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← Back to GamesAug 26, 2023Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Mercer by 19.5

Home Win Probability

Mercer 86%

Market (William Hill (New Jersey))

Mercer -23.5

Edge: North Alabama +23.5 (4.0 pts)

fitted_v1 · Aug 26, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
North Alabama
70007
Mercer
730717

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40147-07-710-717-7
MercerNorth Alabama

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MERNANAMERNAMERNAMERNAMERNAMERNAMERNAMERNAMERNAMERTD949ydTO30ydMISS45ydPUNT3-6ydTD651ydPUNT935ydDOWNS846ydFG1159ydDOWNS1042ydEND519ydMISS1674ydPUNT37ydPUNT38ydTO982ydPUNT30ydTD841ydPUNT31ydPUNT34ydDOWNS614ydDOWNS1128yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing North Alabama and Mercer
StatisticNorth AlabamaMercer
Passing12-2412-17
Pass Yards92115
Rush Yards156170
Total Yards248285
Turnovers02
3rd Down4-156-16
Penalties8-736-43
Possession27:2532:35

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

North Alabama
passing
Noah Walters
10/17, 65 YDS
rushing
Jalyn Daniels
3 CAR, 49 YDS
receiving
Kobe Warden
6 REC, 37 YDS
Mercer
passing
Carter Peevy
12/17, 115 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Micah Bell
20 CAR, 73 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Ty James
4 REC, 57 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+43 yds

Sam Contorno kickoff for 57 yds , Devron Harper return for 43 yds to the UNA 49

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.86

Al Wooten II run for 1 yd to the UNA 48

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Al Wooten II run for 5 yds to the UNA 43

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Micah Bell run for 3 yds to the UNA 40

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.86

Carter Peevy run for 2 yds to the UNA 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.78

Micah Bell run for no gain to the UNA 38

2nd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.11

Parker Wroble run for 10 yds to the UNA 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Parker Wroble run for 5 yds to the UNA 23

2nd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.14

Carter Peevy pass complete to Gavin McKay for 9 yds to the UNA 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.55

Carter Peevy pass complete to Ty James for 14 yds for a TD, (Reice Griffith KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+9 yds

Reice Griffith kickoff for 44 yds , KJ Fields return for 9 yds to the UNA 30

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.19

Parker Driggers run for a loss of 3 yards to the UNA 27

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Noah Walters pass incomplete

3rd & 13Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.18

Noah Walters run for 8 yds to the UNA 35

4th & 5Penalty-5 yds

North Alabama Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the UNA 30

4th & 10Punt-3 yds

Adam Watford punt for 40 yds , Devron Harper returns for a loss of 3 yards to the MER 27 Devron Harper fumbled, recovered by UNA , return for no gain to the MER 27

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Parker Driggers run for 6 yds to the MER 21

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Parker Driggers run for 2 yds to the MER 19

3rd & 2Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.03

Noah Walters pass complete to David Florence for a loss of 3 yards to the MER 22

4th & 5Field Goal Missed+39 yds

Sam Contorno 39 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.61

Al Wooten II run for no gain to the MER 22

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Carter Peevy pass incomplete to Ty James

3rd & 10Penalty-5 yds

Mercer Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the MER 17

3rd & 15Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.06

Carter Peevy pass complete to Ty James for a loss of 1 yard to the MER 16

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Ian Garcia punt for 35 yds , Kobe Warden returns for no gain to the UNA 49

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Smith, TJ pass incomplete to Warden, Kobe, PENALTY MERCER pass interference 15 yards to the MERCER36, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NORTHALA.

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.90

Demarcus Lacey run for a loss of 1 yard to the MER 37

2nd & 11Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.27

TJ Smith run for 15 yds to the MER 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.50

TJ Smith sacked by Christian Hanson for a loss of 1 yard to the MER 23

2nd & 11Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Noah Walters pass complete to Kobe Warden for 5 yds to the MER 18

3rd & 6Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.05

Noah Walters run for 12 yds to the MER 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 0Penalty+3 yds

Mercer Penalty, Substitution Infraction (3 Yards) to the MER 3

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

TJ Smith 3 Yd Run (Sam Contorno Kick)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Al Wooten II run for 4 yds to the MER 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.74

Carter Peevy pass complete to Devron Harper for a loss of 1 yard to the MER 28

3rd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.79

Carter Peevy run for 8 yds to the MER 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.14

Al Wooten II run for 12 yds to the MER 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Micah Bell run for 5 yds to the UNA 47

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.61

Micah Bell run for 5 yds to the UNA 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

Bell, Micah rush for 1 yard to the NORTHALA41, PENALTY NORTHALA substitution infraction 5 yards to the NORTHALA37, NO PLAY.

