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← Back to GamesSep 30, 2023Week 5
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Montana State by 29.7

Home Win Probability

Montana State 94%

Market (William Hill (New Jersey))

Montana State -24.5

Edge: Montana State -24.5 (5.2 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 30, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Portland State
770822
Montana State
61171438

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428426-06-714-717-717-1424-1431-1441-22
Montana StatePortland State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MSPSMSPSMSPSMSPSMSPSPSMSPSMSPSMSPSMSTD1075ydPUNT34ydPUNT31ydTD865ydTD1075ydDOWNS630ydFG851ydTD975ydPUNT33ydTO524ydPUNT815ydTD292ydMISS1248ydTD560ydPUNT3-1ydTD568ydTD1492ydEND631yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Portland State and Montana State
StatisticPortland StateMontana State
Passing15-2614-21
Pass Yards127143
Rush Yards184313
Total Yards311456
Turnovers20
3rd Down5-134-7
Penalties5-406-65
Possession34:1625:44

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Portland State
passing
Dante Chachere
14/25, 105 YDS, 2 INT
rushing
Dante Chachere
16 CAR, 83 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Quincy Craig
4 REC, 49 YDS
Montana State
passing
Sean Chambers
14/21, 143 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Sean Chambers
4 CAR, 118 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Treyton Pickering
3 REC, 55 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Julius Davis run for 6 yds to the MTST 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.60

Sean Chambers pass complete to Derryk Snell for 5 yds to the MTST 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Sean Chambers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.84

Sean Chambers pass complete to Treyton Pickering for 21 yds to the PRST 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.63

Sean Chambers pass complete to Treyton Pickering for 17 yds to the PRST 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.17

Marqui Johnson run for 12 yds to the PRST 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Julius Davis run for 2 yds to the PRST 12

2nd & 8Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Sean Chambers pass complete to Derryk Snell for 8 yds to the PRST 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.52

Julius Davis run for 1 yd to the PRST 3

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Julius Davis 3 Yd Run (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.96

Jobi Malary run for a loss of 3 yards to the PRST 22

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Dante Chachere pass incomplete

3rd & 13Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.09

Quincy Craig run for 7 yds to the PRST 29

4th & 6Punt0 yds

George Triplett punt for 55 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Sean Chambers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Jared White run for 1 yd to the MTST 31

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Sean Chambers pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Brendan Hall punt for 34 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Quincy Craig run for 2 yds to the PRST 37

2nd & 8Penalty-5 yds

Portland State Penalty, False Start (TEAM) to the PRST 32

2nd & 13Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Dante Chachere run for 6 yds to the PRST 38

3rd & 7Penalty+10 yds

Montana State Penalty, Defensive Holding (TEAM) to the PRST 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Dante Chachere pass complete to Quincy Craig for 1 yd to the PRST 49

2nd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Dante Chachere pass complete to Darien Chase for 7 yds to the MTST 44

3rd & 2Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.13

Dante Chachere pass complete to Quincy Craig for 4 yds to the MTST 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.45

Quincy Craig run for 7 yds to the MTST 33

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Quincy Craig run for 2 yds to the MTST 31

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+31 ydsPPA +3.19

Dante Chachere run for 31 yds for a TD (Gianni Smith KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Sean Chambers pass complete to Jacob Trimble for 6 yds to the MTST 31

2nd & 4Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.09

Julius Davis run for 10 yds to the MTST 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Sean Chambers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.91

Sean Chambers run for a loss of 1 yard to the MTST 40

3rd & 11Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +3.69

Sean Chambers pass complete to Aidan Garrigan for 24 yds to the PRST 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -1.93

Elijah Elliott run for a loss of 6 yards to the PRST 42

2nd & 16Rush+29 ydsPPA +2.41

Sean Chambers run for 29 yds to the PRST 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Julius Davis run for 3 yds to the PRST 10

2nd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.42

Sean Chambers pass complete to Derryk Snell for 8 yds to the PRST 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Derryk Snell 2 Yd pass from Sean Chambers (Sean Chambers Run for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Dante Chachere pass complete to Jermaine Braddock for 6 yds to the PRST 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +2.69

Dante Chachere pass complete to Quincy Craig for 32 yds to the MTST 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Dante Chachere pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.19

Quincy Craig run for a loss of 1 yard to the MTST 38

3rd & 11Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.46

Dante Chachere sacked for a loss of 3 yards to the MTST 41

4th & 14Interception0 ydsPPA -0.55

Dante Chachere pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Sean Chambers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.34

Sean Chambers pass complete to Treyton Pickering for 17 yds to the PRST 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.46

Julius Davis run for 17 yds to the PRST 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.31

Sean Chambers pass complete to Ty McCullouch for 13 yds to the PRST 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Jared White run for 4 yds to the PRST 4

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Jared White run for 2 yds to the PRST 2

3rd & 2Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.44

Julius Davis run for a loss of 2 yards to the PRST 4

4th & 4Field Goal Good+21 yds

Brendan Hall 21 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Dante Chachere pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

Montana State Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Rylan Ortt) to the PRST 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Quincy Craig run for 4 yds to the PRST 46

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Dante Chachere pass incomplete

3rd & 6Penalty+15 yds

Montana State Penalty, Targeting on ASKELSON, Nolan enforced (Nolan Askelson) to the MTST 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.50

Quincy Craig run for a loss of 4 yards to the MTST 40

2nd & 14Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Quincy Craig run for 6 yds to the MTST 34

3rd & 8Penalty+15 yds

CHACHERE, Dante pass to the right incomplete intended for BENNETT, Nate thrown to the MSU34. PENALTY MSU Pass Interference enforced 15 yards to the MSU19 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Dante Chachere pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rushing Touchdown+19 ydsPPA +2.97

