Skip to main content
← Back to GamesSep 23, 2023Week 4
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Portland State by 8

Home Win Probability

Portland State 69%

Market (William Hill (New Jersey))

Portland State -10.5

Edge: Cal Poly +10.5 (2.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 23, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Cal Poly
770721
Portland State
21317059

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428425614-721-728-731-738-752-1459-1459-21
Portland StateCal Poly

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20CPPSCPPSCPPSCPPSCPPSCPPSCPPSCPCPPSCPPSCPPSCPPSCPPSCPPSTD475ydTD257ydTO3-2ydTO1-12ydPUNT627ydTD680ydPUNT37ydTD883ydPUNT3-2ydFG730ydPUNT627ydTD375ydTO2-17ydTD18ydPUNT37ydTD321ydTD363ydPUNT623ydEND1-2ydPUNT3-5ydPUNT3-1ydPUNT526ydTD1585ydTD966ydPUNT514ydPUNT620ydUncategorized22yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Cal Poly and Portland State
StatisticCal PolyPortland State
Passing14-289-11
Pass Yards16673
Rush Yards97399
Total Yards263472
Turnovers22
3rd Down5-157-10
Penalties5-407-64
Possession25:4830:06

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Cal Poly
passing
Sam Huard
5/12, 103 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Aiden Ramos
15 CAR, 93 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Bryson Allen
2 REC, 60 YDS, 1 TD
Portland State
passing
Dante Chachere
8/10, 71 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Jobi Malary
11 CAR, 119 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Quincy Craig
3 REC, 41 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

0th & 0Kickoff Return Touchdown+99 yds

Christian Grubb 99 Yd Kickoff Return (Gianni Smith Kick)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Troy Fletcher run for no gain to the CP 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.69

Sam Huard pass complete to Tyrece Fairly-Diyem for 22 yds to the CP 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Troy Fletcher run for 4 yds to the PRST 49

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+49 ydsPPA +4.25

S. Huard pass to B. Allen for 49 yds for a TD (N. Serna KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Jobi Malary run for 6 yds to the PRST 49

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+51 ydsPPA +4.07

Dante Chachere run for 51 yds for a TD (Gianni Smith KICK)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.10

Troy Fletcher run for a loss of 2 yards to the CP 28

2nd & 12Rush0 ydsPPA -0.34

Sam Huard run for no gain to the CP 28

3rd & 12Interception0 ydsPPA +0.13

Sam Huard pass intercepted

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-12 ydsPPA -4.45

Dante Chachere run for a loss of 12 yards to the CP 29 Dante Chachere fumbled, recovered by CP Zachary Denis

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Sam Huard pass complete to Logan Booher for 3 yds to the CP 32

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

Sam Huard pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +3.38

Sam Huard pass complete to Carlton Brown III for 24 yds to the PRST 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.97

Paul Holyfield Jr. run for no gain to the PRST 44

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Sam Huard pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Sam Huard pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Jesse Ehrlich punt for 44 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Dante Chachere pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.26

Andrew Van Buren run for no gain to the PRST 20

3rd & 10Penalty-5 yds

Portland State Penalty, False Start (Billy Lutui) to the PRST 15

3rd & 15Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.72

Dante Chachere pass complete to Quincy Craig for 16 yds to the PRST 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.38

Dante Chachere pass complete to Nate Bennett for 6 yds to the PRST 37

2nd & 4Penalty-5 yds

Portland State Penalty, False Start (Dallas Holliday) to the PRST 32

2nd & 9Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.98

Jermaine Braddock run for 12 yds to the PRST 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+56 ydsPPA +4.37

Jobi Malary run for 56 yds for a TD (Gianni Smith KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Troy Fletcher run for 4 yds to the CP 31

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Troy Fletcher run for 5 yds to the CP 36

3rd & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.96

Troy Fletcher run for a loss of 2 yards to the CP 34

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Jesse Ehrlich punt for 44 yds , Quincy Craig returns for no gain to the PRST 17

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Jobi Malary run for 4 yds to the PRST 21

2nd & 6Penalty+15 yds

Cal Poly Penalty, Personal Foul (Jeremy Justice) to the PRST 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Jobi Malary run for 4 yds to the PRST 38