1st & 5Sack-11 ydsPPA -3.17

Carter Peevy sacked by Makenly Newbill for a loss of 11 yards to the UNA 48

2nd & 16Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.72

Al Wooten II run for 8 yds to the UNA 40

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Carter Peevy pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Ian Garcia punt for 40 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.14

Kobe Warden run for 15 yds to the UNA 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

North Alabama Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the UNA 25

1st & 20Penalty-10 yds

North Alabama Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the UNA 15

1st & 30Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.35

Noah Walters pass complete to Kobe Warden for 14 yds to the UNA 29

2nd & 16Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.11

Noah Walters pass complete to David Florence for 6 yds to the UNA 35

3rd & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +3.51

Noah Walters pass complete to David Florence for 22 yds to the MER 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Noah Walters pass complete to Kobe Warden for 2 yds to the MER 41

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.50

Demarcus Lacey run for 7 yds to the MER 34

3rd & 1Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.01

Noah Walters pass complete to Kobe Warden for no gain to the MER 34

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -2.63

Parker Driggers run for no gain to the MER 34

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Parker Wroble run for 2 yds to the MER 36

2nd & 8Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.48

Carter Peevy pass complete to Sam Albee for 9 yds to the UNA 45 for a 1ST down North Alabama Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the UNA 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Al Wooten II run for 5 yds to the UNA 40

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.48

Micah Bell run for 7 yds to the UNA 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Micah Bell run for 4 yds to the UNA 29

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Carter Peevy run for 5 yds to the UNA 24

3rd & 1Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.36

Carter Peevy pass complete to Devron Harper for 13 yds to the UNA 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29

Micah Bell run for no gain to the UNA 11

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

Mercer Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UNA 16

2nd & 15Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.29

Micah Bell run for 9 yds to the UNA 7

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Carter Peevy pass incomplete to Ty James

4th & 6Field Goal Good+24 yds

Reice Griffith 24 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Demarcus Lacey run for 2 yds to the UNA 27

2nd & 8Rush+19 ydsPPA +2.35

Jalyn Daniels run for 19 yds to the UNA 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Demarcus Lacey run for 2 yds to the UNA 48

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Noah Walters run for 5 yds to the MER 47

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Demarcus Lacey run for 2 yds to the MER 45

4th & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +2.24

Demarcus Lacey run for 5 yds to the MER 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Noah Walters pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.66

Noah Walters pass complete to Kobe Warden for 8 yds to the MER 32

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.73

Demarcus Lacey run for 1 yd to the MER 31

4th & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -2.89

Demarcus Lacey run for a loss of 2 yards to the MER 33

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Carter Peevy pass incomplete to Andrew May

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.92

Carter Peevy pass complete to Devron Harper for 10 yds to the MER 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Carter Peevy run for no gain to the MER 43

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Carter Peevy pass incomplete to Al Wooten II

3rd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.77

Carter Peevy run for 9 yds to the UNA 48

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+11 yds

Reice Griffith kickoff for 58 yds , Jalyn Daniels return for 11 yds to the UNA 18

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

TJ Smith run for 2 yds to the UNA 20

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Demarcus Lacey run for 6 yds to the UNA 26

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.95

Parker Driggers run for 4 yds to the UNA 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.86

Parker Driggers run for no gain to the UNA 30

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.39

Noah Walters pass complete to Dakota Warfield for 7 yds to the UNA 37

3rd & 3Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.51

Noah Walters pass complete to David Florence for 4 yds to the UNA 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Demarcus Lacey run for 7 yds to the UNA 48

2nd & 3Rush+30 ydsPPA +1.31

Jalyn Daniels run for 30 yds to the MER 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Noah Walters pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.45

Demarcus Lacey run for 9 yds to the MER 13

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.57

Noah Walters run for a loss of 1 yard to the MER 14

4th & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.74

TJ Smith run for 5 yds to the MER 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Demarcus Lacey run for 1 yd to the MER 8

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Noah Walters pass incomplete to David Florence

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Noah Walters pass incomplete to Dakota Warfield

4th & 0Blocked Field Goal+25 yds

Sam Contorno 25 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Jordan Swain Isaac Dowling return for 2 yds to the MER 25

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Al Wooten II run for 3 yds to the MER 28

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Al Wooten II run for 4 yds to the MER 32

3rd & 3Penalty-5 yds

Peevy, Carter pass complete to Harper, Devron for 39 yards to the NORTHALA29, PENALTY MERCER illegal shift 5 yards to the MERCER27, NO PLAY.

