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← Back to GamesSep 24, 2023Week 4
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Montana State by 1.2

Home Win Probability

Weber State 46%

Market (William Hill (New Jersey))

Weber State +7

Edge: Weber State +7 (5.8 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 24, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Montana State
02002040
Weber State
00000

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-70-200-260-40
Weber StateMontana State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20WSMSWSMSWSMSWSMSWSMSWSMSWSMSMSWSMSWSMSMSWSMSWSWSMSPUNT36ydPUNT38ydPUNT3-3ydMISS1054ydPUNT622ydTD594ydPUNT34ydPUNT3-5ydPUNT36ydTD672ydTO37ydTD246ydPUNT78ydMISS1137ydPUNT59ydDOWNS1452ydPUNT742ydDOWNS720ydTD124ydTD156ydDOWNS944ydTD769ydDOWNS931ydPUNT32ydUncategorized32yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Montana State and Weber State
StatisticMontana StateWeber State
Passing8-1714-29
Pass Yards172101
Rush Yards346107
Total Yards518208
Turnovers01
3rd Down5-123-17
Penalties5-505-44
Possession30:5029:10

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Montana State
passing
Sean Chambers
8/17, 172 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Julius Davis
14 CAR, 132 YDS
receiving
Treyton Pickering
3 REC, 83 YDS, 2 TD
Weber State
passing
Kylan Weisser
14/29, 101 YDS
rushing
Damon Bankston
14 CAR, 36 YDS
receiving
Treyshun Hurry
2 REC, 30 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.89

Damon Bankston run for 8 yds to the WEB 32

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

pass incomplete to Treyshun Hurry

3rd & 2Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.72

Kris Jackson run for a loss of 2 yards to the WEB 30

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+24 yds

Brendan Hall kickoff for 65 yds , Abraham Williams return for 24 yds to the WEB 24

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Jack Burgess punt for 70 yds

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Julius Davis run for 5 yds to the MTST 25

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.39

Julius Davis run for 2 yds to the MTST 27

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.34

Julius Davis run for 1 yd to the MTST 28

4th & 2Punt+2 yds

Brendan Hall punt for 41 yds , Haze Hadley returns for 2 yds to the WEB 33

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Damon Bankston run for 4 yds to the WEB 37

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

pass incomplete to Damon Bankston

3rd & 6Penalty-5 yds

Weber State Penalty, false start (Damon Bankston) to the WEB 32

3rd & 11Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.28

Kylan Weisser pass complete to Treyshun Hurry for a loss of 2 yards to the WEB 30

4th & 13Punt+9 yds

Jack Burgess punt for 49 yds , Jacob Trimble returns for 9 yds to the MTST 30

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Julius Davis run for 1 yd to the MTST 31

2nd & 9Penalty-5 yds

Montana State Penalty, false start (Treyton Pickering) to the MTST 26

2nd & 14Rush0 ydsPPA -0.24
3rd & 14Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +3.03

Sean Chambers pass complete to Clevan Thomas for 20 yds to the MTST 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Sean Chambers pass incomplete to Treyton Pickering, broken up by LJ Anderson

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.99

Jared White run for 11 yds to the WEB 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +0.72

Sean Chambers pass complete to Aidan Garrigan for 22 yds to the WEB 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.30

Jared White run for 1 yd to the WEB 20

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Elijah Elliott run for 2 yds to the WEB 18

3rd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Sean Chambers run for 2 yds to the WEB 16

4th & 5Field Goal Missed+33 yds

Brendan Hall 33 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.87

Kylan Weisser run for 12 yds to the WEB 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Kylan Weisser pass complete to Haze Hadley for 5 yds to the WEB 37

2nd & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.14

Kylan Weisser pass complete to Haze Hadley for 8 yds to the WEB 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Damon Bankston run for 2 yds to the WEB 47

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

pass incomplete to Jayleen Record

3rd & 8Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.09

Kylan Weisser sacked for a loss of 5 yards to the WEB 42

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Jack Burgess punt for 52 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +1.75

Sean Chambers pass complete to Treyton Pickering for 30 yds to the MTST 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Julius Davis run for 8 yds to the MTST 44

2nd & 2Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.87

Sean Chambers run for 15 yds to the WEB 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.45

Julius Davis run for 12 yds to the WEB 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+29 ydsPPA +2.79

Sean Chambers pass complete to Treyton Pickering for 29 yds for a TD (Brendan Hall KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Kylan Weisser run for 3 yds to the WEB 28

