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← Back to GamesSep 17, 2023Week 3

House Prediction

Model Margin

UC Davis by 19.4

Home Win Probability

UC Davis 85%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Sep 17, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Southern Utah
0071421
UC Davis
6071023

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014286-013-720-1323-21
UC DavisSouthern Utah

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SUUDSUUDSUUDSUUDSUUDSUUDUDSUUDSUUDSUUDSUUDSUUDSUUDTO10ydFG4-4ydPUNT537ydFG930ydPUNT416ydPUNT31ydPUNT624ydPUNT1248ydPUNT732ydPUNT619ydPUNT611ydEND26ydDOWNS1274ydPUNT512ydTD750ydTD1071ydPUNT34ydPUNT415ydTD380ydTD375ydPUNT512ydPUNT617ydFG858ydTD1075ydEND2-2yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Southern Utah and UC Davis
StatisticSouthern UtahUC Davis
Passing20-4221-38
Pass Yards324256
Rush Yards5793
Total Yards381349
Turnovers10
3rd Down7-167-17
Penalties11-576-50
Possession28:1531:45

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Southern Utah
passing
Justin Miller
20/42, 324 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Targhee Lambson
12 CAR, 22 YDS
receiving
Isaiah Wooden
7 REC, 122 YDS, 2 TD
UC Davis
passing
Miles Hastings
21/37, 256 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Lan Larison
16 CAR, 56 YDS
receiving
Lan Larison
8 REC, 106 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -0.92

Justin Miller pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.83

C.J. Hutton run for a loss of 4 yards to the SUU 26

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.74

Miles Hastings pass incomplete

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Miles Hastings pass incomplete

4th & 14Field Goal Good+43 yds

Hunter Ridley 43 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Braedon Wissler run for 6 yds to the SUU 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +2.56

Justin Miller pass complete to Zack Mitchell for 29 yds to the UCD 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Braedon Wissler run for 2 yds to the UCD 38

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Justin Miller pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Justin Miller pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Justin Miller punt for 24 yds , Rex Connors returns for no gain to the SUU 35

1st & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.25

Miles Hastings pass complete to Lan Larison for a loss of 3 yards to the SUU 38

2nd & 13Penalty-5 yds

HASTINGS, Miles pass to the left complete for 18 yards to TOMPKINS, Trent caught at the SUU25 and advanced to the SUU20 (RAMIREZ, George). PENALTY Before the snap, UCD Illegal Shift on HUTTON, C.J. enforced 5 yards from the SUU38 to the SUU43. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 18Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.68

Miles Hastings pass complete to Lan Larison for 24 yds to the SUU 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.45

Lan Larison run for a loss of 1 yard to the SUU 20

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Miles Hastings pass incomplete

3rd & 11Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.85

Miles Hastings pass complete to Trent Tompkins for 16 yds to the SUU 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.84

Lan Larison run for a loss of 2 yards to the SUU 6

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Miles Hastings pass incomplete

3rd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Jeremiah Chukwudobe run for 1 yd to the SUU 5

4th & 5Field Goal Good+22 yds

Hunter Ridley 22 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Isaiah Wooden run for 10 yds to the SUU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Targhee Lambson run for 4 yds to the SUU 39

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Justin Miller pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Justin Miller pass complete to Isaiah Wooden for 2 yds to the SUU 41

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Alyas Vigil punt for 39 yds, downed at the UCD 20

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.75

Trent Tompkins run for a loss of 3 yards to the UCD 17

2nd & 13Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.17

Miles Hastings pass complete to Lan Larison for a loss of 1 yard to the UCD 16

3rd & 14Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Miles Hastings pass complete to Andre Crump Jr. for 5 yds to the UCD 21

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Justin Dwinell punt for 46 yds

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Targhee Lambson run for 4 yds to the SUU 41

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Targhee Lambson run for 5 yds to the SUU 46

3rd & 1Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.92

Justin Miller pass complete to Ethan Bolingbroke for 14 yds to the UCD 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Targhee Lambson run for 4 yds to the UCD 36

2nd & 6Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.56

Targhee Lambson run for a loss of 3 yards to the UCD 39

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Justin Miller pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Justin Miller punt for 24 yds

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

UC Davis Penalty, Offensive Holding (Ian Simpson) to the UCD 15

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Lan Larison run for 1 yd to the UCD 16

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Miles Hastings run for 5 yds to the UCD 21

3rd & 4Penalty+5 yds

HASTINGS, Miles pass short to the right incomplete intended for GALE, Josh thrown to the UCD25. PENALTY SUU Offsides on HORSEY, Robert enforced 5 yards from the UCD21 to the UCD26 and results in a 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.86

Lan Larison run for 10 yds to the UCD 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Miles Hastings pass complete to Trent Tompkins for 6 yds to the UCD 42