3rd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Carter Peevy run for 5 yds to the MER 32

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Ian Garcia punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Kobe Warden at the UNA 31

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

TJ Smith pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Noah Walters pass incomplete to Dakota Warfield

3rd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.32

Noah Walters pass complete to Kobe Warden for 8 yds to the UNA 39

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Adam Watford punt for 34 yds , Devron Harper returns for no gain to the MER 39 Mercer Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the MER 17

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Micah Bell run for 3 yds to the MER 20

2nd & 7Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +3.55

Carter Peevy pass complete to Ty James for 40 yds to the UNA 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.65

Carter Peevy pass complete to Devron Harper for 1 yd to the UNA 39

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.56

Micah Bell run for 2 yds to the UNA 37

3rd & 7Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.81

Micah Bell run for 5 yds to the UNA 32 for a 1ST down North Alabama Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the UNA 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Al Wooten II run for 3 yds to the UNA 14

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Al Wooten II run for 2 yds to the UNA 12

3rd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.42

Carter Peevy pass complete to Travion Solomon for 9 yds to the UNA 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 0Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+2 yds

Al Wooten II run for 2 yds to the UNA 1 Al Wooten II fumbled, recovered by UNA , Lansdell return for no gain to the UNA 1

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.20

Noah Walters run for 1 yd to the UNA 2

2nd & 9Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.14

Demarcus Lacey run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNA 1

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.04

Noah Walters pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt+10 yds

Adam Watford punt for 50 yds , Devron Harper returns for 10 yds to the UNA 41

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.67

Micah Bell run for 1 yd to the UNA 40

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Devron Harper run for 6 yds to the UNA 34

3rd & 3Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.82

Carter Peevy pass complete to Ty James for 4 yds to the UNA 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Parker Wroble run for 2 yds to the UNA 28

2nd & 8Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.58

Micah Bell run for 16 yds to the UNA 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

North Alabama Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the UNA 7

1st & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Micah Bell run for 2 yds to the UNA 5

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Micah Bell run for 2 yds to the UNA 3

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.47

Micah Bell run for 3 yds for a TD, (Reice Griffith KICK)

3rd & 1Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Reice Griffith kickoff for 55 yds , Jalyn Daniels return for 18 yds to the UNA 28

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

TJ Smith pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

TJ Smith run for 1 yd to the UNA 29

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.23

TJ Smith pass incomplete to Dakota Warfield

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Adam Watford punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Devron Harper at the MER 22

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Parker Wroble run for 2 yds to the MER 24

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.34

Al Wooten II run for 1 yd to the MER 25

3rd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.19

Carter Peevy run for 1 yd to the MER 26

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Ian Garcia punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Kobe Warden at the UNA 37

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Jalyn Daniels run for no gain to the UNA 37

2nd & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.70

TJ Smith pass complete to Kaden Cooper for 19 yds to the MER 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.19

Parker Driggers run for a loss of 1 yard to the MER 45

2nd & 11Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.76

TJ Smith sacked by Isaac Dowling and Caden Camese for a loss of 4 yards to the MER 49

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

TJ Smith pass incomplete to Parker Driggers

4th & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

TJ Smith pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.36

Micah Bell run for a loss of 1 yard to the MER 48

2nd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Micah Bell run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.73

Carter Peevy pass complete to Al Wooten II for 8 yds to the UNA 42

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.96

Carter Peevy run for 2 yds to the UNA 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.05

Micah Bell run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNA 41

2nd & 11Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.05

Carter Peevy run for 10 yds to the UNA 31

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.49

Micah Bell run for 6 yds to the UNA 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+13 yds

Bell, Micah rush for no gain to the NORTHALA25, PENALTY NORTHALA face mask 13 yards to the NORTHALA12, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MERCER.

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.42

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the UNA 14

2nd & 12Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.58

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the UNA 16

3rd & 14Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.33

TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the UNA 19

4th & 17Rush-4 ydsPPA -2.14

TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the UNA 23

Situational Analysis

North Alabama

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
16%
19 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
67%
12 plays
60%
5 plays
3rd
29%
7 plays
100%
1 play
40%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
50%
4 plays
0%
1 play

Mercer

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
21%
24 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
80%
5 plays
54%
13 plays
60%
5 plays
3rd
100%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
71%
7 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
100%
2 plays
0%
1 play