D. Chachere run for 19 yds for a TD (G. Smith KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Sean Chambers pass complete to Ty McCullouch for 1 yd to the MTST 26

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Sean Chambers run for 2 yds to the MTST 28

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Sean Chambers pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Brendan Hall punt for 48 yds, downed at the PRST 24

1st & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.91

Dante Chachere sacked for a loss of 3 yards to the PRST 21

2nd & 13Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.72

Quincy Craig run for 13 yds to the PRST 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.15

Dante Chachere pass complete to Quincy Craig for 12 yds to the PRST 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Quincy Craig run for 2 yds to the PRST 48

2nd & 8Interception0 ydsPPA -2.14

Dante Chachere pass intercepted

0th & 8End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Dante Chachere pass complete to Jermaine Braddock for 3 yds to the PRST 28

2nd & 7Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.13

Quincy Craig run for 7 yds to the PRST 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.18

Quincy Craig run for a loss of 1 yard to the PRST 34

2nd & 11Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.44

Dante Chachere pass complete to Andrew Van Buren for 1 yd to the PRST 35

3rd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.13

Dante Chachere run for 6 yds to the PRST 41

4th & 4Penalty+5 yds

Montana State Penalty, Illegal Substitution (TEAM) to the PRST 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

run for 2 yds to the PRST 48

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Dante Chachere pass incomplete

3rd & 8Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.28

Dante Chachere sacked by McCade O'Reilly for a loss of 8 yards to the PRST 40

4th & 16Punt0 yds

George Triplett punt for 52 yds

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Elijah Elliott run for 4 yds to the MTST 12

2nd & 6Rushing Touchdown+88 ydsPPA +6.89

S. Chambers run for 88 yds for a TD (B. Hall KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Brendan Hall kickoff for 79 yds , return for no gain to the PRST 12

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Jobi Malary run for 4 yds to the PRST 16

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Dante Chachere run for 4 yds to the PRST 20

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.69

Dante Chachere run for 4 yds to the PRST 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Andrew Van Buren run for 6 yds to the PRST 30

2nd & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.87

Jobi Malary run for 8 yds to the PRST 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.94

Dante Chachere run for 10 yds to the PRST 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.14

Dante Chachere pass complete to Jermaine Braddock for no gain to the PRST 48

2nd & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +2.06

Dante Chachere run for 14 yds to the MTST 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.98

Quincy Craig run for a loss of 1 yard to the MTST 39

2nd & 11Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Quincy Craig run for 4 yds to the MTST 35

3rd & 7Penalty-10 yds

Portland State Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the MTST 45

3rd & 17Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Dante Chachere run for 5 yds to the MTST 40

4th & 12Field Goal Missed+57 yds

Gianni Smith 57 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.50

Sean Chambers pass complete to Marqui Johnson for a loss of 2 yards to the MTST 38

2nd & 12Rush+40 ydsPPA +3.60

Elijah Elliott run for 40 yds to the PRST 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.40

Elijah Elliott run for no gain to the PRST 22

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Jared White run for 2 yds to the PRST 20

3rd & 8Passing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +3.32

S. Chambers pass to C. Thomas for 20 yds for a TD (B. Hall KICK)

1st & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -1.22

Dante Chachere sacked by Blake Hehl for a loss of 10 yards to the PRST 15

2nd & 20Rush0 ydsPPA -0.06

Quincy Craig run for no gain to the PRST 15

3rd & 20Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.06

Dante Chachere run for 9 yds to the PRST 24

4th & 11Punt0 yds

George Triplett punt for 44 yds, downed at the MTST 32

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Jared White run for 4 yds to the MTST 36

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Jared White run for 5 yds to the MTST 41

3rd & 1Rush+51 ydsPPA +3.25

Jared White run for 51 yds to the PRST 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Elijah Elliott run for 5 yds to the PRST 3

2nd & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

S. Chambers pass to D. Snell for 3 yds for a TD (B. Hall KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Brendan Hall kickoff for 65 yds , return for no gain to the PRST 8

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.55

Christian Grubb run for 8 yds to the PRST 16

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Dante Chachere pass incomplete

3rd & 2Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.50

Christian Grubb run for 17 yds to the PRST 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Dante Chachere pass complete to Tanner Beaman for 7 yds to the PRST 40

2nd & 3Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.81

Quincy Craig run for 9 yds to the PRST 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.73

Dante Chachere pass complete to Jermaine Braddock for 11 yds to the MTST 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Quincy Craig run for 2 yds to the MTST 38

2nd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Dante Chachere pass complete to Jermaine Braddock for 6 yds to the MTST 32

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

Dante Chachere pass incomplete

4th & 2Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.72

Dante Chachere pass complete to Jermaine Braddock for 13 yds to the MTST 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Dante Chachere pass incomplete

2nd & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.01

Dante Chachere sacked by Kenneth Eiden IV for a loss of 4 yards to the MTST 23

3rd & 14Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +3.04

Quincy Craig pass complete to Marquis Spiker for 22 yds to the MTST 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Jobi Malary 1 Yd Run (Dante Chachere Pass to Nate Bennett for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +0.52

Jared White run for 19 yds to the PRST 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Jared White run for 4 yds to the PRST 16

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Sean Chambers pass incomplete

3rd & 6Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.99

Jared White run for 10 yds to the PRST 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

[SG] Kneel down by MSU at PSU7 (team loss of 1).

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.28

[SG] Kneel down by MSU at PSU8 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

Portland State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
30%
27 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
56%
9 plays
43%
7 plays
3rd
80%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
80%
5 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play

Montana State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
2 plays
36%
22 plays
2nd
100%
2 plays
67%
6 plays
44%
9 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play
33%
3 plays
100%
1 play
4th