pass incomplete to Haze Hadley

3rd & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.58

Kylan Weisser sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the WEB 31

4th & 17Punt+12 yds

Jack Burgess punt for 43 yds , Coleman Owen returns for 12 yds to the NAU 38

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Devon Starling run for 5 yds to the NAU 43

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.44

Devon Starling run for 3 yds to the NAU 46

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.36

Angel Flores run for 3 yds to the NAU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Adam Damante pass complete to Devon Starling for 6 yds to the WEB 45

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Devon Starling run for 3 yds to the WEB 42

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.18
4th & 1Rush-15 ydsPPA -1.85

Northern Arizona Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Marcus Phillips Jr.) to the NAU 43

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Eemil Herranen punt for 22 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Kris Jackson run for 2 yds to the WEB 37

2nd & 8Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.07

Kylan Weisser sacked for a loss of 3 yards to the WEB 34

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

pass incomplete to Jacob Sharp

4th & 11Punt+2 yds

Jack Burgess punt for 54 yds , Coleman Owen returns for 2 yds to the NAU 14

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Adam Damante pass complete to Chase Belcher for 3 yds to the NAU 17

2nd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.76

Adam Damante pass complete to Coleman Owen for 8 yds to the NAU 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Chase Belcher run for 5 yds to the NAU 30

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

pass incomplete to Coleman Owen

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Eemil Herranen punt for 33 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Kylan Weisser pass complete to Jacob Sharp for 5 yds to the WEB 42

2nd & 5Penalty-5 yds

Weber State Penalty, false start (Ethan Atagi) to the WEB 37

3rd & 15Interception0 ydsPPA +0.13

Kylan Weisser pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.95

Devon Starling run for a loss of 4 yards to the NAU 41

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion-5 ydsPPA -0.92

Adam Damante pass incomplete to BJ Fleming Northern Arizona Penalty, inelgible downfield on pass (-5 Yards) to the NAU 36

2nd & 19Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Devon Starling run for 1 yd to the NAU 37

3rd & 18Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.08

Devon Starling run for 3 yds to the NAU 40

4th & 15Punt+1 yds

Eemil Herranen punt for 36 yds for a 1ST down , Haze Hadley returns for 1 yd to the WEB 41 for a 1ST down Northern Arizona Penalty, personal foul (Jeff Widener) to the WEB 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.32

Kylan Weisser pass complete to Jacob Sharp for a loss of 1 yard to the WEB 39

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

Kylan Weisser pass incomplete to Hayden Meacham, broken up by Alex McLaughlin

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

pass incomplete to Dallas Larson

4th & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA +0.11

pass incomplete to Tajon Evans

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Northern Arizona Penalty, false start (Terron Carey) to the WEB 44

1st & 15Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.37

Angel Flores run for 22 yds to the WEB 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Angel Flores run for 6 yds to the WEB 16

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +2.46

Angel Flores run for 16 yds for a TD (Marcus Lye KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.06

Kylan Weisser pass complete to Treyshun Hurry for 11 yds to the WEB 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.09

Kylan Weisser pass complete to Tajon Evans for 16 yds to the NAU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Kylan Weisser pass complete to Haze Hadley for 5 yds to the NAU 33

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

pass incomplete to Haze Hadley

3rd & 5Interception0 ydsPPA -3.19

Kylan Weisser pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.14

Angel Flores run for a loss of 1 yard to the NAU 33

2nd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.56

Adam Damante run for a loss of 1 yard to the NAU 32

3rd & 12Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.23

Adam Damante run for a loss of 1 yard to the NAU 32

Situational Analysis

Northern Arizona

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
58%
26 plays
33%
3 plays
2nd
25%
4 plays
40%
10 plays
80%
5 plays
22%
9 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
60%
5 plays
67%
3 plays
0%
4 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play

Weber State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
50%
20 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
100%
2 plays
40%
5 plays
50%
6 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play
33%
6 plays
4th
0%
1 play
100%
1 play