Skip to main content
← Back to GamesOct 28, 2023Week 9
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Abilene Christian by 3.9

Home Win Probability

Southern Utah 38%

Market (Caesars Sportsbook (Colorado))

Southern Utah -3.5

Edge: Abilene Christian +3.5 (7.4 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 28, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Abilene Christian
770014
Southern Utah
721141052

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428425614-728-1449-14
Southern UtahAbilene Christian

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ACSUACSUACSUACSUACSUSUACSUACSUACSUACSUACSUACSUACSUACPUNT38ydPUNT38ydPUNT34ydPUNT834ydTO410ydTD216ydTD263ydTD1075ydPUNT5-3ydMISS213ydTD381ydTO20ydTD219ydPUNT729ydPUNT3-4ydTD745ydPUNT517ydTO518ydTD432ydPUNT610ydTD860ydPUNT3-4ydTD953ydPUNT38ydFG1478ydUncategorized630yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Abilene Christian and Southern Utah
StatisticAbilene ChristianSouthern Utah
Passing9-2319-22
Pass Yards74174
Rush Yards149308
Total Yards223482
Turnovers30
3rd Down4-128-13
Penalties6-444-29
Possession23:1536:45

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Abilene Christian
passing
Maverick McIvor
9/21, 74 YDS, 1 TD, 3 INT
rushing
Jordon Vaughn
12 CAR, 108 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jed Castles
4 REC, 37 YDS, 1 TD
Southern Utah
passing
Justin Miller
18/21, 172 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Targhee Lambson
8 CAR, 101 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Isaiah Wooden
9 REC, 119 YDS, 2 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Jordon Vaughn run for 1 yd to the ACU 11

2nd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.31

Maverick McIvor pass complete to Tristan Golightly for 8 yds to the ACU 19

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.41

Jermiah Dobbins run for a loss of 1 yard to the ACU 18

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Grant Nickel punt for 42 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.32

Justin Miller pass complete to Timothy Patrick for a loss of 1 yard to the SUU 39

2nd & 11Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Justin Miller pass complete to Gabe Nunez for 5 yds to the SUU 44

3rd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Justin Miller pass complete to Isaiah Wooden for 4 yds to the SUU 48

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Justin Miller punt for 32 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Maverick McIvor pass complete to Tristan Golightly for 1 yd to the ACU 21

2nd & 9Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Maverick McIvor pass complete to Jed Castles for 3 yds to the ACU 24

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Maverick McIvor pass incomplete to Blayne Taylor, broken up by Quadir Lockett-Smith

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Grant Nickel punt for 60 yds , Isaiah Wooden returns for no gain to the SUU 14

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.94

Braedon Wissler run for 9 yds to the SUU 23

2nd & 1Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Justin Miller pass complete to Braedon Wissler for 2 yds to the SUU 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Patrick Jr.,Tim rush right (Kelly,Izaiah).

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Braedon Wissler run for 4 yds to the SUU 29

3rd & 6Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.18

Justin Miller pass complete to Isaiah Wooden for 12 yds to the SUU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.83

Justin Miller run for a loss of 4 yards to the SUU 37

2nd & 14Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Justin Miller run for 5 yds to the SUU 42

3rd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Justin Miller pass complete to Chase Merrell for 6 yds to the SUU 48

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Justin Miller punt for 39 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.69

Maverick McIvor pass complete to Blayne Taylor for 13 yds to the ACU 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Maverick McIvor run for 4 yds to the ACU 30

2nd & 6Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.11

Maverick McIvor sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the ACU 23

3rd & 13Interception0 ydsPPA +0.23

Maverick McIvor pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Braedon Wissler run for 2 yds to the ACU 14

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.75

Justin Miller pass complete to Isaiah Wooden for 14 yds for a TD (Tyler Graham KICK)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Jordon Vaughn run for 8 yds to the ACU 45

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+55 ydsPPA +4.01

Jordon Vaughn run for 55 yds for a TD (Kyle Ramsey KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Braedon Wissler run for 3 yds to the SUU 28

2nd & 7Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.10

Braedon Wissler run for 17 yds to the SUU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jordan Jefferson run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Grady Robison pass complete to Braedon Wissler for 2 yds to the ACU 29

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.34

Grady Robison run for 7 yds to the ACU 22

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.24

Braedon Wissler run for 5 yds to the ACU 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Braedon Wissler run for 6 yds to the ACU 11

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.32

Braedon Wissler run for 1 yd to the ACU 10

3rd & 3Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.72

Justin Miller pass complete to Targhee Lambson for 10 yds for a TD (Tyler Graham KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Jordon Vaughn run for 7 yds to the ACU 32

2nd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.52

Jermiah Dobbins run for 6 yds to the ACU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.81

Maverick McIvor sacked for a loss of 5 yards to the ACU 33

2nd & 15Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Dobbins,Jermiah rush right (Sua-Filo,Rylen;Purcell,Anisi).