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.94

Quincy Craig run for no gain to the PRST 38

3rd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.42

Dante Chachere pass complete to Darien Chase for 10 yds to the PRST 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

(01:38) CRAIG, Quincy rush to the right for no gain to the PSU48 (JORDAN, Julius), clock 01:35. PENALTY Before the snap, CPO Illegal Substitution enforced 5 yards from the PSU48 to the CPO47. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Quincy Craig run for no gain to the CP 47

2nd & 5Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.85

Quincy Craig run for a loss of 3 yards to the 50 yard line

3rd & 8Rushing Touchdown+50 ydsPPA +5.76

Dante Chachere run for 50 yds for a TD (Gianni Smith KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Sam Huard pass complete to Carlton Brown III for 5 yds to the CP 30

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Sam Huard pass incomplete

3rd & 5Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.59

Sam Huard sacked by Slade Shufelt for a loss of 7 yards to the CP 23

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Jesse Ehrlich punt for 35 yds, downed at the PRST 42

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.99

Quincy Craig run for 8 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.33

Quincy Craig run for no gain to the 50 yard line

3rd & 2Rush+20 ydsPPA +2.08

Jobi Malary run for 20 yds to the CP 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Jobi Malary run for 3 yds to the CP 27

2nd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.79

Jobi Malary run for a loss of 1 yard to the CP 28

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.92

Dante Chachere pass incomplete

4th & 8Field Goal Good+45 yds

Gianni Smith 45 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.42

Aiden Ramos run for 16 yds to the CP 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Sam Huard pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +2.18

Aiden Ramos run for 12 yds to the PRST 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.77

Aiden Ramos run for 8 yds to the PRST 39

2nd & 2Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.99

Aiden Ramos run for a loss of 4 yards to the PRST 43

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Sam Huard pass incomplete

4th & 6Penalty-5 yds

Cal Poly Penalty, False Start (Ethan Bronson) to the PRST 48

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Jesse Ehrlich punt for 23 yds

1st & 10Rush+70 ydsPPA +4.19

Andrew Van Buren run for 70 yds to the CP 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Andrew Van Buren run for 4 yds to the CP 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Andrew Van Buren run for 1 yd for a TD (Gianni Smith KICK)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Sam Huard run for 8 yds to the CP 33

2nd & 2Sack-25 ydsPPA -2.23

Sam Huard sacked for a loss of 25 yards to the CP 8

1st & 8Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.32

Jobi Malary run for 8 yds for a TD (Gianni Smith KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Troy Fletcher run for 2 yds to the CP 37

2nd & 8Penalty-5 yds

Cal Poly Penalty, False Start (Austin Anderson) to the CP 32

2nd & 13Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.44

Troy Fletcher run for a loss of 1 yard to the CP 31

3rd & 14Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.52

Bo Kelly pass complete to Bryson Allen for 11 yds to the CP 42

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Ryan Collins punt for 40 yds , returns for no gain to the PRST 21

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Bo Kelly pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.60

Bo Kelly pass complete to Tyrece Fairly-Diyem for 12 yds to the PRST 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Aiden Ramos run for 4 yds for a TD (Noah Serna KICK)

1st & 10Rush+53 ydsPPA +2.54

Quincy Craig run for 53 yds to the CP 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Quincy Craig run for 7 yds to the CP 3

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Quincy Craig run for 3 yds for a TD (Gianni Smith KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Bo Kelly pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.48

Bo Kelly pass complete to Tyrece Fairly-Diyem for 8 yds to the CP 33

3rd & 2Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.93

Bo Kelly pass complete to Tyrece Fairly-Diyem for 11 yds to the CP 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Bo Kelly pass complete to Troy Fletcher for 3 yds to the CP 47

2nd & 7Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Bo Kelly pass complete to Evan Burkhart for 1 yd to the CP 48

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Bo Kelly pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Ryan Collins punt for 31 yds

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.59

(00:05) Kneel down by CHACHERE, Dante at PSU19 (team loss of 2), clock 00:01.