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.96

Lan Larison run for 1 yd to the UCD 43

3rd & 3Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.61

Miles Hastings pass complete to Trent Tompkins for 4 yds to the UCD 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Jeremiah Chukwudobe run for 1 yd to the UCD 48

2nd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.71

Miles Hastings pass complete to C.J. Hutton for 10 yds to the SUU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.91

Lan Larison run for no gain to the SUU 42

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Lan Larison run for 5 yds to the SUU 37

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Miles Hastings pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Justin Dwinell punt for 35 yds, downed at the SUU 2

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.21

Targhee Lambson run for 1 yd to the SUU 3

2nd & 9Penalty0 yds

Southern Utah Penalty, False Start (Tim Patrick Jr.) to the SUU 2

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.11

Targhee Lambson run for no gain to the SUU 2

3rd & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.89

Justin Miller pass complete to Tim Patrick Jr. for 17 yds to the SUU 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Braedon Wissler run for 3 yds to the SUU 22

2nd & 7Penalty+15 yds

WISSLER, Braedon rush up the middle for a loss of 1 yard to the SUU21 (BUCHANAN, Teddye;MAAE, Chubba). PENALTY UCD Face mask on MAAE, Chubba enforced 15 yards from the SUU22 to the SUU37 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Braedon Wissler run for 1 yd to the SUU 38

2nd & 9Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.10

Braedon Wissler run for a loss of 4 yards to the SUU 34

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Justin Miller pass incomplete

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Alyas Vigil punt for 41 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Miles Hastings pass complete to Ian Simpson for 1 yd to the UCD 26

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.41

Lan Larison run for no gain to the UCD 26

3rd & 9Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.51

Miles Hastings pass complete to Andre Crump Jr. for 16 yds to the UCD 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Miles Hastings pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.52

Jeremiah Chukwudobe run for 2 yds to the UCD 44

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Miles Hastings pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Justin Dwinell punt for 33 yds, downed at the SUU 23

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Braedon Wissler run for 4 yds to the SUU 27

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Justin Miller pass complete to Francisco Calderon for 5 yds to the SUU 32

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.89

Targhee Lambson run for 2 yds to the SUU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Justin Miller pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Justin Miller pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Justin Miller pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Alyas Vigil punt for 46 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Miles Hastings pass complete to Lan Larison for 6 yds to the UCD 31

0th & 4End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Miles Hastings pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Trent Tompkins run for 11 yds to the UCD 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Miles Hastings pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Miles Hastings pass complete to Lan Larison for 4 yds to the UCD 40

3rd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.38

Miles Hastings pass complete to Trent Tompkins for 9 yds to the UCD 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Lan Larison pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.81

Miles Hastings pass complete to C.J. Hutton for 10 yds to the SUU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +0.68

Miles Hastings pass complete to Josh Gale for 26 yds to the SUU 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

run for 15 yds UC Davis Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the SUU 20

1st & 15Penalty+10 yds

LARISON, Lan pass deep to the left incomplete intended for CRUMP JR., Andre thrown to the SUU0. PENALTY SUU Pass Interference on WASHINGTON, Jordan enforced at the spot of the foul for 10 yards to the SUU10 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

C.J. Hutton run for 7 yds to the SUU 3

2nd & 3Penalty0 yds

Southern Utah Penalty, Offsides ( Yards) to the SUU 2

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

run for no gain to the SUU 1

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Miles Hastings pass incomplete

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -4.21

Miles Hastings run for no gain to the SUU 1

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Targhee Lambson run for 3 yds to the SUU 4

2nd & 7Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.60

Justin Miller pass complete to Isaiah Wooden for 14 yds to the SUU 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Southern Utah Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SUU 13

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Justin Miller pass incomplete

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

Justin Miller pass incomplete

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.04

Justin Miller pass incomplete

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Alyas Vigil punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Trent Tompkins at the 50 yard line

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Miles Hastings pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Miles Hastings pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +3.32

Miles Hastings pass complete to Trent Tompkins for 27 yds to the SUU 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.52

Lan Larison run for a loss of 1 yard to the SUU 24

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Miles Hastings pass incomplete

3rd & 11Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.69

C.J. Hutton run for 10 yds to the SUU 14

4th & 1Passing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +3.10

Miles Hastings pass complete to Josh Gale for 14 yds for a TD (Hunter Ridley KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.83

Grady Robison run for no gain to the SUU 29

2nd & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.60

Justin Miller pass complete to Tim Patrick Jr. for 19 yds to the SUU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Jordan Jefferson run for 3 yds to the UCD 49

2nd & 7Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.48

Justin Miller pass complete to Tim Patrick Jr. for 15 yds to the UCD 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Jordan Jefferson run for 2 yds to the UCD 32