3rd & 15Sack-11 ydsPPA -0.28

Maverick McIvor sacked for a loss of 11 yards to the ACU 22

4th & 26Punt+59 yds

Grant Nickel punt for 49 yds Southern Utah Penalty, Offensive holding (Cooper LeDuc) to the SUU 19

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.05

Justin Miller pass complete to Isaiah Wooden for 13 yds to the ACU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Field Goal Missed+63 yds

Reid Harris 63 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Targhee Lambson run for 6 yds to the SUU 25

2nd & 4Rush+69 ydsPPA +4.11

Targhee Lambson run for 69 yds to the ACU 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

Braedon Wissler run for 6 yds for a TD (Tyler Graham KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Maverick McIvor pass incomplete to Blayne Taylor, broken up by Quadir Lockett-Smith

2nd & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -0.22

Maverick McIvor pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Targhee Lambson run for 6 yds to the ACU 13

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.42

Targhee Lambson run for 13 yds for a TD (Tyler Graham KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Jordon Vaughn run for 2 yds to the ACU 27

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Jordon Vaughn run for 6 yds to the ACU 33

3rd & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.64

Jordon Vaughn run for 8 yds to the ACU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.97

Jordon Vaughn run for 11 yds to the SUU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.97

Jermiah Dobbins run for a loss of 4 yards to the ACU 48

2nd & 14Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.46

Jermiah Dobbins run for 11 yds to the SUU 41

3rd & 3Penalty-5 yds

Abilene Christian Penalty, false start (Tay Yanta) to the SUU 46

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

pass incomplete to Jed Castles

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Grant Nickel punt for 38 yds

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

Wissler,Braedon rush right (Young,Reese;Butler,Jordan).

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.14

Wissler,Braedon rush left (Wilhoit,Kenton).

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.06

pass incomplete to Gabe Nunez

4th & 10Penalty-4 yds

Southern Utah Penalty, false start (Hanslee Peay) to the SUU 4

4th & 14Punt+6 yds

Alyas Vigil punt for 47 yds , Dax Neece returns for 6 yds to the SUU 45

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Jordon Vaughn run for 4 yds to the SUU 41

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

Vaughn,Jordon rush left (Cullimore,Kohner).

3rd & 6Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.66

Maverick McIvor pass complete to Blayne Taylor for 6 yds to the SUU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.75

Maverick McIvor pass complete to Blayne Taylor for 9 yds to the SUU 26

2nd & 1Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA -0.29

Maverick McIvor pass complete to Jed Castles for 16 yds to the SUU 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

pass incomplete to Tristan Golightly

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.80

Maverick McIvor pass complete to Jed Castles for 10 yds for a TD (Kyle Ramsey KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Justin Miller pass complete to Isaiah Wooden for 6 yds to the SUU 41

2nd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.84

Braedon Wissler run for 7 yds to the SUU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Justin Miller pass incomplete to Timothy Patrick, broken up by Elijah Moffett

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Braedon Wissler run for 4 yds to the ACU 48

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Justin Miller pass incomplete to Gabe Nunez, broken up by Trey Adams

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Justin Miller punt for 2 yds , Jameer Dudley returns for no gain to the ACU 46

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jay'Veon Sunday run for 5 yds to the SUU 49

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Jay'Veon Sunday run for 2 yds to the SUU 47

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion+10 ydsPPA +1.72

Maverick McIvor pass incomplete to Tristan Golightly for a 1ST down Southern Utah Penalty, Defensive holding (Quadir Lockett-Smith) to the SUU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.57

Jay'Veon Sunday run for 1 yd to the SUU 36

2nd & 9Interception0 ydsPPA -3.38

Maverick McIvor pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Jordan Jefferson run for 6 yds to the ACU 26

2nd & 4Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.07

Jordan Jefferson run for 9 yds to the ACU 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Braedon Wissler run for 7 yds to the ACU 10

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.27

Braedon Wissler run for 10 yds for a TD (Tyler Graham KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Maverick McIvor pass complete to Jed Castles for 8 yds to the ACU 33