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.28

Paul Holyfield Jr. run for a loss of 4 yards to the CP 26

2nd & 14Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.28

Bo Kelly pass complete to Logan Booher for a loss of 1 yard to the CP 25

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.09

Bo Kelly pass incomplete

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Ryan Collins punt for 49 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.00

Dante Chachere pass complete to Christian Grubb for a loss of 3 yards to the PRST 23

2nd & 13Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.19

Christian Grubb run for 1 yd to the PRST 24

3rd & 12Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.10

Christian Grubb run for 1 yd to the PRST 25

4th & 11Punt0 yds

George Triplett punt for 51 yds , Xavier Oliphant returns for no gain to the CP 15

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Troy Fletcher run for 6 yds to the CP 21

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Bo Kelly pass incomplete

3rd & 4Penalty+15 yds

(11:10) KELLY, Bo pass to the right incomplete intended for GARRISON, Jordan thrown to the CPO35, clock 11:07. PENALTY PSU Pass Interference on AVERY, Isaiah enforced 15 yards to the CPO36 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Bo Kelly pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.48

Troy Fletcher run for 7 yds to the CP 43

3rd & 3Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.08

Sam Huard run for a loss of 2 yards to the CP 41

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Ryan Collins punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Jermaine Braddock at the PRST 15

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.45

Dante Chachere pass complete to Quincy Craig for 7 yds to the PRST 22

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.57

Quincy Craig run for 1 yd to the PRST 23

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.67

Jobi Malary run for 2 yds to the PRST 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Dante Chachere pass complete to Semaj Bolin for 8 yds to the PRST 33

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Christian Grubb run for 1 yd to the PRST 34

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.15

Andrew Van Buren run for 4 yds to the PRST 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.09

Andrew Van Buren run for no gain to the PRST 38

2nd & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.56

Jobi Malary run for 17 yds to the CP 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.00

Jobi Malary run for no gain to the CP 45

2nd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.50

Quincy Craig run for 10 yds to the CP 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Quincy Craig run for 3 yds to the CP 32

2nd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.52

Dante Chachere pass complete to Nate Bennett for 9 yds to the CP 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.32

Christian Grubb run for 1 yd to the CP 22

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Christian Grubb run for 4 yds to the CP 18

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +3.04

Dante Chachere pass complete to Quincy Craig for 18 yds for a TD (Gianni Smith KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Aiden Ramos run for 3 yds to the CP 37

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Aiden Ramos run for 3 yds to the CP 40

3rd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.90

Bo Kelly run for 6 yds to the CP 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.00

Aiden Ramos run for 14 yds to the PRST 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Aiden Ramos run for 3 yds to the PRST 37

2nd & 7Rush+22 ydsPPA +0.90

Aiden Ramos run for 22 yds to the PRST 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Aiden Ramos run for 4 yds to the PRST 11

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Bo Kelly pass incomplete

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.91

Bo Kelly pass complete to Aidan Scott for 11 yds for a TD (Noah Serna KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Christian Grubb run for 3 yds to the PRST 40

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.46

Christian Grubb run for 8 yds to the PRST 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Christian Grubb run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.29

Jalynnee McGee run for a loss of 1 yard to the PRST 49

3rd & 9Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.46

Logan Gonzalez pass complete to Jalynnee McGee for 2 yds to the CP 49

4th & 7Punt0 yds

George Triplett punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Xavier Oliphant at the CP 10

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.46

Aiden Ramos run for a loss of 3 yards to the CP 7

2nd & 13Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.09

Aiden Ramos run for 7 yds to the CP 14

3rd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.83

Bo Kelly pass complete to Aidan Scott for 7 yds to the CP 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Aiden Ramos run for 5 yds to the CP 26

2nd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.72

Aiden Ramos run for a loss of 1 yard to the CP 25

3rd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Bo Kelly run for 5 yds to the CP 30

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Ryan Collins punt for 46 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Jalynnee McGee run for 1 yd to the PRST 33

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Jalynnee McGee run for 1 yd to the PRST 34

Situational Analysis

Cal Poly

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
29%
24 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
33%
6 plays
60%
10 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
57%
7 plays
50%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
4th

Portland State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
42%
24 plays
2nd
40%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
50%
10 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
100%
3 plays
100%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
4th