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Damon Bankston run for 1 yd to the WEB 29

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

pass incomplete to Damon Bankston

4th & 6Punt+3 yds

Jack Burgess punt for 46 yds , Jacob Trimble returns for 3 yds to the MTST 28

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-5 ydsPPA -1.23

Sean Chambers run for a loss of 5 yards to the MTST 23 Sean Chambers fumbled, recovered by MTST

2nd & 15Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.22

Jared White run for a loss of 2 yards to the MTST 21

3rd & 17Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.04

Jared White run for 2 yds to the MTST 23

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Brendan Hall punt for 57 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Kylan Weisser pass complete to Hayden Meacham for 3 yds to the WEB 23

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

pass incomplete to Jayleen Record

3rd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Adrian Cormier run for 3 yds to the WEB 26

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Jack Burgess punt for 46 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Sean Chambers pass incomplete to Aidan Garrigan, broken up by LJ Anderson

2nd & 10Rush+33 ydsPPA +3.51

Julius Davis run for 33 yds to the WEB 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.82

Sean Chambers run for 9 yds to the WEB 30

2nd & 1Rush+20 ydsPPA -0.19

Jared White run for 20 yds to the WEB 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

pass incomplete to Marqui Johnson

2nd & 10Rushing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.80

Sean Chambers run for 10 yds for a TD (Brendan Hall PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Kris Jackson run for 3 yds to the WEB 28

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Kris Jackson run for 4 yds to the WEB 32

3rd & 3Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+14 ydsPPA -0.53

Kris Jackson run for 14 yds to the WEB 46 Kris Jackson fumbled, recovered by MTST Jon Johnson

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.75

Julius Davis run for 17 yds to the WEB 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+29 ydsPPA +2.79

Sean Chambers run for 29 yds for a TD (Brendan Hall KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Kylan Weisser run for 1 yd to the WEB 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.37

Kylan Weisser pass complete to Jacob Sharp for 7 yds to the WEB 33

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Damon Bankston run for 1 yd to the WEB 34

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.65

Kylan Weisser run for 2 yds to the WEB 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Kylan Weisser run for 3 yds to the WEB 39

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

pass incomplete to Jacob Sharp

3rd & 7Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.79

Kylan Weisser sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the WEB 33

4th & 13Punt+3 yds

Jack Burgess punt for 39 yds , Jacob Trimble returns for 3 yds to the MTST 31

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

pass incomplete to Clevan Thomas

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.61

Sean Chambers run for 8 yds to the MTST 39

3rd & 2Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.96

Julius Davis run for 10 yds to the MTST 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

pass incomplete to Christian Anaya

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

pass incomplete to Jared White

3rd & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +3.19

Sean Chambers pass complete to Clevan Thomas for 19 yds to the WEB 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

pass incomplete to Aidan Garrigan

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

Sean Chambers pass incomplete to Clevan Thomas, broken up by Abraham Williams

4th & 10Field Goal Missed+39 yds

Brendan Hall 39 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.24

Sean Chambers pass complete to Clevan Thomas for 11 yds to the WEB 21 for a 1ST down

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Julius Davis run for 6 yds to the MTST 31

2nd & 4Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.18

Julius Davis run for 11 yds to the MTST 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Jared White run for 4 yds to the MTST 46

2nd & 6Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.93

Sean Chambers sacked for a loss of 5 yards to the MTST 41

3rd & 11Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.65

Sean Chambers sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the MTST 34

4th & 18Punt+11 yds

Brendan Hall punt for 42 yds , Haze Hadley returns for 11 yds to the WEB 35

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

pass incomplete to Keayen Nead

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Kylan Weisser pass incomplete to Jayleen Record, broken up by Jon Johnson

3rd & 10Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +3.95

Kylan Weisser pass complete to Treyshun Hurry for 32 yds to the MTST 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

pass incomplete to Treyshun Hurry

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.36

Kylan Weisser pass complete to Tajon Evans for 7 yds to the MTST 26

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.41

Damon Bankston run for 2 yds to the MTST 24

4th & 1Rush-14 ydsPPA -3.41

Kylan Weisser run for 1 yd to the MTST 23 for a 1ST down Weber State Penalty, personal foul (Jayleen Record) to the MTST 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

pass incomplete to Kris Jackson

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

Weber State Penalty, false start (Andrew Carter) to the MTST 43

2nd & 15Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.48

Kylan Weisser pass complete to Kris Jackson for a loss of 3 yards to the MTST 46 for a 1ST down Montana State Penalty, personal foul (Danny Uluilakepa) to the MTST 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.21