2nd & 8Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +1.41

Justin Miller pass complete to Zack Mitchell for 27 yds to the UCD 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Targhee Lambson run for 2 yds to the UCD 3

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.41

Targhee Lambson run for no gain to the UCD 3

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Justin Miller pass incomplete

4th & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.92

Justin Miller pass complete to Isaiah Wooden for 3 yds for a TD (Tyler Graham KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Miles Hastings pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.39

Lan Larison run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCD 24

3rd & 11Penalty+5 yds

Southern Utah Penalty, Offsides (Rylen Sua-Filo) to the UCD 29

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Miles Hastings pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Justin Dwinell punt for 45 yds, downed at the SUU 26

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.25

Justin Miller pass complete to Isaiah Wooden for 14 yds to the SUU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Southern Utah Penalty, False Start (Isaiah Wooden) to the SUU 35

1st & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.61

Braedon Wissler run for 1 yd to the SUU 36

2nd & 14Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Justin Miller pass complete to Braedon Wissler for 5 yds to the SUU 41

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Justin Miller pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Alyas Vigil punt for 39 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Trent Tompkins run for 1 yd to the UCD 21

2nd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.16

Miles Hastings pass complete to Ian Simpson for 6 yds to the UCD 27

3rd & 3Passing Touchdown+73 ydsPPA +6.69

Miles Hastings pass complete to Lan Larison for 73 yds for a TD (Hunter Ridley KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Justin Miller pass complete to Zack Mitchell for 9 yds to the SUU 34

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.28

Justin Miller pass incomplete

3rd & 1Passing Touchdown+66 ydsPPA +6.10

Justin Miller pass complete to Isaiah Wooden for 66 yds for a TD (Tyler Graham KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Miles Hastings pass complete to Lan Larison for 3 yds to the UCD 23

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

run for 1 yd to the UCD 24

3rd & 6Penalty+5 yds

HASTINGS, Miles pass short up the middle incomplete intended for GALE, Josh thrown to the UCD28. PENALTY SUU Pass Interference on LOCKETT-SMITH, Quadir enforced at the spot of the foul for 5 yards to the UCD29 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

C.J. Hutton run for 1 yd to the UCD 30

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Jeremiah Chukwudobe run for 2 yds to the UCD 32

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Miles Hastings pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Justin Dwinell punt for 54 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Justin Miller pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.26

Targhee Lambson run for no gain to the SUU 20

3rd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.78

Justin Miller pass complete to Isaiah Wooden for 13 yds to the SUU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Justin Miller run for 4 yds to the SUU 37

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Justin Miller pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Justin Miller pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Alyas Vigil punt for 40 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.01

Miles Hastings pass complete to Lan Larison for no gain to the UCD 35

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

HASTINGS, Miles pass to the left incomplete intended for HUTTON, C.J. thrown to the SUU50. PENALTY SUU Pass Interference on LOCKETT-SMITH, Quadir enforced 15 yards to the UCD50 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

Southern Utah Penalty, False Start Unsportsmanlike Conduct on HORSEY, Robert enforced ( Yards) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.84

Lan Larison run for 9 yds to the SUU 31

2nd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.03

Trent Tompkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the SUU 32

3rd & 2Rush+19 ydsPPA +0.84

Lan Larison run for 19 yds to the SUU 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Jeremiah Chukwudobe run for 2 yds to the SUU 11

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

run for 4 yds to the SUU 7

3rd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

C.J. Hutton run for no gain to the SUU 7

4th & 4Field Goal Good+24 yds

Hunter Ridley 24 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Justin Miller pass complete to Isaiah Wooden for 10 yds to the SUU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.32

Justin Miller pass complete to Braedon Wissler for 14 yds to the SUU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Justin Miller pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Justin Miller pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +3.25

Justin Miller pass complete to Tim Patrick Jr. for 21 yds to the UCD 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Justin Miller pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.80

Justin Miller pass complete to Zack Mitchell for 14 yds to the UCD 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Justin Miller run for 3 yds to the UCD 13

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Justin Miller pass incomplete

3rd & 7Passing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +3.01

Justin Miller pass complete to Zack Mitchell for 13 yds for a TD Southern Utah Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UCD 8 (Tyler Graham KICK)

0th & 3Penalty-5 yds

Southern Utah Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UCD 8

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.13

[NH] Kneel down by HASTINGS, Miles at UCD48 (team loss of 1).

2nd & 11Rush0 ydsPPA -0.94

[NH] Kneel down by HASTINGS, Miles at UCD47 (team loss of 1).

Situational Analysis

Southern Utah

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
24%
25 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
50%
6 plays
42%
12 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
50%
8 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play

UC Davis

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
29%
28 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
0%
3 plays
38%
13 plays
17%
6 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
20%
5 plays
50%
4 plays
75%
4 plays
4th
50%
2 plays