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← Back to GamesOct 7, 2023Week 6
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Tarleton State by 12.4

Home Win Probability

Tarleton State 77%

Market (William Hill (New Jersey))

Tarleton State +1

Edge: Tarleton State +1 (13.4 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 7, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Southern Utah
00141327
Tarleton State
7130626

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-010-013-020-020-1426-14
Tarleton StateSouthern Utah

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SUTSSUTSSUTSSUTSSUTSSUTSSUTSSUTSSUTSSUTO415ydTD647ydDOWNS1034ydFG1463ydDOWNS850ydFG848ydPUNT822ydTD666ydPUNT522ydPUNT513ydEND215ydPUNT3-19ydDOWNS821ydPUNT34ydTD462ydPUNT33ydTD996ydTD964ydDOWNS943yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Southern Utah and Tarleton State
StatisticSouthern UtahTarleton State
Passing27-3611-27
Pass Yards269124
Rush Yards96162
Total Yards365286
Turnovers10
3rd Down8-153-9
Penalties4-404-40
Possession29:3220:16

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Southern Utah
passing
Justin Miller
27/36, 269 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Braedon Wissler
13 CAR, 63 YDS
receiving
Joshua Acord
4 REC, 58 YDS
Tarleton State
passing
Victor Gabalis
11/27, 124 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Kayvon Britten
13 CAR, 90 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Benjamin Omayebu
6 REC, 44 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Justin Miller pass complete to Isaiah Wooden for 2 yds to the SUU 22

2nd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.14

Justin Miller pass complete to Isaiah Wooden for 9 yds to the SUU 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Braedon Wissler run for 4 yds to the SUU 35

2nd & 6Interception0 ydsPPA -1.25

Justin Miller pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.56

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Darius Cooper for 10 yds to the SUU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.33

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Benjamin Omayebu for 11 yds to the SUU 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.65

Kayvon Britten run for 9 yds to the SUU 17

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.48

Kayvon Britten run for 3 yds to the SUU 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Victor Gabalis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.86

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Jaden Smith for 14 yds for a TD (Adrian Guzman KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Braedon Wissler run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Justin Miller run for 2 yds to the TAR 48

3rd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.88

Braedon Wissler run for 6 yds to the TAR 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Targhee Lambson run for 3 yds to the TAR 39

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Justin Miller pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.82

Justin Miller pass complete to Gabe Nunez for 11 yds to the TAR 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Braedon Wissler run for 2 yds to the TAR 26

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.61

Braedon Wissler run for no gain to the TAR 26

3rd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Justin Miller pass complete to Francisco Calderon for 6 yds to the TAR 20

4th & 2Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -3.55

Justin Miller pass complete to Isaiah Wooden for 1 yd to the TAR 19

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Caleb Lewis run for 7 yds to the TAR 26

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.32

Caleb Lewis run for 5 yds to the TAR 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Victor Gabalis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.41

Caleb Lewis run for 16 yds to the TAR 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Benjamin Omayebu for 4 yds to the SUU 49

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Caleb Lewis run for no gain to the SUU 49

3rd & 6Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.54

Kayvon Britten run for 17 yds to the SUU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.37

Kayvon Britten run for 7 yds to the SUU 25

2nd & 3Penalty-10 yds

QB Keeper GABALIS, Victor rush up the middle for a gain of 9 yards to the SUU16 (LOCKETT-SMITH, Quadir). PENALTY TSU Holding on ERNST, Layton enforced 10 yards from the SUU25 to the SUU35 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 13Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.55

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Benjamin Omayebu for 8 yds to the SUU 27

3rd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.78

Victor Gabalis run for 5 yds to the SUU 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Kayvon Britten run for 6 yds to the SUU 16

2nd & 4Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.65

Kayvon Britten run for a loss of 2 yards to the SUU 18

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Victor Gabalis pass incomplete

4th & 6Field Goal Good+35 yds

Adrian Guzman 35 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.59

Grady Robison run for no gain to the SUU 21

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Grady Robison run for 2 yds to the SUU 23

3rd & 8Penalty+10 yds

Tarleton State Penalty, Defensive Holding (Jalen Carr) to the SUU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.49

Braedon Wissler run for 22 yds to the TAR 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Justin Miller pass complete to Zack Mitchell for 6 yds to the TAR 29

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Justin Miller pass incomplete

3rd & 4Fumble Recovery (Own)0 ydsPPA -0.87

Targhee Lambson run for no gain to the TAR 29 Targhee Lambson fumbled, recovered by SUU Targhee Lambson

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.69

Justin Miller pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Victor Gabalis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.57

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Benjamin Omayebu for 8 yds to the TAR 37

3rd & 2Penalty+5 yds

Southern Utah Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the TAR 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.37

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Keylan Johnson for 18 yds to the SUU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.51

Caleb Lewis run for 16 yds to the SUU 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Victor Gabalis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.43

Caleb Lewis run for 1 yd to the SUU 23

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Victor Gabalis pass incomplete

4th & 9Field Goal Good+40 yds

Adrian Guzman 40 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Braedon Wissler run for 3 yds to the SUU 11

2nd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.54

Justin Miller pass complete to Joshua Acord for 8 yds to the SUU 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Justin Miller pass complete to Zack Mitchell for 6 yds to the SUU 25

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.68

Braedon Wissler run for no gain to the SUU 25

3rd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.15

Justin Miller pass complete to Isaiah Wooden for 5 yds to the SUU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -1.56

Justin Miller sacked by Kyle Taylor for a loss of 10 yards to the SUU 20

2nd & 20Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Targhee Lambson run for 5 yds to the SUU 25

3rd & 15Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Justin Miller run for 5 yds to the SUU 30