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Jay'Veon Sunday run for 1 yd to the ACU 34

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.86

Jordon Vaughn run for 1 yd to the ACU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

pass incomplete to Blayne Taylor

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

pass incomplete to Blayne Taylor

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Maverick McIvor pass incomplete to Blayne Taylor, broken up by Lacarea Pleasant-Johnson

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Grant Nickel punt for 25 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Braedon Wissler run for 2 yds to the SUU 42

2nd & 8Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.76

Justin Miller pass complete to Chase Merrell for 1 yd to the SUU 43

3rd & 7Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.91

Justin Miller pass complete to Isaiah Wooden for 15 yds to the ACU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.47

Justin Miller pass complete to Isaiah Wooden for 7 yds to the ACU 35

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.05

Jordan Jefferson run for 3 yds to the ACU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Justin Miller pass incomplete to Timothy Patrick Abilene Christian Penalty, off-side (Colt Cooper) to the ACU 27

1st & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Jordan Jefferson run for 2 yds to the ACU 25

2nd & 3Passing Touchdown+25 ydsPPA +2.50

Justin Miller pass complete to Isaiah Wooden for 25 yds for a TD (Tyler Graham KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Jay'Veon Sunday run for 1 yd to the ACU 26

2nd & 9Penalty-5 yds

Abilene Christian Penalty, false start (Jay'Veon Sunday) to the ACU 21

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

pass incomplete to Tristan Golightly

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.08

pass incomplete to Blayne Taylor

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Grant Nickel punt for 32 yds

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.15

Lambson,Targhee rush left (Wilhoit,Kenton).

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Targhee Lambson run for 4 yds to the ACU 49

3rd & 6Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +2.06

Justin Miller pass complete to Targhee Lambson for 6 yds to the ACU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +0.73

Justin Miller pass complete to Isaiah Wooden for 23 yds to the ACU 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Isaiah Wooden run for 7 yds to the ACU 13

2nd & 3Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.62

Justin Miller pass complete to Targhee Lambson for 5 yds to the ACU 8 Abilene Christian Penalty, personal foul (Chris Herpin) to the ACU 4

1st & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Targhee Lambson run for 2 yds to the ACU 2

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Braedon Wissler run for 1 yd to the ACU 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Targhee Lambson run for 1 yd for a TD (Tyler Graham KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

pass incomplete to Jordon Vaughn

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.39

Quayde Hawkins run for 2 yds to the ACU 37

3rd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Maverick McIvor run for 6 yds to the ACU 43

4th & 2Punt+1 yds

Grant Nickel punt for 46 yds , Ethan Bolingbroke returns for 1 yd to the SUU 12

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Grady Robison run for 2 yds to the SUU 14

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.15

Landon Freeman run for 6 yds to the SUU 20

3rd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.83

Landon Freeman run for 6 yds to the SUU 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Jordan Jefferson run for 2 yds to the SUU 28

2nd & 8Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.11

Grady Robison run for 16 yds to the SUU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Landon Freeman run for 3 yds to the SUU 47

2nd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.29

Grady Robison run for a loss of 1 yard to the SUU 46

3rd & 8Rush+27 ydsPPA +3.34

Grady Robison run for 27 yds to the ACU 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.49

Grady Robison run for 8 yds to the ACU 19

2nd & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA -0.27

Cade Bowring run for 8 yds to the ACU 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Cade Bowring run for 2 yds to the ACU 9

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Cade Bowring run for 4 yds to the ACU 5

3rd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.30

Bowring,Cade rush middle (Cooper,Colt).

4th & 4Penalty-5 yds

Southern Utah Penalty, false start (Kyle Sfarcioc) to the ACU 10

4th & 9Field Goal Good+27 yds

Reid Harris 27 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Jay'Veon Sunday run for 4 yds to the ACU 40

2nd & 6Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.83

Jay'Veon Sunday run for 15 yds to the SUU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Jay'Veon Sunday run for 6 yds to the SUU 39

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

pass incomplete to Taelyn Williams

3rd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.23

Jay'Veon Sunday run for 5 yds to the SUU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jordon Vaughn run for 5 yds to the SUU 34

Situational Analysis

Abilene Christian

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
39%
23 plays
2nd
50%
4 plays
20%
5 plays
38%
8 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
4th

Southern Utah

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
33%
3 plays
50%
28 plays
2nd
43%
7 plays
80%
5 plays
42%
12 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
100%
4 plays
40%
5 plays
75%
4 plays
4th