Damon Bankston run for 10 yds to the MTST 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.63

Kylan Weisser pass complete to Keayen Nead for 9 yds to the MTST 12

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.58
3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.55

Damon Bankston run for a loss of 1 yard to the MTST 13

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.87

Kylan Weisser pass incomplete to Treyshun Hurry, broken up by Jon Johnson

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.27

Julius Davis run for 20 yds to the MTST 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Julius Davis run for 7 yds to the MTST 40

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.75

Jared White run for 2 yds to the MTST 42

3rd & 1Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.79

Jared White run for 10 yds to the WEB 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Jared White run for 2 yds to the WEB 46

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.88

Jared White run for 1 yd to the WEB 45

3rd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.97
4th & 7Punt+41 yds

Brendan Hall punt for 37 yds Weber State Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Maxwell Anderson) to the WEB 4

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Adrian Cormier run for 4 yds to the WEB 8

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Adrian Cormier run for 3 yds to the WEB 11

3rd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.54

Adrian Cormier run for 6 yds to the WEB 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Haze Hadley run for 3 yds to the WEB 20

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Adrian Cormier run for 2 yds to the WEB 22

3rd & 5Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.35

Kylan Weisser sacked for a loss of 5 yards to the WEB 17

4th & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.34

Jack Burgess run for 7 yds to the WEB 24

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+24 ydsPPA +2.68

Treyton Pickering 24 Yd pass from Sean Chambers (Brendan Hall PAT blocked)

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+56 ydsPPA +4.37

Elijah Elliott run for 56 yds for a TD (Casey Kautzman KICK)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Kylan Weisser run for 8 yds to the WEB 33

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.12

Damon Bankston run for 4 yds to the WEB 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Kylan Weisser run for 6 yds to the WEB 43

2nd & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.89

Kylan Weisser pass complete to Haze Hadley for 8 yds to the MTST 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion+15 ydsPPA +0.83

pass incomplete to Jaden Thrower for a 1ST down Montana State Penalty, personal foul (Ben Seymour) to the MTST 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Damon Bankston run for 2 yds to the MTST 32

2nd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Kylan Weisser pass complete to Jaden Thrower for 6 yds to the MTST 26

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.58

Damon Bankston run for 1 yd to the MTST 25

4th & 1Sack-6 ydsPPA -3.35

Kylan Weisser sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the MTST 31

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.68

Sean Chambers pass complete to Clevan Thomas for 17 yds to the MTST 48 Montana State Penalty, Offensive holding (Javonte King) to the MTST 38

1st & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA -0.97

Sean Chambers run for 7 yds to the MTST 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Sean Chambers sacked for a loss of 11 yards to the MTST 34 for a 1ST down Weber State Penalty, personal foul (Brayden Wilson) to the MTST 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.36

Julius Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the MTST 48

2nd & 11Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Jared White run for 4 yds to the WEB 48

3rd & 7Rush+34 ydsPPA +2.90

Sean Chambers run for 34 yds to the WEB 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.55

Jared White run for 14 yds for a TD (Casey Kautzman KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Kris Jackson run for 5 yds to the WEB 30

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Kris Jackson run for 3 yds to the WEB 33

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.25

Kris Jackson run for 4 yds to the WEB 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Kylan Weisser pass complete to Jayleen Record for 8 yds to the WEB 45

2nd & 2Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.09

Kylan Weisser pass complete to Jayleen Record for 4 yds to the WEB 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.12

Kylan Weisser pass complete to Hayden Meacham for 9 yds to the MTST 42

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

pass incomplete

3rd & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.64

Kylan Weisser run for a loss of 2 yards to the MTST 44

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.39

pass incomplete to Jayleen Record

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.67

Damon Bankston run for 7 yds to the WEB 37

2nd & 3Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.84

Damon Bankston run for a loss of 5 yards to the WEB 32

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

pass incomplete to Treyshun Hurry

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Jack Burgess punt for 43 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Elijah Elliott run for 3 yds to the MTST 28

Situational Analysis

Montana State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
55%
31 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
50%
8 plays
0%
3 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
40%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
4th

Weber State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
48%
25 plays
2nd
33%
6 plays
40%
5 plays
30%
10 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
22%
9 plays
0%
2 plays
20%
5 plays
0%
1 play
4th
20%
5 plays
100%
1 play