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Alyas Vigil punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Jalen Carr at the TAR 34

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Kayvon Britten run for 5 yds to the TAR 39

2nd & 5Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.31

Kayvon Britten run for 10 yds to the TAR 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Victor Gabalis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Kayvon Britten run for 4 yds to the SUU 47

3rd & 6Pass Reception+36 ydsPPA +2.70

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Tucker Swoboda for 36 yds to the SUU 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.52

Kayvon Britten run for 11 yds for a TD (Adrian Guzman KICK)

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Tarleton State Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Ty Rawls) to the SUU 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.92

Justin Miller pass complete to Zack Mitchell for 10 yds to the SUU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Justin Miller pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Justin Miller pass complete to Zack Mitchell for 1 yd to the SUU 40

3rd & 9Penalty-15 yds

MILLER, Justin pass deep to the right complete for 30 yards to WOODEN, Isaiah caught at the TSU33 and advanced to the TSU30; QB hurried by JONES, Patrick (KURNS, Kasyus). PENALTY SUU Pass Interference on WOODEN, Isaiah enforced 15 yards to the SUU25 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 24Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.10

Grady Robison run for 10 yds to the SUU 35

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Alyas Vigil punt for 30 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Caleb Lewis for 2 yds to the TAR 37

2nd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.69

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Benjamin Omayebu for 9 yds to the TAR 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Victor Gabalis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Victor Gabalis pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Caleb Lewis run for 2 yds to the TAR 48

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Adrian Guzman punt for 40 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Justin Miller pass complete to Joshua Acord for 6 yds to the SUU 18

2nd & 4Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.57

Justin Miller pass complete to Joshua Acord for 9 yds to the SUU 27 for a 1ST down

0th & 4End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.78

Kayvon Britten run for a loss of 3 yards to the TAR 48

2nd & 13Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.53

Victor Gabalis sacked by Anisi Purcell for a loss of 7 yards to the TAR 41

3rd & 20Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.31

Victor Gabalis sacked by Rylen Sua-Filo for a loss of 9 yards to the TAR 32

4th & 29Punt0 yds

Adrian Guzman punt for 39 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Justin Miller pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.59

Justin Miller pass complete to Gabe Nunez for 2 yds to the TAR 39

3rd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Justin Miller run for 1 yd to the TAR 38

4th & 7Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.82

Justin Miller pass complete to Gabe Nunez for 12 yds to the TAR 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Justin Miller run for 2 yds to the TAR 24

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Targhee Lambson run for no gain to the TAR 24

3rd & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.00

Justin Miller run for a loss of 1 yard to the TAR 25

4th & 9Penalty+5 yds

Tarleton State Penalty, Offsides (Brandon Tolvert) to the TAR 20

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.37

Justin Miller pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Victor Gabalis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Victor Gabalis pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Benjamin Omayebu for 4 yds to the TAR 24

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Adrian Guzman punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Wooden at the SUU 38

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Targhee Lambson run for 1 yd to the SUU 39

2nd & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Justin Miller pass complete to Zack Mitchell for 4 yds to the SUU 43

3rd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.29

Justin Miller pass complete to Isaiah Wooden for 9 yds to the TAR 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+48 ydsPPA +3.69

Justin Miller pass complete to Anson Kraut for 48 yds for a TD (Tyler Graham KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Caleb Lewis run for 3 yds to the TAR 38

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Victor Gabalis pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Victor Gabalis pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Adrian Guzman punt for 58 yds, downed at the SUU 4

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.28

Braedon Wissler run for 10 yds to the SUU 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Braedon Wissler run for 6 yds to the SUU 20

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.46

Braedon Wissler run for 1 yd to the SUU 21

3rd & 3Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.03

Justin Miller pass complete to Isaiah Wooden for 7 yds to the SUU 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +2.62

Justin Miller pass complete to Timothy Patrick for 31 yds to the TAR 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +1.19

Justin Miller pass complete to Joshua Acord for 35 yds to the TAR 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.28

Targhee Lambson run for 2 yds to the TAR 4

2nd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.43

Grady Robison run for a loss of 1 yard to the TAR 5

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.76

Justin Miller pass complete to Timothy Patrick for 5 yds for a TD (Tyler Graham KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Kayvon Britten run for 4 yds to the TAR 40

2nd & 6Rush+19 ydsPPA +2.07

Kayvon Britten run for 19 yds to the SUU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.52

Caleb Lewis run for 15 yds to the SUU 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.48

Caleb Lewis run for 8 yds to the SUU 18

2nd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Caleb Lewis run for 2 yds to the SUU 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Victor Gabalis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Victor Gabalis pass incomplete

3rd & 10Penalty0 yds

Southern Utah Penalty, Defensive Holding (Quadir Lockett-Smith) to the SUU 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.32

Caleb Lewis run for 8 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Braedon Wissler run for 2 yds to the SUU 16

2nd & 8Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.98

Justin Miller pass complete to Braedon Wissler for 22 yds to the SUU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Justin Miller pass complete to Isaiah Wooden for 2 yds to the SUU 40

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.61

Justin Miller pass complete to Zack Mitchell for 7 yds to the SUU 47

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.25

Braedon Wissler run for 4 yds to the TAR 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Justin Miller pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Targhee Lambson run for 2 yds to the TAR 47

3rd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Justin Miller pass complete to Isaiah Wooden for 4 yds to the TAR 43

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.36

Justin Miller pass incomplete

Situational Analysis

Southern Utah

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
40%
25 plays
2nd
17%
6 plays
31%
13 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
100%
2 plays
80%
5 plays
40%
5 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
3 plays
100%
1 play

Tarleton State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
26 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
40%
10 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
0%
4 plays
0%
1 play
4th